Gold price plummeted below 3200, how should gold be deployed?🗞News side:
1. The rise in U.S. stocks is worrisome, and the risk of backlash is growing.
2. Pay attention to initial unemployment claims data
📈Technical aspects:
The US gold price fell below the key support of 3200. At present, the gold shorts continue to exert their strength and are expected to further test the support of 3170-3160, or even the previous key point of 3150. Before the market trend becomes clear, it is not recommended for brothers to enter the market at will. If the gold price successfully touches the support area below and obtains strong support, then enter the market to do more.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Xauusdupdates
Gold starts a downward trend? Latest strategy.News focus:
Today, Fed official Waller will give a speech;
Tomorrow, the number of initial jobless claims, producer price index (PPI) and retail sales data will be released;
On Friday, the market will usher in the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index report.
Technical analysis:
Gold fell rapidly in the Asian market, then rebounded slightly, and has been in a sideways trend.
I think the recent volatility is more obvious, and there is still uncertainty whether the direction will be quickly completed.
There are large differences in the current price of the short strategy, and it is impossible to make a decisive breakthrough in the short term.
Operation strategy:
Still adhere to the expectation of short-term decline, the rebound will not hinder the final decline expectation, and the strategy of shorting at high points will be maintained in the short term.
You need to pay attention to the key support level of $3160. If the downward trend opens this position, the gold price may test the low position of 3100.
Gold crash alarm is sounding!
Technical aspects:The pressure area of gold is concentrated in the range of 3250-3260. If the market remains weak and under pressure, it will be difficult for gold prices to break through this area. The key support around 3210-3200 should be focused on for gold to go down. If the gold price falls below the support of 3200, it may trigger a waterfall-like decline, and the expected support bottom is in the area of 3100-3050.
In terms of operation, you can wait for the opportunity to rebound and come under pressure after the position is broken, and take advantage of the trend to place short orders. It is important to remember that 3200 is like a key line of defense. Once it falls, it will trigger a chain selling.
GOLD on sideways#xauusd have been multiple rejecting both on bearish and bullish, now next breakout will determine the next move on the pair.
Above the rectangle at 3244.5-3252 will push the pair above 3278, stop loss at 3235.
Below 3229 will trigger a full bearish because the M5 is waiting for breakout below drop. Target 3187
XAUUSD-4H Buying SettingsGold has secured double bottom support
#XAUUSD Buy Setup – 4H
Buy Entry: 3,223–3,219 (Confirmed breakout above resistance, retest of 3,223 as new support)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 3,238
TP2: 3,255
TP3: 3,340
Stop Loss: 3,210
Strategy: Buy after confirmed breakout, retest of 3,238 level as support, target higher resistance zone.
5/14 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, gold only entered the 3218–3252 flexible range , and did not touch the broader buy/sell zones, resulting in limited profits .
Currently, gold remains under resistance , and candlestick formations suggest an irregular double top . With ongoing sideways box-range movement , the market lacks a clear direction, so caution is advised .
📉 If bears take control, gold could drop toward 3169 .
📈 If bulls prevail , a rebound to 3300 is likely.
🔍 Key Technical Zones:
Bullish Resistance : 3246 – 3268
Support Area : 3218 – 3209
🗞 News Focus:
Speeches from Fed members Waller and Jefferson today may trigger directional momentum in the market.
📌 Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell Zone : 3301 – 3327
Buy Zone : 3170 – 3152
Flexible Trading Ranges :
▫️ 3210 – 3243
▫️ 3272 – 3259
▫️ 3247 – 3296
✅ Trade with discipline, manage position sizes carefully, and stay alert during key speeches.
XAUUSD IDEAL🏆 TRADE SETUP – XAU/USD (Gold)
🗓️ May 14, 2025
🟢 Pending Order: Buy Limit
📍 Entry: 3219.426
🛑 Stop Loss: 3210.965
🎯 Take Profit: 3282.184
Setup Type: Pullback entry to key support
Rationale:
Bullish momentum still intact on higher timeframes
Expecting price to dip into demand zone before continuation
Favorable risk-reward (over 1:7 R:R)
Gold remains strong on geopolitical tension + central bank flows
⚖️ Risk well-defined. Letting the setup come to me.
🚀 Looking for continuation toward new local highs.
#XAUUSD #Gold #forex #buylimit #swingtrade #tradingstrategy #priceaction #goldtrading #riskreward
Gold fluctuates. When will a new trend start?China and the United States reached a 90-day ceasefire agreement, and the price of gold returned to 3,200 from 3,400 US dollars. All traders are staring at the support level of 3,200 US dollars, and are very worried about whether it can withstand pressure; it will fall to a larger level, resulting in no trading opportunities for gold positions.
I think your concerns are normal, and market fluctuations are also normal. There is no market that only rises and never falls; even in the bull market, there will be periodic adjustments.
Next, the focus is on the maturity of US Treasury bonds in June. The impact of trade conflicts will soon be forgotten by the market; US CPI inflation continued to decline in April, from 2.4% in the early stage to 2.3%, getting closer and closer to the Fed's ultimate goal of 2%, which means that the Fed will soon have to restart the interest rate cut plan.
Once the US Treasury bonds mature and default or trigger panic, or if Fed Chairman Powell reveals his intention to cut interest rates, gold will rise rapidly and may reach a high point within 1-2 days.
Okay, everyone; you need to understand the basic situation, but the most important thing is the operation strategy during the Asian trading session.
I think you can first test the long strategy around $3225, with a stop loss below 3215 and a profit in the rebound range of $3340-3360.
Man, excessive worrying will not help; if you can't accept short-term volatility trading, you can wait and see and stay calm.
Gold long signalThe US inflation data for April released key signals: the core CPI annual rate dropped to 2.8%, and the monthly rate of 0.2% was also lower than expected, indicating that inflation continued to fall. After the data was released, the US dollar index weakened rapidly, and the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut this year increased, and gold once surged. However, affected by the uncertainty of the global tariff situation, some funds chose to take profits, causing the gold price to fall under short-term pressure. The current market is digesting the signal of policy shift, and short-term fluctuations may intensify, but the cooling of inflation and the expectation of policy easing constitute medium-term support for gold.
Technically, gold prices are fluctuating and converging above the key support level of $3,200. The daily Bollinger Bands are closing, and the upper pressure is at 3,275-3,300. If it breaks through 3,275, it is expected to test the gap pressure; 3,220 below forms multiple defense lines. If the 10-day moving average is stable at the 4-hour level, the rebound target can be seen in the 3,275-3,280 range.
Gold long position suggestion: Go long at 3230-3225, stop loss 7 USD, target 3250-3260
Analysis and Suggestions on the Trend of GoldToday, the U.S. April CPI data was released, indicating that inflationary pressures have eased, sending a complex signal to the market. This mild data that fell short of expectations, combined with the uncertainty of recent tariff policies, may trigger market expectations of the Federal Reserve's early interest rate cuts, thus weakening the U.S. dollar and providing certain support for gold. As a result, the price of gold rose briefly in the short term. However, gold then turned down again. This may be because the overall risk appetite in the market has rebounded, with major global stock markets surging. More funds have flowed into risk assets such as the stock market, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold and overshadowing the short-term positive impact of the CPI data on gold.
The overall trend is similar to my analysis yesterday, fluctuating repeatedly within the range. Judging from the current trend of gold, pay attention to the short-term suppression at the level of 3260-3265 above. The strong resistance is around the mark of 3275-3285. Below, pay attention to the support at the level of 3215-3220, and focus on the support at the level of 3200, which is also the dividing line between the strength of bulls and bears. The operation suggestion is mainly to go long on the pullback, and patiently wait to enter the market at the key position. 👉👉👉
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3220-3225
sl 3200
tp 3240-3250
If you think the analysis is helpful to you, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you!👉👉👉
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market:
Is this where we should be getting worried?
Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this;
🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop;
🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015;
🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range.
Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically):
Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities:
🎈elevated inflationary expectations,
🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments,
🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions,
🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying.
Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011.
Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction.
Did the BBC just signal the peak??
Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize.
Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction.
__________________________
OANDA:XAUUSD
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly.
CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend.
Two support positions need to be paid attention to today:
Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200.
Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300.
Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
GOLD Sell Setup Alert – High-Probability Trade Sell GOLD @ 3256
🎯 Targets:
TP 1 → 3248
TP 2 → 3240
TP 3 → 3220
🛑 Stop Loss: 3267
⚠️ Enter slowly in layers with proper risk and money management.
This setup is based on technical levels – stay disciplined and trade smart.
📊 Follow for more premium setups on Crypto & Forex.
#GoldSignal #ForexTrading #XAUUSD #SellSetup #ForexSignals #RiskManagement #SmartTrading
Will gold continue to rise?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your thoughts in the comment area. At present, the first important position of gold is around 3295, and the second is 3320-3330.
3295 is the 382 position of gold in this round. If the rebound does not pass here, then if it falls again next, it is very likely to break the support of 3200.
The second is 3320-3330, which is the gap on Monday. If it goes up, the possibility of filling the gap is also very high.
So, next pay attention to the two positions I mentioned above, 3295 and 3320-30. If you want to sell gold, it is best to wait for these three price positions.
Gold fell and then rose to $3,250. Next trend?News summary:
After two days of negotiations in Geneva, China and the United States announced that they would reduce tariffs on each other in the next three months: the US tariff on Chinese imports would be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China's tariff on US goods would be reduced from 125% to 10%. This news pushed global stock markets up.
Boosted by the agreement, market risk appetite has increased, investors' concerns about the US recession have eased, and expectations for the Fed's aggressive rate cuts this year have also declined accordingly, which has pushed the US dollar to continue to strengthen, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has come under pressure.
Technical analysis:
Gold prices fell below the 21-day moving average on Monday, when the average was at $3,313, further increasing downside risks. The 14-day relative strength index also fell below the midline for the first time since early April, sending a bearish signal. Buyers are trying to regain control of the situation.
Traders need to pay attention to the release of US CPI data.
I think if the US CPI data is higher than expected, gold prices may start a new round of decline, with the target being $3,145 near the 50-day moving average. The important support level below is $3,100.
On the contrary, if the CPI data is lower than expected, gold prices are expected to re-enter the 21-day SMA, which is currently $3,311. Once this resistance is broken, it will test the trend line resistance at $3,430. If it breaks further, the trend will open up space for gold prices to hit the historical high of $3,500.
Gold still has room to fallThe current market sentiment is undergoing a significant shift from risk aversion to risk appetite. The easing of trade tensions has greatly boosted market risk appetite, leading to a large-scale outflow of funds from safe-haven assets such as gold.
Considering the positive impact of the tariff agreement, gold prices may face further downward pressure. Technical analysis shows that once it falls below the $3,200 mark, the next support level is around $3,150. The further weakening of market risk aversion and the strengthening of the US dollar will continue to suppress gold prices.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross the downward short position, proving that there is still room for gold to go down. Based on the short-term resistance area near 3250, continue to short gold on rallies.
Gold's short-term rebound is weakAt the daily level, the Bollinger Bands are closing and flattening, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are entangled near the middle track. The current price is running below the middle track, and the 5-day moving average has turned downward. The technical side shows that the current gold price is fluctuating and bearish, and the MACD has crossed at a high level. The red column continues to shrink. Intraday operations should focus on high-altitude thinking. Pay attention to the 10-day moving average and the middle track 3250-60 area resistance on the top, and pay attention to the support near the lower track of US$3200 on the bottom.
At the 4-hour level, the current downward trend of shock is more obvious, and the shape is a step-down. Ma5 and Ma10 are glued together and cross below 66ma. MACD death cross is combined with green column volume, and the overall idea of falling back and adjusting is maintained. The 1-hour moving average is still a downward short arrangement. After gold jumped down and opened, there is a large gap. Gold rebounded weakly and continued to fall. It will be difficult to cover the losses in the short term, and it will be covered in the process of roundabouts in the future market.
5/12 Gold Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Gold opened lower and extended losses today, influenced by easing China–U.S. trade tensions and ceasefire news from India-Pakistan.
The recent rally was largely driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical concerns. As tensions ease, gold's retracement is a logical market reaction.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Gold has now returned to a previous consolidation zone . While some support exists, current candlestick structure and most indicators show no clear bullish reversal yet.
Entering long positions too early may pose short-term risks, so trend trades should wait for stronger confirmation.
For flexible intraday trading, watch:
Support at 3263–3246: Holding this zone could trigger a rebound back toward 3309 resistance.
📌 Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3306 – 3321
✅ Buy Zone: 3218 – 3198
🔁 Range for Scalp/Short-Term Trades: 3294 – 3263 / 3238 – 3269
Gold Ideas - Tuesday May 13 ahead of CPI🧠 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Reaction Zones & Ideas – May 13, 2025
🔹 Bias: Bearish with Corrective Bounce - potential flip to bullish
Gold is currently retracing after reacting off the 3220 liquidity sweep zone. While price is moving upward intraday, the overall structure remains bearish on the higher timeframes. This is a corrective bounce unless we break decisively above 3297.
Today’s CPI release brings volatility risk. Price may spike into premium zones before reversing. Stay reactive — not predictive.
📊 Key 4H Reaction Zones
These are zones of interest where price may reverse or accelerate, depending on behavior inside.
🔴 Potential Sell Zones
• 3272–3287
Lower premium trap zone. Strong confluence area ahead of CPI.
Watch for early rejection if price spikes here.
• 3292–3308
HTF OB + FVG combo. If price drives here quickly, high probability of overextension fade.
• 3315–3330
Final upper sweep zone. Only valid if price breaks above 3300 aggressively during NY.
🟢 Potential Buy Zones
• 3220–3240
Confirmed sweep base. If price calmly retests, may provide second entry opportunity.
• 3170–3190
Deep HTF demand zone. Only in play if CPI triggers heavy downside movement.
⚠️ CPI Volatility Alert
CPI releases at 12:30 GMT / 15:30 GMT+3.
This event can trigger unpredictable price action — fakeouts, long wicks, and rapid reversals. Wait for structure. Let the market reveal the plan.
🧠 Final Note
The zone is never the trade.
The behavior inside is.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold 3200 Life and Death Battle!Gold stabilized after touching the support of the 3193-3202 rising trend line. Although the US market rebounded, it did not form an effective breakthrough. In the short term, it is still dominated by shorts.
Short-term strategy:
Before 3200 is broken, you can go long on dips. If it falls below, stop the loss decisively, and use a small stop loss to game the potential bull reversal. Whether the 3250 pressure is broken or not determines the short-term direction
GOLD TRADE IDEA – XAUUSD 15-Min Chart | Sell SetupGold Spot (XAUUSD) is presenting a short (sell) opportunity on the 15-minute chart. The suggested sell zone is between 3235–3238, with multiple take-profit targets and a clear stop-loss:
Sell Entry: 3235 / 3238
TP 1: 3232
TP 2: 3228
TP 3: 3225
TP 4: 3222
TP 5: 3215
Stop-Loss (SL): 3245
This setup is based on price rejection from resistance and potential downward continuation toward the highlighted support zone. Always manage risk accordingly.
Gold turning point. What signals are hidden?Overall analysis of gold trend:
Gold prices suffered a setback under the influence of the optimism of tomorrow's US-China negotiations. The core reason for the decline in gold prices is the breakthrough in global tariff negotiations.
The key factor driving the rise in gold prices early on: Tariff concerns are significantly easing, which directly leads to the gold market entering a phased consolidation.
I think the price of gold will fluctuate in the range of US$3,000-3,300 per ounce for some time to come. This forecast range is significantly narrower than before, reflecting that in the current complex and changing market environment, gold price fluctuations will tend to be rational.
I think the gold price at this time is already at the crossroads of an important trend.
The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short factors. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the safe-haven demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages, and the continued inflow of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables.
For traders, it is more necessary to remain rational in the current market environment, pay attention to short-term price fluctuations, and grasp the long-term value of gold as a safe-haven asset. The next round of big market in the gold market may be nurtured in these seemingly contradictory market signals.
Operation strategy:
Traders need to try to adopt scalping trading strategies in the current small fluctuation range, enter the market in time, and take profits in time.
The current fluctuation range is between $3200 and $3245. You can try to short near the high point and long at the low point, so that you can reap a small profit.
If you are a large-capital customer who can withstand market fluctuations, you can hold the position and wait and see for part of the time, and then choose the appropriate time to close the position.