Xauusdanalysis
Technical Analysis on Gold Trading TrendsGold maintained a mild intraday downward trend, with the price currently hovering around $3,381 per ounce. As tensions in the Middle East persist, gold is awaiting the Federal Reserve's resolution to gain a clear direction.
With risk sentiment stabilizing, gold prices fell in early Wednesday trading, moving away from the $3,400 per ounce threshold. Amid lingering geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, all eyes are focused on the Federal Reserve's policy announcement, which is expected to trigger sharp volatility in gold prices. Investors need to closely monitor the Fed's policy guidance, the trend of the U.S. dollar, and the latest developments in the Middle East situation.
In the long term, the low-interest-rate environment and global economic uncertainties will continue to enhance gold's attractiveness, but short-term volatility may intensify. It is recommended that investors exercise caution when trading. In addition, the initial value of the U.S. May annualized building permits and the U.S. May annualized new housing starts will be released on this trading day, which investors should also pay attention to.
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XAUUSD:A long trading strategy
Yesterday was affected by the easing signal gold high continued to correction, fell back to 3400 again, the trend exceeded personal expectations. Gold received another boost after the president's news, and rebounded slightly in the Asian session. In this eventful autumn, the market is subject to frequent news factors, the trend is slightly turbulent, to be ready to sweep back and forward.
Today's overall volatility is expected to have a contraction, individual expectations of the final close of the small negative line is more likely
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3380-85
TP:3404-3410
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update for 18 June 25Hello Traders, Welcome to the FOMC Day
as you can see that market is in tight range for now which is 3370-3400, we are still waiting for long above 3400 Psychological Level once market will clearly breaks 3400 level we consider long opportunities
if market breaks 3350 Psychological digit successfully then it will move towards 3325 first then focus will 3300 Major Support Level
All eyes on FOMC for the day
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
xauusd daily level📌 Title:
GOLD | Supply & Demand Zones + Structure Break Analysis
📝 Description:
This chart showcases a price action-based analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe.
Key highlights:
Clear Supply & Demand Zones are marked using recent price reactions and consolidation areas.
Price Structure Breaks confirm bearish control as multiple lower highs and lower lows are forming.
The price is currently reacting between two demand zones; potential for bounce or breakdown.
A strong supply area is observed around 3398–3405, which caused sharp rejections.
Watch how price behaves around 3370 zone, a key demand area which has held previously.
🔔 Trading Plan:
If price retests the upper supply zone and shows weakness (e.g., wick rejections, bearish engulfing), it may offer a short opportunity.
If price breaks below the current demand zone at 3370 with volume, expect further downside.
Bullish bias only above 3405 zone with strong candle close.
📈 Tools used:
Manual Supply & Demand Marking
Pure Price Action
Structure Break Confirmation
Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) Is Gold Just Breathing or Breaking? Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD)
🔍 Macro & Sentiment Overview
Gold faced a sharp correction after a strong Asian session rally, which caught many traders off guard...
While the US Dollar gained 0.7% due to safe-haven flows and Fed anticipation, gold's dip seems more like a liquidity sweep than a structural reversal...
🌍 Rising geopolitical tensions — especially Iran–Israel and Trump’s comments about Tehran — keep the fear premium alive…
🛢️ Meanwhile, oil prices are surging, and institutional funds might be rotating capital between commodities and equities...
📝 All eyes are now on the Fed’s rate decision and the US retail sales report — a potential "horror print" that could shock rate expectations and trigger high volatility across markets.
📉 Technical Breakdown (M30 Perspective)
Price pulled back sharply after an overextended bullish move from Asian FOMO…
EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200) show early signs of potential crossover — signaling caution for buyers…
Liquidity gaps (FVG zones) below current price indicate a magnet for institutional fills…
🎯 Trade Setup
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343
Stop-Loss: 3339
Take Profits:
3350 → 3354 → 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3380 → 3400 → ???
🧠 Look for confirmation through price action and rejection candles during London/NY sessions before entering.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444
Stop-Loss: 3448
Take Profits:
3438 → 3434 → 3430 → 3425 → 3420 → 3410 → 3400
⚠️ Only short upon clean rejection and strong bearish confirmation patterns — avoid blind entries in this volatile phase.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Gold is moving within a smart money playbook — triggering stop hunts and liquidity grabs. With macro uncertainty ahead, patience and precision matter more than ever.
Let price come to your zones. Don’t chase. Let volatility serve you — not shake you.
📌 Follow this idea for live updates during the Fed press conference and NY session.
