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Xauusdideas

XAU/USD 30 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally continues, driven by the Fed’s dovish tone and escalating geopolitical tensions, further reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Price has printed a bullish iBOS, positioning it within an internal low and a fractal high, with the bearish CHoCH level denoted by a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Since the internal range has yet to establish, I’ll remain on standby for now. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As noted in the weekly analysis from 27 October 2024, the daily timeframe’s CHoCH positioning was distant, making it likely for both H4 and M15 to print bullish iBOS, which has since materialised. Price has now printed two bullish iBOS' within a significantly narrowed internal range, and we’re currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high, with CHoCH positioning marked by a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react at the internal 50% EQ discount to target the weak internal high. However, a bearish iBOS is also plausible. As emphasised before, price remains highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s softer stance. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 25 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 October 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling but not confirming the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: While there are no clear signs of a pullback yet, price is expected to react at either the 50% equilibrium (EQ) or H4 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. I'll remain on standby for further developments. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 October 2024. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase. As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
Gold stays high despite rising U.S. yields and a stronger dollarGold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new record high on Wednesday, surpassing $2,750 in the European trading session. Risk-averse sentiment and the threat of escalating tensions in the Middle East have driven capital into the precious metal. Political instability in the U.S. and accommodative monetary policy have also supported gold prices. Despite the U.S. dollar rising to its highest level since early August, bullish sentiment remains strong. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates less and concerns about spending deficits following the presidential election have pushed U.S. Treasury yields to a three-month high, which could hinder further growth in XAU/USD amid light overbought conditions. Personal opinion: XAU/USD has faced resistance near the $2,750 level, followed by the $2,767 area, which is the upper boundary of a two-week upward channel. If this barrier is cleared, it’s likely that the price of gold will continue to grow. If that happens, we could see gold reaching the $2,800 mark. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2738 - 2736 SL: 2731 Buy Scalp: 2749 - 2747 SL: 2742 Sell Zone: 2767 - 2769 SL: 2774
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
XAU/USD 21 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remain unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2024. Price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge, driven by a softer stance from the Fed and increasing geopolitical tensions. Since the last analysis, price has printed a BOS followed by a series of bullish iBOS’. The internal range of iBOS has narrowed, with price now targeting the weak internal high after reacting from the M15 demand zone. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21-25 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price has continued to rise, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to analysis dated 22 September 2024. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions. Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are no current signs of it materialising. The first indication, but not a confirmation, of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The bearish CHoCH level is denoted by a blue dotted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since the last analysis, due to illness, price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 10 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024. Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low. CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024. Analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS. We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 01 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. The price has continued its surge, reaching all-time highs with minimal pullbacks. The bearish swing pullback phase has now been confirmed by a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which also establishes the swing range. Currently, we are trading between the swing high and the fractal low. In yesterday's analysis, I noted that the internal range had narrowed significantly, allowing the price to confirm the swing pullback phase by printing the bearish iBOS. This is now reflected in the price action. Intraday Expectation: We expect the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, indicated by a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), denoted with a blue dotted line. However, since the bullish CHoCH is positioned in the premium zone, confirmation of the internal low will only occur if the price retraces to the 50% equilibrium (EQ). H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Price met expectations by targeting a weak internal low and printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). As previously mentioned, price action has been erratic due to ongoing macroeconomic data and heightened geopolitical tensions. Since the last analysis, price printed another bearish iBOS, followed by a bullish iBOS after reacting from an M15 demand zone. Recent bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) suggests the potential initiation of a bearish pullback phase, though this is not confirmation but an indication. I will closely monitor this as the CHoCH positioning is near the internal high, requiring discretionary judgement. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the 50% equilibrium or the M15 supply zone before aiming for a weak internal high. It's important to remain cautious, as the H4 timeframe has confirmed swing pullback phase with a bearish iBOS, which may limit upside momentum. With rising geopolitical tensions, Gold is likely to remain highly volatile in the short term. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 30 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 29 September 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge in price printing all time highs with price pulling back very minimally. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. We also have established an internal range. You will note the internal range has extensively narrowed, allowing price to confirm swing pullback phase by printing bearish iBOS. However, we remain bullish. Although price has tapped in to strong internal low, price has been unable to close below Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, due to the narrowing of the internal range and all HTF's requiring pullback, it would not be unrealistic if price prints a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Last week's intraday expectation (27 September 2024): In my previous analysis, I mentioned an alternative scenario where, due to all higher time frames (HTFs) requiring a pullback, it would not be surprising if the price printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This is exactly what transpired, with the price printing a bearish iBOS. This marks the first bearish iBOS since 18 September 2024, confirming the swing structure. Following the bearish iBOS, the price has now printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating a potential shift in momentum. Currently, the price is contained within an internal range and is trading in the premium zone above the 50% equilibrium (EQ) of that range. Intraday Expectation: The price is expected to react at the M15 supply level before potentially targeting a weak internal low. With rising geopolitical tensions, Gold is likely to remain highly volatile in the near term. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 30 September - 04 October 2024Weekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all time highs and surge with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price has continued higher with CHoCH positioning remaining the same as last week's analysis dated 22 September 2024. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS and continued it's surge in price lead by soft US macroeconomics and increasing geopolitical tensions. After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback, which, at the moment, is not showing any signs of printing. First indication, but not confirmation of pullback is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has remained unchanged. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue doted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge in price printing all time highs with price pulling back very minimally. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. We also have established an internal range. You will note the internal range has extensively narrowed, allowing price to confirm swing pullback phase by printing bearish iBOS. However, we remain bullish. Although price has tapped in to strong internal low, price has been unable to close below Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, due to the narrowing of the internal range and all HTF's requiring pullback, it would not be unrealistic if price prints a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 27 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge printing all time highs with price pulling back very minimally. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. We also have established an internal range. You will note the internal range has extensively narrowed, allowing price to confirm swing pullback phase by printing bearish iBOS. However, we remain bullish. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, due to the narrowing of the internal range and all HTF's requiring pullback, it would not be unrealistic is price printed a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Intraday expectation was met with price printing bullish iBOS. Price is now contained within an internal range and is in discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high. Expecting reaction from discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not be unexpected if price prints a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 24 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish. Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Since previous analysis price has continued bullish, as a result, CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to recent price action. Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback by printing bearish CHoCH, therefore, I will be standing by. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. *CORRECTION* - I overlooked yesterday's analysis stating internal was bearish when it was in fact bullish. Yesterday's intraday analysis was correct as price did target weak internal high, printing a further bullish iBOS. Price is now contained within an internal range and is positioned at the extreme of the strong internal low of internal 50% EQ and M15 demand zone. Currently strong internal low is holding. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high. Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 18 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action. After a very long period price has printed it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation which was in accordance to my intraday analysis of yesterday 16 September 2024. Internal range has now been established. Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price will be highly volatile. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at discount of 50% EQ or Daily and H4 POI's. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price met yesterday's intraday expectation by targeting weak internal low. This is in-line with all HTF as a pullback is required. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at premium of 50% EQ. Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we should be mindful that, due to geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions, price is likely to be highly volatile. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 17 September 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action. After a very long period price has printed it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation which was in accordance to my intraday analysis of yesterday 16 September 2024. Internal range has now been established. Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price will be highly volatile. Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price did not meet yesterday's intraday expectation by printing a bearish iBOS. This was expected as all HTF's require a pullback. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at premium of 50% EQ. Technically price should target weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 13 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS without any significant pullback following previous bullish iBOS Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH is significantly far, therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Price has printed a bullish BOS with price failing to target weak internal low. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. At he time of writing it seems price is print higher-highs. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish pullback phase, target either M15 demand zones or price reacts at discount of internal 50% EQ. Alternative scenario, price prints bullish iBOS, confirming internal range low. This would give more realistic LTF confirmation that HTF is in pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 12 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 September 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following bullish iBOS price did not pull back to either H4 POI's or discount of internal 50% EQ which indicates XAU strength. Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Intraday expectation: Whilst price has continued bullish it is my concern that price did not pull back deep enough to grab liquidity in order to sustain a bullish push. Looking to the left price has made several failed attempts. Price should technically target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis. Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high. Price is currently reacting at another M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price is close to extreme premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 12-16 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has, as yet, failed to indicate bearish pullback following bullish bullish BOS and iBOS. The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. However, price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. Price indicated bearish pullback phase initiation once it printed a bearish CHoCH. Price then continued bearish, reacting at discount of internal 50% EQ denoted in blue. Price has, once again, almost precisely reacted at 50% EQ of the internal structure, therefore, technically price should target weak internal high. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 08 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish and printed a bullish iBOS aligning itself with swing structure. Price has evidently begun to pullback following bullish iBOS without mitigating daily supply zone which would question if price has the liquidity to 'fuel' it's drive down. It would be prudent to stand aside and allow price to confirm it's intention. Intraday expectation: According to current price action, price to pullback to either discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. However, I would personally stand aside and allow price to confirm it's intention. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has been fairly erratic printing small range bullish iBOS' followed by small range IBOS'. Whilst range sizes are smaller than previous iBOS' and could be open to interpretation with reference to recent price action, I will keep the process mechanical. Price is currently trading between an internal high and fractal low. Bullish CHoCH lined is denoted with the blue dotted line, which is positioned close to M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, which would reposition CHoCH closer to current price action. Bearish iBOS has been printed, therefore, a pullback will be required to either premium of 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold trend analysis Hello everyone, after several days of sharp rise, gold has reached around 2165 today. Today I helped everyone achieve a profit of 140pips, and I almost always brought you stable and safe trading profits. I think that after the gold correction, you can still choose to buy gold, and the current trend is still upward. Gold is expected to hit a new all-time high. Tomorrow there will be US non-farm payroll data. will be the key to determining the next trend of gold. I will update my analysis in due course. If you like my analysis please give me a like and join me
FX:XAUUSDLong
by WilliamChloe
GOLD - The downtrend channel continues, so buy or sell now?World gold prices this morning continued to decline with spot gold down 8.8 USD to 1,968.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,973.5 USD/ounce, down 15.1 USD compared to yesterday morning's gold. The strong recovery of the USD in the evening trading session of November 7 took away the appeal of gold for buyers holding other currencies. Investors are currently waiting for a series of speeches from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials this week, the most important of which is Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on Wednesday and Thursday. However, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said the central bank may have more work ahead to control inflation. According to analysts at the World Gold Council, although October was a historic month for the gold market as the precious metal saw record high closing prices for the month, more substances are needed. catalyst to create sustainable thrust in the market. Experts note that geopolitical instability due to the conflict between Israel and Hamas has increased the demand for safe-haven speculation, but long-term investors are still reluctant to jump into the market due to the action. Weak prices in gold-backed exchange-traded products (ETFs). A sustainable rise for gold above $2,000 an ounce requires signs that political risks continue and bond yields and the dollar peak.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster