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ZC

Soybeans: Close to a buy signal once again...The last time we had a perfect storm situation to buy grains, we had a monster rally in both corn and beans. We are now in a similar situation, with the recent surge in Nat Gas affecting fertilizer prices. Weather in Brazil is problematic and China is struggling to produce grains locally...We are once again nearing a situation where reward to risk for buying into grains is tremendous. I'm long Corn futures already for a couple days and waiting for the daily chart to trigger a technical buy signal in Nov Beans to go long as well. The last weekly signal expires by next week, as a failure, price hit really oversold levels and reached monthly support (see green shaded area). Implications are a retest of the weekly down trend mode (as shown by the arrow on chart), at least, which can then evolve into a new weekly uptrend, once the daily trend turns up. And potentially trigger a new monthly signal similar to the one we had before...This is an interesting juncture to enter long term positions in grain futures. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by IvanLabrie
1
Corn: Long corn, stop short...I'm actually talking about the real commodity here. Interestingly it has a nice base and daily trend signal here, which has decent upside vs risk. I'm long since last Friday, near the open using July corn futures. Looking for a move towards the target on chart in time. This could be a major bottom, so, probably interesting to see if we can keep a part of the trade running for longer, provided it forms a continuation signal after hitting the target zone. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
OANDA:CORNUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
1
Long Term Prospects for CORNUSDThe CORNUSD, symbol ZC, is in a long-term Bear Market with price trading above the 50 week ema, but below the 200 and 800 week emas. The the long term emas are mostly flat, signaling accumulation / distribution. The price action appears to be finishing up the b-wave of a final y-wave down. This would correspond with a long-term commodities bottom expected in 2021. The Market is in a deep correction on the daily, with price above the 50 ema, which is below the 200 and 800 emas, with the long term emas pretty much right on top of each other and mostly flat, signaling accumulation / distribution. Price is topping out in the b-wave of a a-b-c sell-off. Expect price to trade back below 3.606 before putting in a bottom. There is a serious Seasonal nature to the Corn market. Prices bottom in early Spring and then shoot up in May time frame. The chart expected price pattern reflects that with what that means in terms of the Elliott Wave pattern. The Market was on the verge of being in a Bull Market on the 4 hour, with price trading back below the 50 ema, which is above the 200 ema, which is heading towards trading above the 800 ema. Price is now technically back in an correction. Would expect price to bang around here, testing emas, before turning down steadily in the c-wave of this correction. Probably open down next weeks, trade up towards the back end of the coming week to finish out an M-Top formation, before resuming the greater down-trend. This is my CORNUSD look ahead for my own trading purposes. FUTURES trading involves risk. Feel free to comment, but trade off of this post at your own peril.
OANDA:CORNUSDShort
by Cincinnatuus
Corn, the Weather Drives the RallyFollowing the disappointment of the failed talks between the United States and China about two weeks ago, grains, particularly corn and soybeans, have fallen. The corn price dropped to a new low of the year (Monday, May 13). Since that time, the corn has started a steep rise due to the known meteorological problems. If we take the chart of the futures contract delivery July, we can see how strong has been the rise over the last seven days, and that has led the price to break the trendline resistance of the bearish channel, within which corn was moving from July 2018. When these situations happen, when an external factor (in this case the climate, the heavy rains) influences so strongly the price of a commodity, the best thing to do is to wait for the effect ends, and for the price to start a "return" towards a normal value. Yes, because if we exclude the weather, the situation for corn (and all other grains) is not improved, on the contrary... This rally of the price is a real breath of fresh air for American corn farmers. The collapse of the price has brought to their knees many of them. The trade disputes have already caused a $6.3 billion loss to corn farmers in 2018, and 2019 could be even worse. It does not mean the rally has to stop right here. The forecast promises more rain the next ten days, and that will give new fuel to the strong bullish phase, but do keep in mind that the rallies, particularly short-covering rallies, can end just as abruptly as they began. So, I repeat, we have to be patient, wait for the climate effect ends, and only then will we be able to open bearish positions, taking advantage of a return of the price to a value more consistent with the moment we are living. A fundamental rule in trading is to never anticipate market entry. Remember that it is always better to take a small part of a big movement, rather than a large part of a little movement. So never be impatient to click on buy or sell.
CBOT:ZCN2019
by TradingwDavid
1
short PUT on CornAccording to the seasonal pattern (summer rally), Corn Future is on its move to higher ground also raising volatility along its move upward. This trend is supported by the commercials' net long position, which comes from the closing out of the short positions. OI is rather low, meaning that public is not the driving source behind the price movement. Option Trade Idea: short Put 355 duration 60 days (July 17th 2017) Premium: 1 7/8 (x5000) = appr. 100$ per option Delta: 11 Volatility: 22.2%
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by Delta10
2
ZC: Corn has a new potential uptrend signal hereLet's add to longs at market open, there's a chance a second 'Time at mode' signal confirms on close here. Move all stops to Sept. 12th's low, and open a 1% risk long, if we don't retest the new entry stop on close, we can expect a rally to 364'6 by or before October 25th. We should see a strong rally from here, and at least 3-4% more upside, before a pause in it. This is an example of the type of work we do with my signals group, so if you're interested in a free 1 week trial, message me. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
CBOT:ZC1!
by IvanLabrie