XAU/USD possible shorts from 3,350 towards 3,290 longsThis week, my focus is on a potential sell setup that could form within the 4-hour supply zone, which is currently near price. I’ll be patiently watching for signs of Wyckoff distribution within this point of interest (POI), which could confirm a short opportunity.
Given that price action has been bearish, this would be a pro-trend setup, especially with the visible liquidity resting below that we can look to target. Additionally, there is an 8-hour demand zone further below, which may provide a potential long opportunity once price reaches that level.
Confluences for GOLD Sells:
- Bearish market structure: Gold has been trending downward and has recently left behind a clean, unmitigated 4-hour supply zone, which could prompt a bearish reaction.
- Liquidity targets below: There's significant liquidity under recent lows, including Asia session lows and the 8-hour demand zone, which can be targeted.
- DXY correlation: The dollar has reacted strongly from a notable demand zone, suggesting potential upside for DXY, which may add bearish pressure on gold.
- Higher timeframe Wyckoff: A Wyckoff distribution pattern has also formed on the higher timeframe, which may indicate temporary bearish order flow.
P.S. If price disrespects the current 4-hour supply zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 3-hour supply zone above. Until price reaches that level, I may look for short-term buy setups to trade the move up.
Wishing everyone a great and profitable trading week! Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.
Xauusdanalysis
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
June Nonfarm Data: Gold PlungesThe US June nonfarm payrolls data is out: 147,000 jobs were added, exceeding the expected 106,000 and the previous 139,000, with slight upward revisions to the prior two months’ figures. The unemployment rate dipped from 4.2% to 4.1%, beating the forecast of 4.3%. While the US economy slows, the job market remains robust. 🌟
Post-data release, market bets on a July rate cut have evaporated, with the probability of a September cut dropping to around 75%. US stock futures extended gains, Treasury yields rose across the board, the US Dollar Index surged, and gold plunged nearly $40 in a short squeeze—signaling an unexpected major bearish hit to gold. Weng Fuhao advises trading with the trend, focusing on shorting on rebounds. 😲
Gold, jolted by the nonfarm data, slid sharply in the short term before a minor rebound, with bearish signals across all timeframes. The data triggered an immediate breakdown, shifting the short-term trend to downward: on the 3-hour chart, moving averages formed a death cross, MACD showed a death cross with expanding volume, and gold prices fell below the Bollinger Band lower track, confirming a clear bearish momentum. 📉
🚀 Sell@3355 - 3345
🚀 TP 3335 - 3325 - 3315
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold lacks downward momentum.Today, gold is relatively quiet due to the impact of the US Independence Day holiday. Below, we continue to pay attention to the short-term quality layer of 3324. The key pressure above is maintained at yesterday's opening point of 3345-50. At midnight, gold rebounds near 3345-50 and can be shorted. The target is around 3330-33. It closes early at midnight and maintains a range of fluctuations! If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the support of 3324-30 below, focus on the support position of 3316, and pay attention to the short-term resistance of 3345-50 above. At midnight, the overall high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate.
Go short before breaking 3350, go long before falling to 3320📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said, the US stock market closed early today, and the market will lack some momentum. It is difficult to have a large fluctuation. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate. I also explained in the previous post that the upper pressure in the short term is at 3340-3350. If it is touched, we can try to short and defend 3360. If it falls back to 3323, we can try to go long for the first time. If it continues to fall, it is expected to reach 3315-3305. Therefore, if it first touches 3323, go long, SL 3316, and consider going long if it touches 15-05 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-33350
TP 3330-3320-3310-3300
BUY 3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold Trading Strategy July 3✏️D1 candle continues to increase towards the price gap zone. At the beginning of the European session, sellers accept to enter the market at this resistance price zone around 3365. The accumulation pattern of gold price is forming a triangle pattern.
The lower boundary is broken, it will lead to the breakout point of the lower boundary and vice versa, if the upper boundary of the triangle is broken, the price will move towards the next resistance.