GOLD(XAUUSD) UPDATEKeep a close watch on the 3,403–3,406 zone (highlighted area in the chart). This is a strong resistance zone that gold has tested multiple times but failed to break.
What to expect?
If gold gives a clean breakout and sustains above this zone, we could see a good upside momentum unfolding.
📈 Break above = bullish momentum confirmation
💬 Stay alert and be ready to act if price breaches this key level with volume and strength.
Trade smart, manage risk.
Middle East Tensions Intertwined with Fed Rate Cut SpeculationThe Middle East situation remains tense ⚠️, and with rumors of a Fed rate cut emerging 👂, gold is likely to see significant volatility in the near term 📈📉. Due to the war, we still favor going long at lower levels 💹. During the current U.S. trading session, another pullback may occur—we need to wait for the correction before continuing to go long ⏳
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375
🚀 TP 3400 - 3410
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold price analysis June 18Yesterday's D1 candle was a Doji candle. It shows the hesitation of buyers and sellers at the price near ATH.
The h4 structure is a sustainable bullish wave structure and is heading towards higher hooks.
The 3400 zone is the immediate resistance zone that Gold is heading towards. This zone will be the breakout zone for the confirmation of the candle closing above 3400.
The profit-taking reaction zone of sellers at 3415 acts as a price reaction when the price uptrend returns and creates momentum towards 3443.
On the other hand, the breakout point of 3472, if broken, will push the price to the support zone of 3343
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Analysis - 18 June-2025Gold has been in a bullish 4H uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows. Recent data show gold peaked near ~$3,445 on June 16 (a new all-time high) before pulling back toward the $3,400 area.
In other words, price action remains constructive: successive higher lows (around $3,372, $3,322) and higher highs (around $3,445) indicate a strong uptrend.
As long as each pullback holds above the prior swing low (so far ~$3,372), the bullish structure (Break-of-Structure, BOS) is intact.
A decisive drop below ~3,372 (and especially below ~$3,322) would violate that structure (a Change-of-Character, CHoCH) and open a deeper correction.
Market Structure & Bias (4H)
Bullish bias: Gold has made a series of higher lows and highs on 4H, confirming an uptrend
Technical indicators (RSI bullish, price above 200-SMA) and fundamentals (safe-haven demand) support this bias.
Caution near $3,400:
The key $3,400 zone has switched roles as resistance-turned-support. Holding above $3,400 keeps bulls in control, but failure to regain it could allow a deeper dip toward ~$3,350.
Break-of-Structure (BOS): A BOS (new 4H high) upholds the uptrend.
A CHoCH (e.g. a close below $3,372/$3,322) would signal a possible reversal
Key 4H Levels & Zones
Resistance/Supply: ~$3,445–3,450 (recent swing high); ~$3,500 (psychological/all-time level).
Price may stall or reverse near these supply zones.
Pivot/$3,400: ~3,400–3,413 zone – a critical pivot. Gold traded near $3,400 recently; a break above targets $3,450, while failure could drop to support.
Support/Demand Zones: ~$3,372 (prior 4H higher-low). Near ~$3,350–3,353 – the 61.8–78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the last rally and a “golden pocket” demand area. ~$3,322–3,328 – a strong 4H demand order-block where price held on the last pullback.
Finally ~$3,300 (major low below).
Order Blocks & Imbalances: Smart-money traders note a 4H demand block at $3,322–3,328 (the low of a large bullish candle).
A brief sweep above $3,338 (a liquidity grab) was followed by a clean bounce from this zone.
Any unfilled gaps (imbalances) near $3,380–3,400 may attract price back during retracements.
In summary, the 4H chart shows a bullish structure with key support at ~$3,372–3,350 (demand/Fib zone) and resistance around $3,445–3,500. As FXStreet notes, the uptrend remains “intact” on 4H as long as dips are bought.
However, traders should watch for any break below $3,372/$3,322, which would flag a bearish structure break.
Until then, the overall bias is bullish, favoring long entries on dips into the above support zones.
1H High-Probability Trade Setups (Bullish Bias)
Setup 1 – Buy on $3,400 pivot hold: Entry zone $3,390–3,400 (at/just above 4H pivot). Stop: ~$3,380 (just below pivot, ~$10 below entry). TPs: $3,420 and $3,450. Trigger: A bullish candlestick pattern or break-and-retest of ~$3,400 (e.g. bullish engulfing or hammer on 1H). Reason: The $3,400 level is a key 4H support/resistance flip.
