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GOLD/SILVER

GOLD/SIlver Ratio Signals Risk On Gold/Silver ratio represents the appetite for risk Stronger gold means risk off and vice versa In spring, the ratio had hit the target for leg 2 (blue) within large consolidation that took over 4 years to emerge It travelled the equal distance of leg 1 (blue) and then reversed. The next step might be the continuation to the downside for the ratio. The minimum target is to hit the bottom of red leg 1 at 63. The next target is located at the distance of the red leg 1 subtracted from the peak of blue leg 2. It was set at 43. Both downside targets are within historical range. Gold/Copper ratio shows same dynamics of "Risk-On" attitude on the market.
TVC:GOLDSILVERShort
by aibek
XAGUSD - Silver on the verge of a big week?!Silver is trading in its ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. If the correction continues, we could see a break of the channel bottom. A consolidation above $30.8 would provide a path for silver to rise to the supply zone, where we can sell at a risk-reward ratio. According to the annual report by StoneX Financial, silver has been highlighted as one of the top-performing metals among both precious and industrial metals in 2025.Benefiting from its dual nature as a monetary and industrial asset, silver is set to gain from rising gold prices and strong industrial demand. In the report, Rhona O’Connell, Head of Market Analysis at StoneX, and Natalie Scott-Gray, Senior Base Metals Analyst, forecasted that silver, alongside copper and tin, will outperform other metals in 2025. Despite strong performance in 2024, with a 22% growth, silver is expected to continue its upward trajectory in 2025 as the top-performing metal. This projection is based on robust market fundamentals and promising future prospects that have attracted the attention of investors. Part of this growth stems from the long-term outlook for the solar industry, although new U.S. government policies might slow this trend. Investment in silver is expected to remain strong, potentially even outpacing gold. While gold is predicted to peak this year, silver is anticipated to keep growing, with a price target of $33 by the end of 2025. Copper and tin have also garnered attention due to their critical roles in the transition to green energy and digitalization. On the other hand, aluminum has been identified as a metal requiring cautious investment. The report notes that silver has historically been recognized as a precious metal due to its history as a form of currency and its use in jewelry. According to the authors, “Silver’s relationship with gold has always played a key role in its price behavior, but in reality, this relationship is more complex.” They added, “Throughout much of last year, silver behaved like a precious metal during bullish trends and like a base metal during bearish ones. Statistical analysis confirms this. During U.S. economic recessions, silver’s price performance and correlation with gold and copper show that, more often than not, silver traded more in line with copper than gold. In inflationary periods, the opposite was true.” StoneX attributes this to two primary reasons. They explained, “Firstly, the nature of silver’s supply, which is predominantly derived as a byproduct of base metals or from industrial scrap, prevents it from having a clearly defined equilibrium price in the market. Secondly, a small group of investors sees silver as an accessible way to capitalize on gold’s price volatility.” They highlighted that “President-elect Trump’s suggestion that Mexico and Canada could face tariffs was enough to unsettle the market, even if these were likely negotiating stances rather than definitive decisions. Mexico accounts for approximately 25% of U.S. silver imports, and Canada accounts for 10%. Just the idea of such tariffs was enough to drive silver prices higher. However, as is often the case with silver, this movement was short-lived. This metal remains one of the most vulnerable to rapid and reactive price swings and should always be approached with caution.” They concluded, “Silver will continue to respond to any significant activity in the gold market and will also see further transitions this year due to the ongoing fundamental investment deficit growth. While it may face headwinds from European recession and potential oversupply of solar cells, its long-term outlook remains bright, likely continuing to attract investors and speculative funds.” Meanwhile, Lee Hardman, an analyst at MUFG Bank, noted that the depreciation of the dollar, following Trump’s statement that he would “prefer” not to impose new tariffs on China, might be limited. He argued that Trump is still likely to implement higher tariffs. Trump has called for lower interest rates and a weaker dollar to support the U.S. economy. However, his policies of higher tariffs, stricter immigration controls, and tax cuts, if enacted, “are likely to bolster U.S. yields and the dollar for a longer period.” In an interview with Fox News, Trump stated that he “prefers” not to impose new tariffs on China, suggesting the possibility of a trade deal.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
XAGUSD - Silver will stabilize above $30?!Silver is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term ascending channel. If the decline continues, we can see the demand zones and buy within that zones with the appropriate risk reward. The first range is suitable for short-term transactions and the second range is suitable for medium-term transactions. Peter Krauth, author of The Great Silver Bull and publisher of SilverStockInvestor, has stated that silver could achieve substantial gains during a rate-cutting cycle, with advancements in artificial intelligence potentially emerging as a new driver of demand. Krauth examined the silver market and investment opportunities for 2025, highlighting the significant impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts on silver prices, a point supported by historical data. He explained, “In the last three rate-cutting cycles, if you look at silver prices from trough to peak, silver has, on average, risen by 332%.” Krauth added, “This process might take about one to two years, but it still offers remarkable returns, doesn’t it? You can review the data—this is how silver has historically