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Xauusdtradingbasics

The rebound is an opportunity to short goldAfter the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel and Powell's hawkish remarks that strongly refuted the possibility of a rate cut, gold fell sharply and hit a low near 3295. Although gold has rebounded, it is particularly difficult during the rebound process, which shows that the bulls are not willing to attack, and the rebound is only a technical repair of the decline. Since gold fell below 3300 yesterday, the current bull structure has been changed in stages and the confidence of the bulls has been greatly weakened. As gold falls, it will be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. Before gold breaks through this area, any rebound may give us an opportunity to short gold; in addition, after gold falls below 3300 once, in order to move downward and test support, gold has the need to retreat again. So in the next short-term trading, we can try to use the 3345-3355 area as resistance, short gold appropriately, and look to the 3315-3305 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
How to trade the Fed's interest rate decision!In nearly an hour, the Fed will announce the Fed's interest rate decision and a summary of economic expectations; In nearly an hour and a half, Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference. If the Fed's policy statement or the latest forecast shows a dovish tendency, it may resume the downward trend of the US dollar, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold; and the recent mild inflation and weak employment data in the United States may prompt the Fed to soften its previous assessment, thereby strengthening expectations of interest rate cuts and providing support for gold prices. From the current technical structure, gold maintains a volatile and anxious market during the day, and there is no clear direction in the short term, but gold is currently always below 3400, and the overall market is still in a weak trend; but gold has repeatedly touched the 3375-3365 area and can quickly recover, proving that there is still strong buying support below; in fact, it stands to reason that if gold is really weak, it should have continued to fall and touched the 3360-3350 area, but gold did not touch the area as expected, but used sideways trading to exchange time and space, and there was no sign of any downward breakthrough, so gold is likely to choose an upward direction. In addition, the Middle East geopolitical crisis, global economic uncertainty, intensified trade frictions and rising inflation expectations will all provide structural support for gold. So if gold does not fall below the 3365-3355 area today, we will be bullish on gold first; but if gold cannot break through the 3410-3420 area in one fell swoop during the rise, then we need to be careful of the trend of gold rising and then falling. As for how to trade the news next: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The above are my trading ideas and opinions, you can read them carefully and use them as a reference! If you still want to trade news after careful consideration, please be sure to set SL during the transaction to protect your account to the greatest extent!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Short gold, it needs to retreat to the area around 3350!Gold is currently testing the support near 3380 again. According to the current trend of gold, gold is likely to break through 3380, and gold has stopped near 3400 many times during the rebound process, and the rebound strength of gold is lacking. If gold really wants to rebound, then after testing near 3380 many times and getting support at 3390, it should have rebounded to the 3410-3420 area, but it is obvious that gold has not yet touched the 3410-3420 area. Therefore, gold's performance is relatively weak and its correction trend should continue for now. In terms of fundamentals, Iran is not decisive in its retaliatory behavior, so if the conflict in the Middle East does not escalate, gold may find it difficult to continue to rise. So according to the current trend and performance of gold, we should not be stubborn in long gold trading for the time being, and adjust our trading plan reasonably according to the market and price behavior. If gold continues to retreat, the first thing we need to pay attention to below is the 3355-3345 area, followed by the area near 3330. So for the next short-term trading, we can try to short gold in the 3395-3405 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
I still have a short position.Although gold has risen sharply to above 3380 due to the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it has not made a substantial breakthrough, and has not stabilized above 3380. The bulls are not determined, which also shows that the technical suppression in the 3290-3295 area above is still strong. If gold does not break through in one fell swoop, gold is likely to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term. Due to the fundamental impact of tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts, for short-term trading, we should not have too high expectations for the extent of the retracement for the time being, but it is expected to retrace to the 3365-3355 area. In terms of short-term trading, I still hold a short position executed near 3375, and I hope that gold can fall back and hit TP as expected. Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold in the 3375-3385 ​​area, TP: 3365-3355
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
