Gold trading brief: 23-APRIL-2025Your daily Gold trading briefing: Zones, insights, and opportunities.
Xauusdshort
Gold: Beware of the Impending Mid-to-Long Term Bearish Trend💥 Post-market surprise news shook the gold market:
About a week ago, Trump publicly hinted at “considering firing” Powell. But just after today’s market close, he suddenly walked it back, saying he “never thought about it.”
At the same time, he dropped signals of easing trade tensions — this combo crushed gold’s safe-haven sentiment, causing a gap-down open that nearly broke below 3300!
🗣 Looks like Trump might be happily trading gold himself! 😂
Now, gold has recovered most of that drop and filled the gap, so this round of quick rebound profits is mostly over.
📉 What’s next? Strategy outlook:
🔺 Short-term resistance to watch:
Key level at 3400
If broken, 3420–3440 is a strong short-entry zone
If price pushes further, consider scaling into shorts between $3440–3540, targeting $3268
🔻 Short-term support:
A gap still exists around 3313
If price fails to break above 3440, apart from shorting near 3420, watch for buying opportunities near 3300
📉 Mid-term view:
If gold climbs past 3440 again this week and holds, expect a mid-term correction
Mid-term targets: 3190–3128
A drop below 3000 is not out of the question — the rally from 2000 to 3500 is simply too steep!
🧭 In summary: The rebound opportunity is nearly over. Don’t chase blindly at these highs — the market is entering a highly volatile decision zone. We could be looking at bull traps followed by a meaningful correction.
🎯 Long positions — manage your rhythm!
If price shows signs of exhaustion or stalls in the 3400–3440 zone,
🔔 Take profits promptly to avoid giving gains back!
If a clear breakout fails, it’s time to switch back to shorts and follow the trend.
4/22 Gold Trading StrategyGold continued its upward movement yesterday. Short positions around 3380 yielded limited gains, while those near 3410 are currently underwater. Many traders may be in a similar position, and I want to emphasize: there’s no need to panic—today offers a strong opportunity for the bears.
Technically, gold is now in the final stage of a five-wave upward structure . The bullish momentum is fading. The remaining upside is likely limited to within $50 , while the downside potential could exceed $80. In short, there’s an 80%+ chance of a pullback or consolidation today, offering a solid exit or profit opportunity for short positions.
The price is expected to retrace below 3360, and once profit-taking begins, the decline may accelerate.
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3450–3480
Buy between 3330–3310
Trade flexibly within 3440–3400 / 3410–3355
One Step Ahead of the MarketHey guys and girls,
Look at this chart, Do you see what I see? (we are heading into a bear market).
(RSI= 86, kiss of Death) a chart is worth a thousand words!
Technical Section (a top is in place- ABC bear market):
Wave 1 = $ 850
Wave 3 = $ 1650
Wave 3 > 1.618 x length of Wave 1----> Wave 5 (Max) = 2.618 x length of Wave 1 (Target = $ 3300)
Fundamental (Bearish):
Let's look at the reasons:
a- Trump's trade war is over; as a result, there is no strong overriding trend.
b- Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady
Conclusion:
The trend is losing momentum and a top is in place.
Target = $ 2700
Invalidation level = $ 4170
Can the 3370 support level turn the tide?The Asian session low of 3413 rebounded to 3500 under pressure, and then fell back to 3370 in the evening, with a single-day fluctuation of more than 100 points. Since the 14-day bull market started at 2959 on April 7, the gold price has soared 500 points, and the short-term overbought has triggered technical correction pressure. The current market presents a strong pattern of "buying on every correction", and even if there is a long upper shadow, the bullish sentiment still dominates the market.
From a technical perspective, the support near 3370 is crucial. If it holds, the bullish trend will continue; otherwise, a break may trigger a deeper adjustment. Although there is short-term profit-taking pressure, the overall market is bullish. It is recommended to pay attention to the key support level of 3370 and be alert to low-long opportunities in repeated fluctuations.
