$XRP Bias Change: Bullish Elliot Wave CountCRYPTOCAP:XRP is breaking out the descending resistance causing me to take another look at my WXYXZ corrective Eliot Wave count expecting lower. I have adjusted the count to WXY and a 1-2 new motif wave with a target of $3.8
Price is well above the daily 200EMA and daily pivot after testing both as support including the High Volume Node. Closing above the descending resistance today will be a bullish signal but a retest of that resistance as support before continuing onwards its what to look out for.
Analysis is invalidated below $1.8
Safe Trading
XRPUSDT
#XRP Update #1 – July 8, 2025🟢 #XRP Update #1 – July 8, 2025
XRP has touched the lower edge of its 20-day ascending trendline and is currently holding above the 200 MA, a positive sign technically.
While there is a resistance zone above, it doesn’t appear too strong. Minor selling pressure might emerge around 2.35, but overall the setup looks promising.
▫️ Entry: 2.260
▫️ TP1: 2.320 (50%)
▫️ TP2: 2.390 (50%)
▫️ Stop: 2.235
▫️ RR Ratio: 5.15
❗️ With a tight stop (~1%) and a potential upside of 5.7%, this setup offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity. If it aligns with your capital and risk tolerance, it may be worth considering.
XRP/USDT| Targeting $3.3 to $3.7📝 Description:
XRP has been consolidating inside a large symmetrical triangle on the daily chart since early 2025. Price is now approaching the apex, suggesting a potential breakout move is near.
🔹 Upper trendline resistance: ~$2.49
🔹 Lower trendline support: ~$1.90
🔹 Breakout level to watch: $2.45–$2.50
✅ If a breakout is confirmed with strong volume, potential upside targets include:
🎯 $3.30 – mid-range target
🎯 $3.70 – full breakout objective
A spike in volume will be key to confirming the move. Until the breakout is validated, this setup remains neutral.
📌 This is not financial advice – please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
💬 What’s your target for XRP if this breaks out?
BTCUSDT Short Position (25/Jul/9)Bitcoin, similar to the TOTAL chart, is showing weakness in its bullish momentum. However, unlike TOTAL, the divergence in Bitcoin is clearly noticeable. Additionally, within the marked zone on the Bitcoin chart, there is a possibility of a fake breakout and liquidity grab. I suggest entering only with proper confirmation.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 2025.Jul.9
⚠️(DYOR)
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XRP COIN NEXT VIEW Good Day 🌞 Folks i hope all of you are earning well 🥰
Am Still holding my #Xrp🔥🔥 CRYPTOCAP:XRP my next week View on Xrp price soon will jump above $3 so am just holding as of now ❣️🙏🏻 let's see what's next ✌🏻 those who are holding will get great 😃 opportunity to succeed. In below 👇🏻 mentioned chart 📉 you can see my holding trade still waiting for another Rocket 🚀 #xrp
XRP: A Trader's Gambit or an Investor's FortuneXRP at the Crossroads: A Trader's Gambit or an Investor's Fortune?
The digital asset XRP currently finds itself in a fascinating and precarious position, presenting a narrative so divided it could belong to two entirely different assets. For the short-term trader, the charts are painting a picture of tension and potential reversal, a technical puzzle where a wrong move could be costly. For the long-term investor, the horizon holds the promise of a revolutionary technology poised to disrupt a trillion-dollar industry, with price targets that seem almost unimaginable from today's standpoint. This analysis delves into this profound dichotomy, exploring the immediate bearish signals that tempt traders to short, while simultaneously mapping out the ambitious, utility-driven path that could lead XRP to astronomical new heights.
The Short-Term Squeeze: A Technical Tightrope Walk
Observing XRP's recent price action is like watching a high-stakes chess match. The token has demonstrated a textbook reaction to a critical trendline, a move that likely ensnared traders who were too quick to bet on a price collapse. By bouncing precisely where technical theory suggested it might, it "trapped" these early sellers, forcing them to reconsider their positions as the price stabilized and began to creep upward.
Following this maneuver, the price has embarked on a cautious ascent from the $2.20 support zone. As of early July, XRP has managed to climb above the $2.2320 mark and is holding its ground above the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, both of which are constructive short-term signals. The immediate focus has now shifted to a key resistance level at $2.285. A decisive break above this ceiling could signal that the bulls have taken control, potentially triggering a new wave of buying pressure.
However, a significant hurdle lies in wait. On the hourly chart, a short-term contracting triangle has formed, with its upper boundary creating firm resistance at the $2.280 level. Such patterns are known to be harbingers of volatility; they represent a period of consolidation and coiling energy before the price makes a powerful move in one direction. While a breakout to the upside is possible, the bearish case remains equally compelling.
