XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity PlayFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
🔍 Analysis Overview:
Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations:
📌 NOTES:
The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior.
Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers.
This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops.
My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap.
📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower.
The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup.
💡 Conclusion:
If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #TrendlineBreak #MarketPsychology #TradingSetup #SMC #PriceAction
Xauusdanalysis
Don’t be too optimistic, gold may change its face at any time!Gold continued to rebound to around 3320, and it seems to have completely stood above 3300. The bulls are recovering. Should we chase gold in a big way? In fact, due to the disruption of news such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and tariffs, the gold market has clearly shown the characteristics of frequent switching between long and short positions and discontinuity between long and short positions. Therefore, even if gold rebounds to a certain extent, it is difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side.
In the short term, gold began to retreat from around 3366, reaching a minimum of around 3283, with a retracement of $83; and currently it has only rebounded from the low of 3283 to around 3320, and the rebound is even less than 50%. Gold bulls are not as strong as imagined; although gold continues to rebound, before regaining the 3325-3335 area, it can only be regarded as a technical repair of the sharp drop, and cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. So after the rebound of gold, gold bears may counterattack strongly at any time.
Therefore, in short-term trading, after gold rebounds, you can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance, and the first entry area worth paying attention to is 3320-3330.
XAUUSD Loses Short-Term Support – Deeper Decline May FollowAt the current moment, gold (XAUUSD) has made a significant breakout, surpassing the key resistance zone at 3,326 USD and is now trading around 3,328.94 USD. This breakout confirms that the short-term bullish trend remains strong.
1. Short-Term Trend: Bullish Momentum Expands
After holding the key support zone around 3,311 – 3,315 USD (aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement), XAUUSD bounced back and broke above the previous high at 3,326 USD. The current uptrend is confirmed by higher lows and a clear breakout candle from the recent consolidation.
2. Updated Support and Resistance Zones:
Immediate Support: 3,318 – 3,320 USD, near the rising yellow trendline and breakout retest zone.
Next Resistance Target: No clear barrier on the 15-min chart, but psychological levels and Fibonacci extensions suggest 3,332 – 3,335 USD could act as the next upside targets.
3. Price Action Highlights:
The breakout candle closed strongly above the 3.618 Fibonacci extension level (3,326.26 USD), showing solid buying pressure.
A bullish signal ("B") from LuxAlgo was triggered near the minor pullback at 3,318 USD, adding further confirmation.
4. Key Technical Signals:
Price has broken out of the purple rectangle consolidation zone, expanding its trading range.
The 0.618 Fibonacci level at 3,311.78 USD continues to act as firm support.
The ascending yellow trendline remains intact, providing dynamic support to the bullish trend.
5. Suggested Trading Strategy:
Buy on Pullback: Consider long positions around 3,318 – 3,320 USD if price retests this zone with bullish confirmation.
Breakout Continuation Buy: A firm close above 3,330 USD with high volume could signal a move toward 3,335 – 3,340 USD.
If price falls below 3,315 USD and closes weakly, the bullish momentum may begin to fade.
XAUUSD is in an extended bullish phase after breaching the 3,326 USD resistance. As long as price holds above the 3,318 – 3,320 USD zone, there is room for the uptrend to continue.
Do you think gold will break above 3,330 USD? Drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s discuss trading strategies together!
Gold Short Term OutlookGold continues its short-term recovery after bouncing from the Support Zone and reclaiming the $3,300 level. Price is now testing the $3,328 resistance zone, with both the 50MA and 200MA converging just below price.
A confirmed break and hold above $3,328 would open the door to higher resistance levels. However, failure to clear this zone could lead to a retest of the Support Zone. If that fails to hold, a deeper retracement toward the HTF Support Zone may follow.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,341
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,383
Support:
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,300
‣ $3,267
‣ $3,241
🔎 Fundamental Focus
All eyes on U.S. unemployment claims today
Expect volatility around the release – stay sharp.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis : Bullish Structure Setup + Target🧠 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis
Gold has recently been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, which has governed price action over the past several sessions. This structure is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming well-established channel resistance and channel support levels. However, recent bullish pressure has led price to aggressively test the upper boundary of this channel, signaling the potential for a structural breakout.
We are now at a technical inflection point, where a successful breakout and retest could mark the beginning of a significant trend reversal and short-to-medium term bullish move.
🔍 Key Technical Levels & Zones
🔷 Channel Resistance (~3,325)
The price is currently testing the descending trendline acting as channel resistance.
This area has previously rejected price several times, increasing its significance.
A confirmed break and close above this level may shift the market bias from bearish to bullish.
