Silver Holds Near $32.60 on CeasefireSilver hovered around $32.20 per ounce during Tuesday’s Asian session, easing for a third consecutive day as safe-haven demand faded. The hopes for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump after a call with President Putin, tempered market uncertainty and weighed on silver’s appeal.
However, losses were limited following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and a series of weak economic data, including CPI, PPI, and retail sales. These reinforced expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year, likely starting in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool projections.
Strong industrial demand, especially from the solar sector, continues to support silver’s longer-term outlook. Markets now look for upcoming Fed speeches for further direction.
XAG/USD faces resistance at $32.50, with higher levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
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Gold Slips with Ceasefire HopesGold declined below $3,320 per ounce as hopes for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine reduced the appeal of safe-haven assets. The drop followed a statement by US President Donald Trump announcing that both nations had agreed to "immediate" talks, potentially without US involvement, after a conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
On Monday, gold had gained 0.6% in response to Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa, which raised concerns about long-term debt sustainability. However, with geopolitical tensions easing and investors awaiting fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials, gold reversed course.
XAU/USD now finds resistance at $3,250, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support is seen at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956.
Pound Climbs Above $1.336 on Strong UK DataThe British pound rallied past $1.336, reaching a one-week high and inching closer to its April peak of $1.34. The move was fueled by renewed optimism after the UK and EU reached a comprehensive post-Brexit agreement covering energy cooperation, defense partnerships, and fisheries rights through 2038.
Supporting the pound further, recent UK data exceeded expectations. GDP rose 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% annually, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut interest rates aggressively. Although rate reductions remain on the table, the strength of the economic rebound gives policymakers more flexibility.
Despite some concerns about rising unemployment and slowing wage growth, the upbeat GDP print has helped offset fears of an impending recession. Meanwhile, the US dollar continued to weaken following Moody’s credit downgrade, providing additional support to the pound.
GBP/USD now faces resistance at 1.3450, with higher targets at 1.3550 and 1.3700. Support is located at 1.3160, followed by 1.3000 and 1.2960.
US Credit Downgrade and Brexit Progress Lift EuroThe euro approached the $1.13 mark on Tuesday, extending its rebound from the one-month low recorded on May 12. The rally followed a broad-based weakening in the US dollar after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting government debt and widening fiscal deficits. The downgrade sparked investor concerns about long-term US economic stability and pressured dollar-denominated assets.
The EU and UK finalized a provisional agreement addressing key post-Brexit issues such as defense, fisheries, youth mobility, and security cooperation. The deal may pave the way for UK companies to participate in major EU defense projects, marking a potential turning point in EU-UK relations.
The European Central Bank is expected to initiate a rate cut in June, with additional easing possible later in the year. Despite these expectations, the euro has held firm, buoyed by both geopolitical developments and dollar weakness.
EUR/USD now faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside barriers at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support lies at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
Yen Steadies on US Credit DowngradeThe Japanese yen held firm near 144 per dollar, marking its fourth straight session of gains, bolstered by a weaker US dollar in the wake of Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The move, prompted by fiscal concerns and rising deficits, dented dollar confidence globally.
Despite this, Japan’s own economic data weighed on sentiment, with GDP shrinking by 0.2% in Q1, its first contraction in a year and worse than anticipated. Investors are also closely watching the upcoming Japanese trade data with concerns about the impact of potential new US tariffs. A third round of US-Japan trade talks is set to begin in Washington by the end of the week, led by Japan’s chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa.
USD/JPY faces immediate resistance at 148.60, with higher levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support is seen at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
Silver Retreats on Semiconductor TensionsSilver pulled back to around $32.50 in Friday’s Asian session, giving up part of its recent gains following reports that the U.S. plans to blacklist several Chinese semiconductor firms. Given silver’s integral role in electronics and chip manufacturing, the news weighed on sentiment.
Demand for precious metals has also weakened with easing trade tensions, as the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs, cutting U.S. duties from 145% to 30% and China’s from 125% to 10%. Despite this, silver found support from a weakening U.S. dollar, which followed soft economic data reinforcing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Powell, however, warned that persistent supply shocks could complicate inflation control moving forward.
Resistance begins at $32.50, with further levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Gold Slides Toward $3,220Gold fell to approximately $3,220 per ounce, on track for a weekly loss of more than 3% as appetite for the precious metal diminished with easing global trade tensions. The 90-day tariff truce between the U.S. and China reduced fears of a drawn-out trade war, while geopolitical concerns also eased with a stable India-Pakistan ceasefire.
Talks between Russia and Ukraine are losing momentum. Although soft U.S. inflation data has reinforced expectations for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, Fed Chair Powell cautioned that future inflation may be volatile due to persistent supply shocks.
