MOST ACCURATE XAUUSD GOLD FORECAST ANALYSIS MARKETCurrent Setup & Technical Outlook
Consolidation & Pennant Formation: Gold is building a bullish pennant and trading above its 50‑day MA — a classic continuation pattern suggesting a breakout toward new highs if momentum resumes .
Key Levels:
Support: $3,330–3,340 — confirmed by multiple technical sources .
Resistance/Breakout Zone: $3,360–3,375 — clearing this could trigger a rally toward $3,400+ .
Upside Targets: $3,390, then possibly $3,500–$3,535 per weekly forecast .
Alternate Bearish Scenario: A failure around the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance (~$3,374) and overbought RSI could spark a pullback to $3,356 or lower .
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🧠 Fundamental Drivers
Inflation & U.S. Macro Data: Market awaits June CPI/PPI and Fed commentary — cooler inflation could boost gold via dovish expectations, while hotter data may strengthen the USD and weigh on bullion .
Geopolitical & Safe-Haven Demand: Trade tensions (e.g., tariffs) are keeping gold elevated near $3,350–$3,360 .
Central Bank & Real Yields Watch: Continued gold purchases and lower real rates are supportive, although mid-term easing in risks (like global trade) could curb momentum .
Xauusdbuy
XAU/USD 4H Bearish Continuation Setup Analysis:Price recently rejected from the key resistance zone around 3,370–3,380 (highlighted in yellow).
A double top pattern is evident, indicating bearish pressure.
Price broke the rising trendline support and is forming lower highs.
Immediate support levels lie at:
3,291.46
3,290.79
A confirmed break below this support could send price toward the next major support at 3,250.04, which aligns with the projected move.
Bearish Bias:
As long as price remains below 3,344, the structure favors further downside.
Watch for a break and retest of the 3,291–3,290 zone for confirmation.
📉 TP Zones:
TP1: 3,291
TP2: 3,250
🛑 Invalid if price breaks above: 3,344
"Gold Ready for Bullish Move – 3365 Tak Udane Wala Hai!🔹 Lower Purple Zone (Support Area) – Price ne is zone (approx. 3315–3320) se strong bullish reversal dikhaya hai. Yeh area buyers ka interest zone hai jahan se market ne reaction diya.
🔹 Upper Purple Zone (Resistance Area) – 3360–3375 ka zone strong resistance hai jahan se pehle bhi multiple rejections aayi hain.
🔹 Current Price: 3340.115 par trade kar raha hai.
🔹 Blue Arrow Prediction: Chart ka analysis yeh batata hai ke price ab is support zone se upar ki taraf move karega aur resistance zone ko test karega (target 3360–3375).
Wait for the data release; do not chase short positions.The 4-hour timeframe remains in a range-bound consolidation. Only a decisive break below the 3320 level will truly open up substantial downward space. Let’s focus on today’s US Initial Jobless Claims data: while the indicator has been trending lower recently, the current market expectation is tilted toward a rebound.
Even though yesterday’s PPI data, after its release, was bullish for gold, its actual impact on prices was limited—far from comparable to core metrics like CPI.
In summary, all short positions have now closed out with profits. Waiting for the data release to trade in line with the trend is a more prudent approach: if prices hover around 3320 or 3310 ahead of the data and the figures come in bullish, you can decisively enter long positions once there’s a slight pullback. If the data turns bearish, avoid chasing the decline; instead, consider positioning around key integer levels such as 3290-3300, as a sharp bullish correction is likely to follow an oversold move. As for whether the bulls can achieve a full reversal, we’ll assess the broader picture then. Always remember: no market moves in one direction indefinitely—adaptability is key
🚀 Buy @3310 - 3320
🚀 TP 3330 - 3340 - 3350
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
7/18: Watch 3343 Resistance, Guard Against Break Below 3323Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke below the 3337 support after consolidating there, driven lower by bearish data, and eventually reached the 3323–3312 support zone. A rebound followed, and price has now returned above 3323, which also aligns with the daily MA60.
