Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168;
European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202;
🎯Practical strategy:
It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
Xauusdshort
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side:
1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold.
2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed.
📈Technical aspects:
Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Gold Trends and Analysis Before NFP Release📰 Analysis of Gold's News Background 👉 Join in
During the US trading session on Thursday (May 1st), spot gold continued its downward trend, hovering around $3,216.55 per ounce, with a decline of approximately 0.4%. It had already fallen for two consecutive days before that. On Wednesday, it even reached $3,267.07, getting close to the key support level of $3,265, which was set last week. The market's bull-bear tug-of-war stems from the divergence in expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies: The weak US economic data has boosted the expectation of an interest rate cut, but the rebound of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields has suppressed the safe-haven nature of gold.
⚠️ Key Focuses for the Day 👉 Join in
Pay attention to the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision, the data on job cuts by US enterprises in April, the final value of the manufacturing PMI, and the number of initial jobless claims. Also, keep an eye on geopolitical and trade dynamics!
📈 Quick Look at the Technical Analysis of Gold
On the eve of the Nonfarm Payrolls report, how should we choose between going long and short on gold?
🔹 Daily Chart: Closed lower with a medium-sized bearish candlestick. In the early trading session, it broke below the key support level of $3,265, confirming the end of the Wave B rebound and the start of the Wave C decline. Continue with the strategy of "going short on rebounds".
🔹 4-Hour Chart: The downward space was broken open, and the bears are in control after the top-bottom conversion.
🔹 1-Hour Chart: The moving averages formed a bearish crossover, and the gold price broke below the previous low. When it rebounds to the densely traded area near $3,265, go short without hesitation! 💥
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3230 - 3220
🚀 TP 3210 - 3200
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Try going long gold in small batchesFundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold continues to fall and is currently testing the 3200 mark. It is undeniable that gold is currently in a clear bearish trend, and the foreseeable area below is the 3185-3175 area, which is a strong support in the short term. However, the long and short sides are currently wrestling at the 3200 mark, and I think there will still be repetitions in the short term. So gold should rebound before falling to the 3185-3175 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 3210-3200 area, TP: 3220-3230.
Please note: In order to protect the security of the account, as gold rebounds, you can consider gradually moving up the SL to ensure profits.
Gold trading ideas after key data releaseOn the news front, the US April ISM manufacturing PMI was higher than expected, which led to the US Treasury bonds giving up their gains. From a technical analysis point of view, after the gold price fell out of the strong support of 3260 in the shock range, this position turned into the short-term resistance level for our short-term reference, followed by the position of multiple entity K-lines at the hourly level of 3275. There is a possibility of breaking through 3260 in the later period, so 3275 can also be treated as a defensive position.
Although the price of gold has been hovering around 3220, our main bearish direction remains unchanged in the short term. The trading strategy given in the afternoon is still a reference. For rebound, first focus on the 3240-3250 first-line resistance, and further look at the top-bottom transition position of 3260-3270. You can participate in transactions in small batches. Below, focus on the 3210-3200 support, and if it falls below, look for the 3193 first-line.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD is expected to fall further.After a night of trend changes, XAUUSD has reached 3225. This is consistent with my prediction this week, and the direction is also consistent. In terms of operations, most of the orders are short-selling. This allows us to seize the opportunity to make money by shorting XAUUSD in the market.
BTCUSD also successfully reached 95,000 after a small correction, which is very critical for buying at a low level to make a profit.
The three-year-long Russian-Ukrainian situation may end
If this "farce" is declared over, XAUUSD will fall at a faster rate. Currently in a downward trend, XAUUSD needs to focus on the opportunity to sell after the rebound. 3273-3255. The target is 3200 first. If it breaks through sharply, it can be considered to reach 3170. There are risks in trading. Remember to proceed with caution.
If you don't know how to trade. Follow me.
3236 becomes the dividing line between long and shortGold 3243 is the watershed between long and short positions. As long as this point is not broken, shorting at highs is still the main theme. You can continue to arrange short positions based on the suppression of 3236. The 3195-3190 area below is an important support. If the market retreats to this area, you can consider going long based on the actual situation and seize the opportunity of long-short conversion.
The most fundamental trading logic of XAUUSD.From the trend of XAUUSD, it is still mainly selling.
Trading logic, the current geopolitical situation has eased, which is the biggest negative news for xauusd. Tariffs have eased.
In other words, selling pressure exceeds demand.
So continue to sell at the current price of 3230-3220. The target is below 3200.
Always remind trading risks. So don't ignore this. If you don't know how to trade. Remember to wait and see. Don't trade blindly or gamble.
Many investor friends know that I have led some investors to create good profits for several consecutive days. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message and try it. Maybe your profit will double.
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage.
The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
XAUUSD Take ProfitThe gold trade I shared a few hours ago has hit Take Profit at the RRR 1:2 level. This was the second TP level.
For those who wish, you can hold the trade until the TP level at 3206.35.
If the price approaches this level, don’t forget to move your SL to the entry point.
Wishing everyone a pleasant end to the day.
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XAUUSD SellThere is a good zone for a sell trade on XAUUSD. This is one of our favorite types of setups—small loss zone and wide TP area, making it an ideal trade. You can activate the trade at the 3229.91 level.
The TP target will be 3208.20 and the SL level will be 3234.71.
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Gold's evening rebound continues to be bearishAffected by the initial jobless claims data, gold has rebounded and risen again to around 3220 after touching around 3203. As we mentioned in the previous trading idea, short selling is still our main trading method before there is a big data impact. For the time being, we will first look at the first-line resistance of 3240-3250. If it breaks through this resistance range, we will further look at the key resistance of 3260-3270. If it does not break, we will go short.
There is an obvious downhill trend in the weekly line, which is expected to form a continuous negative trend. Then we look to the 3210-3200 support level to remain unchanged, and may even continue to look to the early low support line of 3193.
SELL 3240-3250
TP 3210-3200
Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
5/1 Gold Trading SignalsGold failed to show a decisive move yesterday as expected, and the market continues to trade within a tight range between 3260 and 3300, resulting in limited profit opportunities.
As of this update, price remains in sideways consolidation, with 3260 having been tested for the fifth time, indicating that this support level may be weakening.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Given that current price levels are closer to the 3220 key support zone, it's more likely that the market will dip lower to test support before any meaningful rebound.
The inability to break above 3300 strengthens the case for a near-term bearish move.
✅ Trading Recommendations for Today:
🔻 Sell Zone (Short Entries):
3310–3330
🔺 Buy Zone (Long Entries):
3230–3200
⚠️ Manage position sizes carefully, and wait for confirmation of support before committing to larger entries.
Gold continues to fall, is it expected to reach 3210-3200?Yesterday we mentioned that the market may present a convergent triangle pattern. Today, the gold price has indeed ushered in a wave of sharp declines at the opening of the Asian session, and has fallen below the key support of 3260, and the lowest level has reached 3221. At present, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. In the short term, gold is still in a downward trend and is in a correction to overbought. The gold price is expected to reach 3210-3200. If it falls below this support range, it may even test the previous low of 3193. But at the same time, the 1H RSI indicator has fallen into the oversold area. Therefore, in terms of news, we need to pay attention to the initial jobless claims and PMI data during the US trading session today, and beware of the rebound after the correction.
Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Buy@3200With gold approaching the crucial 3,195 support mark, let's wait for the rebound.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3200
🚀 TP 3240 - 3260
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
The bearish trend is obvious, 3180 is foreseeable!Fundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
After gold fell below the recent low support area of 3260, the bearish trend became more obvious. Although gold has stopped falling near 3220, there is no obvious sign of bottoming out. From the current structure, gold still has room to fall, and the area near 3180 can be foreseen in the short term. However, after a sharp drop in gold, there may still be repetitions in the short term, so it is not advisable to over-short gold for the time being. Gold still has the possibility of a short-term rebound to the 3245-3255 area.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider waiting for gold to rebound to the 3245-3255 area before shorting gold; TP: 3235-3225;
2. Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 2330-2320 area, TP: 3245-3255, and then short gold after reaching the target area.