Key support is located at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956. Resistance levels are seen at $3,250, then $3,300 and $3,350.
Pound Gains on Strong UK GDPThe British pound climbed to $1.3320 on Friday after strong UK GDP data showed the economy grew 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% year-over-year, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates aggressively. While a cut is still likely, the solid growth figures suggest urgency has diminished. At the same time, a softer U.S. dollar, driven by speculation that the U.S. may be allowing depreciation to support exports, has supported sterling. However, the UK’s broader outlook remains mixed, with rising unemployment and slowing wage growth signaling uneven momentum.
GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.3350, with additional levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3160, 1.3000, and 1.2960.
Yen Strengthens Despite Japan’s Q1 ContractionThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 145 per dollar, extending its rally for a fourth straight day, despite Japan’s economy shrinking by 0.2% in the first quarter, worse than forecasts. While the Bank of Japan acknowledged the risks posed by U.S. trade policies, it remains confident that rising wages and prices will support eventual policy normalization. Investors are closely watching U.S.-Japan trade negotiations, with Japan insisting that any deal must include the auto sector and that the 25% U.S. tariff on Japanese cars be removed.
Resistance is noted at 148.60, with further barriers at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support levels lie at 139.70, 137.00, and 135.00.
Silver Eases Despite Weaker DollarSilver slipped below $31.90 on Thursday, pressured by easing safe-haven demand after the U.S. and China agreed in Switzerland to cut tariffs to 30% and 10% respectively for 90 days. While the deal briefly lifted sentiment, uncertainty looms over what comes next.
The drop in geopolitical tensions has also dampened expectations for aggressive Fed cuts. However, weak U.S. inflation data from earlier this week supported silver by softening the Dollar and improving its appeal to international buyers.
Silver faces resistance at $32.50, followed by $33.80 and $34.20. Support is found at $31.40, with lower levels at $30.20 and $29.80.
Risk Appetite Weighs on GoldGold hovers near $3,155, attempting to stabilize after falling more than 2% the previous day. The metal trades below $3,200, pressured by improved risk appetite following U.S.-China tariff reductions and upcoming U.S. data releases, including PPI and Retail Sales.
Fed Chair Powell’s speech is also in focus, as markets seek clues on interest rate policy. While the weaker Dollar has lent gold some support, traders remain cautious ahead of potential rate-cut signals.
Key resistance is seen at $3,235, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support begins at $3,120, then $3,030 and $2,956.
Risk Appetite Weighs on GoldGold hovers near $3,155, attempting to stabilize after falling more than 2% the previous day. The metal trades below $3,200, pressured by improved risk appetite following U.S.-China tariff reductions and upcoming U.S. data releases, including PPI and Retail Sales.
Fed Chair Powell’s speech is also in focus, as markets seek clues on interest rate policy. While the weaker Dollar has lent gold some support, traders remain cautious ahead of potential rate-cut signals.
Key resistance is seen at $3,235, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support begins at $3,120, then $3,030 and $2,956.
Euro Rises Near 1.1200 on Reserve StatusEUR/USD traded around 1.1200 during Thursday’s Asian session, rebounding ahead of the Eurozone’s Q1 2025 GDP report. The Euro remains supported by its rising role in global reserves, with Capital Economics noting its strongest position in years. U.S. policies under President Trump set this shift in motion, which is seen as weakening the dollar’s appeal as a popular asset. Germany’s increased fiscal spending has also lifted euro demand.
Despite ECB officials signaling more rate cuts, the Euro holds steady against a softer U.S. Dollar, which remains pressured by lingering trade uncertainty. Markets are now focused on U.S. retail sales and PPI data, while speculation grows that the U.S. might allow a weaker Dollar to aid exports.
EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside near 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
Japan Pushes Back on Auto TariffsThe Japanese Yen strengthened to around 146 per dollar, marking its third straight gain as global trade concerns weighed on the U.S. Dollar. Asian currencies broadly rose with speculation that the U.S. may be favoring a weaker Dollar to aid trade talks. Trump’s administration argues that undervalued Asian currencies create unfair competition for American exporters.
Meanwhile, Japan continues U.S. trade negotiations, with PM Shigeru Ishiba pushing for a deal that includes the auto sector and the removal of the 25% car tariff.
USD/JPY faces resistance at 148.60, with further levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support is seen at 139.70, then 137.00, and 135.00.
Silver Softens Near $32.50 as Risk Appetite ImprovesSilver hovered around $32.50 Friday, easing from earlier highs as optimism around U.S.-UK trade progress and upcoming talks with China reduced precious metals demand. The Fed’s hold on interest rates and cautious tone also weighed on precious metals. Still, silver remains on track for a weekly gain.
Technically, resistance is seen at $33.80, followed by $34.20 and $34.85, while support levels are noted at $32.00, $31.40, and $30.20.
Gold Slips Toward $3,290 on Trade OptimismGold extended losses for a third day, dropping toward $3,290 as market appetite for risk improved ahead of U.S.-China trade talks. The announcement of a U.S.-UK trade deal also contributed to reduced safe-haven demand. The Fed held rates steady as expected, warning of risks to inflation and jobs but avoiding any hint of preemptive cuts. Still, gold is poised for a weekly gain.
Resistance is seen at $3,360, $3,430, and $3,500, while support holds at $3,270, $3,200, and $3,165.
Pound Steadies with Trade Deal ReliefThe GBP/USD pair opened Thursday with gains following the Bank of England’s expected 25 basis point rate cut, but the pound’s momentum faded as attention turned to U.S. trade developments. By Friday morning, the pair was trading around 1.3240.
Sentiment shifted toward the U.S. dollar after the Trump administration announced an upcoming trade deal with the UK, helping Britain avoid steep reciprocal tariffs originally set to resume on July 9. While some relief came from Trump’s earlier ‘Liberation Day’ delay, a broad 10% tariff on all UK imports to the U.S. remains on track, potentially weighing on sentiment. Refined ethanol has been fully exempted, though U.S. import data shows none has been sourced from the UK in over 15 years.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3280, resistance levels come in at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support lies at 1.3160, followed by 1.3000 and 1.2960.
Euro Nears 1.1230 on Cautious ECBEUR/USD edged up to 1.1230 in Friday’s Asian session, paring earlier losses caused by stronger U.S. data and easing trade tensions that supported the dollar. The euro remains under pressure as markets price in possible ECB rate cuts by June, though officials maintain confidence in inflation reaching the 2% target by year-end.
The pair faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside capped near 1.1460 and 1.1580. On the downside, support is seen at 1.1150, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
Yen Falls Past 145 as Dollar StrengthensThe Japanese yen weakened past 145 per dollar, hovering near a one-month low as the U.S. dollar strengthened with improving global trade sentiment and diminishing expectations of near-term U.S. rate cuts. The greenback gained momentum after President Trump announced a preliminary trade deal with the UK, the first since broad U.S. tariffs were introduced last month. He also signaled that tariffs on China could be eased, depending on the outcome of high-level trade talks set for this weekend in Switzerland.
Adding pressure on the yen, Fed Chair Powell dismissed the idea of a preemptive rate cut, citing persistent inflation risks and labor market concerns. In Japan, personal spending rose more than expected in March, suggesting resilience in consumption, though a third straight monthly drop in real wages highlighted broader economic challenges.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
Silver Slips as Fed Holds RatesSilver rose more than 1% to approach the $33 mark on Thursday, supported by renewed interest on precious metals with ongoing trade and economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, with Chair Powell citing heightened risks while dismissing the need for early rate cuts. Sentiment was also influenced by President Trump’s announcement of an imminent trade deal, reportedly with the UK, and his firm stance on maintaining tariffs against China ahead of upcoming negotiations.
Technically, resistance is seen at $33.80, followed by $34.20 and $34.85, while support levels are noted at $32.00, $31.40, and $30.20.
Gold Dips Toward $3,360 as Fed HoldsGold slipped to around $3,360 per ounce on Thursday, pressured by the Fed’s cautious tone after keeping rates unchanged. Chair Powell dismissed preemptive cuts and highlighted inflation and labor market risks, dampening demand for non-yielding assets. However, gold's downside was limited by trade uncertainties as Trump reaffirmed tariffs before U.S.-China talks in Switzerland.
Resistance is expected at $3,460, followed by $3,500 and $3,550. Support sits at $3,320, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,265.
GBP Steady Near $1.33, BoE Rate Cut ExpectedThe British pound hovered near $1.33 as traders awaited the BoE’s decision, with a 25 bps cut to 4.25% widely expected. Markets are also eyeing new economic forecasts for signals of further easing. While Trump’s tariff plans have stoked global slowdown fears, the UK is less exposed due to a U.S. goods surplus. A fresh trade deal with India, expected to generate £4.8 billion annually by 2040, may also cushion the economy.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels come in at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support lies at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Euro Strengthens on Political ShiftsEUR/USD traded just above 1.1300 on Thursday, staying in a tight range as reduced political uncertainty in Europe and a softer U.S. dollar offered mixed cues. The euro was supported by news of Friedrich Merz becoming Germany’s chancellor, while the dollar struggled despite a hawkish Fed pause, as Powell flagged tariff-related risks. Traders are focused on Trump’s press conference at 14:00 GMT and U.S. jobless claims for near-term direction.
Resistance is seen at 1.1460, with higher levels at 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.