🔷 Central Zone – Dual Demand (~3,325–3,330)
This horizontal zone intersects with the channel resistance and aligns with two previous demand zones, now acting as a key decision area.
The market must validate this zone as new support before any sustained upward movement can occur.
🔷 Next Reversal Zone – Target (~3,370)
The next major area of interest lies around 3,370, a zone identified by previous swing highs and visible liquidity pools.
This level is likely to act as a magnet for price if bullish structure is confirmed.
📈 Price Structure Outlook
The potential breakout is supported by a strong bullish impulse off the channel support, followed by a series of higher lows suggesting growing bullish momentum. The projected movement scenario is as follows:
Break above the channel resistance
Retest and confirm the central zone as support
Continuation toward the 3,370 reversal zone
This would complete a classic break–retest–continuation pattern.
✅ Trade Considerations (Not Financial Advice)
Entry Type Entry Condition Target Stop Loss
Aggressive Break & 2H close above 3,330 3,370 Below 3,320
Conservative Retest & bullish confirmation above 3,325 3,370 Below 3,310
Risk Management:
Use position sizing aligned with your risk tolerance (max 1–2% per trade).
Monitor volume closely during breakout and retest for confirmation.
⚠️ Invalidation Scenario
If price fails to break above the channel and is rejected strongly, especially with a bearish engulfing or long upper wick, the downside could resume. In such a case, price may revisit the channel midline or even the lower boundary around 3,290.
📝 Summary
Gold is at a critical juncture, testing long-standing channel resistance.
A break above and successful retest of the 3,325–3,330 zone could lead to a rally toward 3,370.
This setup reflects a potential shift in structure from bearish to bullish on the 2H timeframe.
XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity PlayFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
🔍 Analysis Overview:
Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations:
📌 NOTES:
The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior.
Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers.
This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops.
My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap.
📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower.
The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup.
💡 Conclusion:
If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #TrendlineBreak #MarketPsychology #TradingSetup #SMC #PriceAction
Waiting for the Perfect Entry: XAUUSD Market Structure Breakdown🔍 Taking a look at XAUUSD today: it’s clearly in a downtrend 📉 on the 4H chart, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows 🔽.
📌 My bias is bearish, and I’m patiently waiting for price action to set up for an entry 🎯.
If we get a break of market structure 🧱, followed by a retest and failure of the current range high 🚫, that could present an opportunity 👀 — not financial advice ⚠️.
Trump blasted Powell again. Interest rates remain unchanged.Information summary:
Trump blasted Powell on Wednesday, saying that the current interest rate is "at least 3 percentage points higher" and once again accused Fed Chairman Powell of "making the United States pay an extra $360 billion in refinancing costs each year." He also said that "there is no inflation" and that companies "are pouring into the United States," and urged the Fed to "cut interest rates."
During the U.S. trading session, gold also showed a significant rebound momentum, rebounding from a low of 3285 to above 3310 in one fell swoop. As of now, gold has stood above 3320.
Market analysis:
From the daily chart:
It can be seen that the first suppression position above gold is currently at 3325, followed by around 3345. Gold did not close above 3320 on Wednesday, which means that even if gold is currently above 3320, as long as today's daily line closes below 3320, it is still in a bearish trend. On the contrary, if the closing price today is above 3320, then the subsequent test of the suppression position near 3345 may be further carried out.
Secondly, from the 4-hour chart, the current suppression position above 4 hours is around 3330-3335. Therefore, today we should focus on this position. If we cannot stand firm and break through the range suppression here in the 4-hour chart, we may retreat again in the future. The key support position below is around 3310, which is the opening price today. If the price is to retreat, it is likely to fall below 3310. But it may also remain above 3310 for consolidation.
However, as long as it falls below 3310, I think the low point near 3285 may be refreshed, so pay attention to this.
Operation strategy:
Steady trading waits for 3310 to fall and break through to short, and the profit range is 3385 or even lower.
Aggressive trading can short near 3340, with a stop loss of 3350.
Gold – July 10 | H4 OB Held, BoS Confirmed, Watching 3310🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 10 Analysis | H4 Pullback Over, M15 Aligned for Bullish Continuation
The H4 order block around 3280 (3288–3275) was tested, and the market responded strongly — just as anticipated .
Following that, M15 structure gave a clear ChoCh + BoS , signaling that the H4 pullback is now complete .
The market has likely resumed its bullish continuation trend.
