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Yen Falls After Trump's 25% Tariff on JapanThe Japanese yen weakened beyond 146 per dollar on Tuesday, hitting a two-week low after President Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on Japanese imports starting August 1, lower than the earlier 35% threat but still above the standard 10%. Japan’s Prime Minister Ishiba pledged to keep negotiating for a favorable outcome. Although Japan’s May current account surplus came in stronger than expected, disappointing wage growth limited hopes for further Bank of Japan rate hikes, adding pressure on the yen. Key resistance is at 146.20; major support at 144.85.
by ChartMage
Silver Holds Near 13-Year High Amid Tariff UncertaintySilver held above $36.80 Friday, near 13-year highs, as renewed trade tensions supported safe-haven demand. Markets grew cautious after Trump announced plans to send tariff letters, and as the House passed his tax and spending bill, expected to widen the deficit by over $3 trillion. Silver’s gains were capped by a surprisingly stronger June US jobs report, which eased recession fears and reduced near-term Fed rate cut pressure. Resistance is at 37.50, while support holds at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Recovers After Two-Week DeclineGold Recovers After Two-Week Decline Gold rose slightly to around $3,330 on Friday, set for a weekly gain as US deficit worries and tariff uncertainties increased safe-haven demand. The House passed Trump’s tax and spending cuts, expected to add over $3 trillion to the deficit in ten years. Trump also said he would begin issuing formal tariff notices Friday. Gold’s gains were capped by strong US jobs data, with 147,000 jobs added in June and unemployment falling to 4.1%, supporting the Fed’s current rate stance. Gold is on track to end the week up over 1%, recovering after two weeks of declines. Resistance is at $3,365, while support holds at $3,300.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Pound Holds Gains on UK Fiscal StabilityGBP/USD held around 1.3660 during Friday’s Asian session, marking a second day of consolidation as the dollar weakened on caution over Trump’s planned tariffs. Trump said he would start sending tariff letters Friday, targeting ten countries with rates of 20–30%. The pound was supported after PM Starmer backed Chancellor Reeves, easing market concerns over a possible replacement with looser fiscal policies. The BoE is expected to cut rates in August, likely to 4%, following dovish signals from officials, including Governor Bailey, who said rates should gradually decline as inflation eases. Resistance is at 1.3700, while support holds at 1.3600.
by ChartMage
US Jobs Data Supports Fed Dovish SignalsThe EUR/USD stayed in a narrow range around 1.1760 during Friday’s Asian session, with limited movement as US markets were closed for Independence Day. The US dollar gained modestly after Thursday’s NFP data showed 147,000 new jobs in June, beating the expected 110,000. However, private sector job growth slowed, adding only 74,000 jobs in June versus a three-month average of 115,000. This trend supports Fed officials like Vice Chair Bowman, who recently called for rate cuts due to labor market risks. Resistance for the pair is at 1.1830, while support is at 1.1730.
by ChartMage
Japan Seeks US Deal as Tariff Deadline NearsThe yen hovered around 145 per dollar Friday after a nearly 1% drop in the previous session, pressured by trade uncertainties as Tokyo seeks a deal with Washington before next week’s deadline. Trump may announce new tariffs or extend deadlines today, having previously threatened tariffs up to 35% on Japanese goods over low US rice and car imports. The yen also weakened as a stronger US dollar followed a better June jobs report, easing recession fears and reducing near-term Fed cut chances. In Japan, May household spending grew more than forecast, supported by government efforts to increase demand. The key resistance is at $145.35, meanwhile the major support is located at $143.55.
by ChartMage
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Gold Supported by Trade HopesGold traded around $3,360 per ounce on Thursday, supported by news of a US-Vietnam trade deal and ongoing dollar weakness. The deal, which eases some tariffs on Vietnamese goods, increased hopes for further bilateral agreements. Meanwhile, softer US labor data, ADP figures showed the first payrolls drop in over two years, strengthened the case for Fed easing. Tensions in the Middle East, with Iran halting cooperation with the UN nuclear agency, added a touch of geopolitical risk. Resistance is at $3,395, while support holds at $3,330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
GBP/USD Slides with Fiscal WorriesGBP/USD edged lower toward 1.3625 in Asian trading, pressured by a sharp selloff in UK government bonds and growing fiscal concerns. Gilts suffered their biggest drop since October 2022 after the government’s decision to cut welfare benefits and mounting doubts over the Chancellor’s political future. Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC, noted: “The drop isn’t limited to the British Pound, UK gilts are also under heavy selling. It seems to be a broader crisis of confidence in the Labour government.” Resistance is at 1.3675, while support holds at 1.3570.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Steady Near 1.1800 as Fed Cut Bets RiseEUR/USD held steady for a second session near 1.1800 in early Thursday trading. The pair could gain momentum as the US dollar weakens on rising expectations of a Fed rate cut after ADP data disappointed. June’s ADP Employment Change showed a surprise 33,000 drop, its first decline in over two years, well below forecasts of 95,000. May’s figure was also revised down to a 29,000 gain. Attention now turns to the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings, ISM Services PMI, and S&P Global US PMI. Key levels: Resistance at 1.1830; support at 1.1730.
by ChartMage
JPY Steadies, Trade Optimism Counters Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen held near 143.7 against the dollar on Thursday, stabilizing after recent losses, supported by improved trade sentiment and a weaker greenback. Japan reiterated its aim for a fair trade deal with the US, though Trump raised pressure by threatening tariffs up to 35% on Japanese imports over low US rice and car sales. Meanwhile, a finalized US-Vietnam deal added to market optimism. The yen also found support as investors awaited key US jobs data, which could increase the odds of a Fed rate cut. Key levels: Resistance at 145.70; support at 143.55.
by ChartMage
Silver Outperforms Gold, Eyes $36Silver climbed back toward $36, bouncing from over two-week lows on falling Treasury yields and a softer dollar. While the Israel-Iran ceasefire remains shaky, Fed Chair Powell said “many paths are possible,” hinting at a flexible rate stance depending on job market data. Strong industrial demand and tight supply continue to support silver, which is up nearly 9% in June, far outpacing gold’s modest gains. Resistance is seen at 37.50, while support holds at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Rebounds on Ceasefire FragilityGold edged back up to around $3,330, recovering from a two-week low. While the Israel-Iran ceasefire brought temporary calm, a US intelligence report showed that Iran’s nuclear progress was only briefly disrupted, raising concerns about renewed tensions. Fed Chair Powell adopted a cautious stance, saying rates would likely stay unchanged for now, though a July cut remains possible. Diverging views among Fed members on inflation and job data may limit gold’s upside in the near term. Resistance is seen at $3,355, while support holds at $3,285.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar. All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher. Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
by ChartMage
Risk Sentiment Improves, GBP/USD Nears 1.3650GBP/USD extended its rally for a third session, trading around 1.3620 and holding close to Tuesday’s high of 1.3648, its strongest level since February 2022. The pair continues to benefit from improved risk appetite as Middle East tensions ease following Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Despite the initial increase, investors remain cautious as doubts persist over the ceasefire’s durability and potential nuclear negotiations with Iran. Focus is also on Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, which continues to raise geopolitical concerns. Meanwhile, Powell, in his congressional testimony, signaled that rate cuts are unlikely before Q4. He acknowledged that new tariffs could push inflation higher from June but maintained that the Fed is prepared to ease policy once conditions allow. Resistance is seen at 1.3655, while support holds at 1.3540.
by ChartMage
Ceasefire Supports Yen’s StrengthThe Japanese Yen stayed strong near a one-week high around 145.5 on Wednesday, supported by risk-off sentiment and dovish commentary from the Bank of Japan. Several BOJ members favored steady rates with concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on Japan’s economy. May’s Services PPI remained above 3% yearly, strengthening speculation that the BOJ could still raise rates later this year. Meanwhile, lingering geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of Fed rate cuts continued to pressure the US Dollar. The key resistance is at $146.20, and the major support is at $144.85.
by ChartMage
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF. Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman. Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Hits Weekly High as Ceasefire Weakens DollarEUR/USD climbed to a fresh weekly high near 1.1610 during late Asian trading on Tuesday, boosted by a sharp sell-off in the US Dollar following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran by President Donald Trump. The truce improved market risk appetite and dampened demand for traditional safe havens like the US Dollar. As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped steeply from Monday’s two-week high of 99.42 to around 98.10. The dollar also came under pressure from shifting expectations around Fed policy. On Monday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman signaled support for a potential rate cut as early as the July meeting, citing rising concerns over the labor market. “We should put more weight on downside risks to the job market,” she stated, adding that it's time to consider adjusting the policy rate. Her dovish tone nudged up expectations for a July rate cut, with CME FedWatch data showing the probability rising from 14.5% on Friday to 22.7%. In the Eurozone, ECB officials expressed concerns over the region’s economic outlook, particularly considering new US tariff policies. President Christine Lagarde, in remarks to the European Parliament, warned that inflation staying near the 2% target is uncertain and noted that survey data points to “some weaker prospects for economic activity in the near term.” She added that risks to growth remain “tilted to the downside.” Resistance is located at 1.1630, while support is seen at 1.1530.
by ChartMage
Safe-Haven Flows Lift Silver Near $36.10Silver (XAG/USD) rose near $36.10 on Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak as rising Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand. The gain followed US airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites Sunday. Iran vowed to respond, while Trump warned any retaliation would be met with greater force. Escalation risks continue to support silver. Additionally, Fed Governor Waller signaled a possible rate cut as early as July. Dovish Fed comments and lower rates tend to increase silver demand by making it more affordable globally. The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Middle East Conflict Keeps Gold ElevatedGold traded near $3,360 per ounce in choppy conditions on Monday, as investors closely watched developments in the intensifying Middle East conflict following U.S. involvement in Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Over the weekend, U.S. forces targeted Iran’s three main nuclear facilities, with President Donald Trump warning of further action unless Tehran agrees to peace. The eruption of war between Israel and Iran has added new fuel to a rally that has pushed gold prices up nearly 30% this year. Resistance is seen at $3,395, while support holds at $3,316.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage