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Market Structure Break & Bearish Reaction from Supply Zone.🔍 GOLD – Market Structure Break & Bearish Reaction from Supply Zone Gold has recently broken its market structure (MSS), which is a significant shift in momentum and a potential indication of a change in the prevailing trend. Following this break, price retraced into a key supply zone, where it was rejected sharply—this rejection came in the form of a strong bearish engulfing candle, highlighting aggressive selling interest. Interestingly, the market has now printed a second consecutive bearish engulfing from the same zone. This is a powerful signal that sellers are active and defending this level, making it a valid and confirmed short-term resistance zone. The repeated rejection suggests that smart money or institutional sellers may be positioned here. Given this price action, we can anticipate a potential retracement from the current levels. The most probable downside target for this retracement would be the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has been marked on the chart. If price respects the FVG and reacts bullishly from there, we may then see a resumption of the uptrend, possibly taking price higher again. This setup presents a good opportunity for both short-term intraday traders and swing traders to watch for confirmation signals before entering the trade. 📌 Key Takeaways: MSS indicates shift in trend Consecutive bearish engulfing candles from supply zone Sellers likely active in this area Potential retracement toward marked FVG Possible bullish continuation from FVG zone 🚨 As always, Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and manage your risk accordingly before making any trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
BULLISH H4 MOMENTUM ACTIVATED...?📊 Pattern & Structure: The chart shows a downward channel (falling wedge) pattern that has recently been broken to the upside, indicating a bullish breakout. The breakout is clean, with a sharp upward move, confirming the reversal from the bearish trend. 🔍 Key Levels Identified: Support Zone: 142.284 – 141.790 (marked with an orange box) This zone acted as a strong demand/support area. Price bounced strongly after reaching this zone. Immediate Resistance Levels: 145.799 – Near-term resistance. 147.000 – 147.629 – Key resistance zone (highlighted with a red horizontal line). 148.725 – Final bullish target/resistance on the chart. 📈 Bullish Scenario (highlighted with arrows and wave projection): Price has broken out of the falling wedge, retested, and is pushing higher. Target zone: 147.000–148.725. The chart suggests a bullish projection, with further gains expected if the price sustains above 145.47.
Long
by DOCTOR_PIPS05
36
Start buying gold, a rebound may come at any time!Gold is undoubtedly weak at present, and bears have the upper hand. However, since gold touched the 3290-3280 area, gold bears have made more tentative moves, but have never really fallen below the 3290-3280 area, proving that as gold continues to fall, bears have become more cautious. From the perspective of gold structure, multiple technical structural supports are concentrated in the 3285-3275 area, which makes it difficult for gold to fall below this area easily. After gold has failed to fall below this area, gold is expected to build a short-term bottom structure with the help of multiple supports in this area, thereby stimulating bulls to exert their strength and a rebound may come at any time. Therefore, in the short term, I do not advocate chasing short gold; instead, I prefer to try to find the bottom and go long gold in the 3290-3280 area; but we should note that because gold is currently in an obvious short trend, we should appropriately reduce the expectation of gold rebound, so we can appropriately look at the rebound target: 3305-3315 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
Gold is in the Bearish direction from a Support levelHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by ForexMasters2000
4-Hour Chart Strategy: Sell High, Buy Low Within 3280-3325 RangeBased on the 4-hour analysis 😎, today's short-term resistance above focuses on the hourly top-bottom conversion level around 3318-3324 🚫. If there's an intraday rebound leaning on this zone, first go short to target a pullback ⬇️. The short-term support below is around 3280 🔍. Overall, rely on the 3280-3325 range to maintain the main strategy of "shorting at highs and buying at lows" in cycles ✅. For prices in the middle of the range, always watch more and act less 👀, be cautious of chasing orders 🚫, and wait patiently for key levels to enter positions 🕙 Strategy： 🚀 Buy @3280 - 3285 🚀 TP 3290 - 3295 - 3305 🚀 Sell @3320 - 3315 🚀 TP 3310 - 3305 - 3295 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
XAUUSD (GOLD) – 1H Analysis – Smart Money ConceptPrice is currently reacting around the 1H bearish order block (OB) within the supply zone near $3,300 – $3,320. We expect a short-term bullish retracement into this premium zone before a potential bearish continuation toward our Point of Interest (POI) at the green demand zone ($3,245 – $3,260). 📌 Two scenarios in play: Sell from current supply zone ($3,300–$3,320) → First TP near $3,265 → Final TP at $3,250. If price breaks above, next entry is at higher supply zone ($3,340–$3,360) for a deeper sell. ⚠️ Watch for price reaction around the POI (Demand Zone) for potential bullish setup later in the week. 🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC) in play: Supply zone respect BOS/CHOCH confirmed POI (Demand) targeted FVG/Imbalance below being filled 📅 NFP & CPI events this week – expect increased volatility.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
7.9 Latest gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 News information： 1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes 📈 Technical Analysis： Our decision to close our positions at 3305 yesterday was undoubtedly a very strategic one. After reaching a high of around 3310 last night, it began to fall. At the same time, I also gave VIP members the news that it might fall back to around 3300. Since the opening, the lowest point has reached around 3285. The overall trend is still under our control. At present, gold will still usher in technical corrections in the short term. The current price of 3293-3290 support can be considered for long positions. If the European session continues to fall below the low, you can try to go short during the NY session. If the European session continues to maintain sideways consolidation, you can consider retreating and going long during the NY session. As long as the key support of 3250 below is held, gold will maintain its consolidation trend in short-term trading. On the contrary, once it falls below 3250, gold may directly touch the 3200 mark. Focus on the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, which may further influence the trend of gold. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3293-3290-3285 TP 3305-3310-3320 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
(XAU/USD – Gold vs US Dollar on 4H timeframe)(XAU/USD – Gold vs US Dollar on 4H timeframe), the analysis shows a bearish setup with a breakdown from the ascending trendline and confirmation below the Ichimoku cloud. 1. First Target: 3,220 2. Second Target: 3,180 3. Final Target Zone: 3,130 – 3,100 Note. Price has rejected from the resistance zone (highlighted in yellow). Break below support and cloud suggests bearish momentum. The blue box (around 3,240–3,250) seems to be a possible retest zone before continuation downward. 📉 Bias: Bearish If price stays below 3,250, these targets remain valid. Watch for retest failures or strong rejection candles to confirm entries. Let me know if you want SL (stop-loss) or entry suggestion too.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RSI_Trading_point
10
XAU/USD 09 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 15Min – Bullish Reaction from Demand Zone | SMC AnalysisSmart Money Concept (SMC) Analysis Price has tapped into a clearly defined 4H Demand Zone (highlighted in green) with multiple rejections. Prior liquidity was swept below the 3288 region, trapping early sellers and grabbing institutional interest. This is a classic liquidity grab + demand zone confluence. 🔹 Entry: 3290 – Inside Demand Zone 🔹 SL: 3282 – Below Liquidity Sweep 🔹 TP: 3320 – Targeting Last Broken Structure (Break of Structure) 🧠 Smart Money Clues: Liquidity grab under the lows ✅ Clean rejection wick ✅ BOS (Break of Structure) above needed for confirmation Anticipating move back to 3320.57 (blue line) – previous SMC mitigation level 🟢 If price breaks above 3300 with strong volume, more upside is likely. #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SMC #DemandZone #LiquidityGrab #TradingView #ForexSignals
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
Focus on the Fed meeting minutesFrom a technical perspective, the trend of gold is obviously weak. In the morning trading yesterday, the price of gold failed to continue the previous day's rise, and the rebound high kept moving down. After breaking the key support level during the US trading session, it accelerated downward, and the daily line closed with a big negative line, and the short-selling force had the upper hand. Today's closing situation is crucial. If it continues to close with a negative line, the short-term downward trend may be established. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting will also bring new variables to the gold market. The policy direction may further affect the trend of gold prices. At present, the upper resistance is 3303-3308, and the lower support is 3284-3278. It is recommended to do more on the callback. Operation strategy: It is recommended to do more on the callback of 3280-3275, with a target of 3295-3307 and a stop loss of 3370.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DwightGrote