🔁 Current Market Structure
✅ H4 Trend: Resumed upward after OB reaction
✅ M15 Trend: Now aligned with H4 (ChoCh + BoS confirmed)
Bias: Bullish
→ We are only looking for long setups , in sync with both timeframes
📍 Key Levels to Watch
1️⃣ 3322–3326 → M15 OB zone
→ Currently acting as rejection zone
→ Already reacted — price is pulling back
2️⃣ 3313–3310.5 → Next potential M15 POI
→ If respected with M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS), long setups become valid
🎯 Target: 3345
→ Based on structure projection and intraday range
📌 If 3313–3310.5 fails:
→ Watch next zone at 3296–3298 for fresh demand/support
🧭 Execution Plan
• Wait for price to enter 3313–3310.5 zone
• Look for M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS)
• If confirmed:
→ Enter long
→ Target = +120 pips (as per fixed RR model)
→ SL based on M1 structure
• If zone breaks:
→ Reassess near 3296–3298
🧠 Final Thoughts
The H4 pullback is over — structure confirms bullish continuation
M15 is aligned — we now prepare , not predict
Wait for the chart to call you in — not your bias.
📖 We don’t predict reversal — we confirm structure.
We don’t chase price — we prepare for it.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Short gold, the bears will still counterattack after the reboundGold rebounded to the 3305-3315 area as expected, and our gold long position successfully won 360pips profit. So after standing above 3,300 again, will gold resume its bullish trend?
I think that although gold has stood above 3300 again, it cannot be confirmed that the decline has been completely reversed for the time being. Relatively speaking, gold bears still have the upper hand. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3325-3335 area, so before recovering this area, gold bears still have repeated fluctuations, and may even test the 3305-3295 area again. So we can't blindly chase gold in trading.
Before gold recovers the 3325-3335 area, gold can only be regarded as a rebound, not a reversal. So gold bears may counterattack at any time, so in short-term trading, we can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance after gold rebounds. The first entry area that must be paid attention to is 3320-3330.
Gold rose. Trend reversed.Gold rose slightly in early Asian trading on Wednesday, but fell under pressure near 3308. It fluctuated in the European trading range of 3296-3282. It broke through the US trading range and rose to around 3317 in the late trading. The daily line closed with a positive line with a lower shadow.
After a sharp drop on Tuesday, gold showed a downward recovery trend on Wednesday and closed positive. It rose slightly in early Asian trading today. From the daily level, in the short term, we should first pay attention to the resistance near 3325-3330. This area brings together the current positions of the 5-day moving average, the 10-day moving average and the 60-day moving average, which is an important gateway for the game between long and short forces in the short term. If the gold price continues to be under pressure in this area, it means that the short-term upward momentum is insufficient, and we need to be alert to the risk of a market decline.
If the above resistance area can be broken and the price continues to rise strongly, the next target will be the resistance near 3345, which is not only the high point on Tuesday, but also the current location of the 20-day moving average and the 30-day moving average, which has a strong technical resistance significance.
In terms of support below, first pay attention to the support near 3280, which is the current support level of the trend line formed by the low points of May 15 and June 30, which provides certain support for the gold price.
Operation strategy:
Short at price rebound near 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3320-3300
Long at price drop near 3315, stop loss at 3305, profit range 3320-3340
XAUUSD Reaching Supply ZoneXAUUSD is reaching a supply zone. There resides a good S&R level. We can expect gold to hit supply zone and follow the sell trend again. The strength of the gold is saying the same. The other possibility might be gold may break S&R level and go higher. Sellers are in stronger position and we may see higher probability percentage for sell.
Gold Price Analysis - 4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAUUSD), sourced from OANDA. The chart displays the price movement over time, with green candles indicating an increase in price and red candles indicating a decrease. The chart also features various technical indicators and annotations, including a trend line and a support level.
BULLISH H4 MOMENTUM ACTIVATED...?📊 Pattern & Structure:
The chart shows a downward channel (falling wedge) pattern that has recently been broken to the upside, indicating a bullish breakout.
The breakout is clean, with a sharp upward move, confirming the reversal from the bearish trend.
🔍 Key Levels Identified:
Support Zone:
142.284 – 141.790 (marked with an orange box)
This zone acted as a strong demand/support area.
Price bounced strongly after reaching this zone.
Immediate Resistance Levels:
145.799 – Near-term resistance.
147.000 – 147.629 – Key resistance zone (highlighted with a red horizontal line).
148.725 – Final bullish target/resistance on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario (highlighted with arrows and wave projection):
Price has broken out of the falling wedge, retested, and is pushing higher.
Target zone: 147.000–148.725.
The chart suggests a bullish projection, with further gains expected if the price sustains above 145.47.