Holding here would confirm the uptrend continuation, targeting the recent swing highs. A 1H bullish signal (like a reversal bar) gives a clear entry.
Setup 2 – Buy on deep pullback: Entry zone $3,370–3,380 (around 4H higher-low). Stop: $3,360. TPs: $3,400 (the pivot) and $3,420. Trigger: A strong 1H bullish candle or double-bottom forming near zone. Reason: This area lines up with the 4H demand/Fib zone ($3,350–3,372).
It represents a higher-low in the 4H structure. A bounce here would signal buyers stepping in at a key support.
Setup 3 – Buy after breakout of $3,445: Entry zone $3,450–3,455 (above recent high). Stop: ~$3,440. TPs: $3,480 and $3,500. Trigger: A clean 1H candle close above $3,445 (breakout) and retest. Reason: A push above $3,445 (June high) would form a new 4H BOS, suggesting continued momentum. Buying on the breakout retest captures follow-through to the next targets.
(Each setup uses a small $~10 stop relative to gold’s price. Always wait for the specified trigger pattern before entering.)
Takeaway:
On the 4H chart, gold remains bullish while above ~$3,372/$3,350. Key zones to watch are $3,372–3,350 (buy zone) and $3,400–3,445 (sell/resistance). For now, favor long entries into support, and confirm with clear 1H signals before trading.
Gold fluctuates under pressure. Can it break out?Information summary:
The conflict between Iran and Israel has entered the fifth day, Tel Aviv air raid alarms are frequent, and the fire of oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz has exacerbated the panic of energy transportation, and safe-haven buying supports gold prices;
Trump's contradictory statement of "peace talks + toughness" has exacerbated the market's differences on the direction of the conflict, and risk aversion has fluctuated repeatedly.
In the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated narrowly at $3,375, continuing the stalemate under the geopolitical conflict and the game of the US dollar. As the "king of safe havens", gold has recently bottomed out and rebounded based on the tension in the Middle East, and the current price fluctuates around 3,395.
Market analysis:
The four-hour chart shows that the moving average is sticking to wait for a breakthrough in the direction, and the short-term moving average is sticking to $3,380. The RSI indicator fluctuates around 50, suggesting that a breakthrough will be ushered in after a narrow consolidation; the lower rail support of the rising channel moves up to $3,370, and if it fails, it may test $3,350.
At present, the price is repeatedly testing the resistance position of 3400. If the price stands above this position, it may continue to rise to around 3430. If it breaks the support of 3370 US dollars, it will look to 3360 US dollars.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3400, stop loss 3410, profit range 3370-3365.
If the price falls back to around 3370, you can try to go long, and the profit point is around 3390.
Tend to short gold, it may still retrace to 3360-3350 areaAt present, gold as a whole is still fluctuating in the 3395-3365 area. In the short term, both long and short sides are not willing to break through. They may be waiting for the guidance of the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. However, from the current oscillation structure, because the high point of gold rebound and the low point of retracement are gradually moving downward, the center of gravity of the candlestick chart is shifting downward, and the weight of gold shorts is slightly higher.
From the current structure, 3395-3405 has become a new round of pressure area. Gold has been unable to break through for a long time, and has tried to accelerate downward many times during the retracement process. Although it can stabilize above 3375-3365, it may be easier to break through below after several tests. Once the 3375-3365 area is broken, gold may even continue to move to the 3360-3350 area.
Therefore, within the 3395-3365 oscillation range, we can temporarily maintain the trading rhythm of selling high and buying low in the short term, while we must pay attention to the breakthrough of gold. Once gold breaks through, the trend may be continued, and we need to follow the trend to execute transactions!
Short Opportunity on XAU/USD: Fed & Conflict Drive Next MoveTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD XAU/USD is showing multiple rejections at the key resistance confluence of the trendline (TL1) and the $3,396–$3,405 zone. Price remains capped below this level while supported by TL2, with downside potential toward $3,354 and $3,326 if bearish pressure persists. A short setup is in play: entry at $3,396, stop at $3,411, and targets at $3,354 and $3,326, offering a favorable 1:2.97 risk–reward. Invalidation occurs on a 4H close above $3,411, which could open the path to $3,450+. Geopolitical risk remains elevated as the Israel–Iran conflict enters day six, with airstrikes near Tehran and speculation of U.S. involvement following President Trump’s emergency security meeting. Meanwhile, the upcoming Fed decision is key; while no rate move is expected, markets are focused on the updated dot plot and Powell’s tone amid ongoing tariff uncertainty. Long-term support for gold is reinforced by a World Gold Council survey showing 95% of central banks expect global reserves to rise, with a record 43% planning to increase holdings. Short-term bias remains cautiously bearish while below resistance, but any dovish Fed surprise or escalation in conflict may reverse momentum.
Resistance : $3,396 , $3,405
Support : $3,354 , $3,325, $3,320
XAUUSD DAYTRADE SIGNAL!!!Hello Everyone i want share my trade for today at Gold/USD pair.
price moving slow downside, with liquidity, for today i will use Fibonacci.
Open Short position at 3390
Stop Loss 3396
Take profit 3366
The reason for this trade is catch liquidity and dollar is still bullish and that's the reason why i think gold will go down again.
Always make your research!!!!
Key Event Today – FOMC Interest Rate DecisionAs risk-off sentiment cools, gold bulls failed to take control yesterday, resulting in a stalemate with the bears.
From the 4H chart perspective, bearish momentum currently appears stronger,
though bulls are not giving up easily.
Currently, price is rebounding off the 4H MA60 support,
with immediate resistance from the MA20 around 3405.
As time progresses, this resistance is likely to shift lower,
so for now, we’ll treat $3400 as the primary reference point.
For bulls to regain dominance,
they must hold steady above 3405,
and more importantly, protect the support at 3386–3378 during any pullback.
🔔 Key Event Today – FOMC Interest Rate Decision
Today’s trading will also be influenced by the Federal Reserve’s rate decision,
which, based on current expectations, is likely to weigh heavily on bullish sentiment.
📌 Strategy for Today:
Main Bias: Sell the rebound
Secondary Approach: Buy on pullbacks if strong support levels hold
Key support levels to monitor:
⚠️ 3382 zone (minor support)
🔻 Most critical: 4H MA60 around 3366
Stay cautious during the FOMC announcement window, and remember — in volatile markets, reacting with discipline is more important than predicting perfectly.
6/17 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning!
Yesterday, gold opened with a gap-up and surged to around 3451, but failed to sustain above key resistance. After another failed attempt to break higher, prices gradually turned lower and finally broke below 3400, finding short-term support near 3382.
The primary driver of this decline was a waning of geopolitical risk sentiment, which had previously fueled the rally. Additionally, the market is now pricing in expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, a factor that was likely preemptively reflected in price.
🔍 Fundamental Focus:
Today’s U.S. session will feature a key news release, which may prove decisive for gold’s next directional move. With yesterday’s advance pullback, market dynamics are likely to be more volatile today. We recommend caution, especially ahead of the announcement.
📉 Technical View:
Gold is currently in a post-decline consolidation phase.
The main resistance lies between 3430–3450, while 3415 on the 30-minute chart also presents a short-term cap.
For those entering long positions, target zones should remain conservative, ideally around 3412–3418, and then be adjusted depending on volume momentum and breakout structure.
📊 Weekly Structure Outlook:
The weekly chart shows that gold is at a key trend inflection point.
If no additional bullish catalysts emerge, the market is likely to develop into a bearish consolidation, with the next major downside target around 3200.
📌 Trading Plan (For VIP):
✅ Sell Zone: 3436–3466
✅ Buy Zone: 3347–3323
✅ Flexible Trade Zones: 3428 / 3415 / 3403 / 3392 / 3378 / 3362 / 3354
6/18 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold traded within a narrow range yesterday, and the buy signal shared during the session yielded profits. From a technical perspective, the market remains in a rebound phase, with key resistance around 3403. If the price breaks and holds above this level, there’s a good chance we’ll see a move toward the 3418–3428 zone today.
During the Asian and European sessions, the trading bias should remain on the buy side, while in the U.S. session, it may be more favorable to shift toward short setups, mainly due to expectations surrounding the upcoming Fed interest rate decision—an outlook we discussed yesterday.
Key intraday ranges to watch:
Asian–European session: 3362–3413
If price reaches the 3425–3435 zone before the U.S. session, short opportunities may emerge
As always, manage your positions carefully and adapt to key levels as price unfolds.
Gold is weak, and there may be a low point yet to come!According to the current structure, gold is obviously in a weak position. Gold has failed to break through the high point of the previous wave after multiple rebounds during the day. 3400 has become a new round of pressure area; and gold has just accelerated its decline and fell below 3370. For the current trend, falling below 3370 will weaken the bullish sentiment to a certain extent and indicate that there is further room for decline, so I think gold should have a low point, and the low point we should first pay attention to is in the range of 3365-3355.
So in terms of short-term trading,
First, we can try to short gold with the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405;
But if gold first retreats to the support area of 3365-3355, we can first choose to go long on gold.
XAUUSD Long Setup – Retest of Broken Structure & Safe-Haven FlowGold has pulled back to retest a strong former resistance (now support) zone around $3,385–$3,390. This level aligns with a previous breakout and marks the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. The pair is now showing bullish structure with back-to-back continuation patterns (bull flags), suggesting further upside potential.
Given escalating geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel strikes, Trump-led evacuation urgency), slowing Fed cut expectations, and softening inflation-adjusted yields, gold remains in demand.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows maintained.
Support Zone: $3,385–$3,390 (retest zone) – bulls stepping back in.
Targets:
TP1: $3,451
TP2: $3,470
TP3: $3,495 (new local high)
Stop Loss: Below $3,369 (recent low)
Pattern Context: Bull flags continue to form and break bullish – reinforcing trend.
🧠 Fundamental Context (June 17):
Bullish Drivers:
Middle East escalation → safe haven bid surging (Iran missile launches, Israeli retaliation, US political chaos).
Fed on pause → real yields are subdued, favoring non-yielding assets like gold.
Convexity & bond volatility rising → investors hedging with hard assets (confirmed via CME sentiment reports).
Risks:
Sudden peace deal or ceasefire.
Unexpected US CPI spike → reawakens rate hike fears.
📅 Key Events to Watch:
Fed speeches (confirmation of dovish tone)
Any ceasefire or major diplomatic development
Oil movement (energy risk spillovers)
Gold (XAUUSD) – Demand Zone Holding, Silver Leading BreakoutGold has respected its demand zone near $3,367–$3,382 and is attempting to bounce higher. Importantly, Silver (XAGUSD in pink overlay) is leading the upside move, having broken out cleanly above $37.00 and still climbing. This confirms the bullish momentum across precious metals.
Geopolitical tensions, dovish Fed commentary, and risk-off market conditions continue to favor a move toward $3,451, $3,471, and possibly $3,495.
🔍 Technical Breakdown (4H)
Support Zone: $3,367–$3,382 (retest of broken resistance)
Bullish Structure: Rising lows, trendline holds, and higher timeframe support remains intact
Projected Targets:
🎯 TP1: $3,451 (recent high)
🎯 TP2: $3,471 (key extension)
🎯 TP3: $3,495 (top of range)
Stop Loss: Below $3,351 (invalidates demand structure)
🪙 Silver (XAGUSD) Overlay Insight:
Currently at $37.11+, showing leadership in the breakout.
Suggests gold will likely follow through — watch for Gold catching up.
🧠 Macro & Fundamental Context (June 17)
Bullish Drivers:
🔥 Ongoing Middle East war escalation (Iran-Israel, US troop buildup)
🏦 Dovish Fed tone, soft retail sales, rate cuts expected from Sept
🧾 Silver strength confirming demand across metals
Risks:
☮️ Unexpected ceasefire headlines could cause knee-jerk pullbacks
📈 Hot inflation data or hawkish Fed rhetoric could pressure upside
📅 Key Events to Watch:
FOMC members' speeches this week
US Core PCE inflation print
War headline velocity — particularly involving shipping or direct US-Iran confrontation
🧭 Strategy Suggestion:
Tactical Buy on Rejection Wick from current demand zone
Watch Silver momentum — if it breaks $37.50+, gold likely catches up fast
Consider scaling out around $3,451–$3,471 with final target near $3,495
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsGold showed a pullback after hitting a high yesterday, with a daily decline of nearly 70 USD. The daily candlestick pattern completely engulfed the previous day's gains and closed bearish. Combined with the current signals of geopolitical tensions, today's market is expected to be dominated by broad-range consolidation. From the 4-hour cycle perspective, the price broke below the middle Bollinger Band with consecutive bearish candles last night and continued to decline after being suppressed in the early morning, with technicals pointing to a consolidative and bearish pattern.
The key pivot level today is at 3,405: if the market effectively stabilizes above this level, the upper resistance will test 3,420 and 3,430 in sequence; conversely, if the suppression at 3,405 holds, the price is likely to repeatedly test the support at 3,380 and further dip to the 3,370-3,360 zone. It is recommended to wait for the decline momentum to clarify before initiating long positions, maintaining an overall range-trading strategy.
XAUUSD
buy@3375-3380
tp:3390-3400-3420
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