This bearish outlook is centered on a previously marked supply zone that the price is now approaching. A supply zone is an area on the chart where a glut of sell orders is historically clustered. If the price pushes into this zone without first building a stronger foundation of support by drawing in buying interest (grabbing liquidity) from lower levels, it risks hitting a brick wall. The selling pressure could overwhelm the buying momentum, leading to a swift and strong rejection. For traders anticipating this outcome, it presents a prime opportunity to initiate a short position, betting on a significant price decline. The level of $2.28 is therefore not just a resistance point; it's a critical battleground that will likely dictate the next major directional move.
The Long-Term Vision: The $35 Moonshot Fueled by Global Remittances
To truly understand the fervent belief held by long-term XRP holders, one must look beyond the flickering candles of the hourly charts and focus on the asset's fundamental purpose. The most powerful bullish argument for XRP is not based on technical patterns, but on its potential to fundamentally reshape the global remittance market.
The remittance industry—the process of individuals sending money across borders to their families—is a colossal and ever-growing sector of the global economy. Projections indicate that this market will swell from nearly $800 billion to over $1.06 trillion by 2029. For decades, this system has been notoriously inefficient, characterized by exorbitant fees that eat into the funds sent home and settlement times that can stretch for days, leaving families waiting for critical support.
This is the problem that Ripple, the technology company behind XRP, was designed to solve. By utilizing XRP as a neutral bridge asset, Ripple's payment network can facilitate cross-border transactions in a matter of seconds, not days. The cost of these transactions is a tiny fraction of what traditional banking intermediaries charge. This value proposition of speed and savings is not merely theoretical; Ripple has been actively forging partnerships to implement this technology in key remittance corridors, including those connecting to Mexico, the Philippines, Brazil, and nations in the Middle East.
The audacious price prediction of $35 per XRP stems from a model that quantifies this potential. The logic unfolds as follows: if XRP were to successfully capture a significant portion, say 25%, of the projected $1.06 trillion remittance market by 2029, the network's intrinsic value would be immense. Applying a valuation multiple similar to those of established payment processing giants, the network could be valued at over $500 billion. With a circulating supply of approximately 60 billion tokens, a simple calculation yields a fundamental value of around $8.90 per XRP.
However, the cryptocurrency market is driven by more than just underlying utility; it is heavily influenced by demand, speculation, and investor sentiment. The model accounts for this by applying a "demand premium." If widespread adoption and recognition of XRP's role create a surge in demand, this could act as a multiplier on its fundamental value. A 4x demand premium, a figure not uncommon during crypto bull markets, applied to the $8.90 base valuation, is what brings the target to an eye-watering $35.56. This forecast, while undeniably ambitious, is anchored in the tangible prospect of solving a multi-trillion-dollar real-world problem.
Bridging the Gap: Catalysts for a New Era
The journey from a price of around $2.22 to a potential $35 is long, and its success hinges on several critical factors. A major cloud that long hung over XRP was its legal battle in the United States, which created uncertainty and stifled institutional adoption. However, significant legal victories have provided much-needed regulatory clarity, affirming that XRP itself is not inherently a security. This has been a pivotal de-risking event, opening the doors for financial institutions to begin integrating and utilizing the asset with newfound confidence.
The next major potential catalyst on the horizon is the approval of a spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Following the successful launch of ETFs for other major cryptocurrencies, many in the industry see an XRP ETF as a logical next step. Such a product would be a game-changer, providing a regulated and easily accessible bridge for a vast pool of capital from traditional finance to flow into the XRP market. It would allow pension funds, asset managers, and retail investors to gain exposure to XRP through their standard brokerage accounts, potentially triggering a massive wave of demand.
Of course, the path is not without its challenges. XRP operates in a competitive environment, with other blockchain projects and even modernizing traditional systems like SWIFT vying for a piece of the cross-border payments pie. Continued innovation, network growth, and the expansion of strategic partnerships will be paramount to securing its market position.
Conclusion: A Dichotomy of Destiny
In its current state, XRP embodies the dual nature of the cryptocurrency market. It is at once a playground for nimble traders, who see the immediate risks and rewards in its tight price consolidation, and a beacon for long-term visionaries, who see the blueprint for a future global financial standard. The bearish case for a short-term rejection from the $2.28 supply zone is technically sound and warrants caution. A failure to break through this level could easily send the price back down to retest lower supports.
Simultaneously, the long-term bullish thesis is one of the most compelling in the entire digital asset space. It is not built on hype alone, but on a clear and demonstrable utility aimed at a vast and inefficient market. The prospect of a $35 XRP is a testament to this potential.
Ultimately, the decision of whether to view XRP as a short-term trade or a long-term investment is a reflection of one's own timeline, risk tolerance, and belief in its underlying technology. XRP is at a critical inflection point, and whether it succumbs to short-term pressures or breaks free to pursue its grander ambitions will be a defining story in the continuing evolution of finance.
XRP/USDT 4H📊 1. Trend and moving averages
Red line (SMA 10) – short-term, currently rising, which suggests upward momentum.
Green line (SMA 20) – also in the upward trend and below the price – dynamic support.
Blue line (SMA 50/200) – probably SMA 50 or 200 – the price has broken through it from below and is currently above it – this is a pro-growth signal.
📌 Conclusion: In the short and medium term, a reversal of the trend to growth is visible.
📈 2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD line has crossed the signal line from below, which is a buy signal.
The MACD histogram is rising and is above zero – further confirmation of the upward trend.
📌 Conclusion: The upward momentum is increasing.
💪 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is currently at ~62, which means that:
We are still ahead of the overbought zone (70).
RSI is rising – it suggests bullish buyer pressure.
📌 Conclusion: There is still room for further growth before the market is overbought.
🔍 4. Market structure and resistance/support
The price is in the 2.30–2.35 USDT zone, which previously acted as resistance.
The closest resistance is around 2.38–2.40 USDT – the level from May, where the decline occurred.
The closest support is around 2.20 USDT (in line with the green SMA) and stronger at 2.05–2.10 USDT (earlier consolidations).
📌 Conclusion: Breaking 2.40 opens the way to a test of 2.50 and above.
🧠 Technical Summary
Aspect Rating
Trend (SMA) ✅ Up
MACD ✅ Buy
RSI ⚠️ Near overbought
Resistance/Support ⚠️ Resistance at 2.38–2.40
Movement Potential ✅ To 2.50 or higher
📌 Potential scenarios:
✅ Bullish (uptrend scenario)
A hold above 2.30 and a breakout of 2.40 could give an impulse for further gains towards 2.50–2.60.
Strong confirmation would be an increase in volume.
⚠️ Bearish (correction scenario)
A rejection from 2.38 and a drop below 2.20 could initiate a retest of support at 2.05 or even 1.95.
XRPUSDT Forming Bullish BreakoutXRPUSDT is showing an interesting setup with a bullish breakout potential that could fuel gains of 60% to 70% or more in the coming weeks and months. The recent price action suggests that XRP is breaking out of a long-standing consolidation pattern, with price pushing above a descending trendline and holding well above key support levels. This breakout is attracting both retail traders and big investors who see Ripple’s strong fundamentals and unique use case in the cross-border payment sector as major catalysts for its long-term growth.
The trading volume has remained healthy, signaling strong market participation and increasing confidence that XRP’s next move could be substantial. If momentum continues, traders can expect a potential rally towards major resistance zones, with increased interest from whales likely to accelerate the bullish scenario. Market sentiment around XRP has also improved thanks to positive developments in its legal battles and expanding partnerships, which add further conviction for investors.
XRP’s performance has historically shown that when it moves, it often does so aggressively, rewarding patient holders and active traders alike. This pattern aligns well with broader altcoin market cycles, where XRP tends to outperform during bullish phases. As always, it’s essential to monitor price action around key levels, adjust stop-losses wisely, and stay updated with market news to make the most of this potential run.
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XRP/USDT – Breakout Confirmed!Hey Traders — if you're into high-conviction setups with real momentum, this one’s for you.
XRP has finally broken out from the massive symmetrical triangle on the 1D timeframe after holding the green support zone like a champ.
This structure has been compressing for months, and with this breakout, momentum could be shifting in favor of the bulls.
Entry: Current Market Price (CMP)
Add More: On dips above $2.20
Targets: $2.60 / $2.95 / $3.40 / $3.80
Stop Loss: $2.05
Leverage: 5x–10x
As long as price stays above the breakout zone, this setup holds strong potential. Keep a close eye for volume confirmation and follow-through.
Let’s see how this plays out. Will update as it unfolds.
XRP - Huge breakout incomingXRP price is retesting it's descending trendline, in the past price got rejected from this trendline multple times, however im expecting price to breakout from this trendline since we almost at the last 2 quarters of bull run.
We will enter the trade after candle closes above the trendline
Entry Price: 2.34
StopLoss: 1.89
TP1: 2.5981
TP2: 2.8543
TP3: 3.2796
TP4: 3.8676
Like and follow.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
#XRP/USDT#XRP
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading towards a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 2.11.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 2.16
First target: 2.20
Second target: 2.24
Third target: 2.28
XRP $2 Support Updated, Tested 12 Times & When BullishThere is one number, a price level, that defines XRP's current situation. Either bearish or bullish depends on this number: $2.
As long as XRPUSDT trades above $2, we know the bulls have the upper hand and the bullish bias is confirmed.
If XRPUSDT moves and closes below $2, we know the bulls are losing momentum, the bears are gaining the upper hand and lower prices are possible.
What is the current situation?
XRP continues to trade above $2 and this price continues to be left behind, meaning, the bulls are winning.
Before 7-April, this level was tested over and over, again and again. After 7-April, only two challenges and the last one, 21-June, ended as a perfect bullish hammer. Now the action is moving higher toward resistance, growing not lower. $2 has been confirmed as support.
Now that support has been confirmed, we can expect additional growth. It can take some time, maybe a few days but the bulls are in control.
It can take some time, not that long, the market has been sideways for more than 7 months. This is a long-time and no more is needed. The consolidation period just reached its end.
The final low happened late last month, Crypto is set to grow; XRP will be doing great in a matter of days. Closer than anything you can think or expect, next week can be boom, sellers are exhausted. People are back to work.
Thank you for reading.
We are about to experience a growth explosion.
Namaste.
XRP Breakdown Ahead? Don’t Get Caught LongYello, Paradisers! Are you about to fall into a classic trap on XRP? The signs are stacking up, and if you're not careful, this move could catch a lot of traders on the wrong side of the market.
💎XRPUSDT is showing clear signs of weakness. A bearish CHoCH (Change of Character) has formed, and an inverse Cup & Handle pattern is currently playing out. On top of that, price action has decisively broken below the key support trendline. These signals together significantly increase the probability of a deeper bearish move in the coming days.
💎From the current price level, XRP is offering a 1:1 risk-to-reward setup. While this may attract more aggressive or short-term traders, the safer and more strategic approach is to wait for a proper pullback before entering. That would allow for a more favorable risk-to-reward and confirmation of the trend direction, reducing the likelihood of being caught in short-term noise.
💎It’s also crucial to watch the invalidation level. If XRP manages to break back above that zone and close a candle above it, this would invalidate the current bearish idea entirely. In such a case, it's better to stay patient and wait for clearer price action before making any decisions.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
HolderStat┆XRPUSD forms an ascending structureBINANCE:XRPUSDT is forming a stair-step bullish pattern after breaking out of consolidation above 2.12. The current trajectory suggests continued movement toward 2.70, with multiple support bounces validating the structure. Price action remains favorable for bulls.
XRP Alert: $3 Bets Dominate as Massive "Wedge" Pattern SignalThe Anatomy of a Sleeper Awakened: Analyzing the $3 XRP Bet and the Decisive XRP/BTC Technical Pattern
In the relentless and often forgetful cycle of the cryptocurrency market, assets can fall into long periods of dormancy. They become laggards, overshadowed by newer, faster-growing projects, their communities tested, and their price action a flat line of disappointment on a chart full of parabolic curves. For years, XRP has been the quintessential example of such an asset. Plagued by a protracted legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and consistently underperforming its large-cap peers, it became the subject of both unwavering belief from its dedicated "XRP Army" and derision from the wider market.
However, the quietest corners of the market often hide the most tension. Beneath the surface of sideways price action, a confluence of powerful forces is beginning to emerge, suggesting that this slumbering giant may be on the verge of a violent awakening. This shift is not signaled by mainstream headlines or celebrity endorsements, but by the sophisticated and often predictive language of derivatives markets and inter-market technical analysis.
Two specific, potent signals have captured the attention of astute market observers. The first is a stunning development in the XRP options market, where call options with a $3 strike price are inexplicably dominating trading volumes. This is not a modest bet on a 20% gain; it is an audacious, seemingly irrational wager on a 500-600% price explosion. The second is a multi-year technical pattern on the XRP/BTC chart—a massive falling wedge that suggests XRP is coiling for a major rally, not just in dollar terms, but against the market's undisputed king, Bitcoin.
This analysis will conduct a deep dive into these two phenomena. We will dissect the implications of the $3 options bet, exploring the psychology and mechanics behind such speculative fervor. We will then meticulously break down the XRP/BTC wedge pattern, explaining its significance as a measure of relative strength and its potential to unleash a powerful wave of capital rotation. Finally, we will connect these market signals to the underlying fundamental drivers—the aftermath of the SEC lawsuit, Ripple's ongoing business development, and the broader market cycle dynamics—to construct a holistic thesis. While the road ahead is fraught with risk and uncertainty, the evidence suggests that the narrative surrounding XRP is undergoing a seismic shift, moving from a story of legal battles and stagnation to one of profound, speculative optimism.
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Part 1: Decoding the Options Market Frenzy - The Audacity of the $3 Bet
To the uninitiated, the options market can seem like an esoteric and complex casino. In reality, it is a sophisticated mechanism for hedging risk and placing directional bets, and the data it generates provides an invaluable window into the collective mind of the market. The current activity in the XRP options market is not just a flicker of interest; it is a roaring fire of speculative conviction centered around a single, audacious number: $3.
