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Double Top + Zigzag Complete: Are Bears About to Take Over Gold?Yesterday, the financial markets in general, including Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) , acted like a roller coaster after the news of Powell's dismissal . After this news was denied , Gold returned to its main trend, which I published in my previous idea . Gold is currently re-attacking the Support line , Support zone($3,326-$3,325) and 50_SMA(Daily) . In terms of classic technical analysis , it seems that gold has formed a Double Top Pattern for support breakdowns, where a Support line breakdown can also be accompanied by a neckline breakdown . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the next bearish waves . I expect Gold to break its supports and move towards $3,290 ; support breaks are best done with high momentum . An important price that can change the direction of Gold's downside is $3,350 . Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance lines and forms an hourly candle above $3,351(Stop Loss (SL)), we can expect further Gold gains. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
32
Gold- Still needs to resolve the range🔸 Still Rangebound, But Not for Long In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that two scenarios are in play for Gold: 1. Bullish above 3375 2. Bearish under 3320 Throughout the session, price action leaned toward the bearish side, and I aligned with that by opening a short position. It ended with a minor loss — just 50 pips, which is negligible considering I'm looking for a potential 1,000 pip move in the bigger picture. ________________________________________ 🔍 What's Next? As the title says, Gold still needs to resolve the current range before a clear directional move unfolds. The same key levels discussed yesterday remain valid and relevant. And since it’s Friday, today’s daily and weekly candle close will be critical in shaping expectations for next week. ________________________________________ 📈 Bullish Case: Close Above 3360 • A daily/weekly close around 3360 would bring strong pressure on the 3375 resistance. • That could lead to a bullish breakout from the ascending triangle pattern. • It would also leave behind a bullish weekly pin bar (last week was a bullish pin bar too). • This scenario would bring 3450 into focus — with 3500 and even a new ATH on the table in the coming weeks. ________________________________________ 📉 Bearish Case: Close Near 3300 • A close near 3300 would signal a failed rally attempt • That would expose 3250 support short term, and 3150 medium term. ________________________________________ 🧭 Final Thoughts At the moment, I’m flat and waiting for clearer confirmation later in the day. The next move big will be defined by the weekly close — it’s as simple as that. P.S.: It’s just a hunch , but I’m still leaning toward a break under 3300 as the next major move. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
6
MOST ACCURATE XAUUSD GOLD FORECAST ANALYSIS MARKETCurrent Setup & Technical Outlook Consolidation & Pennant Formation: Gold is building a bullish pennant and trading above its 50‑day MA — a classic continuation pattern suggesting a breakout toward new highs if momentum resumes . Key Levels: Support: $3,330–3,340 — confirmed by multiple technical sources . Resistance/Breakout Zone: $3,360–3,375 — clearing this could trigger a rally toward $3,400+ . Upside Targets: $3,390, then possibly $3,500–$3,535 per weekly forecast . Alternate Bearish Scenario: A failure around the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance (~$3,374) and overbought RSI could spark a pullback to $3,356 or lower . --- 🧠 Fundamental Drivers Inflation & U.S. Macro Data: Market awaits June CPI/PPI and Fed commentary — cooler inflation could boost gold via dovish expectations, while hotter data may strengthen the USD and weigh on bullion . Geopolitical & Safe-Haven Demand: Trade tensions (e.g., tariffs) are keeping gold elevated near $3,350–$3,360 . Central Bank & Real Yields Watch: Continued gold purchases and lower real rates are supportive, although mid-term easing in risks (like global trade) could curb momentum .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
39
Waiting for the Break: 3375 or 3320 Will Decide the Next 1k Pips📉 Quick recap: As you know, I've been bullish on Gold. However, as explained in yesterday’s analysis, I started to approach this view with more caution. Unfortunately, I closed my long position at break even… before the rally to the 3375 resistance. That’s trading. 📌 What now? Despite missing that move, the market is beginning to offer more clarity. There are now two key levels that will likely define the next major swing: ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Resistance at 3375 – Top of the Range / Triangle Breakout Zone • This level marks the upper boundary of the recent range • It’s also the resistance of a developing ascending triangle • A clean breakout above 3375 would confirm the pattern and could trigger a strong upside acceleration • Target: 3450 zone, with potential for more if momentum kicks in (approx. 