7/3: Focus on Short Positions, Watch Support Near 3320Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold tested support near 3328 but failed to break below it effectively. The price then rebounded toward the 3350 level. At today’s open, gold briefly extended to around 3365 before pulling back.
Technically:
On the daily (1D) chart, the price remains capped by the MA20, with no confirmed breakout yet.
Support levels below are relatively dense, and moving averages are increasingly converging, suggesting a breakout in either direction is approaching.
Key intraday support lies in the 3321–3316 zone.
On the 2-hour chart, we are seeing the first signs of a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Much like Tuesday’s setup, there are two possible scenarios:
If 3342–3334 holds, the price may extend slightly higher, intensifying divergence before pulling back;
If 3337 breaks, we could see a drop toward 3320, where correction would occur through a direct decline.
From a fundamental perspective, several high-impact U.S. data releases are scheduled for the New York session, which may increase volatility and make trading more challenging.
Trading suggestion:
For most traders, the safest approach is to wait for data to be released, then look for oversold rebounds or overbought corrections following sharp market reactions.
This style requires patience and strong risk control—avoid being overly aggressive or greedy, as such behavior can easily lead to trapped positions or even liquidation.
Xauusdbuy
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy
The highest gold price in the Asian session reached 3365.4, which is already our mid-line target range. If you have completed and left the market, congratulations, because I personally set the TP point of 3368, so it did not touch, the trend of the past two days is appropriate rewithdrawal after strengthening, the high is also gradually rising, the overall long trend has not changed. For today's data, the probability will make gold prices continue to rise, trading ideas or to do the main.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3347-51
TP:3365-70
This TP range is also the target range of the median trader, for friends who do not have automatic stop profit, you can take a profit manually at that time.
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Gold is unilaterally upward during the dayGold, the general trend is as described in the morning analysis. The price fell from the 3452 high point in this round. On Monday, it rebounded quickly after parallel attack and defense near 3245. The article emphasizes that the short-term strength will continue. The high point of the week may appear around Thursday's non-agricultural data. The medium-term top idea of 3500-3452 is still maintained;
It actually opened unilaterally upward from 3303 during the day and is now reported at 3340; the bullish pattern of each cycle is good, and there will be a high in the evening; short-term support is 3338, strong support is 3332; short-term resistance is 3350-3356, strong resistance is 3365-3374;
XAUUSD:Today's Trading Strategy
Gold retreated in the sub-session, I have personally increased my long position near 3331, the overall trend is bullish unchanged, the median strategy is patient to rise. If you are trading short, you can go long at 3325-3330 and leave at 3340-45. The same can be said if you want to solve the problem; Trade according to your trading preferences and risk tolerance.
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XAUUSD Set for Strong Bullish Wave – Targeting 3,726?Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a bullish recovery after a recent correction between the 3,290–3,340 USD zone. On the daily chart, a clear Elliott Wave formation is unfolding, with the price potentially entering wave 5 aiming for the 0.618 Fibonacci extension at 3,726 USD.
Clear Wave Structure:
The a-b-c corrective wave appears to have completed in mid-May.
The price is now in wave 3 and preparing for a potential extension in wave 5.
Candlestick and Buying Momentum:
Recent candles show strong buying pressure with four consecutive bullish sessions.
The current upward momentum is testing the 3,352 resistance – a breakout could open the path to 3,450 and eventually 3,726 USD.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate support: 3,320 – 3,330 USD
Key resistance: 3,450 USD (recent swing high)
Extended target: 3,726 USD (Fibonacci 0.618 from wave 2 low to wave 3 peak)
Suggested Trading Strategy:
Favor buy on dip strategy, waiting for a minor pullback to the 3,330–3,340 area before entering long.
Set stop-loss below 3,300, with targets at 3,450 and 3,726 USD respectively.
Conclusion:
The XAUUSD chart suggests a potential strong bullish wave according to the Elliott Wave framework, with a breakout likely leading to the 3,726 USD zone. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 3,350 level for confirmation of continued upward momentum.