Understanding the Language of Options
Before dissecting the significance of this event, it is crucial to understand the basic mechanics at play. A call option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase an asset at a predetermined price (the strike price) on or before a specific date (the expiration date).
For example, a trader buying an XRP call option with a $3 strike price is betting that the price of XRP will rise significantly above $3 before the option expires. If XRP were to reach, say, $4, the trader could exercise their option to buy XRP at $3 and immediately sell it for $4, pocketing the difference.
The key takeaway is that these options are leveraged instruments. A trader can control a large amount of XRP for a small upfront cost (the premium). However, if the price of XRP does not exceed the strike price by the expiration date, the option expires worthless, and the trader loses their entire premium. This makes buying far out-of-the-money (OTM) call options—where the strike price is significantly higher than the current market price—an extremely high-risk, high-reward strategy.
The Significance of the $3 Strike Price
The current market price of XRP hovers around $0.50 to $0.60. A $3 strike price, therefore, is not a bet on incremental gains. It is a bet on a monumental, life-changing rally of approximately 500%. This is what makes the situation so extraordinary. The fact that this specific strike price is the most traded in terms of volume indicates a massive concentration of speculative interest.
This phenomenon can be interpreted in several ways:
1. Extreme Bullish Conviction: The most straightforward interpretation is that a significant number of traders, from retail speculators to potentially larger funds, harbor a deep-seated belief that a major catalyst is on the horizon. This could be related to a final, favorable resolution in the SEC case, a major partnership announcement by Ripple, or the anticipated effects of a full-blown crypto bull market lifting all boats, with XRP expected to be a primary beneficiary. They are willing to risk a small premium for a chance at an exponential payout.
2. "Lottery Ticket" Mentality: A more skeptical view is that these are akin to lottery tickets. The premiums on these far OTM options are relatively cheap. A trader might spend a few hundred dollars on $3 calls, fully accepting that they will likely expire worthless. However, in the infinitesimally small chance that XRP does experience a black swan event to the upside, that small investment could turn into tens of thousands of dollars. It is a bet on volatility and a low-probability, high-impact event, rather than a nuanced analysis of fair value.
3. Potential for a Gamma Squeeze: This is a more complex but critical possibility. When a large number of call options are purchased, the market makers who sell these options are left with a short position. To hedge their risk, they must buy the underlying asset (XRP). As the price of XRP begins to rise and approach the strike price, the market makers' risk increases exponentially, forcing them to buy more and more XRP to remain hedged. This reflexive loop—rising prices forcing more buying, which in turn pushes prices even higher—is known as a gamma squeeze. The massive open interest at the $3 strike, while currently far away, builds a foundation of potential explosive fuel. If a rally were to gain serious momentum and push past $1, then $1.50, the hedging pressure on market makers would begin to mount, potentially turning a strong rally into a parabolic one.
4.
Analyzing the Volume and Open Interest
"Dominating trading volumes" means that more contracts for the $3 strike are changing hands daily than for any other strike price, whether it's a more conservative $0.75 or $1.00 call. This indicates active, ongoing betting. Open interest, on the other hand, refers to the total number of outstanding contracts that have not been settled. High open interest at the $3 strike signifies that a large number of participants are holding these positions, not just day-trading them. They are maintaining their bet over time, waiting for the anticipated price move.
The sheer concentration of both volume and open interest at such a high strike price is a powerful sentiment indicator. It tells us that the "smart money" or, at the very least, the most aggressive speculative capital, is not positioning for a minor recovery. It is positioning for a complete and total repricing of the asset. While this does not guarantee the outcome, it creates a self-fulfilling prophecy dynamic. The knowledge that this much speculative interest exists can itself attract more buyers, who want to front-run the potential squeeze.
________________________________________
Part 2: The Technical Tale of the Tape - XRP/BTC's Coiled Spring
While the options market provides a glimpse into the speculative sentiment surrounding XRP's dollar value, a far more profound story is being told on the XRP/BTC chart. This trading pair is arguably one of the most important long-term indicators for any altcoin, as it measures its performance not against a fiat currency, but against the crypto market's center of gravity: Bitcoin.
The Crucial Importance of the XRP/BTC Pair
When XRP/USD rises, it can simply mean the entire crypto market, led by Bitcoin, is in an uptrend. However, when XRP/BTC rises, it signifies something much more powerful: XRP is outperforming Bitcoin. This means that capital is actively rotating out of the market leader and into XRP, seeking higher returns. A sustained uptrend in the XRP/BTC pair is the hallmark of a true "altcoin season" for that specific asset and is often the precursor to the most explosive, parabolic moves in its USD valuation.
For the past several years, the XRP/BTC chart has been a painful sight for XRP holders. It has been in a brutal, grinding downtrend, meaning that even when XRP's dollar price rose, holding Bitcoin would have been a more profitable strategy. This long period of underperformance, however, has forged one of the most powerful bullish reversal patterns in technical analysis: a falling wedge.