performed.” He further noted that if the U.S. economy enters a recession—an outcome many analysts forecast for the first half of 2025—silver could deliver outstanding performance. Meanwhile, Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, has outlined extensive plans to reshape the nation’s energy policies. According to news sources, Trump intends to request funding from Congress to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. His transition team is preparing a comprehensive energy policy agenda to be implemented shortly after he assumes office. Trump also aims to repeal President Biden’s clean energy initiatives and prioritize natural gas. He may condition U.S. financial support for the International Energy Agency (IEA) on its refocusing towards oil and gas while countering its emphasis on green energy. At the same time, analysts at Deutsche Bank have expressed concerns that the Federal Reserve might cancel its anticipated December rate cut. These concerns stem from stronger-than-expected economic resilience, a stable labor market, and persistent inflation above 2.5%. Although the analysts still forecast a rate cut in December, the risk of a delay has increased. They predict that the federal funds rate will reach 4.375% by the end of 2025, exceeding the estimated neutral range. This suggests that the Fed may maintain higher rates for an extended period. Furthermore, Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to lower rates to a neutral range of 3.75-4.00% in 2026 and 2027, as the impact of tariffs is likely to gradually reduce private domestic demand, creating room for more rate cuts in the long term.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
$40 Silver in Sight? BofA Says Yes The Gold-Silver Ratio (XAU/XAG) measures how many ounces of silver are needed to purchase one ounce of gold, providing a clear example of the relative performance of each metal. Bank of America (BofA) has argued there could be an opportunity to short gold against silver at its current ratio of 83.50, targeting a move down to 78.50 or 75.00, with an upside stop at 87.50. A decline in the ratio can occur either if silver rises faster than gold or if gold falls more sharply than silver. BofA’s 2024 gold price targets of $2,368, $2,538, and $2,643 have already been hit, with the next target set around $2,733. However, the bank advises caution on gold, instead hinting traders could focus on silver, which is nearing eleven-year highs. According to the bank, the ratio recently formed a double top, signaling a bullish outlook for silver. Silver’s potential upside targets range between $36.02 and $40.
OANDA:XAUXAG
by BlackBull_Markets
GOLD esting resistanceThe gold price is showing quiet negative trading, gradually moving away from the 1963 level, reinforcing expectations of the continuation of the downward trend during the coming sessions, with its next target at 1943, stimulated by the negativity of the Stochastic indicator, which is clearly visible now, with a reminder that the continuation of the downward wave depends on stability below the 1963 and 1981 levels. Pivot Price: 1963 Resistance prices: 1981 & 1998 & 2017 Support prices: 1943 & 1931 & 1912 The general trend expected for today: bearish timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDShort
by Evar_Mayi
8
Gold 4H price is on a sideways pathThe price of gold has been fluctuating sideways in the past sessions, stable around the moving average of 50, noting that the stochastic indicator is losing its positive momentum noticeably, waiting to stimulate the price to resume the expected negative trading in the immediate term, which aims to test the 1964 level initially. Therefore, the downward trend will remain expected for the coming period, keeping in mind that the breach of 1996 will stop the expected decline and lead the price to attempt to restore the main upward trend. Pivot Price: 1983 Resistance prices: 1996 & 2010 & 2022 Support prices: 1964 & 1947 & 1933 The general trend expected for today is bearish
TVC:GOLDShort
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD 4H maintains its positive stabilityHello traders, The price of gold fluctuates near the support of the ascending channel. It receives continuous positive support from the moving average of 50, which supports the chances of continuing the rise within this channel and heading towards achieving our positive goals that started in 1996 and extended to 2010. In general, we will continue to favor the upward trend for today unless the 1983 level is broken and holds a daily close below it. Pivot Price: 1983 Resistance Price: 1996 & 2010 & 2022 Support price: 1964 & 1947 & 1933 The general trend expected for today is bullish timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD 4H within a positive patternHello traders, The recent gold price trades are confined within a descending secondary channel, which we believe constitutes a bullish continuation flag pattern, as shown in the chart,The price of gold continues to fluctuate around the 1963 level, and faces some negative pressure to move below it now, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as consolidation below this level will stop the positive scenario and place the price under negative pressure, mainly targeting the 1951 areas. We point out that the price needs to rise above 1963 to reinforce the positive expectations, the next main target of which is 1981. Pivot Price: 1963 Resistance Price: 1981 & 1996 & 2010 Support price: 1951 & 1938 & 1925 The general trend expected for today: bullish timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD 4H Midday update Hello traders,The price of gold continues to fluctuate around the 1963 level, and faces some negative pressure to move below it now, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as consolidation below this level will stop the positive scenario and place the price under negative pressure, mainly targeting the 1951 areas. We point out that the price needs to rise above 1963 to reinforce the positive expectations, the next main target of which is 1981. Pivot Price: 1963 Resistance Price: 1981 & 1996 & 2010 Support price: 1951 & 1938 & 1925 The general trend expected for today: bullish timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD 4H price achieves the extended targetHello everyone, The price of gold rose strongly yesterday to succeed in achieving our expected target of 1985. We notice that the price begins today with more positivity to try to penetrate this level, which leads the price to achieve more expected gains during the coming sessions, paving the way for heading towards the levels of 1991 and then 2009 as stations—next main. Moving average 50 continues to support the proposed bullish wave, taking into account that failure to consolidate above 1977.25 will stop the expected rise and put pressure on the price to turn lower. Pivot Price: 1977 Resistance Price: 1991 & 2009 & 2024 Support price: 1957 & 1943 & 1929 timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD new week Bullish hello everyone, The gold price is facing noticeable negative pressure to attack the 1913.15 level, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as continuing the decline and confirming the break of this level will stop the positive scenario suggested in the morning and put the price under negative pressure during the coming sessions, while the price needs to consolidate above 1913.15 to resume the bullish wave that is present. Its next major target is at 1945.20. The general trend expected for today is bullish
TVC:GOLDLong
by ElenaMayi
Unleashing the Potential of Defensive Market Sectors for a 10x RIn these unpredictable times, it is crucial to strategize and safeguard our investments against market volatility. While some may shy away from uncertainty, smart traders like yourself recognize the immense opportunities that lie within. By focusing on defensive market sectors, we can position ourselves for success, even in the face of adversity. So, what are these hidden gems, you ask? Let me enlighten you! Our thorough analysis and expert insights have highlighted three subdued ETF sectors that hold tremendous potential for exponential growth. By going long on these stocks, you can seize the opportunity to maximize your returns and secure a bright future for your portfolio.
NYSE:AMRLong
by bryandowningqln
GOLD 4H try to down GOLD for the next week will trade at the bearish zone reminding you that, consolidation under 1873 is important to achieve the suggested targets as breaching it will push the price to build a bearish wave to reach 1860 , 1850 , and 1838 As for renewing bullish attempts, consolidation above 1873 will support the price to rise up again and recover its positive momentum to retest again to 1886 , 1896 , and 1911 Support line: 1860 , 1850 , 1838 Resistance line: 1886 , 1896 , 1911 The general trend expected for today: Bearish The expected trading range for today is between support 1850 and Resistance 1886
TVC:GOLD
by ElenaMayi
SILVER decision timePlease 1st of all click the boost 🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free. This is follow-up to the idea I posted 3 months ago when I called falling wedge breakout to the upside. XAGUSD is doing really well since and now is heading into strong resistance cluster created by zone 24.15-24.40 and by major downtrendline (red). Notice the price action which formed rising wedge pattern (lime) which is usually bearish, but it can also break to the upside - in the early stage of new uptrend. So decision time is coming ... breakout up or down? Just closed part of the long position just in case we turn down south. I will not be trading until break occurs and things settle a bit. There is another hurdle @ 26.20-26.95. Sitting on the sidelines is sometimes the best thing one can do! Check my other stuff in related ideas. Please boost🚀, comment🗣️, follow me✒️, enjoy📺! ⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
FX_IDC:XAGUSD
by bizmark
4
SILVER falling wedge breakoutPlease 1st of all click the boost🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free. XAGUSD backtested twice the previously broken violet downtrendline (zoom out) and it held as support. Price recently bounced up and now breaking the falling wedge. If the break is successful then we could see price rising to the resistance @ 26.21. GOLD/SILVER ratio (see chart below) reached strong resistance and now dropping hard (as predicted) meaning that silver is stronger than gold. This is usually the case in metals bull market, silver is just high beta version of gold (aka gold on steroids). Are the metals bulls around the corner? Check my other stuff in related ideas. Please boost🚀, comment🗣️, follow me✒️, enjoy📺! ⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by bizmark
7
Gold - Short paper gold, long physical metalTwo weeks after our last update, we still remain bearish on gold in the short term and expect it to hit 1 600 USD. Our view is based on a combination of fundamental factors like high-interest rates, strong U.S. dollar, and more economic tightening in the foreseeable future. Despite that, we remain bullish on gold in the long term and believe it will provide a great buying opportunity in the coming months. With that being said, we are long physical metal and short paper gold. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and the sloping resistance connecting March 2022 high and April 2022 peak. Yellow arrows indicate bullish breakouts above the resistance and subsequent invalidations. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish as well. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
22
GOLD🥇 channel breakoutHi folks! Please 1st of all click the boost 🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free. GOLD made new all-time high back in 2020 and then pulled back to 1676 which set the trading range for next year and a half. During that period there was a break of violet downtrendline which was subsequently backtested and provided support several times. Now just recently price tried to break down out of the range but the breakout failed as there was no real follow through and actually after few days GOLD bounced strongly and got back inside the range (above range low). Currently price is just trying to break the yellow downward channel in which price was "locked" from last march. IF it really breaks up, then we could see move to the upper range (2000ish) in next weeks/months. See my silver analysis which supports this gold thesis: See my Gold/Silver ratio analysis which supports this gold thesis: Check my other stuff in related ideas. Please boost🚀, comment🗣️, follow me✒️, enjoy📺! ⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by bizmark
5