XAUUSD – Bearish Outlook from Resistance Zone📊 XAUUSD – Bearish Outlook from Resistance Zone
🕒 Date: June 5, 2025
💰 Instrument: Gold (XAUUSD)
📍 Current Price: 3,352.730 USD
🟨 Key Resistance Level
🔴 Price has sharply reacted from the 3,375–3,400 USD zone, highlighted as a strong resistance area.
📉 This zone has previously triggered significant sell-offs, confirmed again by the current bearish rejection (red arrow 🔻).
📉 Bearish Market Structure
The price structure suggests a classic lower high rejection scenario with potential for further downside:
🔻 Immediate Drop Expected
After rejection from resistance, the price shows early signs of breakdown. A minor pullback is expected before continuation.
🧭 TP1 – First Target Zone:
📍 3,245.560 USD
This level aligns with a previous demand area (light red box), likely to act as temporary support or reaction point.
🎯 TP2 – Final Bearish Target:
📍 3,127.527 USD
This blue demand zone is a major support level, previously a strong rally base (green arrow 🟢). Expect buyers to step in here again.
🔄 Trade Idea Summary
💼 Setup Type: Resistance Rejection
🛑 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry Zone: ~3,350–3,360 USD (confirmed rejection)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,245.560 USD
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,127.527 USD
🔒 Stop Loss: Above 3,400 USD (outside resistance zone)
📌 Observations:
🔁 The market repeated its previous pattern: bouncing from the blue demand zone and rejecting at the yellow resistance zone.
🧱 A solid breakdown below TP1 could accelerate movement toward TP2.
🔍 Watch for any bullish reaction around TP2 for potential reversal setups.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📆 Outlook: Short-term to mid-term swing
Xauusdupdates
Is there still hope for the bull market to rise today?📰 Impact of news:
1. Progress made in talks between China and the USA
📈 Market analysis:
In view of the non-agricultural data to be released on Friday, the market is expected to maintain a volatile consolidation trend before then. From the daily level: the Bollinger Bands open gently, the gold price is running below the upper track 3414, and the MACD golden cross is running slowly, suggesting that the bullish momentum is weak. At the hourly level, the short-term short position is strong, and there is a certain rebound demand. Therefore, we pay attention to the 3343-3333 support line below, focusing on the 3300 support. After the gold price falls below the 3360 support, the 3360 position will suppress the gold price in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3343-3333
TP 3360-3370-3380
SELL 3360-3370
TP 3330-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Is there still a chance for a bull market in gold's decline?📰 Impact of news:
1. European Central Bank deposit facility rate in the eurozone as of June 5
2. Initial jobless claims data
3. Non-farm payroll data
4. Worsening geopolitical situation
5. Watch the impact of the dialogue between Trump and Xi Jinping on gold
📈 Market analysis:
This round of geopolitical conflict caused an upward breakthrough, but the price has cooled down due to the negotiations between China and the United States. The current market is swaying at 3374. In fact, gold has not yet taken a more obvious direction. After all, tomorrow, Friday, is a key node in the data market game. At the 4H level, today's European session has reached the 3404 line, and encountered resistance and pressure here. The current retracement is in line with our expectations, and we expect to go long. As long as the key position of the middle track is maintained, it will continue to rise after being pulled down. At present, I still hold long orders.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3390-3385-3375
TP 3400-3410
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan 5/6/2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price action is currently overlapping — a sign that the corrective phase may not be over yet. If the correction had indeed ended at 3334, we would expect a sharper and more impulsive rally typical of wave 3 (green) within wave 3 (black). The lack of that strong momentum suggests the correction could still be unfolding.
Both wave a and wave b (red) are showing 3-wave structures, which points to the development of a Flat correction in the red abc pattern.
Within wave b (red), we’re currently seeing a smaller abc structure (green), with price likely forming wave c (green) right now.
🎯 Target Zones
Wave c (green) target zone: 3390–3393, which is our ideal Sell zone.
If price reverses from this zone, we expect wave c (red) to complete somewhere between 3334–3324.
⚡️ Momentum Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is starting to turn bearish. A confirmation will depend on how today’s daily candle closes. Until then, short-term upside is still possible.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already turned bearish, supporting the case for a potential wave C (red) to unfold.