Buy Gold! The short-term bottom may have appeared!Gold continued to retreat yesterday and hit a recent low, reaching around 3287. Then gold gradually rebounded to above 3300. Relatively speaking, the rebound momentum was weak. It is expected that the long and short sides will fight fiercely around 3300. However, from the recent characteristics of gold operation, it can be seen that although the short position of gold is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term, and I think the short-term decline of gold is basically in place, so at this stage, in terms of short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly; As gold did not continue to fall after reaching around 3287, on the contrary, it gradually rebounded to above 3300, which may strengthen the market's consensus on the short-term bottom, thereby attracting the favor of off-site funds; from the current gold structure, if gold can maintain above 3300-3295, it may be combined with the 3287 low to build a "W" double bottom structure, which is conducive to supporting the rebound of gold. However, as gold fell below 3300 again, the bearish trend is relatively strong, so we need to moderately lower our expectations for a gold rebound. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3315-3325 area, so we can temporarily look to this area for the rebound target. Therefore, in short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly, and you can first consider going long on gold in the 3300-3295 area, TP: 3310-3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, price failed to break above the minor resistance at $3,341, which led to a sharp sell-off into the Support Zone. The 50MA has now crossed below the 200MA, reinforcing the short-term bearish momentum. If the Support Zone fails to hold, we could see a move toward the HTF Support Zone, with downside targets at $3,241 and $3,208. Any short-term recovery may face resistance at $3,300–$3,328. For a more meaningful shift in sentiment, bulls must reclaim $3,328 to open the path back toward higher levels. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,300 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,341 Support: $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 🔎 Fundamental Focus Markets are positioning ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could give insights into the Fed’s internal sentiment on rate cuts. ⚠️ Stay sharp — manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
No Bullish Confirmation – Targeting 3250 on XAU/USDIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that due to Monday’s daily Pin Bar, I closed my short trade on Gold around break-even and decided to wait for more confirmation. Unfortunately, that wasn't the best decision. The price failed to break above resistance for a bullish continuation and instead dropped sharply, closing the day exactly at the 3300 figure. At the time of writing, Gold is trading even lower at 3293, after briefly rebounding from the 3285 support zone—a level I’ve highlighted in the past. Moving forward, after the failed bullish continuation and yesterday’s bearish move, it’s clear that bears are back in control. A drop toward the 3250 zone is now on the table. Conclusion: I’m looking to sell rallies, with my invalidation zone set above 3340, aiming for a good risk-to-reward setup. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 9, 2025 🔻 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone and may reverse upwards today or tomorrow. H4 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone. The two momentum lines are converging, signaling weakening downward pressure and a potential reversal. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure The price level around 3318 (previous buy zone) failed to hold, despite a ~100-pip bounce before continuing to decline. Currently, price is nearing the lower boundary of a contracting triangle – a typical abcde corrective pattern. Based on the current wave structure: - Wave d (purple) appears to be complete. - Price is now likely forming wave e, expected to end near 3279, which coincides with the triangle’s bottom support. If the pattern holds, a strong breakout above the upper triangle boundary is expected once wave e completes. However, note: the formation of a triangle during a corrective wave often signals that the uptrend is nearing its end in the longer term. 📌 Trading Plan Given the complex 3-wave structure typical of triangles, risk is elevated, so: Trade with reduced position size, or Preferably wait for a confirmed breakout above the triangle before entering. Suggested Trade Setup: ✅ Buy Zone: 3280 – 3277 ❌ Stop Loss: 3270 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 3309 TP2: 3342 TP3: 3390
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Wants to Go lowerSee my previous analysis for gold I described I will take the low and has taken already. now the daily candle shown good sell. today there are two possibilities. Either gold will have pullback or will go further in sell. I have given both possibilities in my analysis. For Pull Back: It may take the previous day low and then retraces back to 4 hour FVG or to the order block residing at 3324. For Further sell : It may pull back to 4 hour FVG and then goes back to take previous day low.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by srj_fxtrader
1
7/9: Failure to Break Above 3321 May Lead to a Drop Toward 3220Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold tested support and attempted a rebound but failed to break through resistance, followed by a second leg down that broke the support zone, invalidating the potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and resulting in a drop below the 3300 level. On the daily (1D) chart, price has now broken below the MA60, signaling a further confirmation of the bearish structure. However, due to the sharp drop, a double bottom or multi-bottom structure is forming on the 30-minute chart, which may be building momentum for a potential test of the 3321 resistance zone. 📌 Key focus areas: If 3321 is broken and held, there is room for a short-term rebound to extend; If 3321 holds as resistance, the current rebound is likely a short-selling opportunity. Technically speaking, without the support of bullish news, if gold fails to reclaim and sustain above 3321, there is a strong chance of a further move lower—potentially down to 3220, where the weekly MA20 is located. A deeper decline could even test the 3200–3168 support zone. 📉 Therefore, the primary trading bias remains bearish, with sell-on-rebound as the preferred strategy until a stronger bullish signal emerges. Monitor the 3321 zone closely for direction confirmation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Will gold continue to rise if it accelerates its decline?Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction. The current long-short watershed is at the 3390 mark. If the gold price cannot effectively break through and stand above 3315, the short-term rebound can be regarded as a good opportunity to enter a short position. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price has received support after touching 3287 and slowly repaired the decline, but it is still in a volatile pattern in the near future. Although the 3287 support is effective, the oscillation range has not been broken. The future direction needs to pay attention to the actual defense strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range break. The operation suggestion on Wednesday is to rebound high as the dominant strategy. The upper resistance area focuses on the 3315-3320 range, where short positions can be arranged. The downward targets are 3270 and the key support level 3260. If 3260 is effectively broken, it may open up a larger downward space.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DonaldJohnson
XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money Concept (SMC) SetupPrice action on the 4H chart shows a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) at the 3,320 level, marking a shift from a bearish trend into potential bullish order flow. This CHoCH is supported by a strong break of internal structure followed by a pullback. 🧠 Smart Money Insight: CHoCH Zone (Break of Structure): Price broke the previous lower high, confirming possible bullish intent. POI (Point of Interest): A refined 4H demand zone sits between 3,280–3,310, aligning with a previous accumulation area. Price is currently approaching this zone with decreasing momentum (potential liquidity sweep below minor lows). Liquidity Grab: Several equal lows were formed before the POI — prime setup for a liquidity sweep before a bullish push. Refined Entry Zone: Based on candle wicks and order block imbalance. 🎯 Trade Idea: 🟢 Entry: Wait for bullish reaction or confirmation inside the POI zone (3,295–3,305) 🎯 Target Zones: TP1: 3,380 (reaction level) TP2: 3,420–3,440 (major supply zone + inefficiency) 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3,270 (invalidates demand zone and structure) 📈 Bias: Bullish unless POI fails 🔍 Confluences: ✅ 4H CHoCH Confirmed ✅ Price approaching refined demand zone ✅ Liquidity resting below recent lows ✅ Previous imbalance not yet filled ✅ Clean supply zone overhead (TP target) 💬 Conclusion: This is a clean SMC-based long setup. We are waiting for price to tap into demand and show bullish intent before entry. Strong probability of reversal into premium pricing zone if structure holds. 📍Drop a like if you caught this setup or save it to monitor the reaction!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14