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XAU/USD 23 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Pullback Incoming!Gold has struggled to break through its daily highs for the past week. I am looking for another push up to the $3360-$3370 range. If it fails to break that level again, we may see support levels around $3200 being retested. In my opinion, there is even potential for it to go lower. I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments! *Side note:* With the U.S. dollar falling in value and ongoing economic uncertainty, I believe gold has tremendous upside potential over the next 12-18 months. FX:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BigRichh
XAU/USD 06 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price did not print according to previous analysis by failing to target weak internal low. Price has now printed a bullish iBOS. This is potentially due to the fact that H4 TF was in a bearish pullback phase and reacted at discount of 50% internal EQ which could mean that H4 TF bearish pullback phase is now over and targeting the weak internal high, which is mentioned in H4 analysis. Price has also printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
1
GOLD Long Trade Idea | Buying Zone: 3197–3216 | Trend Reversal Gold is currently approaching a key buying zone between 3197 and 3216, where buyers are likely to step in. This zone has previously acted as a strong support level, and signs of a trend reversal or continuation could emerge from here. 🔑 Trade Setup: Buying Zone: 3197–3216 Potential Upside Targets: Target 1: 3245 Target 2: 3275 Stop Loss: Below 3180 (as per your risk appetite) Trend: Bullish bias above support Indicators: Look for bullish candlestick patterns or RSI bounce from oversold area This zone is critical—watch closely for confirmation before entering. Ideal for swing traders looking for a low-risk entry. This is a trade idea, not financial advice. Always do your own analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexcryptowithjohn
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955 Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price is now trading within an established internal range. You will note my comments in yesterday's analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS. This scenario seems underway, price has targeted strong internal low, however, price has, thus far, not been able to close below. Intraday Expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 2,954.955, however, my alternative scenario remains live. Alternative scenario: As we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 4H (anticipating) Breakout Trade: Buy‐Stop Why This Zone? If gold breaks and closes above ~2,770–2,775, it suggests bullish continuation toward 2,780–2,800 or more. Possible Setup Type: Buy Stop at ~2,775 (anticipating a breakout) Stop‐Loss: ~2,750–2,760 The idea is to keep stops relatively tight if the breakout fails. Take‐Profit Targets: ~2,790–2,800 (a 15–25 point run above your entry). If momentum is strong, a secondary target near 2,830 (the 2.618 Fib extension) is possible. Summary “Big Picture” Outlook Daily Trend: Bullish, with price above the 50 and 200 EMAs. MACD is still positive. Key Near‐Term Resistance: 2,763–2,770; a breakout could extend toward 2,800 and potentially 2,830. Key Pullback Supports: 2,730–2,740 (4H FVG & VAH) 2,710 (PoC) 2,680–2,690 (4H 200 EMA / deeper volume node). Volume Profile: Confirms strong participation around 2,700–2,730, suggesting a robust support band in that area. Momentum Indicators: Short‐term MACD (1H, 4H) is cooling but not definitively bearish. The daily timeframe remains positive, so short‐term dips may be bought until proven otherwise. Important: this is not personalized financial advice. It’s an illustration of how one might combine risk management principles with the support/resistance zones in play. Final Note & Disclaimer All market scenarios carry probabilities, not certainties. Technical signals are best combined with macro fundamentals (e.g., interest rates, USD behavior, geopolitical risks) to form a well‐rounded market view. This consolidated analysis serves an educational purpose—always do additional research or consult a licensed professional before making trading or investment decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VidaDeTraderPT
1
Gold's Potential Movememt in 2025Here is the detailed technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD 1. Key Levels and Chart Structure - Resistance Zones (red boxes): There is a significant resistance zone highlighted around $2,720–$2,740. This is an area where the price has previously struggled to break through, indicating strong selling pressure or profit-taking. - Support Zones (green boxes): The key support levels are marked near $2,580–$2,600. This area has been tested multiple times in the past, showing buyers stepping in and defending this zone. 2. Chart Pattern - Symmetrical Triangle: The white lines outline a symmetrical triangle pattern. This indicates consolidation and a potential breakout, either upwards or downwards, as the price nears the apex of the triangle. Triangles often lead to sharp price movements as traders anticipate a resolution. 3. Potential Scenarios Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (green path) - If the price breaks above the resistance zone near $2,720, we could see a bullish rally. - The price might retest the breakout level before heading higher towards $2,760–$2,800. This aligns with the continuation of the prevailing uptrend from earlier in the chart. - A breakout above the symmetrical triangle would signal strong buying momentum, supported by increasing volume during the breakout. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (red path) - If the price fails to hold the triangle's lower boundary and the key support zone near $2,580, a bearish breakdown is likely. - This could lead to a sharp decline, targeting levels around $2,520 and potentially further towards $2,480. - Such a move could be triggered by strong selling pressure or macroeconomic factors unfavorable to gold, such as a strengthening U.S. dollar or rising bond yields. 4. Volume Analysis - The volume seems to be decreasing as the price moves within the triangle, which is typical for such consolidation patterns. A significant increase in volume during the breakout or breakdown would confirm the direction of the move. 5. Trading Implications - For a bullish breakout, traders might consider entering long positions above $2,720 with stops below the triangle and targeting $2,760 or higher. - For a bearish breakdown, short positions could be initiated below $2,580, with stops above the triangle and targets near $2,520 or lower. - Risk management is essential, especially in volatile market conditions like this. This analysis is based purely on the technical chart setup and does not account for any fundamental factors or news events that could influence gold prices. It would be wise to monitor any upcoming economic reports or geopolitical developments that might impact gold's movement.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by MrSharelock
XAU/USD 14 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 October 2024. As mentioned in my analysis dated 09 October 2024, price could print lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action, as the previous CHoCH positioning was quite distant. This is exactly how price has moved. Price is currently positioned in the premium above the 50% equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following last week's bearish iBOS, price did not target weak internal low with price printing bullish iBOS. This is in line with H4 bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Should price print bearish CHoCH we would have a confirmed internal range which will be significantly narrower than previous internal ranges. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of bearish pullback phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Systematically price should either react at discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand level to target weak internal high, however, due to significant narrowing of the internal range, coupled with the fact that price is in premium of 50% EQ of the H4 internal range, I would not be surpised if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Analysis:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 09 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low. CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS. We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 04 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: intraday expectation remains unchanged from yesterday's analysis (02 October 2024). -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has continued its surge, reaching all-time highs with minimal pullbacks. The bearish swing pullback phase has been confirmed by a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which has also established the current swing range. At present, we are trading between the swing high and internal low. Price has now printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting, but not confirming initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Additionally, the price has reacted from the premium zone above the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: The expectation is for price to target a weak internal low. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price did not meet yesterday's intraday expectation, as the internal structure flipped from bearish to bullish, with the price printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). A bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) has been printed, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase, and an internal range has been established. It is expected that the price will trade down to the premium zone of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ) or the M15 demand zone. Intraday Expectation: Technically, the price is expected to target the weak internal high. Given that the H4 timeframe appears to be in a bearish pullback phase, any bullish momentum is likely to be short-lived. With rising geopolitical tensions, coupled with a dovish stance from the Fed, Gold is expected to remain highly volatile in the short term. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 14 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following bullish iBOS, price printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation. Internal structure is substantial, therefore, I have zoomed out in order to obtain a better view of structure. Price has reacted at an M15 supply level, however, the move did not sustain sufficient bearish momentum and it seems weak internal high is being targeted. Intraday expectation: Whilst I have mentioned that price may target weak internal high, price may well print a secondary reaction to the M15 supply level in order to gain more liquidity to complete bearish pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 09 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 27 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As previously mentioned, price reacted at 50% EQ of the internal range to target weak internal low, however, price was unable to close below internal low due to H4 demand zone. Nonetheless, internal structure remains bearish until strong internal high is taken out. Intraday expectation: Price could potentially be seeking further liquidity to once again target weak internal low. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As per previous intraday expectation price did target weak internal low and printed a double bearish iBOS. Price has reacted at a H4 demand level to potentially initiate bullish internal pullback. Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback initiation following bearish iBOS, therefore, price is contained within an internal high and fractal low. Internal high and CHoCH positioning are currently at the same level. Intraday expectation: Price to either react at premium of 50% EQ or M15 POI before targeting weak internal low. Price could potentially continue bearish to engineer a CHoCH closer to current price. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Analyzing Gold Price Trends: Downtrend or Upwardtrend The price of gold (XAU/USD) is currently in a stable uptrend on Tuesday during the Asian trading session, fluctuating around $2,350, near its previous high. The Fed's delay in cutting interest rates could potentially increase US bond yields and strengthen the US Dollar, impacting gold price movements. From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading near overbought levels, but it's uncertain whether prices will adjust towards the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Any downward adjustments could find strong support at $2,300, and if prices continue to decline, XAU/USD may be pushed towards significant support levels around $2,267-$2,265.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Stephen_Anders
XAU this weekDear all wolfy friends : What I see is buyers power to reach higher prices for next days but for sure there would be a structure( battle of the sellers and buyers). so on this condition I suggest you to play on buy if you are a trend trader but what if power goes for down trend? if power goes for downtrend im sure we are in correction prices after there be a good structure for down trend we can play as seller. I will update this till next monday and if get good position share it with you. let us hunt
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by armindehghani
XAU daily (1D) chart overviewXAU daily view. 1950 key important level. We are out of descending channel, but still new BOS is not formed. Price is still doing LH and LL. If 1950 is broken and price confirms above, we will have new HH. If price cannot brake 1950 - will be looking for shorts. Liquidity was swept and that’s a good sign for shorts. If it brakes and retest 1950 forming resistance to support - will be looking for longs. Fundamentals like war, feds decision not to hike rates may lead to a vey bullish moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MadMundus
GOLD Analysis 9Sep2023 If you see the movement of gold, there is no sign of bullish, the price increases is still possible because of the correction from the bearish and next week it is still most likely the price will continue the trend bearish. I look for a strong support area and the area is also accompanying with Fibo Retracement at the level of 0.236 Previous analysis I shared on the Hokusai Channel. This analysis continued what I shared on my channel, you can see my channel and follow it for free.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Hokusai_FX
1
Gold Long UpdateThis is my final update to the long trade on Gold I have been tracking. We got the bounce exactly from 0.886 as indicated in my previous post and we got an approx. 1.7% move but it failed to go any further. Although the setup is successful as we have already got 2+ % bounce earlier from it and we were expecting the type 2 bounce form the harmonic would give us a better bounce, but it turned out to be a dud. So Now I am looking at price action as indicated in through the sketch. If it fails to breach and sustain above the turquoise line, we will go down along the path. Keep in mind this long was always meant to be a scalp as the trend is down and this setup was part of larger short setup, I gave from 2052 early last month. I will keep an eye on any new longs possible along the downtrend and will post it. Most likely My next long setup would be when we will hit the purple line at the bottom of the chart which is multiyear S/R trend line. Please boost and follow me here to get notified about my pre planned setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by zakoraio