Wide range fluctuations continue, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. US-Iran conflict continues
3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the gold price is testing the 3380 line again, and the strong support below is 3365-3355. As long as it does not fall below this key support, the bulls will remain strong. At the same time, the two key points of 3405 and 3420 above are still short-term resistance. Breaking through may directly test 3450. In the short term, gold fluctuates repeatedly at the 3405-3365 level, temporarily maintaining a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. There is also initial jobless claims data released today. At the same time, the geopolitical situation in the short term is severe, so we need to be cautious. In addition, the New York Stock Exchange will be closed tomorrow. The focus this week is mainly on Friday, especially when it is superimposed with the Fed's interest rate decision, we need to be vigilant about the transmission effect of sudden changes in liquidity on the market.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3365-3355
TP 33395-3400-3405
SELL 3405-3390
TP 3380-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Xauusdsignal
Stick to shorting goldGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range of 3380-3385, and the trend is relatively slow. We also need more patience. In comparison, I think the current short-selling force has a slight upper hand, because gold has shown signs of accelerating decline after a difficult rebound many times, and has fallen below 3380 many times. According to the current gold structure, gold does not have sufficient room for decline, and it is still possible to continue to fall to the 3365-3355 area.
It is expected that gold will not fluctuate too much before the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. For this interest rate decision, I think the possibility of a rate cut is not great, and the current interest rate may still remain unchanged. The reduction in the expectation of a rate cut may stimulate a wave of gold declines in the short term. So in the short term, I still prefer a short trade in gold. Obviously, gold is currently under pressure in the 3395-3405 area, so we can still try to short gold in this area.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, covering the period from late June to early July 2025. The current price is $3,381.09, reflecting a slight decrease of $7.09 (-0.21%) over the period. The chart includes candlestick patterns, with a highlighted consolidation zone and a recent downward trend. Key price levels such as $3,401.46, $3,389.38, and $3,340.00 are marked, indicating potential support and resistance zones.
XAUUSD:Go long
As can be seen from the chart, the decline of gold actually did not fall below 3380 each time, the actual close longer lower shadow, and from yesterday's trend can be seen 3400 is a certain pressure exists, so today to see whether this position can break through. After the break, we continue to look up, and then increase the trading range.
For now or first around the narrow range to trade.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3378-84
TP:3395-3400
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Data is about to be released. Will it affect the trend of gold?Information summary:
The Federal Reserve is about to announce the latest interest rate decision, and the market generally expects it to maintain the policy interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% unchanged. Trump recently asked the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by one percentage point immediately. However, the market reacted cautiously to this, believing that a sharp interest rate cut may increase inflation risks, especially in the context of Middle East conflicts pushing up oil prices.
Fed Chairman Powell's statement at the press conference will become the focus of market attention. The market expects the Fed to maintain a "cautious and patient" tone, and the guidance on the interest rate outlook may be vague.
Market analysis:
Technical indicators, from the daily chart, the support level is near the 10-day moving average and the 20-day moving average, and the 3365-3345 range forms an important support. In terms of resistance, yesterday's high near 3405 constitutes a key resistance above. If the price wants to reverse the current weak pattern, it needs to break through this resistance level strongly to open up the upward space.
From the 1-hour chart, the price started to fall after reaching a high point, and maintained stability in the upper and lower ranges; it is now close to the low point in the early trading, and the trend is relatively slow.
In the absence of an upward or downward breakthrough, we still follow the strategy of selling high and buying low.
Short around 3400, stop loss 3410, profit range 3380-3365;
Long around 3365 when the price falls back, stop loss 3355, profit range 3380-3400.
Strong support at 3365/3350In recent years, following the easing of high inflation pressures in the U.S., the Federal Reserve has maintained a high-interest-rate policy, a decision that has significantly impacted gold and U.S. dollar markets: high rates have boosted the U.S. dollar while suppressing gold demand 📉.
This week, gold prices defied market expectations: fueled by geopolitical conflicts, gold surged last Friday and opened higher on Monday, only to trend lower thereafter ⬇️. The hourly chart shows a series of lower lows, with 3,400 emerging as short-term resistance, while gold currently oscillates around 3,380 🔄. With key economic data pending release, gold may still rebound (the initial jobless claims data was advanced to Wednesday) ⏰.
Technically, gold remains in a unilateral uptrend on the daily chart, with strong support at 3,365/3,350 from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages—though not yet in an extremely strong trend 📈. Key resistances lie at 3,430/3,450: a break above 3,450 could pave the way for a challenge to the previous high of 3,500 🏔️!
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375
🚀 TP 3395 - 3405
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Seize the opportunity to short gold after the reboundBecause gold fell back to the expected support area of 3375-3365 first, I just took the opportunity to go long on gold near 3372 and set TP: 3390. Obviously, our long position ended the transaction by hitting TP, and we made a profit of 180pips.