What’s your view on this analysis? Drop a comment and let’s discuss your trading strategy together!
Gold growth, recovery 3393⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices edge higher during the North American session as investors turn their attention to the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report — a key indicator that could influence the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,348, up 0.29%.
Recent labor data from ADP revealed that companies are pausing hiring rather than resorting to layoffs, reflecting caution amid uncertain economic conditions. Meanwhile, Microsoft’s decision to cut 9,000 jobs has added to concerns about a softening labor market.
Traders now await Thursday’s official employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is projected to show 110,000 new jobs added in June — a slowdown from May’s 139,000. The Unemployment Rate is expected to tick up slightly to 4.3%, still within the Fed’s projected range of 4.4% according to its latest Summary of Economic Projections.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
good buy, hold before NF news. Dollar continues to be under selling pressure from investors, worried about the Trump administration's unstable tariff policies.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3393- 3395 SL 3400
TP1: $3380
TP2: $3363
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3296-$3294 SL $3289
TP1: $3308
TP2: $3318
TP3: $3330
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Elliott Wave Analysis of XAUUSDOn the daily chart of XAUUSD, we are witnessing a clearly defined Elliott Wave structure, with the potential formation of an extended wave (5) targeting the $3,726 region — aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. This is a key technical signal that could capture the attention of both long-term investors and strategic swing traders.
1. Elliott Wave Overview:
Wave (3) concluded at the peak around $3,365, followed by a textbook a-b-c corrective pattern.
Waves "a" and "b" are clearly identifiable, with wave "c" appearing to have completed.
The current price action suggests a rebound from the bottom of wave c — a strong indication of a possible start to wave (5).
2. Wave (5) Target Zone:
The Fibonacci 0.618 extension projects a target near $3,726 — a significant price level the market could approach if bullish momentum builds up.
This level also serves as a psychological resistance zone, so expect possible volatility as the price nears this area.
3. Price Behavior & Confirmation Signals:
Recent candlestick formations reveal renewed buying interest, with multiple bullish candles showing long bodies and lower wicks.
Holding above the key support around $3,300 is crucial for confirming the formation of an uptrend.
A breakout above the $3,365 high (wave (3) peak) would be a strong signal that wave (5) is in motion.
4. Suggested Trading Strategies:
Buy limit: Consider entries around the $3,310 – $3,320 support zone on a retest.
Buy breakout: Trigger entries if price breaks decisively above $3,365 with strong volume.
Take profit: Gradually scale out positions around the $3,680 – $3,726 area.
Stop loss: Place stops below the wave c bottom — under $3,245.
5. Conclusion:
XAUUSD is currently in a sensitive phase with a high probability of a bullish breakout. The Elliott Wave structure shows that there is still considerable upside potential. However, traders should maintain strict risk management, as wave (5) formations often involve significant price swings.
XAUUSD Analysis – July 2–3, 2025: Resistance Holds Gold is currently trading around 3,337 USD, having tested the 3,350 USD resistance zone without a successful breakout. The price remains under pressure from key macroeconomic factors:
- The Dollar Index (DXY) is stable above 106 – a sign of continued demand for the greenback, which weakens gold.
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yields hold around 4.35%, reinforcing the view that the Fed will keep interest rates high.
- The Core PCE report for June remains above the Fed’s 2% inflation target, decreasing expectations of a rate cut in Q3.
- Safe-haven demand is weak, as geopolitical tension in the Middle East and Eastern Europe remains subdued.
➡ Overall, these factors confirm that XAUUSD remains under bearish pressure in both the short and medium term, especially while key resistance remains intact.
1. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD on D1 Chart
- Price recently tested the 3,340 – 3,350 USD resistance zone, a confluence of:
Previous supply zone
- Fibonacci retracement 0.5–0.618 from 3,399 USD
- Key Change of Character (CHoCH) level
- RSI is forming a mild bearish divergence, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
- EMA20 and EMA50 are both sloping downward – confirming the prevailing bearish trend.