Anatomy of the Falling Wedge
A falling wedge is a technical pattern that forms when an asset's price makes a series of lower highs and lower lows, with the two trendlines converging. The key characteristic is that the lower trendline (support) is less steep than the upper trendline (resistance).
• Psychology Behind the Pattern: The pattern represents a battle between buyers and sellers where the sellers are gradually losing their momentum. Each new push lower by the bears is met with more resilience from the bulls, and the price fails to fall as far as it did previously. The contracting range signifies that volatility is decreasing and energy is being stored. It is a period of consolidation that often precedes a major trend reversal. The bears are getting exhausted, and the market is coiling like a spring.
• The Breakout: The bullish signal is triggered when the price breaks decisively above the upper trendline (resistance) of the wedge. This breakout indicates that the balance of power has finally shifted from the sellers to the buyers. A valid breakout is typically accompanied by a significant increase in volume, confirming the conviction behind the move.
• Price Target: Technical analysts often measure the potential price target of a wedge breakout by taking the height of the wedge at its widest point and adding it to the breakout point. Given that the XRP/BTC wedge has been forming for several years, its height is substantial, suggesting that a successful breakout could lead to a rally of 200-300% or more against Bitcoin.
Analyzing the XRP/BTC Chart
The multi-year falling wedge on the XRP/BTC weekly and monthly charts is a textbook example of this pattern. It encapsulates the entire bear market and period of underperformance since the previous cycle's peak. The price has been tightening into the apex of this wedge for months, signaling that a resolution is imminent.
A breakout from this pattern would be a technical event of immense significance. It would signal the end of a multi-year bear market against Bitcoin and the beginning of a new cycle of outperformance. Traders and algorithms that monitor these patterns would interpret it as a major "buy" signal, potentially triggering a flood of new capital into XRP.
This technical setup provides a logical foundation for the seemingly irrational optimism seen in the options market. The traders betting on $3 XRP are likely looking at the XRP/BTC chart and seeing the same thing: the potential for a violent and sustained reversal. A 200% rally in XRP/BTC, combined with a rising Bitcoin price in a bull market, could easily provide the momentum needed to propel XRP's dollar valuation into the multi-dollar range. The two signals are not independent; they are two sides of the same coin, reflecting a deep and growing belief in an impending, historic rally.
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Part 3: The Fundamental Undercurrents - The 'Why' Behind the 'What'
The explosive options activity and the powerful technical pattern are the "what." They are the observable phenomena. But to build a robust thesis, we must understand the "why." What fundamental shifts are occurring to justify this renewed optimism? The answer lies in a combination of legal clarity, steady business development, and predictable market cycle dynamics.
The Aftermath of the Ripple vs. SEC Lawsuit
The single greatest cloud hanging over XRP for years has been the SEC lawsuit, filed in December 2020, which alleged that XRP was an unregistered security. This created massive regulatory uncertainty, leading to its delisting from major U.S. exchanges and causing institutional capital to shun the asset.
In July 2023, a landmark summary judgment was delivered by Judge Analisa Torres. The key takeaways were:
1. Programmatic Sales of XRP on exchanges do not constitute securities transactions. This was a monumental victory for Ripple and the XRP community. It provided the legal clarity that exchanges needed to relist XRP, and it affirmed that for the average retail buyer, XRP is not a security. This removed the primary existential threat to the asset.
2. Institutional Sales of XRP were deemed securities transactions. This was a partial victory for the SEC, but it was confined to Ripple's direct sales to institutional clients in the past.
While the case is not fully over—with final remedies and penalties for institutional sales still being determined—the market has correctly interpreted the main ruling as a decisive win. The risk of XRP being declared a security across the board has been neutralized. This clarity is the single most important fundamental catalyst. It allows exchanges, investors, and partners to engage with XRP with a level of confidence that was impossible just a few years ago. The market is now looking past the remaining legal wrangling and focusing on the future.
Ripple's Unwavering Business Development
Throughout the entire legal battle, Ripple, the company, never stopped building. Its core mission is to use blockchain technology to improve cross-border payments, a multi-trillion dollar industry ripe for disruption. XRP, the digital asset, is central to its flagship product, Ripple Payments (formerly On-Demand Liquidity or ODL). This service uses XRP as a bridge currency to enable instant, low-cost international payments without the need for pre-funded nostro/vostro accounts.
Ripple has been steadily expanding its payment corridors, securing licenses in key jurisdictions like Singapore, Dubai, and Ireland, and forging partnerships with financial institutions around the globe. Furthermore, the company is actively involved in the development of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), piloting its technology with several nations.
The recent announcement of a Ripple-issued stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar further expands its ecosystem. This move positions Ripple to compete in the massive and growing stablecoin market, leveraging the XRP Ledger's speed and efficiency.
This steady, behind-the-scenes progress provides a fundamental anchor to the speculative bets being placed. Unlike many crypto projects that are built on hype alone, Ripple has a real-world use case, a functioning business, and a clear strategy for capturing a share of the global payments market. The resolution of the SEC case allows this fundamental value proposition to finally come to the forefront.
The Inevitable Laggard Rotation
Finally, the optimism surrounding XRP can be explained by classic crypto market cycle dynamics. A typical bull market cycle follows a predictable pattern of capital rotation:
1. Bitcoin Leads: Capital first flows into Bitcoin, the market's most established and trusted asset.
2. Rotation to Ethereum: As Bitcoin's gains begin to slow, profits are rotated into Ethereum, the leading smart contract platform.
3. Large-Cap Altcoins: Capital then flows from Ethereum into other large-cap altcoins.
4. The Laggard Rally: Finally, in the latter stages of a bull run, traders seek out assets that have underperformed, or "lagged," the market. These laggards, often older coins with strong communities, can experience explosive catch-up rallies as a flood of speculative capital seeks the next big move.
XRP is the archetypal laggard. It has massively underperformed both Bitcoin and Ethereum for years. The bets being placed now—both in the options market and on the XRP/BTC chart—are a clear anticipation of this final, powerful stage of the market cycle. Traders are positioning themselves to front-run the great capital rotation into one of the market's most well-known but long-neglected assets.
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Part 4: A Sobering Perspective - Risks and Counterarguments
No analysis would be complete without a balanced look at the potential risks that could invalidate the bullish thesis. While the confluence of signals is powerful, success is far from guaranteed.
1. The Options Trap: The most obvious risk is that the $3 call options are simply a mirage. The vast majority of far out-of-the-money options expire worthless. This could be nothing more than a wave of irrational exuberance from retail traders that ultimately amounts to nothing, leaving a trail of lost premiums.
2. The False Breakout: Technical patterns can fail. The XRP/BTC wedge could experience a "fakeout," where the price briefly breaks above the resistance line only to be aggressively sold back down, trapping hopeful buyers and resuming the downtrend.
3. Lingering Legal Headwinds: While the main ruling was a victory, the final penalty in the SEC case could be larger than anticipated, generating negative headlines and creating short-term selling pressure. Any future regulatory actions targeting other aspects of the crypto space could also have a chilling effect.
4. Adoption and Competition: Ripple's success is not preordained. The cross-border payments space is fiercely competitive, with traditional players like SWIFT innovating and other blockchain projects vying for market share. The ultimate success of Ripple's business model—and by extension, the utility-driven demand for XRP—is still a long-term question.
5. Centralization and Supply Concerns: A long-standing criticism of XRP is the centralized nature of its ledger and the large portion of the total XRP supply held in escrow by Ripple Labs. While Ripple has a predictable schedule for releasing this escrow, it represents a potential source of selling pressure and a point of concern for those who prioritize decentralization above all else.
Conclusion: The Convergence of Evidence
The case for a significant XRP rally is a tapestry woven from multiple, converging threads of evidence. It is not based on a single indicator but on a powerful confluence of speculative sentiment, technical structure, and fundamental catalysts.
The frenzied buying of $3 call options is the market screaming its ambition, a raw and unfiltered signal of extreme bullishness. It is a bet not just on recovery, but on a complete paradigm shift in the valuation of XRP. This audacious sentiment finds its technical justification in the multi-year falling wedge on the XRP/BTC chart—a coiled spring of potential energy that, if released, would signal a historic rotation of capital into the long-suffering asset.
Underpinning these market signals is a strengthening fundamental picture. The crucial legal clarity from the SEC lawsuit has removed the single greatest obstacle to XRP's progress, allowing the market to finally price in the steady, persistent work Ripple has done in building a global payments network. Combined with the predictable dynamics of a crypto bull cycle, where laggards eventually have their day in the sun, the stage appears to be set.
The journey to $3—and beyond—is still a marathon, not a sprint. It is fraught with the risks of failed patterns, expiring options, and the inherent volatility of the crypto market. However, for the first time in years, the narrative is not one of defense but of offense. The signals are clear: the market is no longer asking if the sleeper will awaken, but is now placing massive, leveraged bets on the magnitude of the roar it will make when it does. The current moment represents the starting gun, and for traders and investors who have been watching from the sidelines, the race for XRP's repricing may have just begun.
XRP Price Today: Rising Outflows Hinder RecoveryXRP has experienced notable volatility throughout June, with the altcoin failing to break through the $2.32 resistance level. Despite multiple attempts, XRP remains consolidated below this critical price point.
This price action indicates a lack of bullish momentum in the short term, making further gains challenging unless the resistance is breached.
The Ichimoku Cloud is turning negative , suggesting that bearish momentum could intensify for XRP. With the cloud positioned above the candlesticks, it signals further pressure on the price.
Additionally, rising outflows are visible on the CMF, as the indicator moves closer to the zero line, adding to the negative outlook.
If selling pressure continues to mount, XRP could fall below its support at $2.13 , potentially slipping to $2.02. This would mark a significant decline and invalidate the bullish thesis, signaling that XRP’s upward momentum could be at risk in the near future.
When Holding is Suicide, Hope Is a KillerStill holding… just waiting for it to come back?
You’re not alone. Most traders enter with confidence and exit with fear. But in some situations, holding isn’t strategy — it’s just slow motion account suicide.
If you’ve ever lost sleep after refusing to close a position, this one’s for you.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on XRP:
XRP is approaching a major daily support zone, aligned with the psychological level of $2.00. This area has historically provided strong buying interest. A potential rebound from this level could lead to a minimum upside of 16%, with a medium-term target around $2.55. 📈
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
🚩 Still Holding? It’s Probably Not About the Chart Anymore
The biggest lie traders tell themselves:
“It’ll bounce back… just give it time.”
But in reality:
Holding a loser drains your mental capital more than your actual balance
The longer you wait without data, the more emotional your decisions get
The market doesn't care about your entry, your hope, or your patience
As they say in trading:
Hope is not a strategy.
And often, it’s the fastest way to wreck your capital quietly.
📊 TradingView Tools to Know When Holding Is Dangerous
Sometimes, charts whisper before they scream. These 4 tools on TradingView help you see when "holding on" is no longer a smart move but a trap. Let’s break them down and make them practical:
1. Volume Profile
This shows you exactly where most buying and selling occurred. If price drops below the highest volume zone, it means conviction is gone.
How to use it:
Right click the chart → Add Indicator → Select "Volume Profile Fixed Range" → Drag across the last trend leg.
2. RSI Divergence
Still holding while RSI shows bearish divergence? That’s a red flag. It signals trend exhaustion.
How to check:
Apply RSI 14. If price makes a higher high but RSI makes a lower high, you're likely holding into weakness.
3. Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Look for Liquidity Grabs, Breaker Blocks, or Order Blocks. These reveal where big players exit often while you're still hoping.
How to find it:
Go to Indicators → Search “Smart Money Concepts” → Pick a high rated free version.
4. Session Volume / Ranges
If you’re stuck holding during sideways chop, your money is freezing.
How to identify it:
Add Session Volume or Range indicators. If you see price compressing without expansion, it’s not worth staying in.
🪤 5 Situations Where Holding Is Silent Suicide
The market is ranging with no true breakout in sight
Indicators are flashing weakness but you're still “waiting”
You’re only holding because exiting would feel like admitting failure
You missed the exit and now you’re emotionally attached
You fell in love with the fundamentals of a coin and lost objectivity
🧲 Greed vs Hope — Know the Difference
Greed wants more.
Hope just doesn’t want to lose.
Both will blind you from the truth on your chart.
📉 Real World Case: Holding Through a Pumped Altcoin
Last week, thousands held on to a hyped altcoin.
But here’s what the chart said:
RSI was overbought for 3 days straight
Momentum was fading on every push
Smart money exited and left retail praying
Result?
A 48 percent drop in 5 days.
The ones who held are still "hoping" today.
🧘 The Golden Rule of Holding
Before you decide to hold a losing position, ask yourself:
Is this based on actual chart structure or just denial?
Am I trying to avoid the pain of realizing a loss?
If I had no position, would I open this trade right now?
If the answer is no, it’s probably time to get out.
🧭 Final Take
Sometimes holding is wisdom.
Other times, it’s just avoidance wrapped in hope.
Use real data. Use real tools. Make real decisions.
And if it’s time to close that trade, do it before it drags you down deeper.
✨ Need a little love!
We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛
Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋
📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
XRP - calm before the stormWe've got our bullish reversal sitting at the Golden Ratio price of $2.20. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks today with many speculating that this will be the meeting that sends the markets soaring.
With over 17 ETFs, SWIFT update, Banks offering crypto services, BIS, XRPL EVM side chain, and many more catalyst. This could be the beginning to the largest bull run witnessed in our lifetime.
Have profits targets, an exit strategy, and plan for long-term reinvestments that will continue to make you money.
LOCK IN 🔐
$XRP ALERTCRYPTOCAP:XRP price is pushing toward breakout resistance!
Don't FOMO in yet — confirmation comes above the red zone!
Break and hold above signals bullish continuation
Rejection could lead to a pullback to the demand zone!
Resistance zone: $2.35- $2.63
Support zone: $1.92 - $2.07
Patience brings profits!