At present, gold continues to rebound to around 3396, and is facing the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405, and the upside may be limited. And I think before the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy conference, gold is likely to maintain a range of fluctuations, and the willingness of both long and short parties to break through may not be strong in the short term. And from the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate downward as a whole.
So for short-term trading, we might as well try to short gold in the resistance area. I think it is still very likely to retreat to at least the 3385-3380 area.
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy
Yesterday was affected by the easing signal gold high continued to correction, fell back to 3400 again, the trend exceeded personal expectations. Gold received another boost after the president's news, and rebounded slightly in the Asian session. In this eventful autumn, the market is subject to frequent news factors, the trend is slightly turbulent, to be ready to sweep back and forward.
Today's overall volatility is expected to have a contraction, individual expectations of the final close of the small negative line is more likely
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3380-85
TP:3404-3410
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GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update for 18 June 25Hello Traders, Welcome to the FOMC Day
as you can see that market is in tight range for now which is 3370-3400, we are still waiting for long above 3400 Psychological Level once market will clearly breaks 3400 level we consider long opportunities
if market breaks 3350 Psychological digit successfully then it will move towards 3325 first then focus will 3300 Major Support Level
All eyes on FOMC for the day
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Middle East Tensions Intertwined with Fed Rate Cut SpeculationThe Middle East situation remains tense ⚠️, and with rumors of a Fed rate cut emerging 👂, gold is likely to see significant volatility in the near term 📈📉. Due to the war, we still favor going long at lower levels 💹. During the current U.S. trading session, another pullback may occur—we need to wait for the correction before continuing to go long ⏳
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375
🚀 TP 3400 - 3410
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold fluctuates under pressure. Can it break out?Information summary:
The conflict between Iran and Israel has entered the fifth day, Tel Aviv air raid alarms are frequent, and the fire of oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz has exacerbated the panic of energy transportation, and safe-haven buying supports gold prices;
Trump's contradictory statement of "peace talks + toughness" has exacerbated the market's differences on the direction of the conflict, and risk aversion has fluctuated repeatedly.
In the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated narrowly at $3,375, continuing the stalemate under the geopolitical conflict and the game of the US dollar. As the "king of safe havens", gold has recently bottomed out and rebounded based on the tension in the Middle East, and the current price fluctuates around 3,395.
Market analysis:
The four-hour chart shows that the moving average is sticking to wait for a breakthrough in the direction, and the short-term moving average is sticking to $3,380. The RSI indicator fluctuates around 50, suggesting that a breakthrough will be ushered in after a narrow consolidation; the lower rail support of the rising channel moves up to $3,370, and if it fails, it may test $3,350.
At present, the price is repeatedly testing the resistance position of 3400. If the price stands above this position, it may continue to rise to around 3430. If it breaks the support of 3370 US dollars, it will look to 3360 US dollars.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3400, stop loss 3410, profit range 3370-3365.
If the price falls back to around 3370, you can try to go long, and the profit point is around 3390.
XAU/USD Bullish Reversal Toward 3,449XAU/USD Technical Analysis (30-Minute Chart)
This chart shows a bullish breakout setup for Gold (XAU/USD) based on recent price action and technical indicators:
---
🔻 Support Zone & Trend Line:
A descending support trend line has been drawn from earlier lows, showing a falling wedge structure.
The key support zone between 3,367.825 and 3,388.370 has held firmly, confirming demand in this range.
📈 Bullish Reversal Formation:
Price bounced off the support zone, suggesting a potential reversal.
A breakout above the horizontal resistance near 3,388.370 is projected, with bullish momentum forming.
🎯 Target Levels:
Immediate resistance: Around 3,388.370, which price is currently testing.
Primary target: The yellow resistance zone near 3,449.485—if broken, it may confirm a strong upward trend.
📊 Volume Profile:
Volume bars on the right show higher trading activity above 3,400, indicating potential resistance in that region.
📝 Summary: Gold is showing signs of a bullish reversal from the support trend line and key demand zone. A sustained move above 3,388.370 may lead to a rally toward the 3,449.485 resistance area.
Short Opportunity on XAU/USD: Fed & Conflict Drive Next MoveTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD XAU/USD is showing multiple rejections at the key resistance confluence of the trendline (TL1) and the $3,396–$3,405 zone. Price remains capped below this level while supported by TL2, with downside potential toward $3,354 and $3,326 if bearish pressure persists. A short setup is in play: entry at $3,396, stop at $3,411, and targets at $3,354 and $3,326, offering a favorable 1:2.97 risk–reward. Invalidation occurs on a 4H close above $3,411, which could open the path to $3,450+. Geopolitical risk remains elevated as the Israel–Iran conflict enters day six, with airstrikes near Tehran and speculation of U.S. involvement following President Trump’s emergency security meeting. Meanwhile, the upcoming Fed decision is key; while no rate move is expected, markets are focused on the updated dot plot and Powell’s tone amid ongoing tariff uncertainty. Long-term support for gold is reinforced by a World Gold Council survey showing 95% of central banks expect global reserves to rise, with a record 43% planning to increase holdings. Short-term bias remains cautiously bearish while below resistance, but any dovish Fed surprise or escalation in conflict may reverse momentum.
Resistance : $3,396 , $3,405
Support : $3,354 , $3,325, $3,320
Key Event Today – FOMC Interest Rate DecisionAs risk-off sentiment cools, gold bulls failed to take control yesterday, resulting in a stalemate with the bears.
From the 4H chart perspective, bearish momentum currently appears stronger,
though bulls are not giving up easily.
Currently, price is rebounding off the 4H MA60 support,
with immediate resistance from the MA20 around 3405.
As time progresses, this resistance is likely to shift lower,
so for now, we’ll treat $3400 as the primary reference point.
For bulls to regain dominance,
they must hold steady above 3405,
and more importantly, protect the support at 3386–3378 during any pullback.
🔔 Key Event Today – FOMC Interest Rate Decision
Today’s trading will also be influenced by the Federal Reserve’s rate decision,
which, based on current expectations, is likely to weigh heavily on bullish sentiment.
📌 Strategy for Today:
Main Bias: Sell the rebound
Secondary Approach: Buy on pullbacks if strong support levels hold
Key support levels to monitor:
⚠️ 3382 zone (minor support)
🔻 Most critical: 4H MA60 around 3366
Stay cautious during the FOMC announcement window, and remember — in volatile markets, reacting with discipline is more important than predicting perfectly.
6/17 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning!
Yesterday, gold opened with a gap-up and surged to around 3451, but failed to sustain above key resistance. After another failed attempt to break higher, prices gradually turned lower and finally broke below 3400, finding short-term support near 3382.
The primary driver of this decline was a waning of geopolitical risk sentiment, which had previously fueled the rally. Additionally, the market is now pricing in expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, a factor that was likely preemptively reflected in price.
🔍 Fundamental Focus:
Today’s U.S. session will feature a key news release, which may prove decisive for gold’s next directional move. With yesterday’s advance pullback, market dynamics are likely to be more volatile today. We recommend caution, especially ahead of the announcement.
📉 Technical View:
Gold is currently in a post-decline consolidation phase.
The main resistance lies between 3430–3450, while 3415 on the 30-minute chart also presents a short-term cap.
For those entering long positions, target zones should remain conservative, ideally around 3412–3418, and then be adjusted depending on volume momentum and breakout structure.
📊 Weekly Structure Outlook:
The weekly chart shows that gold is at a key trend inflection point.
If no additional bullish catalysts emerge, the market is likely to develop into a bearish consolidation, with the next major downside target around 3200.
📌 Trading Plan (For VIP):
✅ Sell Zone: 3436–3466
✅ Buy Zone: 3347–3323
✅ Flexible Trade Zones: 3428 / 3415 / 3403 / 3392 / 3378 / 3362 / 3354
6/18 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold traded within a narrow range yesterday, and the buy signal shared during the session yielded profits. From a technical perspective, the market remains in a rebound phase, with key resistance around 3403. If the price breaks and holds above this level, there’s a good chance we’ll see a move toward the 3418–3428 zone today.
During the Asian and European sessions, the trading bias should remain on the buy side, while in the U.S. session, it may be more favorable to shift toward short setups, mainly due to expectations surrounding the upcoming Fed interest rate decision—an outlook we discussed yesterday.
Key intraday ranges to watch:
Asian–European session: 3362–3413
If price reaches the 3425–3435 zone before the U.S. session, short opportunities may emerge
As always, manage your positions carefully and adapt to key levels as price unfolds.
XAUUSD Long Setup – Retest of Broken Structure & Safe-Haven FlowGold has pulled back to retest a strong former resistance (now support) zone around $3,385–$3,390. This level aligns with a previous breakout and marks the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. The pair is now showing bullish structure with back-to-back continuation patterns (bull flags), suggesting further upside potential.
Given escalating geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel strikes, Trump-led evacuation urgency), slowing Fed cut expectations, and softening inflation-adjusted yields, gold remains in demand.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows maintained.
Support Zone: $3,385–$3,390 (retest zone) – bulls stepping back in.
Targets:
TP1: $3,451
TP2: $3,470
TP3: $3,495 (new local high)
Stop Loss: Below $3,369 (recent low)
Pattern Context: Bull flags continue to form and break bullish – reinforcing trend.
🧠 Fundamental Context (June 17):
Bullish Drivers:
Middle East escalation → safe haven bid surging (Iran missile launches, Israeli retaliation, US political chaos).
Fed on pause → real yields are subdued, favoring non-yielding assets like gold.
Convexity & bond volatility rising → investors hedging with hard assets (confirmed via CME sentiment reports).
Risks:
Sudden peace deal or ceasefire.
Unexpected US CPI spike → reawakens rate hike fears.
📅 Key Events to Watch:
Fed speeches (confirmation of dovish tone)
Any ceasefire or major diplomatic development
Oil movement (energy risk spillovers)
Gold (XAUUSD) – Demand Zone Holding, Silver Leading BreakoutGold has respected its demand zone near $3,367–$3,382 and is attempting to bounce higher. Importantly, Silver (XAGUSD in pink overlay) is leading the upside move, having broken out cleanly above $37.00 and still climbing. This confirms the bullish momentum across precious metals.
Geopolitical tensions, dovish Fed commentary, and risk-off market conditions continue to favor a move toward $3,451, $3,471, and possibly $3,495.
🔍 Technical Breakdown (4H)
Support Zone: $3,367–$3,382 (retest of broken resistance)
Bullish Structure: Rising lows, trendline holds, and higher timeframe support remains intact
Projected Targets:
🎯 TP1: $3,451 (recent high)
🎯 TP2: $3,471 (key extension)
🎯 TP3: $3,495 (top of range)
Stop Loss: Below $3,351 (invalidates demand structure)
🪙 Silver (XAGUSD) Overlay Insight:
Currently at $37.11+, showing leadership in the breakout.
Suggests gold will likely follow through — watch for Gold catching up.
🧠 Macro & Fundamental Context (June 17)
Bullish Drivers:
🔥 Ongoing Middle East war escalation (Iran-Israel, US troop buildup)
🏦 Dovish Fed tone, soft retail sales, rate cuts expected from Sept
🧾 Silver strength confirming demand across metals
Risks:
☮️ Unexpected ceasefire headlines could cause knee-jerk pullbacks
📈 Hot inflation data or hawkish Fed rhetoric could pressure upside
📅 Key Events to Watch:
FOMC members' speeches this week
US Core PCE inflation print
War headline velocity — particularly involving shipping or direct US-Iran confrontation
🧭 Strategy Suggestion:
Tactical Buy on Rejection Wick from current demand zone
Watch Silver momentum — if it breaks $37.50+, gold likely catches up fast
Consider scaling out around $3,451–$3,471 with final target near $3,495
Gold continues to fall. Will there be a lower point?Gold is still under pressure at the integer mark of 3400. During the US trading session, the lowest point reached around 3366. For the current trend, it fell below the short-term support area of 3375, so the market has the possibility of further downward movement to test the support of 3350.
Today, Iran launched missiles again, but there was no threat to Israel at all, and all the missiles were intercepted. Under the current trend of further decline, the support position that needs to be paid attention to is 3350. At this position, you can try a long strategy, and the early support point of 3400 above has turned into an upward pressure point.
Short-term operation strategy:
Buy near 3350, stop loss 3340, profit range 3380-3390.
Above, you need to pay attention to the important pressure level of 3390-3400. The market changes violently, and you can take profits at the right position. Avoid rapid changes in market conditions and losses.
Falling below 3380,testing 3365,the low position remains bullish📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
After rebounding to the 3400 line, gold encountered resistance and fell back to test the support level of 3380. Although it was very close to the point of 3405 we gave, I did not enter the trade because gold has been in the middle section in the short term and has not rebounded to the ideal point.
There are too many long orders at high levels in gold. The international situation is so tense that gold is still slowly declining, but the geopolitical situation is still continuing. In addition, the retail sales data is bullish. Then, as the trading strategy given at noon, it is expected to test the short-term support of 3365-3355 below. I will consider going long in this range
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355
TP 3380-3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3370
TP 3390-3400-3450
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3370-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+.
📍 Trading Plan
🎯 Entry
Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448).
Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce).
🛑 Stop‑Loss
For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389).
For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360).
🎯 Profit Targets
Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450).
Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone.
🎥 Path
Potential minor pullback toward trendline.
Bounce establishes support.
Surge toward top of range.
Breakout with trend continuation to new highs.
📊 Trade Risk & Reward
Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
Level Role
$3,360 Swift dip support (green base line)
$3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone
$3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle
$3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high
🧭 Market Context & Drivers
Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows
Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+)
.
Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces
.
✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact.
Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445.
Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360).
Targets:
Near-term: $3,448–3,450
Medium-term: $3,500+