As gold's rally stalls, do bears have a chance?Technical aspect: Gold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3310, and the short-term direction is not clear. However, the rebound potential is relatively weak, but for the London market, gold's willingness to retreat is not strong; however, from a technical perspective, the current gold structure is still biased towards bulls, and gold still has the potential to continue to rebound to the area around 3330, or even the area around 3350; However, after the rise of gold stagnates, we still cannot aggressively chase gold in trading, one is to prevent technical retracement after the sharp rise of gold; the other is to prevent the retracement of gold in order to grab liquidity after the rise of gold stagnates. In the short term, the support area we must pay attention to is in the 3285-3275 area, followed by the 3260-3250 area. If gold cannot break through the 3320-3330 area in the short term, gold may still continue to test the support area. Trading strategy: 1. If gold still cannot effectively break through the area around 3320 in the short term, you can consider trying to short gold in small quantities around 3310-3320; TP: 3280-3270, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to rise to 3330 or even 3350; 2. Consider going long on gold when gold retreats to the 3285-3280 area, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to retreat to the 3260 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold still has the potential to rebound, continue to buy goldTechnical aspect: Gold has just retreated to around 3217 and then rebounded again. It has now rebounded to around 3235. Although the rebound strength is a little weak, it has even hovered around 3235 for a long time. But structurally, gold did not destroy the rising structure during the decline, and the strength of structural support was strengthened after the effective retracement support. After being recognized and accepted by the market, gold will continue to rise with structural support. Once gold breaks through the short-term resistance area of ​​3250-3260, it will continue to rise to 3280-3290, or even around 3320. Trading strategy: Before the short-term rising structure is destroyed, we can still continue to try to go long on gold in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3240-3250
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Unswervingly short goldRecently, gold was rejected at 2930, then rejected near 2925, and today gold was rejected again near 2920. From this point of view, the resistance area of ​​gold moves down, and the high point drops accordingly. If gold is repeatedly rejected near 2915 next, then gold will have more room to fall. This is also the reason why I advocate shorting gold recently. At present, I still hold a short position in gold and look forward to the performance of gold and its fall back to the 2880-2870 area, or even 2860. Bros, only by following the right people can you execute the right transactions and master the skills to make money. If you want to master independent trading skills and thinking while copying trading signals and making stable profits, you can join the channel at the bottom of this article to liberate your trading talent!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Keep the trading rhythm of shorting goldBros, although gold seems to want to continue to rise, it still faces resistance in the 2930-2940 zone in the short term, and even resistance near the stage high of 2955, so it is not easy for gold to seek a breakthrough upward. Moreover, it is easy for technical false breakthroughs to occur before the NFP market on Friday, and there are technical temptations to do long candlesticks. Therefore, before breaking through the key resistance area, we can still short gold, and it is not difficult to expect gold to retreat to the 2910-2900 zone. Bros, did you follow me to short gold? Wise choices are far greater than hard work. Only by following the right people can we execute the right transactions and accumulate profits that change our lives and destiny. If you want to copy trading signals and make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and techniques in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Short gold againAs I mentioned in my previous article, I anticipated that gold might pull back to the 2930-2925 region, or even extend to the 2910 region, during today or tomorrow's New York trading session. Clearly, gold has retraced as expected and hit my target zone of 2930-2925. Our short position around 2954 has once again yielded a very favorable profit, totaling 270 pips. Currently, gold has experienced a slight rebound, but it’s evident that the bullish momentum is weakening while bearish control is strengthening. After the accelerated short squeeze phase, 2955 may become the high for this stage. Moreover, as geopolitical risks decrease, the bullish momentum for gold further weakens, making it likely that gold could further dip and test the 2920-2910 support zone. Therefore, for current short-term trading, I believe it might be a good idea to consider shorting gold again in the 2935-2940 region.Bros, will you follow me and short gold again? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Sorry, I'm shorting gold againYesterday, gold retraced to a low near 2919, but it didn’t reach my expected target zone of 2915-2910, so I didn’t have the opportunity to go long on gold. Currently, gold has rebounded again and extended above 2950. To be honest, while gold maintains its strong bullish position, as long as it stays above 2930, I still don’t recommend chasing long positions. With gold currently trading near 2954, I am even less inclined to go long. On the contrary, the accelerated rally in gold has a short squeeze potential, so at this level, I am more inclined to short gold. From a cyclical perspective, gold has been prone to showing “Black Thursday” and “Black Friday” patterns recently, so there is a possibility that a reversal could occur today or tomorrow. Therefore, I still recommend continuing to try shorting gold in the short term. I tend to think that gold may pull back to the 2930-2925 area during the New York trading session today or tomorrow, and may even extend to the area around 2910.Bros, have you followed me to do more gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