Gold’s short trend intensifies! Main empty follow up.📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Gold, the price of this round has fallen from the historical high of 3500. After the first round of selling to 3260, it rebounded and repaired 3370; it rebounded to 3358 during the week and then weakened again. The Asian market opened with a rapid sell-off below 3260 and is now trading around 3234; the short position in each cycle is good, and the pre-non-agricultural market continues to be bearish. The target is adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168.
Short-term resistance 3235-3240, strong resistance 3246-3250, 3260 is not expected to arrive; short-term support 3220, strong support 3210-3194.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3240-3250, target 3220-3200.
Slumped below 3265 on selling pressure. Stay short before NFPGold remains unable to withstand the pressure from the bears 📉. It has finally broken below the previous low of around 3,265. Currently, the lowest price has dropped to 3,222, and the key support level to watch lies at 3,195 ⚠️. With such a dominant bearish trend, don't expect significant rebounds 🚫. In fact, I've repeatedly emphasized in recent days that rallies present opportunities to go short
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3260 - 3240
🚀 TP 3220 - 3200
🚀 Buy@3200 - 3220
🚀 TP 3240 - 3260
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
EUR/USD Intraday Bias: SHORTUR/USD has cleanly broken below key support, confirming a decisive bearish move. The intraday trend is strongly directional to the downside — this is not a choppy market. No signs of reversal have emerged.
Volume confirms that supply has strong control. This is not a low-volume drift — it’s a meaningful move with conviction.
Stick with momentum — avoid long traps until structure flips.
XAUUSD Sells on possible tariffs reduction on ChinaFX:XAUUSD
XAUUSD
✏️Gold has rose roughly 30% since Trump took office in Jan 20 early this year, trading at about 2,700 per ounce, to highest at 3,500 on 22 April. Price has recently also reacted off the 0.79 fibre zone, giving a fantastic reaction upside, but failed to break above the HTF Resistance.
🔖Trump recently has also mentioned that he would not fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and we could see him lowering his 'tough guy' attitude towards China. On his recent speech in the Oval Office he said “I'm not going to say, oh I’m going to play hardball with China, I’m going to play a hardball with you, President Xi”, and “we’re going to be very nice”.
📌On the other hand, a White House official mentioned about possible reduction of the 145% tariffs to less than half of its current charges. Note that, this happened before the China's foreign ministry spokesperson Guo JiaKun clarified that the two countries had not held any negotiations on the tariffs, and reached to any agreements. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did mention about the rates being 'unsustainable', as well as Powell warning about Trump's tariffs worsening inflation and slowing the economy. From these sources, we could perceive it as, the US may desperately need the negotiations with China, than vice versa.
📌As mentioned by Radomski ( news article referred below), we could be experiencing the ‘Buy the Rumour, Sell the News' effect, where investors sought to buy low risk investment products, such as Gold at the beginning of the year due to expected tariffs implementation and trade wars, and selling safer investment products when they see better opportunities. Rarely, we experience ATHs after ATHs without significant corrections. Therefore in this scenario, we could expect at least a few % of short term correction in the near future.
Let me know what you guys think!
🔗Sources: www.investing.com
www.reuters.com
spectrumlocalnews.com
How to trade when ADP comes?The selling opportunity was announced earlier. XAUUSD successfully reached TP3306 and 3280.
It is predicted that the market will reach 3250 again. So now is a good time to sell.
When ADP is bullish. Continue to short after the rebound. If it is bearish. Then go short. The target is 3250-3230
XAUUSD/GOLD | 4H | SWING TRADEHey There,
Guys, I advise you to just wait for the breakout in gold. This is swing trading. I am just waiting for a breakout; if this breakout is to the downside, the target will be at least 3.215 level.
I hope this matches your desired tone.
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