📉 Key Levels
Resistance: 3388-3363
Support: 3330-3311-3297-3277
Buy trigger: breakout above 3363
Sell trigger: breakout below 3330
If this idea resonates with you or you have other ideas, please comment. I look forward to reading your thoughts!
Best regards, VHT Traders!
Gold suffered a heavy blow from non-farm payrolls! Yesterday's decline in gold prices was mainly affected by news, and such declines usually do not last too long. From a technical point of view, gold prices received support near 3322 at night, which is the key support level today. It is worth noting that on Wednesday, gold prices were under pressure in the 3340-3344 area, while on Thursday, prices formed support in this range, indicating that the area is forming a top-bottom conversion, so 3340-3345 has become an important pressure level today. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate in the 3322-3340/45 range during the day. The impact of news on gold prices is usually short-term. When the fundamentals and technical directions are consistent, price fluctuations will be more obvious; when the two are inconsistent, price fluctuations will weaken, but will not change the technical trend. The rebound pattern established at the beginning of the week is still valid. After a short-term shock, gold prices are expected to re-stand above 3345 and continue to maintain the rebound trend.
Important data such as non-agricultural are all negativeGold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is around 3355-60.
Tariff tensions heat up againGold, the price rebounded quickly after the parallel attack and defense at 3245 at the beginning of the week. The article emphasizes that the short-term strength will continue. The high point of the week may appear around Thursday's non-agricultural data. The medium-term top idea of 3500-3452 is still maintained; on Tuesday, it actually hit 3358, and the daily K-line combination showed a long arrangement. In the morning, it was emphasized that it was still possible to follow the trend and wait for the non-agricultural data to break through on Thursday night;
The actual retracement rebounded from 3327 and is now reported at 3343, which is in line with expectations; the short-term support in the evening is 3340-3336, and the strong support is 3330; the short-term resistance is 3348, and the strong resistance is 3352-3358. If it breaks, it will look at 3365-3400;
Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move – Is 3390 the Bull Target or a False Breakout Trap?
🧭 Fundamental Outlook
Gold has entered a tight consolidation phase following a wave of high-impact macroeconomic events:
The US House of Representatives has passed Trump's “Super Bill”, raising expectations of increased fiscal spending and long-term inflationary pressures. In theory, this is supportive of gold prices.
However, strong NFP and Unemployment Rate figures released recently have reinforced dollar strength in the short term, suggesting the Fed may delay rate cuts → a temporary headwind for gold.
With Independence Day in the US, liquidity across global markets is expected to drop, increasing the risk of false moves or stop-hunt volatility.
🟡 The lack of immediate upside doesn’t mean bullish momentum has disappeared. Price may simply be building energy before its next leg.
📉 Technical Overview – XAU/USD
Gold has broken out of a minor descending trendline and is now testing a key supply zone around 3344–3345, which could determine the intraday trajectory.
🔍 Key Levels
Resistance Zones: 3345 – 3362 – 3374 – 3388 – 3390
Support Zones: 3330 – 3312 – 3304 – 3302 – 3298
🟢 Bullish Scenarios (Buy Setups)
📍 Intraday Buy Zone:
3313 – 3311
Stop Loss: 3307
Take Profit: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350
📍 Deep Pullback Buy Zone:
3304 – 3302
Stop Loss: 3298
Take Profit: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340
These zones are ideal for trend-continuation entries, especially if supported by bullish candles or price action on lower timeframes.
🔴 Bearish Scenarios (Short-Term Only)
📍 Intraday Sell Zone:
3362 – 3364
Stop Loss: 3368
Take Profit: 3358 – 3354 – 3350 – 3346 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
📍 High-Risk Sell Zone:
3388 – 3390
Stop Loss: 3394
Take Profit: 3384 – 3380 – 3376 – 3370 – 3365 – 3360
Bearish positions should be reserved for signs of exhaustion or rejection patterns at resistance levels.