3 Technical Analysis Tools to Identify Resistance Levels on GOLD How to trade Gold when it is constantly setting new all-time highs? When Gold is trading beyond historical levels, technical analysis can help you to identify the next potentially strong resistance levels. In this article, I will teach you the only 3 technical analysis tools you need to find the next key resistances and predict future correctional movements on Gold chart. Tool 1 - Trend Line The first technical analysis tool that will help you to identify a potentially strong resistance is a trend line based on previous highs. Simply analyze the previous historic highs and try to find a trend line that was respected by the market at least 3 times in the past. It means that such a trend line should be based at least on 3 historic highs. Look at that rising trend line on Gold on a daily time frame. It is based on 3 historic highs, and it can be a potentially strong resistance. Tool 2 - Psychological Levels The second technical analysis tool is psychological levels. These levels are based on round, whole numbers. In our example, the closest psychological level is 2500 level. This level is based on round numbers, it is a multiple of 500 and 100. It can compose a potentially strong resistance cluster. Tool 3 - Fibonacci Levels The third technical analysis tool is Fibonacci extension and confluence. In order to identify a potentially strong resistance with Fibonacci extension, you should identify at least 3 last bullish impulses/waves. Above is the example of 3 significant impulse legs on Gold chart on a daily. Draw Fibonacci Extension levels based on these 3 impulse legs. Here are important Extension levels to consider: -1.272 -1.414 - 1.618 Above, you can see how I draw Fibonacci Extension levels based on all the impulse legs that we identified. Your task is to identify the point where the extension levels of 3 impulses match in one point. Such a point will be called confluence zone. This confluence zone will be the next potentially strong resistance. These 3 technical tools helped us to identify the resistances beyond all historical levels easily. Remember that there is no 100% guarantee that all the resistances that we spotted will be respected by the market. For that reason, you should strictly analyze a price action and a reaction of the price to these levels before you open a short trade. Alternatively, remember that these resistances can be applied as the targets for long trades. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
GOLD Trading: 8 Mistakes Traders MUST Avoid in a Bull Market The unstoppable uptrend on Gold may cause irrational and very costly decisions . For the past 6 months, we've seen an unprecedented surge, with new highs being set almost daily. In this article, we will discuss critical mistakes that traders often make in the midst of such a bullish run and explore the strategies to maximize your gains. 1. Technical Indicators Lie Always remember that technical indicators that measure the momentum or strength of a market trend, that show the overbought and oversold conditions, fail miserably in strong bullish or bearish rallies. I am talking about such indicators as Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving average convergence/divergence, Stochastic, etc. The fact that one of these indicators show overbought condition or even a bullish divergence most of the time will be a false signal. Above is the example of an overbought RSI on Gold chart on a daily. After the market became overbought, it went 1000 pips higher before the first pullback. 2. It is Never too High When the market starts setting new all-time highs, people typically start saying that the price is already "too high" and start closing their long positions or even open short positions. Remember, that the notion of too high is very subjective. Look at a bullish rally on Gold in 2020. I well remember that when the market updated a yearly high in April, People start staying that it is already "too high". However, the market kept rallying for 4 consequent months, constantly updating the highs. Such a market behavior may persist for a significant period of time, be prepared for that. 3. Beware of Overconfidence Even though bullish rallies may be long, always remember that they can not last forever. At some moment, correction or even bearish reversal will occur. For that reason, open long positions carefully, setting realistic targets. 4. Protect Your Gains and Maximize Your Profits When the market is trading in the uncharted territory, it is almost impossible to predict where it will find the resistance. With a take profit level, you may close the trade too soon. If you see that the market is driven by euphoria and keeps setting new all-time highs, remove take profit and apply a trailing stop instead. Keep that below the recent supports, use ATR or some other classic technical tool. That will help you to benefit from the entire rally. 5. DON'T SELL BULLISH RALLY When the market is driven by greed, euphoria or fear, never go against the market. The chance that you will accurately predict the turning point is close to 0. 6. Beware of Lower Time Frame Bearish Patterns In a strong bullish trend, classic bearish reversal pattern have low accuracy, especially on minutes time frames. Look at a sequence of double tops on 15 minutes time frame. These patterns are a great example of manipulations and how smart money induce retail traders to start shorting. In a such a strong bullish trend, the only strategy to rely on is trend-following trading. 7. Do Not Rely On News In times of strong bullish/bearish rallies, the data in economic calendar and important news releases stop giving the reliable signals. In times of bulls/bearish runs, emotions become the main driver of the markets, not the fundamental data. 8. If You Missed It, Let It Go I can imagine, how terrible you may feel yourself if you did not manage to buy Gold on a good price. It's sad, and it is painful to watch how the market goes higher and higher without you. But always remember a simple rule: if you missed the rally, let it go. With each new high that the market sets, your potential gains drop dramatically. I hope that these tips will help you not get burned while Gold is on fire. Stay calm and patient, and do not let your emotions intervene. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Technical Analysis DOES NOT WORK in GOLD Trading Does technical analysis really work in Gold trading? In this article, we will discuss whether the traditional, classic methods of technical analysis: support and resistance, breakouts, patterns can be reliable in this specific market. We will explore the dynamics of Gold prices so far this year and discuss the most efficient way to trade Gold. So if you are a gold trader or simple interested in the market analysis, you should not miss this eye-opening discussion! First, let's discuss how Gold market behaves from the beginning of the year from technical analysis perspective. Gold started this year in a strong bullish trend, the market opened after setting a new higher high on a daily the second of January. After a formation of a higher high, the market became overbought and a correctional movement initiated. The price formed a bullish flag pattern and reached the level of the last higher low - a very important support. After the test of structure, the price bounced and violated a resistance line of a flag with a strong bullish candle. From the technical perspective, it was a very strong trend-following signal and a bullish continuation was anticipated. However, it turned out that it was a false signal, and instead of going higher, the market dropped, setting a new lower low. Why this false signal is so important is that the breakouts, key levels and price action analysis are the most reliable on a daily time frame. Such a strong combination: bullish trend, bullish pattern, key support; has a very high accuracy on a daily. That was the first time this year, when technical analysis on a daily was completely screwed . It felt like the market was turning bearish. The price violated a level of the higher low, setting a new lower low. For Smart Money traders, it is a very important event that is called a Change of Character. It strongly confirms a bearish reversal on the market. One more bearish confirmation that I spotted was a completed head and shoulders pattern formation with a confirmed violation of its neckline. That signal also confirms a bearish reversal. And again, these 2 bearish confirmations were the false signals. The price went back above the neckline and a bullish movement initiated. This time, a classic price action pattern did not work , and smart money concepts gave a false signal. Then I spotted a very bullish signal - the price violated a major falling trend line and closed above that. It clearly indicated that the market was returning to a global bullish trend. And again, that signal was completely false. And the price dropped. Trend line breakout in the direction of the trend - a classic trend-following confirmation did not work. Then we saw 2 strong bearish signals: a bearish breakout of a rising trend line and a key horizontal support with a high momentum bearish candle. It felt like now it confirms that the market is bearish and it should drop lower to the closest key support. And again, technicals failed miserably and after a retest of a broken horizontal structure and a trend line, the price just went higher completely neglecting them From the beginning of the year, technical analysis: key levels, patterns, smart money, breakouts do not work on a daily. All the signals that were spotted so far failed. If you just started trading, you may easily come to the conclusion that technical analysis does not make any sense on Gold. And you will be completely right, in that period it does not work at all. I am trading Gold and Forex for more than 9 years, and year after year I noticed that there always are the periods when some techniques, some strategies do not work. Sometimes these periods are very short, but some time they can be quite long. The only proven way to overcome such periods is consistency and proper risk management . Risking a tiny portion of your trading account per trade, you will be able to survive the stubborn market. The market always returns to normal conditions and starts respecting the technicals again. However, no one knows when. There is a famous quote by John Keynes: "Markets can remain irrational longer than you stay solvent"" And only proper risk management will keep you solvent longer than the market stays irrational. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
How to Analyze Daily Time Frame on Gold. 5 Important Things There are 5 important things that you should analyze on Gold on a daily time frame to accurately predict long term, midterm and short term movements. In this article, I will share with you a step-by-step guide for daily time frame analysis that you can apply on Gold or any other financial instrument. 1 - Identify the market trend When you analyze a daily time frame, you should identify long term, midterm and short term market trends. Long-term trend is based on the analysis of one year long price action. In the example above, Gold is trading in a long term bullish trend because the price keeps setting new higher high and new higher lows during the year. Midterm trend is based on the analysis of a price action for the last 4–5 months. Above, we can clearly see that a mid-term trend is bullish because again, the price sets new higher highs and higher lows over time. Short-term trend is based on the analysis of price movements for the last 2 months. Short-term price action is also bullish on Gold, with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. According to the trend analysis, long-term, mid-term and short-term trends are bullish. 2 - Identify the directional bias The directional bias defines a highly probable future direction on the market. In our example, we can anticipate that Gold will keep growing among all the dimensions: long-term, mid-term and short-term. 3 - Execute structure analysis Identify important historic horizontal and vertical structures. That will be the points from where you should look for trading opportunities. When you analyze key levels, identify the structures that are lying close to the current price levels. Make sure that all the structures that you spotted were respected by the market in the past. 4 - Look for price action patterns Price action patterns are the language of the market. Proper identification of the patters will help you correctly understand the intentions of the market participants. You can see that a bearish breakout of a rising channel triggered a correctional movement on the market. Gold started to fall steadily within a bullish flag pattern and after it tested a key support, the price violated the resistance of the flag. 5 - Analyze candlesticks Candlestick patterns can provide extra clues and confirmations. You can see that the market formed multiple rejections from key support, an inside bar formation and bullish engulfing candle. Violation of the inside bar to the upside with a strong bullish candle is an important bullish signal. Combining trend analysis, structure analysis, price action and candlestick analysis, and you can make predictions and look for trading opportunities. You can also make your analysis even more sophisticated, for example, analyzing fundamental analysis or applying technical indicators. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4