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Xausudsignals

Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Analysis - 18 June-2025Gold has been in a bullish 4H uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows. Recent data show gold peaked near ~$3,445 on June 16 (a new all-time high) before pulling back toward the $3,400 area. In other words, price action remains constructive: successive higher lows (around $3,372, $3,322) and higher highs (around $3,445) indicate a strong uptrend. As long as each pullback holds above the prior swing low (so far ~$3,372), the bullish structure (Break-of-Structure, BOS) is intact. A decisive drop below ~3,372 (and especially below ~$3,322) would violate that structure (a Change-of-Character, CHoCH) and open a deeper correction. Market Structure & Bias (4H) Bullish bias: Gold has made a series of higher lows and highs on 4H, confirming an uptrend Technical indicators (RSI bullish, price above 200-SMA) and fundamentals (safe-haven demand) support this bias. Caution near $3,400: The key $3,400 zone has switched roles as resistance-turned-support. Holding above $3,400 keeps bulls in control, but failure to regain it could allow a deeper dip toward ~$3,350. Break-of-Structure (BOS): A BOS (new 4H high) upholds the uptrend. A CHoCH (e.g. a close below $3,372/$3,322) would signal a possible reversal Key 4H Levels & Zones Resistance/Supply: ~$3,445–3,450 (recent swing high); ~$3,500 (psychological/all-time level). Price may stall or reverse near these supply zones. Pivot/$3,400: ~3,400–3,413 zone – a critical pivot. Gold traded near $3,400 recently; a break above targets $3,450, while failure could drop to support. Support/Demand Zones: ~$3,372 (prior 4H higher-low). Near ~$3,350–3,353 – the 61.8–78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the last rally and a “golden pocket” demand area. ~$3,322–3,328 – a strong 4H demand order-block where price held on the last pullback. Finally ~$3,300 (major low below). Order Blocks & Imbalances: Smart-money traders note a 4H demand block at $3,322–3,328 (the low of a large bullish candle). A brief sweep above $3,338 (a liquidity grab) was followed by a clean bounce from this zone. Any unfilled gaps (imbalances) near $3,380–3,400 may attract price back during retracements. In summary, the 4H chart shows a bullish structure with key support at ~$3,372–3,350 (demand/Fib zone) and resistance around $3,445–3,500. As FXStreet notes, the uptrend remains “intact” on 4H as long as dips are bought. However, traders should watch for any break below $3,372/$3,322, which would flag a bearish structure break. Until then, the overall bias is bullish, favoring long entries on dips into the above support zones. 1H High-Probability Trade Setups (Bullish Bias) Setup 1 – Buy on $3,400 pivot hold: Entry zone $3,390–3,400 (at/just above 4H pivot). Stop: ~$3,380 (just below pivot, ~$10 below entry). TPs: $3,420 and $3,450. Trigger: A bullish candlestick pattern or break-and-retest of ~$3,400 (e.g. bullish engulfing or hammer on 1H). Reason: The $3,400 level is a key 4H support/resistance flip. Holding here would confirm the uptrend continuation, targeting the recent swing highs. A 1H bullish signal (like a reversal bar) gives a clear entry. Setup 2 – Buy on deep pullback: Entry zone $3,370–3,380 (around 4H higher-low). Stop: $3,360. TPs: $3,400 (the pivot) and $3,420. Trigger: A strong 1H bullish candle or double-bottom forming near zone. Reason: This area lines up with the 4H demand/Fib zone ($3,350–3,372). It represents a higher-low in the 4H structure. A bounce here would signal buyers stepping in at a key support. Setup 3 – Buy after breakout of $3,445: Entry zone $3,450–3,455 (above recent high). Stop: ~$3,440. TPs: $3,480 and $3,500. Trigger: A clean 1H candle close above $3,445 (breakout) and retest. Reason: A push above $3,445 (June high) would form a new 4H BOS, suggesting continued momentum. Buying on the breakout retest captures follow-through to the next targets. (Each setup uses a small $~10 stop relative to gold’s price. Always wait for the specified trigger pattern before entering.) Takeaway: On the 4H chart, gold remains bullish while above ~$3,372/$3,350. Key zones to watch are $3,372–3,350 (buy zone) and $3,400–3,445 (sell/resistance). For now, favor long entries into support, and confirm with clear 1H signals before trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
The focus of gold today is 3200!News: The US economic data in April was weak across the board, with the producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output falling by 0.4%, which severely hit the market's confidence in the US economy. Affected by this, the US bond market fluctuated violently, with the 10-year US bond yield plummeting by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield plummeting by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index fell by 0.2%, and the real interest rate fell. At the same time, geopolitical risks continue to heat up. The Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a deadlock, Putin refused to meet with Zelensky, and the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations have not progressed smoothly. Against this background, the safe-haven attribute of gold has been highlighted, and market attention has increased significantly. Looking ahead to this trading day, a number of important US economic data will be released soon, and the progress of the Russia-Ukraine talks and Trump's dynamics are also attracting much attention. These factors will continue to affect market trends. Technical aspect: From the perspective of the daily line, gold can no longer be regarded as a unilateral decline after yesterday's bottoming out and rebounding. It should be directly followed by the idea of ​​oscillation! The primary focus today is still the position of the dividing line of 3200. Trading idea: Go long if it doesn’t break around 3200, sl3190, target 3230
TVC:GOLDLong
by MabelLew
1
Gold crash alarm is sounding! Technical aspects：The pressure area of ​​gold is concentrated in the range of 3250-3260. If the market remains weak and under pressure, it will be difficult for gold prices to break through this area. The key support around 3210-3200 should be focused on for gold to go down. If the gold price falls below the support of 3200, it may trigger a waterfall-like decline, and the expected support bottom is in the area of ​​3100-3050. In terms of operation, you can wait for the opportunity to rebound and come under pressure after the position is broken, and take advantage of the trend to place short orders. It is important to remember that 3200 is like a key line of defense. Once it falls, it will trigger a chain selling.
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
Gold’s 3200 mark is the key!Due to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly and fell below 3280 and 3260 successively, so the decline of gold will continue. From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If it falls below 3200 and cannot effectively stabilize, then gold will have a big double top here, and the next decline will extend to around the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again So in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now. If you want to go long on gold, you can wait for it to fall back to the 3200-3210 area and stabilize before buying
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
The golden earthquake storm is coming!In terms of news: Major events over the weekend include the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the sudden change in the situation between India and Pakistan, and the progress of Sino-US negotiations: Although India and Pakistan announced a truce, India's surprise attack turned the agreement into a joke. The high-level economic and trade talks between China and the United States are still continuing in Geneva, and it is difficult to have clear results in the short term. The war between Russia and Ukraine is still in a stalemate. The superposition of multiple events has injected uncertainty into the market. Technical aspects: Pay attention to the pressure in the 3360-3380 area. If it stands firm at 3346, it can fall back to arrange long orders. If it directly breaks below 3300 at the opening, pay attention to the support near 3280 - this position is likely to be lost, and effective support depends on the downward pattern formed after the 3260 break, and the ultimate target is 3200.
TVC:GOLD
by MabelLew
Gold breaks through 3400, the upward trend will continue The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will keep the interest rate unchanged, which is in line with the psychological expectations of most people in the market. The current price of gold still continues to fluctuate at high levels, but in terms of the general direction, gold bulls have actually not changed, and bulls are still in a strong phase. If gold breaks through 3400 strongly in the short term, then you can go long gold on dips above 3400. If gold rebounds, focus on the pressure near 3430.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MabelLew
Has the road to gold adjustment begun?Gold has reached a high of around 3404, so this position can be used as an important pressure point. In this continuous upward trend, once there is a sharp decline, it is likely to be a signal that the short-term bulls have peaked. Then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure point is also the high point of the last wave of pullback near 3393, and the lower support is at 3360. Trading idea: short near 3387, sl: 3400 tp: 3370
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
The gold correction continues!On the news: Gold prices fell for a third day in a row as signs that trade talks between the United States and China may be progressing dampened demand for safe-haven assets. News that the Trump administration is about to announce the first batch of agreements, which will reduce planned tariffs on some countries, also eased concerns about the outlook for global trade. Technical aspects: After the current gold market broke down, it started to fall from around 3270, which is also the key position for us to continue to bet on the market falling. At present, the short position of gold is more advantageous. Then in the short term, gold will focus on the support near 3233. If it falls below, then gold will reach the 3200 mark.
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
The gold shorts aren’t over yet The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a death cross downward, then there is still room for gold to go down in the 1-hour period. Gold has been under pressure from the 3340 resistance line for many times in the US market and has fallen. Gold has hit a new low again in the US market, falling to the 3260 line. The lows of gold continue to hit new lows, so the gold short position has not ended yet. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average of gold has moved down to around 3366. Gold continues to be shorted at highs below 3366.
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
Gold has been crazy recently, how to trade it? Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to be arranged with golden crosses upward. It is difficult for gold bulls to make a major correction. Gold's US market directly continues to break upward. Then gold's short-term 3317 will once again form a support. If gold falls back near 3320, it can continue to go long. Although gold is going crazy now, when you are bullish, you should also pay attention to the opportunity for a pullback. Unless the strength is suddenly strong at that time, don't chase the bullish easily. Wait patiently for the chance of a pullback.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MabelLew
Gold has two winning streaks, how to trade in the short term?The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn gradually, and the strength of gold bulls has begun to weaken. Gold may continue to adjust in the short term. The 1-hour short-term double top structure of gold. Gold subsequently rebounded but did not continue to set a new high. Today, the rebound was under pressure at 3232 and began to fall back.Gold still has the opportunity to adjust, and gold will continue to watch the adjustment market in the short term. Trading ideas: Short gold near 3230, stop loss 3240, target 3200
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
1
Will gold first fall and then rise today? The gold 1-hour moving average is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average, but the gold bull trend has not changed for the time being. Patiently wait for the opportunity to adjust. Pay attention to the support near the previous low of 3185. The moving average support has now moved up to the line near 3177. Overall, gold may form a strong support near 3180. For today's gold trend, I personally think it will fall first and then rise.
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
Gold continues to fall, what will happen next week?After the gold price fluctuated sharply at the high level in the past two days, gold finally broke down on Friday. In fact, the market was too active in the past two days, and the overall volatility was very large. In fact, it was still a little difficult to trade. Although the overall outlook is bearish, the rebound amplitude is actually not small each time. Now sometimes it rebounds more than 20 US dollars in a few minutes, so it may continue to fall after a loss. Now that the gold daily high is covered by dark clouds, how should we trade next week? The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a death cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power, and the short-term gold can only rebound. After the rebound, the shorts will continue, and then the gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, the shorts will be more dominant in the short term. Unless there is a big positive news, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The resistance for gold's rebound is 3076. If it is under pressure, then gold's rebound will mainly continue to be short on highs.
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew