USD/JPY Possible Bear Scenario🔍 Analysis Summary:
USDJPY has failed to close above 146.1 on the weekly for the past 13 candles, showing clear signs of price exhaustion at this level. Price has also tapped into a marked 8HR bearish order block and printed a Daily Pin Bar — a strong reversal signal indicating potential downside.
📍Key Technicals:
• Resistance Holding: 146.1–146.6 zone
• Bearish Rejection: Pin Bar off resistance + order block
• Risk Area (Stop Zone): Above 147.16
• Target Zones: 144.2 (interim) → 142.4 (swing level)
🛠 Confluence:
• Order block rejection
• Multi-week resistance
• Clean structure with defined R:R
• Bearish candlestick confirmation
📊 Timeframe: 8HR
📉 Bias: Short
🔐 Risk Management: Proper stop loss in place above structure. Use personal risk limits.
⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Always conduct your own analysis and use risk management based on your personal trading plan.
YSL
NZD/JPY buying opportunityi believe NZD/JPY is looking to find support somewhere around here... PURELY FUNDAMENTAL from my perspective but it lines up with the TECHNICALS.
Tonight 7:30PM Est
we have AUD employment change and unemployment rate.. as long as they come in better than expected or at expected numbers, aud is going to spike upwards. Aud/Nzd tend to follow the same path, so if it's bullish for AUD, it's bullish for NZD.
Sunday 4:45 EST before market even opens NZD is reporting retail sales which may lead to a gap just prior to the open which i don't think they'll be to fond of closing.
Tuesday Nov 24th 3PM is the RBNZ Financial Stability Report
ALSO as we have seen TWICE now, any progress into a vaccine has led to the weakening of JPY, GOLD, and put a slight bid to the DOLLAR (which ultimately is a fake out, only because it put a bid into the dollar OVER the yen, meaning dollar is still weak)