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Xauusdidea

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – July 8, 2025🔎 Momentum Analysis On the daily (D1) timeframe, momentum is currently declining. At the same time, the 4H momentum is showing signs of reversing downward. This suggests a likely short-term corrective decline, which provides a basis for projecting potential Elliott Wave patterns. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the 4H chart, I currently see two main possible scenarios: Scenario 1: Contracting Triangle Correction (abcde – purple) This scenario assumes a contracting triangle correction labeled abcde in purple. The market appears to be in wave d (purple), which is unfolding as a wxy corrective structure. Currently, it is likely in wave y. The projected target for the end of wave y is between 3393 – 3402. However, due to the declining momentum, I expect a short-term pullback to the 3318 – 3321 region before price resumes upward to complete wave d. Scenario 2: Larger WXY Correction In this case: Wave W has completed as a standard 3-wave abc. Wave X has also completed as a double zigzag. Wave Y appears to be forming a small contracting triangle abcde in red. Currently, the price is being compressed between the upper and lower boundaries of the red triangle, suggesting that it is in the final wave e. In this scenario, the projected retracement also aligns with the 3318 – 3321 zone. After completing wave e, price is expected to break out strongly above the upper boundary of the red triangle. ✅ Strategic Conclusion Both scenarios point to a confluence zone at 3318 – 3321, making this a key potential buying area. Two trading approaches can be considered: Aggressive Entry: Buy within the 3318 – 3321 range. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the red triangle before entering a long position. 📈 Suggested Trade Plan Buy Zone: 3318 – 3321 Stop Loss: 3308 Take Profit 1: 3342 Take Profit 2: 3362 Take Profit 3: 3393
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears🟡 TVC:GOLD Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears OANDA:XAUUSD Spot gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from intraday lows near $3,296, now trading around $3,330 as fears over renewed U.S. tariffs fuel safe-haven demand. President Trump has begun issuing formal letters announcing fresh import tariffs—25% on South Korea, additional measures on Japan, and a 10% universal tariff on countries aligning with BRICS. With the 90-day tariff pause expiring August 1 and no trade progress in sight, geopolitical and economic uncertainty continue to support gold’s floor. 📉 Technical Structure XAU/USD remains within a descending channel on the 1H chart, with price currently approaching the $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 1. A clean breakout above the upper channel boundary could trigger a move toward the broader $3,364 Resistance Zone 2. Conversely, failure to break above Resistance Zone 1 would keep the bearish channel intact, with downside targets toward the $3,302–$3,305 support zone. 📌 Key Technical Zones Resistance Zone 1: $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 2: $3,364 Support Zone: $3,302–$3,305 Channel Structure: Bearish unless broken to the upside 📘 Strategy Summary XAU/USD is showing signs of short-term recovery, but remains technically capped unless it breaks through $3,340 resistance. As long as the descending channel holds, rallies may be sold into. A confirmed break above $3,340 could shift bias toward $3,364, while rejection may reopen the path to $3,305 and potentially lower. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
Tuesday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD) After Monday’s move into the 4H Fair Value Gap and rejection near the trendline and Asia High, I’m expecting a corrective move to start Tuesday. I’m currently watching two possible downside targets: 🔸 Scenario 1: A short-term drop into the upper part of the 4H FVG (around 3320–3310) – this zone could act as intraday demand and cause a quick bounce. 🔸 Scenario 2: A deeper retracement toward the unfilled imbalance around 3290–3280, lining up with the London Low and completing the 4H FVG. This would be a more significant liquidity sweep before a potential bullish reaction. From both zones, I’ll be looking for price action to confirm a possible long setup back toward the trendline and above. Let’s see how Tuesday plays out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
XAUUSD:Go long Gold prices fell back in Asian trading on Monday, as they digested Friday's negative data. The short term may be partial shock, but the medium and long term news surface uncertainty or to provide support for gold prices, so trading ideas, retracement to do long can. Trading Strategy: Both 3300 and 3308 can be used to enter the long position, short-term traders can look at 3325-30, followed by 50 around. For intermediate traders, the target sees 3365-70 unchanged, and the retracting of 3300/3310/3330 is an opportunity to go long. More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
2
Trade Breakdown: XAUUSD 15-Min | Liquidity Grab + Reversal PlayOANDA:XAUUSD Psychological Setup This trade is rooted in the psychology of smart money and retail behavior. After a sharp drop in price, most retail traders expect continuation (trend-following). However, institutions often manipulate liquidity zones — hunting for stop-losses before a true reversal. This trade capitalizes on that behavior. 🔍 Technical Explanation: 🔻 1. Market Structure: Price was previously in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. A falling wedge pattern (red lines) formed after a strong bearish move, signaling potential bullish reversal. Price broke the wedge to the upside — a classic reversal signal. 🔁 2. Liquidity Concept: Below the wedge: The market grabbed liquidity by taking out stop losses of buyers who entered too early. Above the wedge (TP Areas): TP 1 Area (red box): This is the first logical resistance where previous supply sits — many sellers will enter here, providing buy-side liquidity. Next Target Liquidity (grey box above): This is a major imbalance zone and likely where stop-losses of early short sellers are stacked. Price is expected to grab liquidity from that area (marked by the red arrow). ✅ Entry & Trade Logic: Entry Zone: After liquidity was swept at the bottom of the wedge, a bullish engulfing candle formed near demand — signaling institutional interest. Risk-Reward Setup: Targeting 0.80% move (approx. 26.48 points). Trade is based on reversal from demand zone + wedge breakout + liquidity grab confirmation. 🎯 Target Projections: TP1 Area: Conservative target, just above recent structure. Final Target: High-probability liquidity zone where market is drawn to clean up resting orders (grey zone). 🧠 Why This Trade Matters (Trading Psychology Insight): Most retail traders get trapped in emotional entries — entering shorts after a drop or longs too early in a wedge. Smart money waits for liquidity sweeps before moving price in the desired direction. This setup shows the importance of patience, structure, and understanding market psychology rather than reacting emotionally to price action. 📌 Key Takeaways: 📉 Trap: Falling wedge builds false bearish confidence. 🧠 Psychology: Stop hunts create fuel for reversal. 📈 Reaction: Smart money absorbs liquidity, moves price toward next inefficiency. Hashtags: #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #TradingPsychology #GoldTrade #PriceAction #WedgeBreakout #FXOpen #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyDemand
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Jamtara_Trader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – June 8, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Timeframe: H4 Currently, price action is overlapping with multiple abc correction patterns. To reduce noise and gain a clearer perspective, I’ve shifted the analysis to the H4 timeframe. From the 3500 level down to now, the entire corrective move has been composed of overlapping abc patterns rather than sharp, impulsive rallies. This suggests we are likely forming a contracting triangle correction in the form of abcde (green) as shown on the chart. At the moment, price appears to be in wave d (green), which is unfolding as a wxy structure (red). Trading during triangle corrections is particularly challenging due to the complex interweaving of corrective waves. Additionally, price is consolidating within the Volume Profile’s high-liquidity zone, as shown on the chart. Therefore, it is best to remain patient and wait for the triangle pattern to complete. 📉 Momentum Daily (D1) momentum: Currently showing signs of a bearish reversal → suggesting that price may move sideways or lower this week. (Toward the end of a triangle, price tends to compress and lose clear directional bias.) H4 momentum: Also shows reversal signals, and a strong bearish candle has recently formed. Thus, a short-term bearish bias is preferred until H4 momentum reaches the oversold region. 🎯 Price Targets Since the market is currently forming overlapping abc structures, setting precise wave targets is difficult. Therefore, I rely on Volume Profile zones to define key levels: 3342 Resistance Zone: Marks the boundary between high and low liquidity areas → This is a Sell Zone, supported by confluence with D1 and H4 momentum signals. 3294 Support Zone: Represents the lower boundary of high liquidity → This is the projected end of wave X (red) and serves as our Buy Zone. 🧭 Trade Plan 🔻 Sell Zone: Entry: 3340 – 3342 SL: 3350 TP1: 3320 TP2: 3300 🔺 Buy Zone: Entry: 3295 – 3293 SL: 3285 TP1: 3312 TP2: 3342 TP3: 3390 📌 Personal Note: At this stage, I prefer to wait for the abcde triangle to complete or for more structural confirmation. If you decide to trade, focus on short-term setups with reduced position size to manage risk during this complex correction phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – High-Precision Sell Setup with 1:2.70 R/RGreetings, traders. After a brief tactical pause, we’ve identified a **high-conviction short setup** on **XAUUSD**. Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, structural momentum suggests there’s still room for meaningful movement in gold during today’s session. The risk-to-reward profile on this setup is exceptional — clocking in at **1:8.70**, it meets our highest-tier execution standards. If momentum stalls or price consolidates excessively, the trade will be manually closed by **23:00 (UTC+4)**, regardless of outcome. 🧠 Trade Parameters: • **Timeframe:** 1-Hour (H1) • **Direction:** Sell • **Entry:** 3337.09 • **Take Profit:** 3312.16 • **Stop Loss:** 3345.63 • **Risk/Reward Ratio:** 1:2,70 • **Trade Management Note:** Will be closed manually by 23:00 (UTC+4) if momentum conditions are not met. 🔗 Signal Source All trade setups are published directly by Velatrix Capital — a high-discipline trading desk focused on FX, crypto, and global indices. No opinions. No hype. Just statistically-grounded execution. All signals are posted via our TradingView desk: 👉 (www.tradingview.com) 📈 **We don’t chase hype. We build edge.** 🔔 **Subscribe for future setups and institutional-grade trade intelligence.** **Velatrix Capital**
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Velatrix_Capital
3
Consolidating Below Trendline Resistance, Bearish Bias IntactTechnical Structure: OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade below the descending trendline TL1, having failed multiple times to breach the $3,338–$3,345 resistance zone. After retesting Support Zone 1 ($3,303–$3,310), the price is showing signs of a short-term bounce. However, the broader structure remains bearish unless the price can break above TL1. Key Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: $3,338 – $3,345 Support Zone 1: $3,303 – $3,310 Support Zone 2: $3,260 – $3,253 Trendline: TL1 continues to act as dynamic resistance Strategy Insight: If TVC:GOLD gold remains below the descending TL1, bearish pressure is likely to resume. A short opportunity may arise if the price retests the resistance area and stalls. A confirmed break below Support Zone 1 would expose targets at $3,260 and $3,253. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook Published by Mohsen Mozafari## 📍 XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook ⏱️ *Published by Mohsen Mozafarinejad* --- ### 🔍 Market Structure: The market currently shows a **bearish structure**. After a recent **BOS (Break of Structure)** near the 3344 zone, price retraced to mitigate unfilled sell orders within the **Extreme Supply OB (TLQ)**. --- ### 🔸 Key Observations: - Price is reacting from a clear **supply zone (TLQ)** following BOS. - The move appears to have cleared liquidity from late long entries. - OB efficiency remains intact, indicating healthy market flow. --- ### 🧭 Scenario A – Short Bias > If price consolidates or rejects below the 3340 level, a **high-probability short** may form. 🎯 Target: **Demand OB at 3295** 🚫 Invalidation: **Break & close above 3354 (last HH)** --- ### 🧭 Scenario B – Fakeout & V-Shape Reversal > If price sweeps above TLQ but loses momentum, it could trap buyers and sharply reverse below BOS. This would signal potential **seller exhaustion**. --- ### ⚙️ Technical Summary: - **Structure:** Bearish 🔻 - **Efficiency:** Efficient ✅ - **MSU & VTA levels:** Valid for lower timeframe confirmations - **Momentum:** Controlled pullback detected --- > 📌 *"Precision beats prediction. Let the chart speak before you act."* --- #### 🔖 Hashtags: #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #OB #BOS #ScalpingGold #ForexAnalysis #MohsenMozafarinejad
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
Gold lacks downside momentum: Next week's analysis & adviceGold trading is relatively light today due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday. On the downside, we continue to focus on the short-term support at the 3325 level, while the key resistance above remains in the 3345-3350 range, which was yesterday's breakdown point. The market has closed early today, and price action has been stuck in a range-bound consolidation. After plunging $40 on the back of bearish non-farm payroll data, gold stabilized and rebounded, recouping nearly half of the losses. This performance confirms that the downside space is limited. Currently, the market has returned to a oscillating upward pattern, and the weekly chart is likely to continue range-bound fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the 3325 level has formed a key support. The secondary retest overnight confirmed the bottom structure, and the gradual lifting of early session lows has also released a bullish signal. Looking ahead to next week, gold is expected to continue its bullish trend. If the 3325 support level below remains unbroken, one can look for opportunities to establish long positions. XAUUSD buy@3325-3330 tp:3340-3360-3380 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
1
XAUUSDHello traders. After a short break, we’ve identified a promising sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair. Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, I believe we may still see solid movement in gold during today's session. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.70 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 3337.09 ✔️ Take Profit: 3312.16 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3345.63 🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, March 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 chart, wave 3 appears to have completed, and price is now entering a phase with an unusual structural behavior. Wave 3 previously showed strong momentum, moving steeply and continuously, with no clear internal pullbacks – a classic impulse wave. Following this, we observed a corrective abc pattern in black, suggesting the end of wave 3. Interestingly, although yesterday's ADP report was extremely bullish, gold only managed a mild breakout above the wave 3 high before pulling back this morning. Notably, the upward move followed a 3-wave abc structure in green, and price action is now showing overlapping waves with no clear directional momentum. 🧩 These signs suggest a high probability that: 🔹 Wave 5 is forming as an Ending Diagonal – a 5-wave structure with a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern. 🔹 This is typically seen at the end of a bullish cycle and often precedes a sharp reversal. Although it's too early to confirm, we should patiently observe the upcoming price action. If the ending diagonal completes, it may present a strong sell opportunity. 🎯 Target for wave 5: around 3395, provided all 5 sub-waves within the diagonal complete. ⚠️ If price breaks below 3324, we must consider that the full 5-wave structure is already done, and a new abc corrective phase may have begun. 🔍 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is about to turn bearish from overbought territory → suggests a weakening uptrend. H4: Momentum is turning upward → likely a mild rally or sideways movement today before H4 reaches overbought again. 📌 Trading Plan Given the current wave behavior and overlapping structure, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation before taking a strong position. If the Ending Diagonal structure is confirmed, it could signal a major reversal. SELL Zone: 3392 – 3395 Stop Loss: 3403 Take Profits: • TP1: 3368 • TP2: 3340 • TP3: 3324
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy The highest gold price in the Asian session reached 3365.4, which is already our mid-line target range. If you have completed and left the market, congratulations, because I personally set the TP point of 3368, so it did not touch, the trend of the past two days is appropriate rewithdrawal after strengthening, the high is also gradually rising, the overall long trend has not changed. For today's data, the probability will make gold prices continue to rise, trading ideas or to do the main. Trading Strategy: BUY@3347-51 TP:3365-70 This TP range is also the target range of the median trader, for friends who do not have automatic stop profit, you can take a profit manually at that time. More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_