Gold intraday high V reversal looks to continueToday's market analysis and interpretation:
First, the gold daily level: After closing with a full increase of 100 US dollars yesterday, it continued to rise by nearly 90 US dollars today. The daily line may not feel the acceleration, but from the weekly line, the trend of continuous large positives for nearly three weeks and an increase of more than 500 US dollars, it seems to be accelerating to the top; although the overall bullish trend this year will not be affected at all, in the short term, some bulls may flee due to the accelerated pull, that is, profit-taking, which is often more likely to happen; In addition, yesterday's research report focused on interpreting the trend of 2956 to 3500. It is very likely to cycle the previous wave of 2832 to 3167. The maximum retracement of 618 division position just confirms the previous top and bottom support of 3167. In addition, from the wave shape, if 2832-3167 belongs to the first wave, 3167 to 2956 belongs to the second wave, and the third wave is calculated by 1.618 times the first wave, it is exactly 3498, which is today's intraday high of 3500. Then the fourth correction wave may be brewing in the follow-up, which is generally the third wave 382 or 50 division, and it generally will not fall below the first wave high of 3167. Therefore, in the next few days, if 3500 cannot be broken through again, the correction will focus on the 382 division support 3292 and the 50 division support 3228. The limit is that it is unlikely to fall too far from 3167, and then Waiting for the opportunity of band bullishness, each squat adjustment is to further continue the bullish trend;
Second, gold 4-hour level: the current MA5-day moving average support is barely holding up temporarily, and the top is a bearish pattern of "evening star" with a large Yin wrapped in Yang. It needs to be combined with the subsequent K-line pattern. If there are continuous Yins and large Yins continue to appear, then this cycle will begin to be under pressure, and the MA10-day support of 3428 and the middle track of 3378-72 will be gradually tested below;
Third, gold hourly level: Asian session continues to rise sharply, but the European session suppresses the 3500 line and falls back, temporarily supporting the middle track. The inability of the European session to attack increases the risk of further downward adjustment tonight; once the middle track is effectively lost, it will continue to fall. Finally, tonight, we can gradually see the 66-day moving average, which is also the lower track of the white channel in the figure, about 3380; The short-term resistance is the 10-day moving average and the white channel counter-pressure point, concentrated at 3470-3480, which happens to be the 618 division point of the European session's decline and rebound; therefore, pay attention to 3470-3480 tonight. If it cannot withstand the pressure, it will continue to decline and gradually look at 3428 and 3411. The strong support is in the range of 3380-3370 tonight. If it stabilizes here, it will rebound to confirm the middle track, and the ups and downs will be huge.
Gold: Bearish, may fall below 3300📊 Yesterday, gold resumed its bullish move after a minor pullback, breaking through the 3400 level and reaching around 3440 during today’s early session, before starting to retrace.
📉 In the chart I shared yesterday, the black line represents the key bull-bear boundary. The current price has already broken below this level, and if it fails to reclaim it, the trend may shift toward bearish in the short term.
📌 Key support levels to watch:
First support: 3383
Next support: 3350
If selling intensifies, there’s a real chance price may break below 3300
Gold Analysis April 22Gold is having a slight correction after touching the round resistance level of 3500.
The candlestick force on the h1 time frame is supporting gold to increase again at the end of the European session. Pay attention to the breakout zone around 73 and the ATH zone around 3500 for Sell strategies. Break 3500, do not SELL anymore but wait until 3520.
The buying strategy may be more preferred for traders. The zones where the buyers have appeared in the past are 3435-3408-3385-3355. Pay attention to whether the candlestick force is really strong before making a long-term buying decision.
Trump and Powell's "power showdown" ignites global risk aversion
📌 Driving events
On Tuesday (April 22), gold prices soared and set a new record high. Spot gold once hit the $3,500 mark, an increase of about 2.2%. US President Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell for worrying the market, suppressing risk appetite and pushing investors to turn to safe-haven gold. After hitting the 3,500 mark, the price of gold fell slightly. Spot gold is currently trading at nearly $3,478.55 per ounce.
📊Comment analysis
KCM Trade Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer pointed out that under the double blow of tariff concerns and the Trump-Powell farce, investors are fleeing US assets across the board. The continued weakness of the US dollar has created an excellent opportunity for gold to rise.
On Monday, Trump made a tough statement, asking the Federal Reserve to "cut interest rates immediately" otherwise the US economy will face the risk of slowing down. Powell insisted last week that interest rates should not be easily adjusted until the impact of Trump's tariff policy on inflation becomes clear.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate near 3430, with profit target above 3500 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Place long orders after the adjustment is over!After gold accelerated its rise in the Asian session, it fell back in the European session and temporarily entered an adjustment cycle, accumulating strength to provide power for the next round of launch. The short-term support in the US session is 3430 and 3412. In terms of operation, go long according to the strength of the decline. There is still no guess on the top, and gradually look to 3480 and 3500! Short-term volatility has increased, and the notice has been issued before the market!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3410-15, and look at 3445 and 3455!
Gold's retracement is an opportunity to go longStay long and don't relax. Continue to buy gold when it falls back!
The gold market has fluctuated violently recently, with a rise of $100 and a fall of $90, which has brought great obstacles to our trading. Long and short positions with bad entry positions will be washed out, so we need to wait patiently for opportunities in operation. The strong market remains unchanged. Continue to buy when it falls back. Find the watershed position to participate in the transaction. It is better to miss it than to be too aggressive. In the Asian session, I will share with you the support of the 3405/3410 watershed of gold. I will rely on this position to buy when it falls back. Gold hit a high of 3499 during the day, which is one step away from 3500. The European and American sessions fell back by $90, which just happened to fall back to the watershed position shared with you in the Asian session. The long orders have also been realized at the target position. Friends who have participated should pay attention to protecting profits, and friends who are short should wait patiently for opportunities and not be too aggressive!
#XAUUSDYou can enter through two steps, and the best entry is in the upper area, and you can enter from both areas.
The bull market is extremely strong! Keep the rhythm right!Analysis of gold trend:
On Tuesday (April 22) in the Asian session, spot gold continued to rise. Fundamentally, on Monday, as Trump's comments on Powell damaged investors' confidence in US assets, the US dollar index plummeted to its lowest level since March 2022. The United States plans to impose new tariffs on solar products imported from four Southeast Asian countries. Trump's approval rating has dropped to the lowest level since returning to the White House. The market's risk aversion has increased, and gold prices have strengthened significantly. At present, global trade tensions will continue, and concerns about economic growth and inflation expectations will continue to support gold prices.
After rising to around $3,430 at the beginning of the week, the price of gold retreated slightly to around $3,406. Before the close, it was more of a shock operation at the high of the day. Including the idea given before the break at the beginning of the week, the price of gold will continue to break new highs on Tuesday. But it was not expected that the price of gold would rise to around $3,500 during the Asian session, which was indeed a bit unexpected. At the end of the Asian session, the price of gold retreated, retreating to around $3,461. This retracement came relatively late, breaking the normal operation system. Today, it is recommended to refer to the suppression range near 3490 US dollars and 3500 US dollars for shorting. If it breaks above, refer to the daily error band indicator near 3510 US dollars for shorting. If it breaks below, refer to the support near 3455 US dollars and 3444 US dollars for longing. If it breaks below, look at the 3437-3390 US dollars range for high selling and low selling.
The ultimate safe-haven gold price will not fall! Keep bullish!Remember that gold is currently the ultimate safe-haven asset. Any pullback is actually an opportunity for you to get on board. Before the current trade war eases, gold is still the most favored asset in the market. A year ago, people thought that it was not outrageous for gold to rise to $5,000 by 2030; now, this prediction has become "conservative".
Fundamentally, this is because the current rise in gold is a performance as a "monetary asset" rather than a "commodity asset". This redefinition of gold's "identity" - especially under the catalysis of major events in the past few weeks - has also triggered people's deep thinking about the future role of gold in the international monetary system. It may be moving towards a new positioning: the ultimate safe-haven asset.
The current retracement of gold has given you an opportunity, so don’t hesitate to enter the market directly at 3440-3450 for long orders, and buy directly at 3455-60 radically, and continue to watch the upward break to new historical highs!
Gold is rising step by step, and the 3500 mark is in danger
📌 Driving events
Geopolitical conflicts are escalating (such as the deterioration of the situation in the Middle East)
US CPI data is lower than expected (85% year-on-year)
📊 Comments and analysis
Although gold has experienced a correction, the price of gold has quickly risen strongly, and the positive fundamentals have pushed the market to set new historical highs. As of the end of the Asian market, today's gold trend is almost a replica of yesterday (the gold price continued to rise from the Asian market to the US market on Monday).
What is a bull market? It is to break the cognition of most people, and the rise makes people doubt their lives. Not seeing it does not mean that it does not exist. Empiricists are destined to be eliminated. The underlying logic of the rise in gold during the financial crisis in 2008 and the rise in gold this year has long changed.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate at 3470 points, profit target is above 3500 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
XAUUSD - Liquidity Grab Before Pullback? | Key Zones MarkedGold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical liquidity zone around the $3,330 level, which aligns with a strong Fibonacci extension area and previous structural highs. Price has shown an impressive recovery after hitting support below $3,000, triggering a bullish rally that reached our TP at $3,270 following a successful SL re-entry.
The price is currently tapping into a liquidity zone, with expectations of short-term rejection signals forming on the 1H time frame.
If we start to see 1H candle rejections or bearish divergence, we can anticipate a possible pullback towards the $3,140-$3,180 zone, which is a confluence of previous resistance turned support and a Fibonacci retracement level.
📌 Patience is key—wait for proper price action confirmation before entering shorts.