Start buying gold, a rebound may come at any time!Gold is undoubtedly weak at present, and bears have the upper hand. However, since gold touched the 3290-3280 area, gold bears have made more tentative moves, but have never really fallen below the 3290-3280 area, proving that as gold continues to fall, bears have become more cautious.
From the perspective of gold structure, multiple technical structural supports are concentrated in the 3285-3275 area, which makes it difficult for gold to fall below this area easily. After gold has failed to fall below this area, gold is expected to build a short-term bottom structure with the help of multiple supports in this area, thereby stimulating bulls to exert their strength and a rebound may come at any time.
Therefore, in the short term, I do not advocate chasing short gold; instead, I prefer to try to find the bottom and go long gold in the 3290-3280 area; but we should note that because gold is currently in an obvious short trend, we should appropriately reduce the expectation of gold rebound, so we can appropriately look at the rebound target: 3305-3315 area.
Gold is in the Bearish direction from a Support levelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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4-Hour Chart Strategy: Sell High, Buy Low Within 3280-3325 RangeBased on the 4-hour analysis 😎, today's short-term resistance above focuses on the hourly top-bottom conversion level around 3318-3324 🚫. If there's an intraday rebound leaning on this zone, first go short to target a pullback ⬇️. The short-term support below is around 3280 🔍. Overall, rely on the 3280-3325 range to maintain the main strategy of "shorting at highs and buying at lows" in cycles ✅. For prices in the middle of the range, always watch more and act less 👀, be cautious of chasing orders 🚫, and wait patiently for key levels to enter positions 🕙
Strategy:
🚀 Buy @3280 - 3285
🚀 TP 3290 - 3295 - 3305
🚀 Sell @3320 - 3315
🚀 TP 3310 - 3305 - 3295
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD (GOLD) – 1H Analysis – Smart Money ConceptPrice is currently reacting around the 1H bearish order block (OB) within the supply zone near $3,300 – $3,320. We expect a short-term bullish retracement into this premium zone before a potential bearish continuation toward our Point of Interest (POI) at the green demand zone ($3,245 – $3,260).
📌 Two scenarios in play:
Sell from current supply zone ($3,300–$3,320) → First TP near $3,265 → Final TP at $3,250.
If price breaks above, next entry is at higher supply zone ($3,340–$3,360) for a deeper sell.
⚠️ Watch for price reaction around the POI (Demand Zone) for potential bullish setup later in the week.
🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC) in play:
Supply zone respect
BOS/CHOCH confirmed
POI (Demand) targeted
FVG/Imbalance below being filled
📅 NFP & CPI events this week – expect increased volatility.
7.9 Latest gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 News information:
1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes
📈 Technical Analysis:
Our decision to close our positions at 3305 yesterday was undoubtedly a very strategic one. After reaching a high of around 3310 last night, it began to fall. At the same time, I also gave VIP members the news that it might fall back to around 3300. Since the opening, the lowest point has reached around 3285. The overall trend is still under our control.
At present, gold will still usher in technical corrections in the short term. The current price of 3293-3290 support can be considered for long positions. If the European session continues to fall below the low, you can try to go short during the NY session. If the European session continues to maintain sideways consolidation, you can consider retreating and going long during the NY session. As long as the key support of 3250 below is held, gold will maintain its consolidation trend in short-term trading. On the contrary, once it falls below 3250, gold may directly touch the 3200 mark. Focus on the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, which may further influence the trend of gold.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3293-3290-3285
TP 3305-3310-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
Confirming EURUSD corrective downtrend✏️EURUSD is trading in a downtrend channel. SELL signal is triggered at the current price around 1.172 as the H4 candle failed to break 1.176 and confirmed the Sellers' entry into the market clearly. Target for the downtrend is at 1.145, the Sellers' strength needs to overcome the Break out zone of 1.163 first.
📈 Key level
Support 1.163-1.146
Resistance 1.176
SELL DCA Trigger: Break 1.163
BUY Trigger: The price trades about 1.163.
Gold continues downtrend today✏️#GOLD view
Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the decline in gold prices when the selling pressure returned below the liquidity candle wick. The extension of the downtrend will continue today.
Yesterday's strong support zone 3297 has become today's resistance zone, this is the SELL point today when there is confirmation from the selling side in this zone.
3310 The confluence resistance zone between the trendline and the US Session Resistance is noted in today's SELL strategy. The previous SELL Target 3352 orders pay attention to the reaction at 3377.
📈Key Level
SUPPORT 3277-3250
RESISTANCE 3297-3310-3328
SELL Trigger: Price cannot break 3297
SELL DCA Trigger: Break 3276
Target: 3250
BUY Trigger:PriceTrading above 3276
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