4‑Hour Technical Framework- 8th July 2025Current Price: ~$3,330
Timeframe Focus: 4‑Hour and 1‑Hour
Directional Bias: Neutral-to-Bearish
Methodologies Used:
✅ Price Action, Fibonacci Levels, Support & Resistance
✅ Supply & Demand Zones
✅ ICT / Smart Money Concepts (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity, OB, FVG)
4‑Hour Market Structure Analysis
Gold has shifted into a neutral-to-bearish regime on the 4‑hour timeframe, after a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) below prior swing lows at ~$3,345 and a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) as bulls failed to sustain above the ~$3,350 level. Price currently hovers around ~$3,330, consolidating within a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) left by the recent impulsive drop.
Key Observations:
A liquidity grab above $3,349 (stop sweep) preceded a sharp reversal, validating this as a sell-side liquidity zone.
The 4H supply zone / bearish Order Block (OB) at $3,345–$3,350 remains unmitigated and likely to attract sellers.
Immediate downside is cushioned by a 4H demand zone & FVG at $3,300–$3,305, which has acted as support during the prior dip.
A deeper daily demand zone rests around $3,280–$3,290, which aligns with historical support and unmitigated buy‑side liquidity.
Key 4‑Hour Levels to Watch
Price Level Type Notes
$3,360–$3,365 Supply / Fib 61.8% Strong resistance
$3,345–$3,350 Supply / OB + 50% Fib Primary sell zone
$3,330–$3,334 Bearish FVG Active imbalance
$3,300–$3,305 Demand / FVG Primary buy zone
$3,280–$3,290 Demand (daily OB) Secondary buy zone
The neutral-to-bearish bias is reinforced by the fact that price has failed to reclaim prior support and continues to respect supply zones.
1‑Hour Intraday Trade Ideas
Zooming into the 1‑hour chart, we align intraday setups with the broader 4H directional bias: selling into supply and covering into demand.
Setup 1: Short at 4H Imbalance
Entry: ~$3,332–$3,334 (inside active FVG)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,335
Targets:
TP1: $3,305
TP2: $3,280
Confluences: BOS + CHoCH, 4H FVG, sell‑side liquidity above.
Setup 2: Short on Retracement
Entry: ~$3,345–$3,350 (50% Fib + OB)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,352
Targets: Same as Setup 1.
Setup 3: Aggressive Long (Countertrend)
Entry: ~$3,300–$3,305 (demand + FVG)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,295
Target: $3,327
Note: Only valid if strong bullish reaction occurs in demand.
The Golden Setup
Sell at ~$3,332–$3,334 (active 4H imbalance) with a target of $3,300.
This setup offers maximum confluence — bearish FVG, BOS, and supply rejection — with tight risk parameters and favorable reward/risk ratio.
Summary Table
Bias Levels of Interest
Directional Bias Neutral-to-Bearish
Strong Sell Zones $3,330–$3,334 and $3,345–$3,350
Strong Buy Zones $3,300–$3,305 and $3,280–$3,290
Closing Notes
Gold continues to respect Smart Money footprints on the 4‑hour chart, suggesting more downside unless bulls reclaim $3,350 decisively. Today’s focus remains on short opportunities at premium levels into supply and imbalances, targeting well‑defined demand areas below.
Watch price action closely in the $3,332–$3,334 zone for the highest‑probability short entry of the session — The Golden Setup.