H1 timeframe: Currently oversold, which opens the door for a minor push up or some sideways action to finish wave c (green).
📌 Trade Setup
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3390 – 3393
Stop Loss (SL): 3400
Take Profit (TP1): 3370
Take Profit (TP2): 3357
🔺 BUY Zone:
Entry: 3334 – 3331
Stop Loss (SL): 3322
Take Profit (TP1): 3357
Take Profit (TP2): 3393
Take Profit (TP3): 3410
Gold bulls are strong and clear, go long on pullbacksFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is around 3354-62. If the daily level stabilizes at this position, the bulls will continue to fluctuate upward. Focus on the support of 3338-45. Pay attention to the suppression of 3395-3400. Keep the main tone of low-long participation around this range during the day. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3353-3362, and cover long when it falls back to 3340-45, stop loss at 3336, and target 3395-3400;
XAUUSDThe trend of XAUUSD is fluctuating.
Wednesday: XAUUSD in the Asian market rose sharply to 3372 and then quickly dropped to 3348. The current quotation is 3360.
It is a good trading opportunity for traders who bought low yesterday. The lowest yesterday fell to 3333. The operating space fluctuates by about $40/ounce. Many people have no idea. The profit of trading 1 lot of buy orders is 4. The profit of trading 5 lots is 20k.
This week is the monthly data news week. Including ADP. ECB interest rate decision, big non-agricultural data that have a significant impact on the economy.
Trend observation. There is still an intention to continue to rise. In terms of operation, you can focus on buying at low levels.
Pressure range: 3400-3390
Support range: 3340-3350
Under the influence of news. Many trends will be distorted due to the influence of data news. So I have been reminding you not to trade alone. If you want to follow good swing trading instructions to make reasonable trades and expand your profits, please leave us a message.
gold on bullish#XAUUSD price have breakout the 3403, now we expect new formation before any possible move. Between 3390-3392 shows rejection on sell.
Buy on multiple breakout Between 3390-3392, TP 3415-3420, SL 3380.
If possible the next H1 drops and close below 3380 then bearish retracment will occur till 3370-3355.
GOLD Intraday Update for 5 June 25as you can see that we already captured nice move since yesterday from 3345 to 3383
for market trading range is 3350-80 if market successfully breaks 3390 then it will move towards 3400 or even 3420
below 3350 it will move towards 3335 level
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold price fluctuates before NFP data, be careful📰 Impact of news:
1. European Central Bank deposit facility rate in the eurozone as of June 5
2. Initial jobless claims data
3. Non-farm payroll data
4. Worsening geopolitical situation
📈 Market analysis:
Since the release of ADP data last night, gold prices have been rising all the way, reaching a high of around 3382, which is in line with the expected resistance of 3385-3395 we saw yesterday. Currently, the bulls are stable above 3330, and the gold price is still in a bullish trend on the daily chart. Although the current market is in a state of consolidation, there is a possibility of a surge and fall in the short term. Only after a negative line correction occurs, it may continue to be bullish. In short-term trading, pay attention to 3385-3395 on the top and the opportunity to retreat to 3365-3355 on the bottom. Pay attention to data such as initial jobless claims and tomorrow's non-agricultural data.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355-3345
TP 3370-3380-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold 100% Trading SignalsJudging from the trend of the gold 1-hour chart, the daily level maintains a strong bullish upward pattern. It is recommended to continue to focus on the range low-multiple strategy during the day. The current market is in a stage of shock consolidation, and there is a technical pressure to rise and fall in the short term. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on short-term long orders, and focus on the trading logic of following the trend and low-multiple. It is necessary to focus on the upper 3390-3400 resistance range and the lower 3340-3330 support range. Specific strategy Weng Fuhao suggested that you can try long orders when it falls back to the 3348-3353 area.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3348-3353 area of gold, with a stop loss at 3340, and look at 3365-3375 in the short term, with a target of 3400
Gold 100% Trading SignalsOn the monthly chart, gold price closed in a cross pattern, which is the first time after a sharp rise, suggesting a fierce confrontation between long and short forces, and a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market. This pattern may indicate that the market has entered an adjustment or relay stage. Given the large increase in the previous period, a correction is possible, but it cannot be asserted that the trend has reversed. In the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands slightly opened, the moving average golden cross, and the short moving average continued to move up after the big sun, indicating that the long adjustment may have been completed and the unilateral market is about to start. The four-hour chart shows a perfect long arrangement, with the bulls in the lead. The MACD indicator is waiting for an effective golden cross, and the market outlook is expected to continue to rise. At present, the upper resistance is 3388-3392, and the lower support is 3351-3347. In terms of operation, Xu Gucheng recommends rebounding shorts as the main, and callbacks as the auxiliary.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound 3388-3394 shorts, stop loss 3400, and the target is 3360-3350.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to buy on the pullback to 3353-3347, with a stop loss at 3344, and the target is 3380-3400.
Safe-Haven Demand May Drive Gold Prices Higher✅ Today’s ADP report came in bullish for gold,
✅ Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book reveals:
A slight slowdown in economic activity
Increased policy uncertainty and price pressures for businesses and consumers
An overall pessimistic economic outlook
📌 Combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions, this creates a supportive backdrop for safe-haven buying in gold.
🔍 Technical Outlook (1D Chart):
Gold is still facing a bearish divergence on the daily chart. For this to resolve, the market must choose between:
1️⃣ A strong breakout with volume, pushing toward 3430–3450
2️⃣ A pullback to repair structure, including filling the gap below 3300, which may later fuel a rally toward 3500+ if bullish catalysts arise
📅 Key Events to Watch This Week:
Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims
Friday: NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls)
⚠️ Also monitor developments on trade tariffs, which may affect market sentiment
📊 Short-Term Trade Plan (Range Strategy):
🎯 Key levels to watch:
Resistance: around 3400
Support: near 3366
📌 Consider range trading between 3408–3358, selling highs and buying dips with strict risk control.
Short-term bearish correction, within a potential bullish setupHere is a more detailed explanation of the chart analysis for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 30-minute timeframe:
📊 Chart Summary:
Instrument: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: 30-minute
Current Price: Around 3,359.945 USD
Trend: Short-term bearish correction, within a potential bullish setup
📌 Key Technical Levels:
1. Support Zone 🟩
Level: 3,342.605 USD
This is the zone where buyers are likely to step in. It's a previous demand area where price may reverse or consolidate before moving higher.
2. Resistance Level 🟥
Level: 3,391.323 USD
A key level to watch. If price breaks above this, it signals bullish strength and continuation.
3. Demand Zone 🟦
Level: 3,409.880 – 3,410.342 USD
Target area where strong buying activity previously occurred. Price may gravitate toward this if bullish momentum builds.
🔄 Price Projection Path (Expected Movement):
Price may test the support at 3,342.605, forming a potential reversal base.
A bullish move is expected toward the resistance at 3,391.323.
If broken, price could continue its upward trajectory toward the demand zone around 3,410.342.
🧠 Trading Implication:
Bullish Setup: Look for confirmation near the support zone for a long entry.
Breakout Traders: Watch for breakout above resistance for continuation trades.
Risk Management: Use tight stops below support; consider scaling out near resistance.
Let me know if you'd like a trading strategy or signals based on this analysis.
Gold Approaches Historical Highs Once AgainOver the last three trading sessions, gold has gained just over 3%, and is once again approaching the $3,400 zone, where historical highs are currently holding. For now, the bullish bias behind the precious metal has remained intact, as market uncertainty continues to rise steadily due to developments related to the trade war and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
Risk aversion has started to increase following recent comments from Donald Trump regarding a potential new escalation with China if negotiations fail to reach an agreement. Additionally, the proposed peace deal for the Ukraine conflict appears to be more delayed than expected, which has caused CNN’s Fear and Greed Index to shift from the “greed” zone into “neutral,” reflecting a decline in short-term investor confidence.
It is important to note that in this type of scenario, gold stands out due to its safe-haven status, and these types of events have acted as important catalysts to sustain the current buying momentum over the past few sessions.
Uptrend Remains Intact
Since the first days of January this year, gold has maintained a steady uptrend. So far, bearish corrections have been insufficient to break the formation seen in recent weeks. At present, the price is once again testing the resistance area marked by historical highs, and if it manages to break through this level, it could signal a stabilization of the upward trend in the sessions ahead.