📌 Key Levels to Watch Today:
Resistance: 3343 / 3352–3358
→ A sustained break above 3343 opens the door for a potential move toward 3366 / 3372–3378;
Support: 3323 / 3312
→ If price remains capped below resistance and weekly close is under 3323, it will signal bearish structural pressure for the medium term.
📌 Trading Strategy:
Trade flexibly within the range of 3358–3343–3332–3323–3312
📌 Important Reminder:
If today’s closing price is below 3323, and you're planning to hold positions over the weekend, it’s safer to lean short. While we can’t predict weekend news, technically, bears have the upper hand, so risk control is essential.
Treat it as a long-short wash-out shock, and go long on pullback📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. June retail data
3. Beware of Trump's remarks about firing Powell
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last night, the daily line closed at around 3347. The current short-term daily line range is 3355-3300. The short-term support below is still 3320. Once it falls below 3320, it will look to 3310-3300. Short-term trading is still volatile. If the intraday retracement reaches 3320-3310, consider going long, and the defense is 3300, with the target at 3340-3350. Under the current rhythm of long and short wash, don't chase the rise and sell the fall, look at it rationally, and brothers who trade independently must bring SL.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
#XAUUSD(GOLD): Strong Sellers Hold, Further Drop Incoming! God dropped from our area of entry yesterday as we initially expected. However, since the massive drop, we are now seeing some short-term correction in the prices. In the coming time, we can expect further price drops around 3280 or 3250.
If you like our idea, please like and comment.
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD Trade Setup: Buying Opportunity at 3,322 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a critical support zone between 3,322 and 3,323 USD. This area represents a confluence of the previous swing low and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is historically known to trigger technical bullish reactions. If a confirming signal appears on the H1 chart, this may offer a favorable short-term buy opportunity.
Trade setup details:
Entry (Buy limit): 3,323 – 3,322 USD
Stop loss: below 3,318 USD
Take profit: 3,331 – 3,340 USD
Risk-to-reward ratio: approximately 2:1
Technical rationale for the trade:
The 3,322 level has acted as a strong support in recent price structure
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, often seen as the last line of defense in bullish setups
RSI on the lower time frame is nearing oversold, signaling potential bullish momentum
Risk management notes:
If price closes below 3,318 USD, the long idea becomes invalid
Best entries should be supported by price action signals such as pin bar, bullish engulfing, or other reversal candles near support
Conclusion: A buy position in the 3,322 – 3,323 USD zone presents a reasonable strategy as long as the support holds. If bullish reaction occurs, price may revisit the 3,340 resistance area in the short term.
Save this strategy if you find it useful, and stay tuned for more real-time trade ideas and insights.
XAUUSD:Go long
Based on the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below for today remains focused on the area around 3318-25, while the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3340-45 level. The key resistance above is at 3380. Overall, this range remains the main framework for our participation in the trade, with positions generally being cautious and waiting for key levels to enter. I will provide specific trading strategies during the session, so please stay tuned. Given that the current market has retraced to 3325 and then rebounded, we can go long in the 3325-30 range.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3325-30
TP:3340-45
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
The firing of Powell set off the market, don't chase the longsTrump showed a draft of the letter to fire Powell, but whether Powell will be fired in the end remains to be seen, but the impact on the gold market is undoubtedly huge. The wolves have now smelled a very dangerous scent. Don’t chase high prices. Don’t chase high prices! ! ! After all, the impact of the news comes and goes quickly, and there is a high possibility of a reversal later in the evening. The final suppression position of the current gold daily line is 3340. If the closing line today can maintain above 3340, then gold will usher in a real bullish trend in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar, showing a current price of $3,329.145 with a decrease of $18.455 (-0.55%). The chart highlights key levels including a sell price of $3,328.920 and a buy price of $3,329.370, with a recent trading range between $3,355.339 and $3,312.393. The data spans from late June to mid-July 2025, with notable price fluctuations and a shaded area indicating a potential trading zone.