This setup is typical of a Sell on Rally pattern, with each retracement being rejected at strong resistance.
2. Key Technical Zones to Watch
Technical Role
- 3,350 – 3,340 Major resistance (Fibo 0.5–0.618 + supply + CHoCH)
- 3,294 – 3,285 Nearest support – previously a resistance-turned-support
- 3,255 – 3,235 Short-term target zone – June low
- 3,223 – 3,205 Strong medium-term support – April low + extended Fibo
3. Suggested Trade Setup
Preferred Scenario: SELL below 3,350
Entry: 3,345 – 3,347
Stop Loss: 3,351
Take Profit 1: 3,335
Take Profit 2: 3,330
Take Profit 3: 3,320
Ps : XAUUSD is retesting a major resistance zone without macro or technical catalysts for a sustained breakout. The best approach remains to sell at resistance and take profit near support, in alignment with the ongoing bearish trend.
The strategy will be updated regularly – don’t forget to save and follow to stay ahead of market opportunities.
The analysis was provided by @Henrybillion
XAUUSD:Go long
Gold continued to strengthen in the Asian session, mainly due to adverse signals from tariff talks, which spurred a sharp rebound in gold prices. At present in the 3340 near the shock, this position is a short - term small pressure, from the technical trend, is still a strong long arrangement, so I think continue to break up is inevitable. Above you can look at 3350 first, then 3368/3390.
My idea is to wait for a pullback after entering the long, at present, there is not much room for a pullback, and under the strong market, there are fewer opportunities, so you can consider the first 3336-40 direct layout of long orders. If there is a certain range of retracement to consider adding positions.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3336-40
TP:3349-54
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7/2 Trapped Orders from Yesterday Turned ProfitableGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday’s early-entry gold short position encountered some temporary drawdown, but thanks to flexible adjustments, the trade has now moved into profit overall.
Currently, the price is hovering near a key support area. Based on the 1H and 2H charts, there is still room for further downside. At this point, there are two strategic options:
Close the position to lock in current profits;
Hold the position and wait for further decline, keeping in mind that if support holds, the price may rebound back toward the 3350 level, introducing some risk.
You can decide whether to stay in the trade or exit, depending on your risk tolerance and trading plan.
Catching the Perfect Rebound on XAUUSD!Hi traders! , Currently analyzing GOLD (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe.
Price has dropped aggressively but is now reacting strongly from a key support zone around 3,271.00, where buyers are stepping in. This area has previously shown significant bullish reactions.
I'm now buying from 3,271.00, expecting a bullish correction towards my target.
Take Profit: 3,377.00
Stop Loss: 3,165.00
RSI is in oversold, indicating potential exhaustion of sellers.
Price may have created a fake breakout below the trendline, trapping liquidity before bouncing back.
Currently managing the trade, watching how price develops around this key area.
Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
#XAUUSD:First Buy, Then Sell Swing! Big Move In Making! Gold failed to decline further as previously predicted in our analysis. Instead, it continues to exhibit bullish sentiment. The current price trading in a critical region between 3350 and 3360, where significant resistance is observed. We anticipate that the price must pass through this region before it can clearly surpass the 3400 mark.
When this occurs, it is advisable to implement precise risk management strategies while trading gold due to its volatile nature. Additionally, the DXY index is experiencing a decline and currently trading at its all-time low since 1976. This development will likely have a substantial impact on the gold price.
We wish you the best of luck and ensure safe trading practices.
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Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Double Top Pattern
The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above.
After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern.
📉 Bearish Channel
The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270.
🎯 Target Projection
Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below.
🟠 Historical Support Areas
The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past.
📊 Outlook:
If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs.