RSI
The RSI line continues to rise above the 50 level, indicating bullish momentum in the short term. If the line continues to climb, buying pressure could become more significant in the near term.
TRIX
Although the TRIX line remains above the neutral 0 level, its current downward slope suggests that buying momentum has entered a period of consolidation. Unless the line recovers, it will continue to reflect that the strength of the exponential moving averages is entering a short-term neutral phase.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,400: Resistance located at recent historical highs. A breakout above this level could activate a stronger bullish bias and reinforce the ongoing trend.
$3,300: A nearby support level aligned with the midpoint of a potential short-term horizontal channel. It may act as a barrier to further downside corrections.
$3,200: A critical support level aligned with the ascending trendline. Selling activity below this level could put the current uptrend at risk.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
BULLS VS BEARS WILL GOLD MATCH ATH?Glossary:
Ged = Bearish scenario
Green = Bullish scenario
POI = Point of interest
ATH = All time high
LQ = Liquidity zone
Gold since the beginning has been moving in a range and break fashion you'll see this across the board, always. A 4hr range is in the process of being formed ideally what wed like to see is for the high to be matched first. That simply would give more confidence for the bears to get in and short the market however now we sit with the though of where will it go first?
preferred bias
Buys to sell, ideally and the most logical outcome is the highs do get matched forming a strong liquidity zone that can be targeted at a future date, as price begins to fall new points of interest can then be formed (since there isn't a lot to target above right now), this will allow the market to have areas it can market when we see the bullish side of this range play out when ever that may be.
Structure
Current structure allows you to get in trades, previous structure allows you to get out of trades use it to your advantage, think. where does the money want to move next where will the banks get the best bang for their buck and most importantly where can we cause traders to LOSE, a trade you win is a trade someone else lost. so long you stick with where the big guys want to go you'll be on the right side
Bullish bias (green)
Key points get broken, imbalance fill, ATH matched (this is where short orders get stacked, future sweep target.
Bearish bias (red)
Area 1 , this is the first key low im looking to break if we see a candle close below continue to area 2, there are traders who WILL get stopped out at zone 1
Area 2 , this is our next key point in structure there will still be traders with open positions here also, again if we see a candle close below this zone continue to monitor for Area 3
Area 3, this may be a final target, however there's still POI's sat below if price shows strong signs of bearish momentum target Areas 4 and below can be open for discussion
Conclusion
personally i would like to see POI's built on the buy side as of right now before we move down simply because the market NEEDS somewhere to move from and to without that it would be erratic.
If you found this helpful be sure to boost this idea, give a like and a follow, consistent charts will be posted on a weekly basis and let me know what you think down in the comment section too :)
Gold intraday trading strategyFrom the 4-hour line analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on around 3170-75, strong support is at the 3150 mark, and upper pressure is around 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back to 3170-75 and does not break, hold a light long position; if it falls back to 3150-55, add a long position; stop loss at 3144; target at 3226-3230; continue to hold if it breaks;
2. If gold rebounds to 3240-45 and does not break, hold a light short position; if it rebounds to 3253-60, add a short position; stop loss at 3266; target at 3275-80; continue to hold if it breaks;
Geopolitical conflicts dominate gold price fluctuationsFrom a technical perspective, gold closed with a long lower shadow last week, indicating strong support from below. It opened higher on Monday to around $3,252 before falling back, entering a short-term consolidation phase, but the $3,200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily level stood firmly on the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands closed, indicating that the market is accumulating upward momentum. Gold is generally bullish this week, with an upper target of $3,280; if it breaks through this resistance level, it may fill the previous gap and further test $3,350 or even $3,400.
Gold's 1-hour K-line shows that gold has bottomed out and rebounded, recovering the losses of last Friday, and is currently close to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. Technical indicators show that there is an obvious bottoming signal below, and there is still room for growth. However, before effectively breaking through $3,280, it is difficult for gold to form a unilateral upward trend. Therefore, this week's operation is considered to be divided into two stages: below $3,280, it is treated as a volatile upward trend, and after breaking through, it will turn into a unilateral upward trend. For gold's short-term operation strategy today, it is recommended to focus on low-level longs and rebound high-level shorts. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3250-3260 is 3250-3260, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3115-3105 is 3115-3105.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold is recommended to go long in the 3220-3215 area, with a stop loss at 3207 and a target of 3230-3240
2. Gold is recommended to go short in the 3250-3255 area, with a stop loss at 3263 and a target of 3235-3225
Market situation unclear? Check out this analysis📰 Impact of news:
1. ADP data is significantly positive
2. Trump: "Mr. Too Late" Fed Chairman Powell must cut interest rates now
📈 Market analysis:
The ADP data is significantly bullish, but we cannot rule out that this is an illusion created by the market, because although the daily line has formed a golden cross, it has not fully released the bullish momentum, and has not been able to exert force in the bullish upward trend. Therefore, I prefer to go long at a low position in the US market rather than chasing it immediately. At the same time, the upper 3365 may become a short-term strong pressure level. If the gold price encounters resistance here, the US market will usher in a retracement, and then it will be our time to go long.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3360-3365
TP 3340-3330
BUY 3330-3317
TP 3360-3370-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Is it a pullback or a reversal?Recently, the price of gold has repeatedly broken through the 3400 level, but has failed to stabilize after multiple attempts to break through. Simply put, the 3400 level is like a door that the bulls are desperately trying to push open, but if they can't, gold may pull back to the 3340-3396 level to take a breath. There are currently two key signals in the market: one is that the hourly chart shows that the price of gold has risen too fast in the short term and may need to pull back; the other is that before the release of non-agricultural data, the market tends to be cautious, and the possibility of shorting at high levels is increasing.
Gold trend analysis and layout before ADP data release📰 Impact of news:
1. May ADP data
2. The geopolitical situation worsens
📈 Market analysis:
Today, the gold price in the Asian session hit the 3370 line and then began to fall. Before the release of the ADP data, the gold price is likely to fall into a volatile pattern. The upper short-term resistance is 3370-3380. Pay attention to whether it can break through 3392, which will determine whether the short-term gold price can reach 3400. Pay attention to the support below 3350-3345, and focus on the 3330 line support. Once it falls below 3330, the gold price may reach 3317. If the ADP data is released and stabilizes near 3317, and then quickly closes the long lower shadow. Then you can rely on the 3317 to enter the market and do more. As long as it rebounds to above 3330 again, then the high point near 3390 above will definitely not be maintained. On the contrary, if gold falls below the 3330 and 3317 levels during the US trading session, don't go long easily. Participate in the high-altitude and low-multiple cycle during the European session. If it retreats to 3355-3345, consider going long with a light position and look at 3360-3370. If it touches 3375-3390 and is under pressure, consider shorting. Focus on ADP data!!
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3360-3370
SELL 3375-3390
TP 3350-3340
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Faces Strong Headwinds – Beware of Bull Traps!After rebounding to 3368 yesterday, gold dropped below 3340, and recovered slightly above 3350 late in the session.
Today, it briefly touched the 3372 resistance, only to pull back again — showing just how difficult it is for bulls to push higher.
🔍 Technical Overview:
30M chart has broken below key moving averages
1H chart is facing heavy overhead pressure
⚠️ If prices rise on low volume, it’s likely a bull trap.
Only a volume-backed breakout can confirm a real bullish trend.
⚠️ Important Note:
There’s still an unfilled gap below 3300
If bears take control, filling that gap is highly likely
Today’s ADP jobs data will be critical:
If bearish for gold → sub-3300 is likely
If bullish for gold → 3400 becomes a top-tier short zone
Gold- Short-Term Bull, Medium-Term BearIn my previous analysis, I pointed out the possibility of Gold correcting back to retest the broken descending trendline.
That zone is now acting as a key confluence area, and as long as the price holds above it, bulls maintain the advantage.
However, beyond the technicals, I also shared my personal view: while we could see some upside in the short term (next few days), I believe that Gold is setting up for another leg down in the medium term.
From a strictly technical perspective, the current price action reinforces the likelihood of a short-term bounce. We're seeing a clean retest of previous resistance turned support, which often leads to continuation moves.
📉 But if you're aiming for 1,000+ pip swings (like me), it's wiser to wait for clear bearish confirmation. The real opportunity may come after this short-term rise, at least in my opinion.
In conclusion:
- Short term is bullish as long as it stays above 3340-3350 in terms of daily close
- In the medium term, my opinion is unchanged, drop to 3200
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.