Fake news stirs up the market, market trend analysis📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Today, our overall trading can be said to have accurately grasped the trading points, and both long and short positions have earned us good profits.The gold market surged due to Trump's intention to fire Powell. Trump then denied the plan, which dissipated the risk aversion in the gold market and the overall rhythm fell back to a volatile pattern. The current market price of gold closed with a long upper shadow line, indicating that there is a certain need for adjustment in the market. Although the news stimulus has pushed it up to 3377, we need to be vigilant against the risk of a decline after a high rise. Pay attention to today's closing. If it closes below 3345, the bearish trend may continue in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Xauusd Bullish 18 July 2025 $4085 Prediction📍Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia – 18 July 2025
GOLD (XAUUSD) INSIGHT – First Accumulation Entry Begins
Today marks the first leg of bullish territory for Gold (XAUUSD) as price begins its early accumulation phase ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision in 11 days. Using a refined OHLC strategy alongside my proprietary Chrono Conditioned Trading (CCT) method, I foresee a strategic retest around $3357 to $3360, which could unlock the momentum needed to approach $3400 and eventually $3500 a key psychological resistance before price makes its way to the $5000 projection.
🧠 Technical Insight: OHLC Strategy
The OHLC (Open-High-Low-Close) method is vital for identifying precision entries:
Open shows the market’s first reaction;
High and Low define intraday volatility boundaries;
Close indicates market sentiment and real direction.
In today's setup, early accumulation begins near the previous daily open, and a break above yesterday's high signals that buyers are returning in strength.
⏱ CCT – Chrono Conditioned Trading Approach
My CCT method focuses on timing-based entries combined with price conditioning:
Entries are planned around event timelines like the upcoming FOMC rate release (FedWatch).
CCT waits for the “right time and right structure” not just price but when price moves.
Today fits that condition: early cycle, pre-news sentiment, and a clean OHLC break structure.
💡 Trading Tip:
“Never chase gold. Let the structure and time align. When OHLC confirms and CCT conditions are met only then, you strike.”
🗓 Fed Expectations:
Although rate cuts are projected for September and December 2025, it is unlikely the Fed will move in July. That uncertainty fuels speculative accumulation—making today a strategic entry point.
Stay sharp. Watch for OHLC rejections or continuation signals above $3360.
If bulls defend $3357 well, gold may reclaim the $3400 range soon setting the stage for the ultimate test at $3500.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #OHLCstrategy #ChronoConditionedTrading #FedWatch #GoldAnalysis #CCTMethod
Regards,
Zezu Zaza
2048
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late July to early August 2025. The current price is 3,390.266, with a recent decrease of 10.870 (-0.32%). Key levels include a sell price of 3,336.420 and a buy price of 3,337.020, with a resistance zone highlighted between 3,340.720 and 3,380.000, and a support zone around 3,314.186. The chart includes candlestick patterns and trading indicators.
XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18: STRATEGY BASED ON FIBONACCI, TRENDLINE & STRUCTURE
1. XAUUSD Technical Overview (4H Chart)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,343 USD, showing signs of a slight rebound from key support. On the 4H timeframe, the price structure is forming higher lows, maintaining above a short-term rising trendline – a technically bullish signal.
2. Key Support & Resistance Zones
Immediate Supports:
3,338 USD: aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement – a zone tested multiple times.
3,333 – 3,335 USD: strong support, overlapping with EMA and rising trendline.
3,327 USD: previous swing low – last defense for the bullish structure.
Immediate Resistances:
3,345 – 3,346 USD: frequently rejected zone in recent sessions.
3,350 USD: psychological and technical resistance.
3,358 USD: recent swing high – breakout confirmation level.
3. Price Action & Fibonacci Confluence
Price is currently hovering between Fibo 0.5 (3,343 USD) and Fibo 0.618 (3,338 USD) – a potential bounce zone if bullish momentum holds.
The pullback from 3,358 to 3,286 has respected standard Fibonacci retracement levels, confirming technical price behavior.
4. Trendline Analysis
The ascending trendline from the 3,275 USD low remains intact, providing solid dynamic support.
If the price continues to bounce from this trendline, it may form a bullish continuation pattern (flag/pennant).
5. Suggested Trading Strategies
Long
Entry: 3,338 – 3,340 USD
SL: 3,327 USD
TP: 3,345 – 3,350 – 3,358 USD
Note: Buying the dip near Fib & trendline
Short
Entry: Below 3,327 USD (breakdown)
SL: Above 3,340 USD
TP: 3,310 – 3,298 USD
Notes: Only if price breaks trendline & support
6. Supporting Technical Indicators
EMA20/EMA50 show slight upward momentum – early bullish bias.
RSI (14) hovers near 50 – neutral zone, awaiting breakout confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold is consolidating around a critical support zone. The short-term bias leans bullish if the 3,338 – 3,333 USD region holds and price breaks above 3,346 – 3,350 USD.
This is a key moment to position early using Fibonacci and trendline confluence.
👉 Follow for more strategies in upcoming sessions. Save this if you find it useful!
Do you have a different view? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Gold Analysis – Why I’m Targeting $4,085Friday July 18 2025. Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur - Gold analysis done by Zezu Zaza to see the potential upcoming upside starting today this Friday.
I am using a CCT (Chrono Conditioned Trading) technique for my trading based analysis with mathematical strategy in the Xauusd pricing. We will cover the technical, fundamental and sentiment aspect as these are the three components pillars in trading before making any decision and movement trend.
1. Technical Setup (Daily Chart)
Gold is currently consolidating between the $3,300 to $3,375 range after a strong rally earlier this year.
The RSI sits near the neutral 50 level, while the MACD shows signs of a potential bullish crossover.
A confirmed breakout above the $3,375 to $3,400 resistance zone may lead to a surge toward $3,600 to $3,650, and possibly much higher.
Market structure remains bullish, with higher lows forming a solid base around $3,300.
2. Federal Reserve Outlook – 2025 Rate Cuts Expected
The market is now pricing in at least two interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve by the end of 2025. A 25 basis point cut is expected in September, with another potentially coming in December. Recent CPI and PPI data indicate cooling inflation, giving the Fed more room to ease without reigniting price pressure. Labor market strength is weakening, wage growth is decelerating, and tighter credit conditions are emerging. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently stated that the risks of over-tightening are now balanced, signaling a shift to a more dovish stance. Lower interest rates reduce bond yields and weaken the dollar, which historically fuels gold’s bullish momentum. If trump fired or Powell decision to step down, this will fire the gold even higher for the catalyze.
3. Market Sentiment (Speculative Positioning)
As of July 11, 2025, the latest CFTC Commitment of Traders report shows speculative net long positions on gold have surged to 203,000 contracts, the highest level in several months.
This signals a strong bullish sentiment among hedge funds and large traders.
In addition, gold ETFs saw over $38 billion in inflows in the first half of 2025, highlighting strong institutional demand as investors seek safety in uncertain times.
The positioning supports further upside as traders bet on a softer dollar and increased market volatility.
4. Macro Fundamentals and Hedge Fund Sentiment
Central banks around the world, especially in the BRICS nations, continue to increase their gold reserves in efforts to reduce reliance on the US dollar.
China has been actively accumulating gold for more than eight consecutive months, with unofficial estimates suggesting holdings of up to 5,000 metric tons.
Several hedge funds and institutional managers now classify gold as a core asset class due to rising fiscal uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and the deterioration of confidence in monetary policy. David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital emphasized that gold is not just about inflation but about the credibility of monetary and fiscal policies. His fund maintains a long gold position and expects higher prices as global deficits and structural imbalances persist.
5. Institutional Forecasts and Speculator Targets
Goldman Sachs has raised its end-of-2025 target to the $3,700 to $3,950 range, citing rising ETF inflows and a softer Fed stance. JPMorgan expects gold to average around $3,675 in the fourth quarter of 2025. Citi, in a bull case scenario, believes gold could trade well above $3,300. The World Gold Council has outlined a high-conviction scenario in which gold could reach $4,000 within the next six to nine months, driven by stagflation and global monetary instability. Greenlight Capital is reportedly aiming for the $3,500 to $3,800 range, though David Einhorn noted that he does not want prices to rise excessively too quickly.
Target Price: $4,085 first before turn the bullish sooners to $5000 price make this same year.
My target of $4,085 is supported by the convergence of multiple factors:
- A bullish technical structure with a potential breakout
- Fed interest rate cuts reducing yields and weakening the dollar. Fed will reduce the rates for the first time this year (12 more days) after this article is published today 18 July 2025.
- Strong speculative positioning and ETF demand
- Aggressive central bank accumulation
- Hedge fund sentiment aligned with rising gold exposure
- Persistent geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty
If these conditions hold, $4,085 is a realistic medium-term objective within six to nine months.
Trading Plan Summary
Component Strategy
Entry Zone Breakout above $3,375
Stop Loss $3,300 to $3,320 (below key support)
Take Profit Partial at $3,600 to $3,650, trail remainder to $4,085
Risk Triggers Dollar strength, unexpected Fed hawkish turn, resolution in geopolitics
Key Catalysts CPI done, PPI done, FOMC statements, nonfarm payrolls, war developments
Final Takeaway
This gold analysis blends a bullish technical pattern with the macroeconomic backdrop of an approaching Fed pivot, rising speculative positioning, and ongoing central bank purchases.
Hedge funds and institutions are increasingly viewing gold as an essential defensive asset, especially in the face of deteriorating fiscal credibility and geopolitical tensions.
If gold breaks and holds above the $3,375 level, the path toward $4,085 becomes significantly more probable.
18 July 2025 Friday is a starter ignition trend will born today. I will place some test lots today and will accumulate after from time to time.
Let me know if you what is your opinion or send email to me to reach me for the insitutional analyst or want to see live trade.
Regards,
Zezu Zaza
2048
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 17 July 2025Hello Traders, welcome to new Trading day
Today we have some high impact news of USD, Currently market is still in tight range and we still need breakout of 3300 Psychological for downside clearly
For upside market must need to close above 3380-90 zone for further upwards continuation
currently we are also keep an eyes on WAR Fundamental news
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
7/17: Key Support for Gold Bulls at 3343–3337During the Asian session today, gold rose as expected into the 3337–3343 resistance zone. After failing to break through, the price retraced during the European and U.S. sessions, reaching the 3323–3313 support area. A sharp rally followed due to unexpected news, pushing the price into the 3372–3378 resistance zone. Overall, the intraday bullish strategy performed well, yielding solid profits.
After this sharp volatility, price movement has stabilized somewhat. The MA60 support on the daily chart remains intact.
For tomorrow’s trading, key levels to watch are:
🔽 Support: 3343–3337, with secondary support at 3328–3323
🔼 Resistance: 3372–3378
On the 2-hour chart, bullish momentum appears likely to continue as long as price holds above the support zone.
Additionally, upcoming economic data releases and any further developments on the report regarding Trump potentially firing Powell could have a significant impact on market sentiment—these factors should be closely monitored.
In summary, tomorrow’s initial trading focus can remain within the 3337–3358 range, with strategies adjusted as market conditions evolve.
Gold: Bull-Bear Swings & Today's Trade Tips + AnalysisAnalysis of Gold News Drivers:
During the U.S. session on Wednesday (July 16th), spot gold surged sharply and is currently trading around 3,370 🚀. Trump stated that tariff letters will soon be sent to small countries, with rates likely slightly above 10%, providing safe-haven support for gold prices 🛡️.
Gold prices fell 0.5% on Tuesday, closing at 3,324.68, barely holding above the 55-day moving average of 3,222 📉. Earlier, the U.S. June CPI increase hit its highest level since January, pushing the U.S. dollar index to a nearly three-week high, while U.S. Treasury yields also climbed to a six-week peak, pressuring gold prices ⚖️. The dollar index has risen for four consecutive trading days, hitting a high of 98.70 on Tuesday, the highest since June 23rd 🆙. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies, thereby weighing on gold prices 💸.
However, the market largely interprets the dollar's recent rally as a technical adjustment rather than a reversal of the long-term trend 🔄. Despite short-term pullbacks in gold prices, market sentiment has not fully turned pessimistic 😐. While gold is currently in a consolidation range since mid-May, uncertainties surrounding tariff policies may offer support 🔀. Overall, the long-term outlook for gold remains optimistic, with sustained market focus on tariff issues expected to drive a rebound in gold prices in the future 📈
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