🧠 Trading Bias for Today
With limited liquidity due to the US holiday, price may remain trapped in a sideways range between 3320 and 3340. Traders should stay nimble and avoid overexposure.
✅ Primary bias: Buy dips near major support
⚠️ Alternative view: Only short if price confirms reversal at resistance
💬 What’s Your Take on Gold Today?
Will gold break through the 3390 barrier this week?
Or are we looking at one more dip before a true bullish continuation?
👇 Share your thoughts and trading ideas in the comments!
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? holds or not??#GOLD.. market palced around 3317 18 as day low so far but hour closed above 3323 that was our area.
so keep close our region that is around 3320 to 3323
that is our ultimate region for now and if market hold it in that case we can expect bounce again
NOTE: below 3320 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
XAUUSDHello traders. After a short break, we’ve identified a promising sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair.
Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, I believe we may still see solid movement in gold during today's session.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.70
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3337.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3312.16
✔️ Stop Loss: 3345.63
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
U.S. stocks are closed, how to operate gold volatility📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold has maintained a volatile pattern recently, lacking a sustained unilateral trend. The unclear short-term direction of DXY has limited the volatility of gold. The market has repeatedly shown a mixture of high-rise decline and downward recovery. It is unable to effectively break through the previous high and lacks the momentum to break downward. The short-term pressure during the day is concentrated on the 3340-3345 line, and the upper middle track is at 3350. If it fails to effectively break above 3350, then gold may fall further. On the contrary, if it can stand above the middle track 33350, then gold may rise further. The short-term support below is near the 3323 line. If it fluctuates during the day, maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3310
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Bulls Back in Control as Trump Pressures Fed for Rate CutsHey Realistic Traders!
President Trump is ramping up pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates , saying the U.S. is falling behind countries with looser policies. As several Fed officials begin to shift their stance, expectations for rate cuts are growing. That’s putting pressure on the dollar and giving gold a fresh boost.
We’ll take a closer look at what this means for OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) through technical analysis and explore its upside potential.
Technical Analysis
On the 4-hour chart, Gold has moved above the EMA-200, signaling a shift in momentum to the upside. Price has also broken out of a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW) pattern, which often indicates the start of a bullish trend.
The breakout was confirmed by a Bullish Marubozu candle, reflecting strong buying pressure. To add further confirmation, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward momentum.
Looking ahead, the first target is seen at 3417. If reached, a minor pullback toward the historical resistance zone (green area) may occur, with a potential continuation toward the second target at 3500.
This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 3271 . A break below this level would invalidate the setup and shift the outlook back to neutral.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on XAUUSD.
XAUUSD Consolidates Below Resistance – A Breakout Imminent?On the 4-hour timeframe (H4), XAUUSD is clearly consolidating just below the key resistance zone near $3,366, forming higher lows and lower highs within a tightening range highlighted by the shaded area.
1. Key Price Action Highlights
Price has been forming higher lows, suggesting growing bullish momentum.
The $3,366 resistance remains intact – a breakout above this level could confirm bullish continuation.
A visible double bottom (W pattern) formed around June 28 hints at a strong technical rebound after a correction phase.
2. Important Support and Resistance Levels
Price Level
Significance
$3,366 – $3,380
Major resistance zone – likely breakout target
$3,300
Key near-term support where price recently bounced
$3,242
Deeper support – a breakdown here could confirm bearish reversal
3. Suggested Trading Strategy
Buy on breakout above $3,366 with strong volume and clear confirmation (e.g., a large-bodied candle closing above resistance).
Consider buying on a pullback to the $3,320 – $3,300 zone for better risk-reward.
Stay cautious if price breaks below $3,300 – this could signal a bearish shift in momentum.
Gold is currently in a tight consolidation phase under major resistance, with bullish structure still intact. A breakout above $3,366 could trigger a sharp move upward. Until then, traders should monitor the lower boundaries for potential pullbacks or invalidation signals.
THE KOG REPORT - Update & NFP analysis End of day update from us here at KOG:
We managed to get the move into the red box we wanted which should have been a enough for the day. However, the levels were so clean during NY that we managed to get another decent trade into the Excalibur target to complete the day.
With NFP tomorrow and a US holiday on Friday, we're going to share our levels and view but due to unforeseen circumstances, I won't be around for the rest of the week to see it through.
We've added the updated red boxes, the key levels and the potential move if they break. So far, we've had a good week, so these levels are simply for reference and unless there is a clean set up, our traders will stay away until Monday.
Red boxes:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3362, 3373, 3375 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3320, 3316, 3310. 3306, 3298 and 3285 in extension of the move
The week so far:
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Still short gold before breaking 3355After the release of NFP yesterday, gold began to fall sharply from 3352, reaching a low of around 3312; although it has gradually rebounded above 3340, the time span is not short, so the rebound is not strong; and the double top structure successfully constructed by gold in the 3365-3360 area in the short term still plays a technical suppression role in the short term, greatly weakening the rebound potential; and with the decline of gold yesterday, I think before gold recovers the 3352 starting point, gold will also be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this area during the rebound, gold is expected to retest the 3330-3320 area again.
Because of the US Independence Day, the gold market will be closed in advance today. It is expected that gold will not have a breakthrough today, so it may be difficult to break through the 3345-3355 area in the short term, so we can still continue to maintain the trading rhythm of shorting gold in terms of trading.
So I think shorting gold still has a lot of profit potential. We can short gold with 3345-3355 area as resistance and look to the target area: 3335-3325-3315.
Gold Short Term OutlookIn yesterday’s analysis, we highlighted that the $3,327–$3,328 support zone needed to hold for bulls to maintain momentum. Price respected that level, bouncing off intraday support and is now attempting a recovery.
Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance, and we need to see a clean break above the $3,352–$3,356 resistance zone for bulls to challenge higher levels.
However, if price fails to break above this resistance cluster, we may see a pullback toward the $3,327 support once again. A break below that would likely expose price to a deeper retracement toward $3,298.
📌 Key Resistance:
‣ $3,352
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,364
‣ $3,383
📌 Key Support:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,298
‣ $3,270
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
With U.S. markets partially closed today, expect low liquidity and increased volatility.
Gold Market Analysis Current Price: 3341.58
Market Behavior:
The price is ranging sideways, trading in a tight consolidation zone just below the resistance zone (around 3344).
Key Resistance Levels:
3344 → Immediate resistance
3348 – 3352 → Next minor supply zone
3357 – 3360 → Strong resistance ahead (if breakout occurs)
Key Support Levels:
3332 – 3330 → Short-term demand
3324 – 3320 → Stronger support zone
📌 Trader Insight:
"Gold is in a consolidation phase between 3330 and 3344. Wait for a confirmed breakout above 3344 for bullish momentum toward 3357+. If rejected again, expect a retest of support near 3332 or deeper."
✅ Trade Setup (Example):
Buy Scenario (Breakout):
Entry: Above 3345
Target: 3357
Stop Loss: Below 3338
Sell Scenario (Rejection):
Entry: Near 3344 resistance, if rejected
Target: 3332 / 3324
Stop Loss: Above 3348
GOLD SHORT TRADEH1 TIMRFAME
1st Zone GOLD SHORT TRADE AT MAIN RESISTANCE AND ENGULFING ZONE
2nd Zone GOLD SHORT TRADE TLBP PULLBACK SELL AT SELL TRENDLINE
1st Signal : GOLD SELL MAIN RESISTANCE 3351- 3355
Stoploss : 3360
TP Level - 3345, 3340, 3335, 3330
2nd Signal : GOLD SELL TLBP PB TL 3360 - 3366
Stoploss : 3372
TP Levels - 3355, 3350, 3345, 3340, 3335, 3330
Manage Your Trade Properly