🔧 Bias: Bearish
📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480
📍 Support: 3,207–3,220
📍 Target: 3,207.5
Gold bulls rise, continue to go long after falling backBecause it broke through the key suppression of 3324, we can go long on the contrary. The upper long position target is 3348. Although many people insist on being bearish, we must grasp the trend of the market and analyze it with technical aspects as the main and news as the auxiliary. At present, long orders are already profitable. Be a person who makes comprehensive judgments and don’t be at a loss about market analysis because of stop loss. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper focus is on the 3345 line of pressure, the lower short-term support is around 3314-3316, and the key support is 3295-3301. The overall support is based on this range to maintain the main tone of low-multiple participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold is long at 3316-24, and it will be long at 3295-3303 when it falls back, with a stop loss at 3293 and a target at 3348. If it breaks, continue to hold;
XAUUSD Maintains Bullish MomentumTechnical Analysis of XAUUSD – 15-Minute Chart – July 1st, 2025
In the latest trading session, XAUUSD continues to demonstrate a strong short-term uptrend. The 15-minute chart clearly shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that buyers remain in control.
1. Trend Structure
After a brief pullback from the June 30th high, price quickly rebounded and has been respecting the rising trendline, reflecting strong buying momentum.
From midnight (July 1st) to the present, a sequence of bullish candles—especially long-bodied green candles—has appeared, accompanied by increasing volume, confirming that strong capital inflow is entering the market.
2. Trading Volume
Volume has been gradually increasing along with the price rise, especially during minor breakout points. This suggests real buying pressure, not a false pump.
3. Key Support and Resistance Zones
Short-term support: Around 3,320 USD – a confluence of the rising trendline and recent swing lows.
Next resistance zone: Between 3,345 – 3,350 USD – previously a strong supply area. It should be closely monitored to see if price can break through.
4. Suggested Trading Strategy
Priority should be given to buying on dips, especially if price retraces to the 3,320 – 3,325 area and confirms with bullish candlestick patterns or volume support.
Avoid chasing entries near 3,345 – 3,350 without a clear breakout confirmation.
Conclusion:
XAUUSD is showing a clearly defined bullish trend in the short term. Buyers remain dominant, but caution is advised around key resistance levels. Wait for confirmation before expanding positions.
What do you think about this rally? Are you already in the trade or still on the sidelines? Drop your thoughts below – let’s discuss!
7/1 Gold Analysis and PMI Data Trading StrategyGood afternoon, everyone!
Gold has now entered a resistance zone, and on the 30-minute chart, a technical correction appears likely. This correction typically takes one of two forms:
A direct pullback from current levels;
A minor upward push before the pullback, intensifying the need for correction.
In most cases, the second scenario doesn’t result in a large move—unless it’s accompanied by strong news. Given this setup, today’s trading idea is to:
Start with a small short position near current resistance;
Add to the position if price pushes slightly higher, and patiently wait for a pullback. This strategy has shown over 80% historical success rate.
Key support levels to watch:
If the price rises before pulling back: 3321–3316
If the price drops directly: 3313–3306
On the 4-hour chart, the rebound is not yet complete, so if the pullback finds solid support, there’s still room for buy-side setups in line with the short-term trend.
⚠️ Important: U.S. PMI data will be released during the New York session. Strategy depends on pre-release price positioning:
If price remains below 3312, and the data is bullish → look for long setups.
If price is above 3323, wait for a post-data rally to sell into.
If the data is bearish → consider selling immediately.
Stay flexible, manage your positions wisely, and trade with discipline ahead of the U.S. session.
Gold price recovers above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) trades at $3,292 after rebounding from an intraday low of $3,246 and looks set to close out June with a modest gain of over 0.18%. However, its upward momentum has been restrained by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing optimism over forthcoming trade agreements. Meanwhile, analysts at Citi expect Gold to consolidate within the $3,100 to $3,500 range throughout the third quarter.
In Washington, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence that the “One Big Beautiful Bill” will make progress in the coming hours. The sweeping tax reform legislation, which narrowly passed the Senate over the weekend, includes major tax deductions funded by reductions in Medicaid spending and green energy incentives.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers above 3300 , ahead of NF reports this week . Accumulates above 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3353- 3355 SL 3360
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3272-$3270 SL $3265
TP1: $3283
TP2: $3295
TP3: $3310
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Breakout Done Let`s Buy It To Get Clear 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on 30 mins T.F , We have a very good bullish price action and we have a very good breakout with amazing bullish candle and now the price back to retest the breakout area , it`s my fav place to enter a buy trade and the price can move 200 Pips easy , i`m waiting for retest and good bullish price action to enter a buy trade .
Gold Is Set to Bottom Out and Rebound This WeekGood morning, everyone!
At today’s open, gold once again dipped into the 3258–3248 buy zone, then rebounded toward 3270. From a structural perspective, gold has clearly entered a downward trend, but this decline is unlikely to be one-directional—short-term rebounds and consolidations are expected along the way.
Based on my experience, below 3250 remains a favorable area for initiating long positions. Whether the price rebounds directly or continues lower before building a stronger base to challenge 3300 again, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the 3200 support holds. A bottoming reversal this week is still the more probable scenario.
As such, the focus early this week should be on buying near the lows, with short opportunities on rebounds as a secondary strategy. Monitor key support levels for signs of strength.
This week is also packed with important data—including PMI, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), and the unemployment rate, in addition to regular economic releases. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, significant market volatility is expected—bringing both risk and opportunity. Manage your exposure carefully and stay adaptable.
XAUUSD – June 30, 2025: Trade Strategy Right Now – Focus on SellGold OANDA:XAUUSD has been recovering slightly toward the 3,282 USD zone, but macroeconomic headwinds remain strong:
- The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) TVC:DXY remains above 106.3 – the highest level in a month – making gold less attractive due to increased opportunity cost.
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yields remain firm around 4.35%, reflecting market expectations that the Fed will maintain tight monetary policy.
- Core PCE data for June remains elevated, far from the Fed's 2% target – lowering the likelihood of a rate cut anytime soon.
- Geopolitical tensions are cooling off, reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
➡ These macro factors suggest that the current rebound in gold is more technical than fundamental, and unlikely to signal a major trend reversal.
1. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD on D1 Timeframe
- After bouncing from 3,255 USD, price is now testing the 3,285 – 3,295 USD resistance zone.
- This is a Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5 – 0.618) from the previous bearish leg 3,314 → 3,255.
- EMA20 and EMA50 remain downward-sloping, signaling that the dominant trend is still bearish.
- RSI is hovering around 52, suggesting mild momentum but not enough for a confirmed bullish reversal.
➡ The current price behavior aligns with a pullback within a downtrend, with potential for continuation to the downside.
2. Trade Setup – Short-Term Sell Strategy
Primary Setup: Sell the Rally
Entry: Sell near 3,294 – 3,295
Stop Loss: 3,300
Take Profit 1: 3,260
Take Profit 2: 3,244
Take Profit 3: 3,225
Ps: Gold OANDA:XAUUSD is showing signs of a technical bounce, but fundamentals and structure still support the downtrend. Selling at resistance remains the preferred strategy as long as macro pressure persists.
The strategy will be updated continuously – don't forget to save and follow to avoid missing key opportunities.
Analysis by @Henrybillion
GOLD 30th JUNE - MONTH-END BULLISH OR BEARISHDue to war no update on gold, gold made bolt move downward. Slowly war has been becoming calm but no good news about it has been stopped completely. But you can see some great and correct structure in gold chart where you can find amazing entry and exit points. Gold lower was 1246 since then. Now gold is trading in bullish flag and expecting to breakout. And after breakout we can expect a big move upward.
Key point.
Support - 3248, 3272, 3289
Resistance - 3298, 3313, 3332, 3349
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Gold's 3290-3300 Support : Next Week Aims for Gap-Up Retest Last week, gold opened with a gap-up on Monday 🔼, then trended downward 🔽.
⚡ Notably, the 3290-3300 support zone held firmly from Monday to Thursday, demonstrating strong resilience.
🌱 The price plunged to around 3255 on Friday but rebounded promptly.
🔥 For next week, the opening may surge toward the 3290-3300 zone, warranting close attention.
🚀 Buy@3260 - 3270
🚀 TP 3280 - 3290 -3300
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