1000 pips higher) ➡️ This is the obvious bullish scenario – in line with the broader trend and classical technical setup. ________________________________________ 🔻 2. Support at 3320 – The Less Obvious, but Classic Gold • 3320 is now a confluence support area • Technically, a break below here is less probable – but Gold has a habit of doing the unexpected • If 3320 breaks, bears could look for a first leg to 3280 (approx. 400 pips), and very probably 3250 (around 700 pips drop) ➡️ This bearish scenario is not the base case, but it must not be ignored. Sometimes the trap is in the obvious. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trading Plan: For now, I’m out of the market, patiently waiting for confirmation. I’ll trade the breakout – whichever side gives the signal first. ________________________________________ 📌 Conclusion: Gold is coiling for a larger move. The levels are clear: 3375 and 3320 are the doors. One of them will open. Until then, we wait and prepare. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
17
XAU/USD 4H Bearish Continuation Setup Analysis:Price recently rejected from the key resistance zone around 3,370–3,380 (highlighted in yellow). A double top pattern is evident, indicating bearish pressure. Price broke the rising trendline support and is forming lower highs. Immediate support levels lie at: 3,291.46 3,290.79 A confirmed break below this support could send price toward the next major support at 3,250.04, which aligns with the projected move. Bearish Bias: As long as price remains below 3,344, the structure favors further downside. Watch for a break and retest of the 3,291–3,290 zone for confirmation. 📉 TP Zones: TP1: 3,291 TP2: 3,250 🛑 Invalid if price breaks above: 3,344
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DOCTOR_PIPS05
3
The short-selling idea remains unchanged, defend 3355📰 News information： 1. Powell responds to White House issues 2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs? 📈 Technical Analysis： Gold closed with a long lower shadow on the daily line yesterday and closed with a doji on the hourly line. In the short term, gold may continue to rise and is expected to touch the 3355 line. If gold cannot break through and stabilize above 3355, then gold may fall back. We can still consider shorting, and the target can be 3330. If the trend is as expected, it may form the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom. On the contrary, if the gold price breaks through 3355, stop loss on short positions and pay attention to the high resistance of 3375-3385. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3355 TP 3330-3320 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
7/18: Watch 3343 Resistance, Guard Against Break Below 3323Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold broke below the 3337 support after consolidating there, driven lower by bearish data, and eventually reached the 3323–3312 support zone. A rebound followed, and price has now returned above 3323, which also aligns with the daily MA60. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Today: Resistance: 3343 / 3352–3358 → A sustained break above 3343 opens the door for a potential move toward 3366 / 3372–3378; Support: 3323 / 3312 → If price remains capped below resistance and weekly close is under 3323, it will signal bearish structural pressure for the medium term. 📌 Trading Strategy: Trade flexibly within the range of 3358–3343–3332–3323–3312 📌 Important Reminder: If today’s closing price is below 3323, and you're planning to hold positions over the weekend, it’s safer to lean short. While we can’t predict weekend news, technically, bears have the upper hand, so risk control is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold is in danger. Could it fall?Gold started to fall slowly after the Asian market opened on Thursday, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European market. The impact of the initial data in the US market fell sharply to around 3310, then stabilized and rose. It reached a high of around 3341 and then maintained a high sideways fluctuation, and the daily line closed with a negative line. The price trend of gold this week was erratic. On Wednesday, it rose and fell, closing with a positive line, indicating that there was strong resistance above; on Thursday, it fell and rebounded, closing with a negative line, indicating that there was some support below. The current moving average system is chaotic, which further confirms that the overall situation is in a wide range of fluctuations. Connecting the highs and lows of this week can form a fluctuating downward channel, which still has an important guiding role in the market. The current channel resistance is at 3345. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it is expected to open up further upward space; and the channel support is around 3320. Once it falls below, it may trigger a new round of decline. Overall, the upward resistance levels of gold are 3345, 3350, and 3360; the downward support levels are around 3320 and 3310. Operation strategy: Short around 3350, stop loss at 3360, profit range 3330-3310. Long near 3315, stop loss 3305, profit range 3330-3350.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
Long and short fluctuations, the market is waiting for a break📰 News information： 1. Powell responds to White House issues 2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs? 📈 Technical Analysis： Although the MACD indicator of the gold hourly line formed a golden cross, the market reached a high of around 3361, and the RSI indicator was close to the overbought area, so we need to be cautious about corrections. From the 4H chart, the MACD second golden cross is on the zero axis. Currently, we are paying attention to the moving average SMA5 near 3343, and the SMA60 support line 3332. If the 4H upward trend falls back, we need to go long. At present, gold is still running above, and there is no good participation point in the short term, but on the whole, we should pay attention to the support of 3345-3332 below, and we can consider going long if it retreats and stabilizes. We continue to pay attention to the resistance pressure of 3375-3385 above, and we can try to go short if it does not break. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3375-3385 TP 3365-3355 BUY 3345-3332 TP 3365-3375-3385 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold Trading Idea: Short Opportunity on 15-Min Descending ChanneHello TradingView Community, Following up on my Gold analysis from Monday, the price action has respected the levels I outlined (check my previous posts for the breakdown), delivering solid trade opportunities except yesterday's news-driven volatility. Today, we're eyeing a short setup on Gold based on the 15-minute timeframe. Technical Analysis: Gold is moving within a descending channel on the 15-min chart. I've identified equal highs and a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the channel's range. This confluence zone is where I expect the price to react, potentially clearing liquidity above the channel before reversing. Trade Plan: Entry: Wait for the price to reach the confluence zone (equal highs + 61.8% Fib + FVG) and show a clear reaction (e.g., rejection or reversal pattern) before entering a short position. Take Profit: Targeting 3310 level. Risk Management: If the price fails to reach the zone and breaks lower, I'll stay out to avoid chasing trades. Patience is key here. Stay disciplined, traders! Let the price come to our zone, and always manage your risk. Follow for more setups, like this post if you found it helpful, and drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s discuss! #Gold #XAUUSD #ShortSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Mr_Masab
Bottom-out rebound, 3338 short orders enteredYesterday, the gold market was affected by Trump's remarks about firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. After briefly falling below 3320, the price quickly rose by nearly 60 points, reaching a high of 3377. Trump later clarified that the news was false, triggering a gold sell-off, and the market rose and fell. As of Thursday's European session, gold prices fell back to around 3320. After a rapid rise and fall in the US market on Wednesday, the downward trend continued on Thursday, with the US market hitting a low of 3310 before rebounding. Judging from the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands failed to open downward, indicating that the current market lacks continuity and the overall market remains in a volatile pattern. In a volatile market, it is recommended to pay attention to key support and resistance levels for high-selling and low-buying operations. The upper resistance range is currently at 3343-3351, and the important watershed support level below is at 3310. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
Wait for the data release; do not chase short positions.The 4-hour timeframe remains in a range-bound consolidation. Only a decisive break below the 3320 level will truly open up substantial downward space. Let’s focus on today’s US Initial Jobless Claims data: while the indicator has been trending lower recently, the current market expectation is tilted toward a rebound. Even though yesterday’s PPI data, after its release, was bullish for gold, its actual impact on prices was limited—far from comparable to core metrics like CPI. In summary, all short positions have now closed out with profits. Waiting for the data release to trade in line with the trend is a more prudent approach: if prices hover around 3320 or 3310 ahead of the data and the figures come in bullish, you can decisively enter long positions once there’s a slight pullback. If the data turns bearish, avoid chasing the decline; instead, consider positioning around key integer levels such as 3290-3300, as a sharp bullish correction is likely to follow an oversold move. As for whether the bulls can achieve a full reversal, we’ll assess the broader picture then. Always remember: no market moves in one direction indefinitely—adaptability is key 🚀 Buy @3310 - 3320 🚀 TP 3330 - 3340 - 3350 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
1
Gold - The clear top formation!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) just created a top formation: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the past four months, Gold has overall been moving sideways. Following a previous blow-off rally of about +25%, this cycle is very similar to the 2008 bullish cycle. Bulls are starting to slow down which will most likely result in the creation of at least a short term top formation. 📝Levels to watch: $3.000 🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION Philip - Swing Trader
