7/9: Failure to Break Above 3321 May Lead to a Drop Toward 3220Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold tested support and attempted a rebound but failed to break through resistance, followed by a second leg down that broke the support zone, invalidating the potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and resulting in a drop below the 3300 level.
On the daily (1D) chart, price has now broken below the MA60, signaling a further confirmation of the bearish structure.
However, due to the sharp drop, a double bottom or multi-bottom structure is forming on the 30-minute chart, which may be building momentum for a potential test of the 3321 resistance zone.
📌 Key focus areas:
If 3321 is broken and held, there is room for a short-term rebound to extend;
If 3321 holds as resistance, the current rebound is likely a short-selling opportunity.
Technically speaking, without the support of bullish news, if gold fails to reclaim and sustain above 3321, there is a strong chance of a further move lower—potentially down to 3220, where the weekly MA20 is located. A deeper decline could even test the 3200–3168 support zone.
📉 Therefore, the primary trading bias remains bearish, with sell-on-rebound as the preferred strategy until a stronger bullish signal emerges. Monitor the 3321 zone closely for direction confirmation.
Xauusdlong
Will gold continue to rise if it accelerates its decline?Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction. The current long-short watershed is at the 3390 mark. If the gold price cannot effectively break through and stand above 3315, the short-term rebound can be regarded as a good opportunity to enter a short position. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price has received support after touching 3287 and slowly repaired the decline, but it is still in a volatile pattern in the near future. Although the 3287 support is effective, the oscillation range has not been broken. The future direction needs to pay attention to the actual defense strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range break. The operation suggestion on Wednesday is to rebound high as the dominant strategy. The upper resistance area focuses on the 3315-3320 range, where short positions can be arranged. The downward targets are 3270 and the key support level 3260. If 3260 is effectively broken, it may open up a larger downward space.
XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money Concept (SMC) SetupPrice action on the 4H chart shows a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) at the 3,320 level, marking a shift from a bearish trend into potential bullish order flow. This CHoCH is supported by a strong break of internal structure followed by a pullback.
🧠 Smart Money Insight:
CHoCH Zone (Break of Structure): Price broke the previous lower high, confirming possible bullish intent.
POI (Point of Interest): A refined 4H demand zone sits between 3,280–3,310, aligning with a previous accumulation area. Price is currently approaching this zone with decreasing momentum (potential liquidity sweep below minor lows).
Liquidity Grab: Several equal lows were formed before the POI — prime setup for a liquidity sweep before a bullish push.
Refined Entry Zone: Based on candle wicks and order block imbalance.
🎯 Trade Idea:
🟢 Entry: Wait for bullish reaction or confirmation inside the POI zone (3,295–3,305)
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: 3,380 (reaction level)
TP2: 3,420–3,440 (major supply zone + inefficiency)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3,270 (invalidates demand zone and structure)
📈 Bias: Bullish unless POI fails
🔍 Confluences:
✅ 4H CHoCH Confirmed
✅ Price approaching refined demand zone
✅ Liquidity resting below recent lows
✅ Previous imbalance not yet filled
✅ Clean supply zone overhead (TP target)
💬 Conclusion:
This is a clean SMC-based long setup. We are waiting for price to tap into demand and show bullish intent before entry. Strong probability of reversal into premium pricing zone if structure holds.
📍Drop a like if you caught this setup or save it to monitor the reaction!
Wednesday's Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsGold surged on Tuesday but then kept pulling back during the U.S. session, hitting a recent new low, with intense seesawing between bulls and bears currently. The fluctuating U.S. tariff policies have triggered volatility in risk-averse sentiment, while the over 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July has provided support to the U.S. dollar.
Technically, focus should be on the key support level around 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows short-term moving averages diverging downward, with candlesticks under pressure and showing short-term weakness, suggesting there is still a need for a pullback tomorrow. The current bull-bear watershed lies at the 3390 mark; if gold fails to break through and stabilize above 3315 effectively, any short-term rebound can be seen as a good opportunity to enter short positions.
The 4-hour chart indicates that gold found support near 3287 and slowly recovered losses, but it remains trapped in a consolidation pattern recently. Although the 3287 support is effective, the consolidation range has not been broken. The future direction depends on the actual defensive strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range breakout.
For Wednesday's trading, the main strategy is to go short on rebounds. Focus on the resistance zone of 3315-3320, where short positions can be established. The downside targets are 3270 and the key support level of 3260 in sequence. If 3260 is broken through effectively, it may open up more downward space.
XAUUSD
sell@3315-3320
tp:3300-3280-3260
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The intraday low has already appeared, so go long on gold boldlyGold unexpectedly fell sharply to around 3287. To be honest, the short position is relatively strong. However, since gold fell below 3000, we can clearly see that gold has shown strong resistance to falling during the decline, and the volatility tends to converge around 3287, proving that the buying support below is strong; and as gold continues to retreat, the off-market wait-and-see funds will be more willing to go long on gold; and some short positions will be more willing to go long on gold after profit taking;
In addition, although the short position is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term. The intraday decline is basically in place. It is estimated that 3287 is the intraday low, so at this stage, it is inconvenient for us to continue to chase short gold. On the contrary, we can boldly go long on gold in the 3305-3295 area and look at the target area: 3320-3330.
7/8: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern, Support at 3321–3312Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke below the 3321 support during the session, dropped to around 3296, then staged a strong rebound back toward the opening price—forming a classic deep V-shaped reversal and regaining support above the MA60 on the daily chart.
The market remains in a consolidation phase between the MA20 and MA60 on the 1D chart, with no clear directional breakout yet.
On the 30-minute chart, the previous head-and-shoulders top pattern has been completed with the recent decline. The current structure can be tentatively viewed as the formation of a head-and-shoulders bottom.
If this bullish reversal pattern holds:
The 3321 level must act as valid support during any pullback; deeper confirmation may come from 3312, which corresponds to the previous left shoulder low. Although this was partially driven by a data-related spike, most candle bodies remained around 3321—so 3321 is the primary support, and 3312 is the backup.
If confirmed, the price may advance toward the 3360 target zone.
If the pattern fails, watch for the development of a double bottom formation, with MA60 on the daily chart remaining a key support level.
📌 For today, focus on trading within the 3312–3352 range, using a buy-low/sell-high approach, and stay flexible in response to evolving chart patterns.
Short-term gold bulls and bears are anxious,3330 becomes the keyAt present, the market has been fluctuating narrowly in the range of 3330-3320, and both bulls and bears are in a stalemate. However, gold has formed a double-layer head and shoulders bottom pattern, so the short-term bullish trend is definitely unchanged. In the previous post, I also mentioned that if the rebound in the European session is weak and gold continues to be below 3345, then the short-term NY session may usher in a retracement and a second bottom. Therefore, I still hold a long order of 3325-3315, and temporarily modify the TP to the 3335 line. I expect that there may be a retracement here, but there may also be a direct retracement. No matter what the situation is, we need to stabilize before entering the market.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
How to solve the problem of order being trapped in a loop📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. The lasting impact of new tariffs
2. The impact of geopolitical conflicts
3. The Fed’s interest rate cut
📈 Technical Analysis:
The recent market conditions have been volatile. Many brothers have reported that they have been trapped recently. They have just been released from short positions, but have fallen into the situation of being trapped by long orders again. I have also encountered such a situation recently. Brothers who follow me must know that I have been trapped, but in the process of being trapped, I still share my trading ideas for the brothers who are trapped to check, so that we can all get out of the trap.
Gold fell as expected and hit the lowest point of 3287 before rebounding. The current 3300-3290 range given at the bottom has certain support. At present, I have answered it. As long as it does not fall below 3285, we can still go long and look for rebound correction. TP can temporarily look at 3305-3310. At present, the short-term upper watershed is near the 3321 line. As time goes by, the medium-term point can be seen at 3345. Only when the price stands above 3345 can the upward momentum continue to touch the 3380 line, or even 3400. In the short term, you can go long if you look at the support below. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance above 3315-3320. If it encounters resistance under pressure, it will fall back. On the contrary, after breaking through the first level of resistance, the upward trend will continue.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3300-3290-3285
TP 3305-3315-3320-3345
SELL 3315-3321
TP 3300-3290
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Gold Price Setup: Bullish Continuation or Rejection? 🧠 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 1H):
Key Structure Highlights:
CHoCH (Change of Character) zones marked both up and down indicate a battle between bulls and bears.
Recent bullish CHoCH followed by a fair value gap (FVG) retest suggests potential continuation to the upside.
Price recently bounced strongly from demand zone, shown by the green arrows and strong candle reaction.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is trying to break back above the Kumo (cloud), a sign of bullish momentum building.
However, resistance is still present with the Kijun and Tenkan lines converging.
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The current price is attempting to fill and break above the FVG zone.
A successful breakout above this area confirms bullish intention.
Fibonacci Levels:
Price is hovering around the 0.5 - 0.618 retracement zone, often a strong reversal or continuation point.
Upside targets lie near the 0.786 retracement (3352) and ultimate target at 3391, a major resistance level.
Risk Management:
Trade setup shows an excellent Risk:Reward ratio.
Stop-loss placed just below the last structure low.
Potential downside to 3290–3258 if breakout fails.
🟢 Possible Next Move:
Bullish Scenario: If price clears the FVG and breaks above 3353, expect continuation to 3391.
Bearish Rejection: If rejected at FVG/0.618 level, watch for a drop back to 3290 or even 3259.
The shock continues, and the retracement continues to go long📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. The lasting impact of new tariffs
2. The impact of geopolitical conflicts
3. The Fed’s interest rate cut
📈 Technical Analysis:
From the hourly chart, gold has formed a head and shoulders bottom. At present, 3320 below has formed a certain support in the short term. For now, the daily line still cannot close below 3320. If the daily line closes below 3320, the decline may open further. On the contrary, the current upper suppression position of gold is near 3350. If the daily line stands above 3350 again, it will be a bull-dominated trend and may test 3380-3390 above. In the short term, pay attention to the support line of 3325-3315 below. If it retreats to the support level, you can consider going long. Look to the resistance range of 3340-3350 above, and pay special attention to the suppression line of 3365-3370. At the same time, if the European session is always suppressed below 3345 and sideways, there is no performance, so you should consider selling it, and there may be further retreat in the evening.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3330-3325-3315
TP 3340-3350-3365
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Gold Finds Supports – Is the Rebound About to Begin?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) declined to the Support zone($3,312-$3,290) and Support lines as I expected in the previous idea .
Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,312-$3,290) and near a set of support lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5 ) and we should wait for the next 5 impulse waves . One of the confirmation signs of the end of these corrective waves could be the break of the resistance line .
I expect Gold to trend higher in the coming hours and rise to at least $3,343 AFTER breaking the Resistance line .
Second Target: $3,364
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,287
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSD Breakout Done , Long Entry Valid Now To Get 150 Pips !Here is my opinion on Gold On 15 Mins , we have a very good closure with breakout candle and now the price retest the broken res and new support and we can enter a buy trade as a scalping , if we have a 4H Closure Below 3326.00 this idea will be not valid anymore.
Will gold continue to fall?Judging from the current trend of gold, it is weak in the early trading and continues to break lows in the European trading. Then there will be a second bottoming action in the US trading. Pay attention to the 3330 and 3335 areas for short selling before the US trading. Pay attention to the two support levels of 3318-3315 below. The market changes in real time, and it is recommended to operate in real time according to my prompts before the trading!
XAUUSD Trading Strategy – July 8, 2025Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 3,331 USD as global markets react to a series of critical economic data releases. The recent rally has brought prices back to a key resistance zone, but selling pressure remains strong due to the following factors:
- The Dollar Index (DXY) TVC:DXY holds steady near 97, its highest level in five weeks. A strong USD continues to weigh on gold, a non-yielding asset.
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yields remain stable at 4.35%, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer to tame inflation.
- Robust U.S. labor market data and June’s Core PCE figures staying above the Fed’s 2% target further reduce the likelihood of a rate cut in Q3 or Q4.
- Geopolitical tensions remain muted, with no significant escalations in the Russia–Ukraine conflict or Middle East unrest, weakening gold’s safe-haven appeal.
➡ Collectively, these factors suggest that gold’s recent rebound could be a technical pullback within a broader downtrend, unless a new catalyst drives a breakout.
1. XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Daily Chart (D1)
Price is currently testing the 3,331 – 3,340 USD resistance zone, which includes:
A previous supply zone that has rejected multiple rallies.
- Fibonacci retracement 0.5–0.618 from the recent high at 3,405 USD.
- A key Change of Character (CHoCH) area, where trend reversals have previously occurred.
- EMA20 and EMA50 remain aligned downward, confirming the dominant bearish trend.
- RSI hovers around 50 with signs of mild bearish divergence, reflecting weakening bullish momentum.
➡ The current price action fits a classic “sell on rally” setup, with repeated rejections at technical resistance zones.
2. Key Price Levels to Watch
Technical Significance
- 3,340 – 3,331 Confluence resistance (Fibo 0.5–0.618 + supply + CHoCH)
- 3,310 – 3,300 Nearest support – role reversal zone
- 3,275 – 3,260 Short-term target support – June’s low
- 3,223 – 3,205 Strong medium-term support – April’s low + extended Fibo
3. Suggested XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Trading Strategy
Primary Strategy: SELL if price rejects 3,340 – 3,345
Entry: 3,340 – 3,345
Stop Loss: 3,356
Take Profit 1: 3,335
Take Profit 2: 3,330
Take Profit 3: 3,325
Ps : Gold is trading at a critical price zone. If XAUUSD fails to break above the 3,340 USD resistance, there’s a high probability of a pullback toward the lower support levels. Selling at resistance and targeting support remains the preferred approach in the current macro environment, which continues to favor bearish momentum.
This strategy will be updated regularly – save it and follow to avoid missing upcoming opportunities.
Analysis by @Henrybillion
XAUUSD Short-Term Correction From the Top ZoneOn the 15-minute chart, XAUUSD showed a strong upward momentum starting below the 3,300 USD mark, reaching a peak near 3,346 USD. This rally was supported by a clear bullish structure and an ascending trendline.
However, once the price hit resistance at the top, selling pressure intensified, pushing the price into a downward correction. A clear pullback zone has formed between 3,346 USD and the support area around 3,318 USD — currently acting as a buy-side liquidity pocket.
Crucially, the price broke below the previous uptrend line and is now being capped by a descending resistance trendline, indicating a short-term bearish bias. Multiple failed attempts to break above the 3,332 – 3,335 USD area confirm that sellers still have the upper hand.
Additionally, the price action within this correction zone hints at a potential distribution pattern. Without strong buying interest to reclaim the 3,335 USD level, further downside remains possible.
Suggested Trading Strategy:
In the short term, traders may consider a “Sell on Rally” approach if price continues to fail at the 3,332 – 3,335 USD resistance zone.
Conversely, if a clear breakout occurs above the descending trendline and especially above the 3,336 – 3,338 USD area, the bullish trend may resume.
Conclusion:
XAUUSD is undergoing a technical pullback after a sharp rise. The market is currently in a tug-of-war between profit-taking pressure and recovery attempts. How price reacts at the current resistance will determine the next key move.
Gold falls back to 18-24 and goes longFrom the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term support of 3318-3324 below, pay attention to the short-term resistance of 3345-50 above, and focus on the suppression of 3365-70. The overall high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation theme remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and keep the main theme of participation in the trend. Be patient and wait for key points to participate. I will prompt the specific operation strategy in the link, please pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long at 3318-3324, stop loss at 3312, target at 3345-50, and continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Go short at 3345-50 when gold rebounds, stop loss at 3357, target at 3318-24, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Can the gold bulls reverse?From the technical perspective of gold, the lowest price fell to 3295 on Monday and stopped falling. There is a lot of room for the rise, and the highest rose to around 3345. The overall trend was a "V" reversal of falling first and then rising. Therefore, it can be determined that the adjustment of gold has been completed, and the bullish force has emerged. The market outlook will continue to see room for growth. The upper side will maintain around 3365 to 3400, and the effective target of the rise this week is 3400. In the 4-hour chart, the technical pattern is also three consecutive positive days at a low level, and the Bollinger band is closing. Standing firmly above the middle track of the Bollinger band is absolutely strong. If it continues to rise, it will be around 3365. 3365 is the high point last week. If this point breaks and the Bollinger band opens, there is a possibility of a big rise to 3400 this week. Today's key point is the 3345 line above. Before the intraday breakout and stabilization at 3345, the rebound is an opportunity to go short. If it stabilizes above 3345, it means the formation of the bottom pattern, and the bulls will start to pull up. At that time, the bears can no longer hold on. The small cycle support is around 3320. Don't chase the long position in the Asia-Europe session, wait for it to fall back to the key support point and then go long.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long at 3320-3322, stop loss at 3314, and target 3330-3340; it is recommended to go short at 3342-3340 on the rebound, stop loss at 3350, and target 3330-3320;
XAUUSDHello traders,
Today we're taking advantage of a great buying opportunity on the XAUUSD pair. This setup is ideal for both medium- and long-term positions. I anticipate that the price will rise toward the 3392.82 USD level in the coming weeks.
That’s why I’ve positioned this trade as a medium-term opportunity.
XAUUSD D1 – Gold Under Long-Term Bearish PressureGold is currently trading around 3,328 USD after failing to break above the descending trendline that started from the mid-June peak. On the chart, the price forms a series of lower highs and lower lows — a classic signal of a medium-term downtrend.
The descending trendline (green) acts as dynamic resistance. Each time price approaches it, strong selling pressure pushes it back down, showing sellers are in control.
In the short term, the 3,300 – 3,310 USD area serves as immediate support. If this zone is broken, price could drop further toward the major support zone around 3,260 – 3,270 USD.
Conversely, a confirmed reversal would only be valid if price breaks above the descending trendline and closes sustainably above 3,371 USD — a historically significant distribution zone.
The most recent daily candle is a small-bodied red candle with a long lower wick, indicating weak buying pressure and market indecision — typical in a consolidation phase before further downside.
Strategy Summary:
Favor short positions on pullbacks to the descending trendline.
Avoid bottom-fishing until a confirmed breakout above major resistance.
Traders should monitor the 3,300 USD zone closely in upcoming sessions.
Note: The analysis above is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Stay tuned for further updates and adjust your trading plan accordingly.
What’s your take on the next move for gold? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold is still in rangeGold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. The price has fallen from the historical high of 3500 to 3120 in the first round this year. After rising to 3452, it is currently in the second round of downward cycle. The mid-term top idea is maintained, and the operating target is 3120;
The non-agricultural data at the end of last week was under pressure at 3365, and it dropped to 3296 on Monday and rebounded. It broke the high overnight, and the daily chart closed positive. The K-line combination is in a volatile arrangement. In the short term, it will maintain consolidation below 3365; short-term support is 3330-3326, and strong support is 3320-3316; short-term resistance is 3350-3358, and strong resistance is 3365;
GOLD TODAYHello friends🙌
🔊Due to the weakness of buyers and the strength of sellers, the price continues to fall...
We have identified two supports for you that will not be seen if the price continues to fall, and if the selling pressure increases, we will update you.
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Gold: update hello friends✋️
According to the recent growth of gold, you can see that it is constantly resisting and forming a falling pattern.
For this reason, it can be a warning that the fall can continue and the price will fall to the specified limits.
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