TVC:GOLDShort
by basictradingtv
8
Trump's five major factors! Will gold continue to rise?The past six months may have been dizzying, but a clear theme has emerged since U.S. President Donald Trump returned to the White House: It’s good news for the gold market. Although gold prices broke through $3,500 an ounce nearly three months ago, setting a new record high, five key factors that have emerged since the start of Trump’s second term are likely to continue to support gold prices in the coming months. These factors may even prove that the precious metal is becoming a core asset class in investors’ portfolio strategies. David Miller, co-founder and chief investment officer of Catalyst Funds, said that as the market enters the third quarter, gold remains a standout asset class that “provides both a hedge against the potential risks of geopolitical conflict and a break from the erosion of fiat currencies.” The first key factor supporting gold is demand from central banks, which indicates that the market has weakened confidence in the U.S. dollar. Miller pointed out in emailed comments that central bank demand is surging, and the BRICS countries, especially China and India, are accelerating the accumulation of gold reserves “as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.” According to a report released by the World Gold Council on Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China’s official gold holdings have climbed for eight consecutive months. David Russell, head of global market strategy at TradeStation, said the global tariffs threatened and implemented by Trump have accelerated the "de-dollarization process." De-dollarization refers to efforts by some countries to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency. "Trade is becoming less dependent on the U.S. end market and less dependent on the dollar. This is more like the 19th century than the era after World War I and World War II," Russell said in emailed comments. "This trend back to the old model is creating structural demand for gold after decades of neglect. Fiat currencies are in decline," he added. Russell also said the decline in the credit quality of developed country governments, such as the United States, is also a major concern for the market. "We have lost our AAA rating from the three major rating agencies because of growing deficits and looming pressure on unfunded liabilities such as Social Security," he said, referring in part to Moody's downgrading its top credit rating for the United States in May. "After decades of procrastination, we are running out of ways to go." That said, trade policy is a third factor affecting gold. Russell said that "large budget deficits or increased tariffs" would reduce demand for U.S. Treasuries, supporting gold prices. With both 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields falling so far this year and real rates under pressure from inflation, "the opportunity cost of holding gold is falling," noted Catalyst Funds' Miller. That's leading to a fourth potential support for gold -- a resurgent interest in gold exchange-traded funds and other alternatives. In the first half of 2025, North America led the growth in global gold ETF inflows, according to the World Gold Council. Global physically-backed gold ETFs saw inflows of $38 billion in the first half of this year, marking the strongest half-year performance since the first half of 2020, according to the World Gold Council. Finally, from a technical perspective, gold prices have held above $3,250 an ounce for much of June, Miller said. That shows signs of "a potential breakout as equity market volatility returns," he said. Gold for August delivery closed at $3,359.10 an ounce on Wednesday. “Gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” Miller said that the current macroeconomic environment “justifies a meaningful allocation to gold and gold-related strategies.” He said: “The combination of fragile stock market sentiment, uncertain policy direction and structural macro headwinds reinforces our view that gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
Gold Slips in London – $3,296 Incoming?📉 XAUUSD 1H Bearish Analysis – July 17, 2025 Gold (XAUUSD) is showing clear signs of bearish momentum on the 1-hour chart. After forming a local high around the $3,346–$3,347 region, price was sharply rejected and has since maintained a lower high structure. This rejection came right after the London session began, confirming that institutional volume is likely favoring the downside for now. The previous few sessions show multiple failed attempts to break above the $3,346–$3,365 range. Sellers are consistently stepping in near those zones, marking a strong supply area. Meanwhile, recent candles have broken below the intraday support around $3,327.74, showing bearish continuation is underway. Session activity is also in favor of the bears. The current London session opened weak, following a failure to hold above the previous session highs. Typically, gold experiences volatility during London and New York overlaps, and given the current structure, the pressure seems tilted to the downside. From a broader perspective, the lower highs and lower lows on the 1-hour chart confirm a short-term downtrend. Price is now hovering just above $3,319 support—if this level is taken out cleanly with volume, it opens the path to deeper targets. ________________________________________ 📌 Trading Setup (Short Bias) • Entry: $3,327.74 (breakdown zone) • Stop-loss: $3,346.29 (above last supply rejection) • Take-Profit 1: $3,319.69 • Take-Profit 2: $3,311.62 • Take-Profit 3: $3,296.28 • Take-Profit 4 (extended): $3,282.66 ________________________________________ If price manages to hold below $3,328 with consecutive rejections on any pullback, this bearish thesis remains valid. A breakdown below $3,311 would likely trigger momentum-driven selling toward $3,296 and potentially $3,282. However, any 1H close back above $3,346 would invalidate the current setup and favor a temporary bullish retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SupertradeOfficial
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar, showing a current price of $3,329.145 with a decrease of $18.455 (-0.55%). The chart highlights key levels including a sell price of $3,328.920 and a buy price of $3,329.370, with a recent trading range between $3,355.339 and $3,312.393. The data spans from late June to mid-July 2025, with notable price fluctuations and a shaded area indicating a potential trading zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
How to operate the gold market opening next MondayAnalysis of gold market trends next week: Analysis of gold news: Spot gold fluctuated and rose in a narrow range during the U.S. market on Friday (July 18), and is currently trading around $3,354.05 per ounce. On Thursday, spot gold staged a thrilling "deep V" market. Under the dual stimulation of the U.S. retail sales data in June exceeding expectations by 0.6% and the number of initial jobless claims falling to 221,000, the U.S. dollar index once soared to a monthly high of 98.95, instantly suppressing spot gold to an intraday low of $3,309.82 per ounce. But surprisingly, the gold price then rebounded strongly and finally closed at $3,338.86, down only 0.25%. This "fake fall" market reveals the deep contradictions in the current market-although economic data temporarily supports the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, investors' concerns about inflation caused by tariffs are forming a "hidden buying" of gold. The joint rise of the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields did suppress gold prices, but strong takeover orders emerged in each falling window. Behind this phenomenon, smart money is quietly making plans. When the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to a monthly high of 4.495%, gold refused to fall further. This divergence suggests that the market has serious differences on the direction of the Fed's policy. Technical analysis of gold: After the opening yesterday, gold continued to fall slowly, and the negative impact of the unemployment data in the U.S. market further suppressed the bullish momentum. The lowest price in the U.S. market reached 3310, and the cumulative decline for the whole day exceeded 30 US dollars. But the key is that gold rebounded again at midnight, forming a wide range of fluctuations on Thursday, which was completely in line with expectations. The 3310 bottom-picking and long-term strategy given during the session successfully captured large profits in the band. This trend once again verified the core judgment of this week: gold is in a high-level fluctuation dominated by a bullish trend, and the practical value of this view continues to highlight. After clarifying the current dual attributes of "bullish trend + volatile trend", Friday's trading needs to focus on the effective profit space within the range. It is expected that the 3375-3310 large range will be difficult to break this week, and the small range can be locked at 3355-3320. Before the range is broken, high-selling and low-buying operations can be performed. . The technical side shows that the daily line and the 4-hour Bollinger Bands are closed synchronously. At this time, there is no need to worry about the direction, and effective trading can be achieved by keeping a close eye on the range boundary. It is worth noting that the 4-hour moving average system has obvious upward divergence characteristics. Continuing the rebound momentum at midnight on Thursday, gold still has room to rise today, and the upper target is 3360-3365. The small cycle support is clear: 3330 and 3320 are not broken, both are good opportunities for long positions. During the US trading session, it is necessary to pay attention to the breaking of the 3365 and 3375 resistance levels: if the pressure is not broken, there will be room for a decline, and short-term short positions can be tried. On the whole, Charlie suggests that the short-term operation strategy for gold next week should focus on buying on pullbacks and buying on dips, supplemented by rebounds and selling on highs. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3375-3385 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3340-3330 line of support. FX:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD SAXO:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst