NZDUSD → Bears prospects. Continued decline from resistance FX:NZDUSD reaches the previously outlined target. The trend remains and has a bearish direction, the structure of which is preserved and the direction of price movement can be continued.
A retest of 0.5940 is formed on the background of yesterday's news and a slight weakening of the dollar index. The currency pair is strengthening within the downtrend, correction is being formed. Consolidation of the price below 0.5940 may form a potential reversal point with a further target of 0.585 or 0.58.
But, there is a probability that on the background of increased volatility the price may reach the trend resistance. But, the prospects are the same.
Resistance levels: 0.5940, 0.5983, 0.6000
Support levels: 0.5874, 0.585, 0.580
Technically and fundamentally we have a bearish outlook. The currency pair may continue its decline, but before that the market may test the resistance
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
BTC-USDT | 4H | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, Bitcoin has made its first 5 waves, now it's time for the abc waves. This is the exact move I'm expecting in Bitcoin, traders.
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If you have another analysis at this pair, please share in comments, I will be glad to discuss with you.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
GBPUSD → Waiting for a decline to 1.2300FX:GBPUSD may continue its medium-term decline based on the fundamental background. Traders are waiting for Powell's comments on interest rates. The market is on hold and is set for a negative scenario.
Globally, the currency pair is in a stupor and is in a sideways movement without any clear prospects, trading in a global range between 1.28 - 1.22. On H4 a resistance retest is forming, there are no prerequisites for resistance breakout. Against the backdrop of the strengthening of the dollar index, the pound sterling is losing ground and declining. This decline may continue towards the lower boundary of the trend.
Resistance levels: 1.252, 1.257
Support levels: 1.2422, 1.2300
Technically, we have a bearish trend and weak fundamental background for the currency pair, which generally determines the medium-term prospects for us. We are waiting for a decline to 1.2300
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction continues, possible target 2250FX:XAUUSD continues to decline within the framework of corrective movement. Sellers are providing strong resistance and at the moment are not ready to let the price go above the key zones.
GOLD → The bulls continue to fight back. Consolidation
Earlier gold showed signs of strengthening, which in general the market evaluated positively and was ready to wait for the achievement of high targets, but as I said earlier it is not worth waiting for growth now. The market is interested in reaching the lower liquidity zones as well as in liquidation of traders in order to balance the market. On the background of consolidating dollar the price of gold is decreasing. The market is waiting for Powell's speech, who will give comments on interest rates. Traders lay in the situation the fact that Powell may give a tough comment on the current situation and leave the rate at the same level.
Support levels: 2305, 2267
Resistance levels: 2328, 2344
Technically the correction continues. This correction is formed on the basis of both fundamental and technical reasons. This week is quite busy and it is worth paying attention to the news, which can determine the medium-term perspective.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bulls continue to fight back. Consolidation FX:XAUUSD is in consolidation after the beginning of correction on the background of profit-taking and also strong sell-offs.
Technically, the price does not show hints to leave the descending channel in one direction or another, but there are preconditions that indicate that the gold may strengthen to the resistance of the correction channel before further falling. The fall may resume amid the beginning of the strengthening of the dollar index. Within the range and channel, it is worth using the range trading strategy and false breakout or bounce principles.
Resistance levels: 2344, 2365
Support levels: 2328, 2305
The bulls are resisting within the correction, this may strengthen the price to 2350-2360, but in general the correction and price decline may continue as the market is still in a huge imbalance and the price still has not reached the key liquidity areas.
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → Buyer strength will lead to a continuation of the trendFX:EURJPY is in an uptrend phase. Regarding what is happening on the chart, we can assume that the bullish trend will continue in the medium term.
The market is redeeming the strong drop that happened at the end of 2023 on the fundamental background in a few months. The Japanese Yen is weakening strongly on the back of weak regulation by the Central Bank of Japan. There is a high probability that the mentioned resistance will be broken in order to further strengthen the trend.
Resistance levels: 164.9, 165.4
Support levels: MA-50, 163.9
The ascending triangle demonstrates the buying power in the market, the fundamental background confirms it. A break of the triangle resistance will be a trigger to buy.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Sales may continue. Target 2150?FX:XAUUSD is moving out of the sideways range downward. The price is testing 2328 within the framework of correction on the background of news. Earlier, the structure of the bull market was broken, which in general can determine the medium-term potential.
“GOLD → Bears win. Downward counter-trend correction ↓”
The price is testing 2328, which is actively defended by sellers on the background of correction and sell-off wave. Yesterday the price of metal gained a little strength on the background of PMI, but the reaction may be already exhausted, it can be seen on the set-up relative to 2328.
The technical downward movement may continue, as the nearest potential target on D1 may be the 2150-2175 area.
Resistance levels: 2328, 2333
Support levels: 2316, 2305, 2267
The fall may continue. I pointed out the reasons for the fall yesterday and it is related to either stopping the rally or profit taking at 2400. The bullish structure is under threat, there is a strong sell-off in the market.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → A strong buyer is willing to go higherFX:USDJPY does not pay attention to the behavior of the American dollar. The focus is on the Japanese yen. The currency is in a strong sell-off and continues to get cheaper, while a beautiful set-up is forming on the chart.
Rising triangle in the global perspective and in the short term: on D1, on H4 and on H1. A beautiful situation, when the chart lives its own life and practically does not react to the behavior of the US dollar, which starts the correction from a strong resistance.
The trigger level for the Japanese Yen is 151.94, the break of this resistance will cause the formation of a strong bullish impulse. The structure will break when the support at 151.15 is broken, but not about that for now.
Resistance levels: 151.78, 151.94
Support levels: 151.15, 150.8
Technically and fundamentally, the Japanese Yen is weakening and will continue to weaken despite the change of actions of the central bank of Japan. The currency pair may renew the high in the medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → One step away from a correction? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is stopping after a strong rally. The price tests 2400 and forms a local maximum, but what is surprising is that the market does not let the price beyond 2400 yet.
The market is starting to gain liquidity at the expense of the buyer. Price comes back into the range after attempting to break 2400 and eliminates the buyers. The first bells are appearing for a possible start of correction after a strong rally.
At the moment it is worth paying attention to the range 2365 - 2400, there is a chance that the price will stay inside this corridor for some time. Since the trend is bullish, we should still expect growth in the future, but there is a risk and panic area on the chart, if it is broken through, a deep correction to 0.382 Fibo or 0.382 on D1 may start.
Resistance levels: 2400, 2418, 2431
Support levels: 2365, 2300
The bullish trend is in priority and it is worth to build your trading strategy in relation to the trend. False break of 2365 and consolidation above 2372 may favor the growth, as well as break and consolidation of the price above 2400.
But the chart is beginning to show the preconditions for a possible bearish correction. We continue to watch the level of 2365. Breakdown, updating of the local minimum of 2352 and consolidation of the price below this area will form a downside potential
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! MCX:GOLD1!
Regards R. Linda!
AVAX-USDT | 4H | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, AVAX has completed its first 5 waves, and now it's time for the completion of the ABC wave. Right after the completion of wave C, I combined harmonic patterns and made an analysis of both. I marked my target with yellow arrows on the chart after the completion of the harmonic pattern.
If you want me to keep my analysis up to date, please don't forget to like this post.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin - more crash is coming! -21%Bitcoin crashed significantly, as I warned you in one of my previous analyses:
What now? Is the crash over? I don't think so! The halving event is in a few days, and huge volatility is expected. The problem is that below the current price, we have a double bottom pattern, and there is a lot of liquidity that whales need for their huge buy orders. It's really very likely that the market is going to go down! What's more, we have a fair value gap below the current price as well, and usually these gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later.
It's always important to do an Elliott Wave analysis before making such statements. If we take a close look at the price action, we can see that the impulse wave 12345 was completed and we are in a corrective phase. We need to complete this ABC correction before going higher to an all-time high! Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest FX:XAUUSD is trading exclusively in a bull market. Quick and temporary reactions to the news are quickly exhausted and buyers regain the upper hand on the metal's price.
Yesterday the price made another retest of the support at 2330, which has the status of an intermediate bottom. This area held the price and after that the market returned to its true direction. On the background of activity of dynamic buyers the price tests 2390 and forms correction to the support. From 2365 the continuation of growth within the uptrend is also expected. Today from the news only the speech of the head of the Fed at 17:15 GMT.
Support levels: 2365, 2330
Resistance levels: 2390, 2400
Technically, a retest of the support is forming on the background of the uptrend. The 2365 area plays an important role, as the market earlier emphasized the presence of this area. A false breakdown before further growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → CPI ahead. What should we prepare for?FX:EURUSD is testing 1.0864 for a breakout. The price is heading towards downtrend resistance. Unpredictable CPI ahead, but technically the currency pair could bounce back down.
All eyes are on the consumer price index today. Traders expect a strong decline in the CPI from 0.4% to 0.3%, which generally indicates the state of inflation and is a strong lever for the Fed when making interest rate decisions. Dollar index continue to decline amid news expectations, which makes the euro strengthen towards resistance. There is a high probability to see neutral-positive CPI data, which may support the trend of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.08643, channel resistance, 1.09374
Support levels: 1.08027, 1.07365
Technically, on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance of the downtrend and after capturing liquidity to continue the decline to the targets indicated on the chart.
Regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → The price is not falling on the US news. Target 2450?FX:XAUUSD is showing strength as a hedge asset. The price continues to indicate to us that it intends to go even higher. The market is cleaned up after the shakeout and the big player continues to play his game.
(Idea from Apr.16: GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest)
Bulls form another intermediate bottom at 2365, building a limit support area. The price bounces and strengthens almost to 2400. Gold shows itself as a safe asset and finds interest from investors.
On H1, the price breaks local resistance and heads towards 2400. At the moment, the market's target is to break 2400 and reach the liquidity area of 2431.
Resistance levels: 2431, 2400
Support levels: 2371, MA-50, 2365
Technically, this is a strong bull market. It is worth looking for strong support areas to buy or strong resistance areas to trade on a breakout. Potential target is 2400, 2430, 2450.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin is ready for a 15% crash! (to 58k)Bitcoin may look pretty bullish, but do not get distracted. The price is forming a bearish distribution pattern inside a bearish parallel channel, as you can see on the chart. Right now, the odds are in favor of another crash. I am not saying this only because of the price action, but also because of the Elliott wave theory: as per my wave count, I am expecting bitcoin to finish wave (C) with a 1:1 Fibonacci extension level. Also look at previous waves, and waves (B) at this point look like an ABC bearish pattern.
Why is 58K important? We have a major swing low from March 5, 2024, and clearly there is a lot of liquidity and orders from retail traders. The whales need to consistently go for strong liquidity levels, as that's their only chance to buy bitcoin with a large amount of money. What they want to do is buy as much Bitcoin as liquidity allows and then send the price to the moon.
Right now, I really cannot be bullish on Bitcoin, but let me know your opinion in the comment section! I will be very glad. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Bitcoin - Buy the DIP! Ready for 80k.Bitcoin is definitely ready to go higher, and it's a really good time to buy the dip after the previous crash! We can see that the price is making higher lows on the daily chart, which is a strong sign of an uptrend. The price is currently still inside this symmetrical triangle, so we are waiting for an explosive move, probably to the upside. The trend is your friend until the end, and the trend is still intact bullish. 17% profit if you buy at the current price is very possible in the next few weeks! With 20x leverage on futures, it's a 340% profit.
Where to take profit? I recommend the 0.382 Fibonacci extension from the start of wave (1) to the end of wave (3) and to the end of wave (4). But if you are not sure about that, you can still take profit at the top of the ascending parallel channel! But Fibonacci tools are a must-know when trading Bitcoin; they give you a massive advantage over other retail traders. Fibonacci techniques are popular among huge banks, hedge funds, and institutions.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Ethereum - is ready to go higher! +32% this monthEthereum is still very bullish, so there is no reason to expect lower prices at this moment. We can see that the price broke out of this ascending parallel channel and retested it. Usually you want to wait for a retest and then enter a long position, which is happening right now! You can place your stop loss below the previous swing low (inside the ascending channel).
On the chart, you can see my detailed Elliott Wave count. We are in the bull market, so we can expect an impulse wave to form. In this case, we are still missing the fifth wave to the upside, which gives us another reason to open a long position.
Where to take profit? For this, we always need to use the Fibonacci extension tool. In combination with Elliott Wave theory, we can use the fibonacci extension tool from the start of wave 1 to the end of wave 3 and to the end of wave 4. The target for the fifth wave is 0.382 FIB or 0.618 FIB. Both log scale and linear scale are valid as profit targets.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → How will CPI affect gold? Growth, slowdown or correction?FX:XAUUSD continues to grow. Since the opening of the session the price has been testing 2350 but has not been able to update the maximum yet, having formed a correction to MA-50. CPI is ahead and the market stops and goes into a waiting mode.
There is a huge imbalance in the market. The news can provoke strong sell-offs, provided that the price breaks through at least one zone of liquidity, for example 2338-2328, then the activation of orders will provoke a strong impulse to these areas. But, the news may also provoke the continuation of growth to 2400.
Fundamentally, traders are waiting for the CPI to drop to 0.3% and this is a rather sharp decline amid the speeches of the Fed representatives. Technically, gold is still strongly bullish and continues to attract interest.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2375, 2400
Support levels: 2328.4, 2303.7
Today all the attention is not on the technical component of the market, but on the fundamental one. Gold may react either by continuing its strong growth or by temporarily slowing down and going into a state of consolidation.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Fundamental reasons for growth. Target 2400?FX:XAUUSD has been reaching 2354 since the opening of the session amid strong excitement. The price is leaving the trend boundaries and continues to form new bullish ranges.
Strong bullish trend is realized on the background of important geopolitical news, related to the crisis in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, as well as a huge interest in hedge gold. World Central Banks continue to buy gold in record volumes.
Technically, gold is forming a small correction after updating the high on the back of bullish momentum from the opening of the session. There is a high probability that the growth will resume from the nearest support area or formal channel boundary.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2375
Support levels: 2328.4, 2303.7, channel boundary
Technically, the situation is complicated, as it is difficult to identify strong reversal zones, as the price is trading in a rally. In such a situation it is worth paying attention to support levels with the purpose of growth continuation, as well as local resistance areas with the purpose of upward breakout
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! MCX:GOLD1!
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - 14-day plan! (must see)Bitcoin has been going sideways in the past weeks. Why? If we take a look at the chart, we can see that the price is inside this symmetrical tightening range. The only thing we can currently do is trade the range (sell high, buy low). Otherwise, we need to wait for the tightening range to show us the direction! Will it break up or down? Let me know in the comment section what you think about it!
If we break down, I have prepared 2 strong levels for you! These levels you can use to take profit or to enter a long position. The first level is 58547 USDT (liquidity sweep), and the second level is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave at 51985! I believe we will see a strong reaction from these levels. 51985 could also be the ultimate bottom, so keep that in mind! I will keep you updated, so make sure you follow my account.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we can be in the ABCDE triangular formation or in the 1-2-1-2 formation (nest). It's good to wait for more confirmation to confirm our bullish / bearish scenario. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
EURUSD → How can NFP affect the currency pair? FX:EURUSD is unfolding within the framework of the downtrend. The price fails to reach the key support and gains a buyer amid the correction of the dollar index. The market is waiting for NonFarm Payrolls
Chart on D1 - price has no clear global trend, the market is in neutral flat. A false breakdown of the ascending support line is formed, after which the market gets a buyer. The market is expecting NFP today, Traders want to see 212K relative to the previous 275. On the back of a slight rise in Initial Jobless Claims NFP all may be a bit higher than 212K, which may increase volatility a bit. Channel and range resistance at 1.08975 is worth watching.
Support levels: 1.07958
Resistance levels: 1.08643, 1.08975
Technically, if NFP is worse than expected, the currency pair may try to break the trend resistance and head towards 1.10. But, there is a high probability to see NFP above 212K, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Reached 2300. What's next, going higher or correction?FX:XAUUSD breaks records and updates the high to 2305, but technically, the implied target is still not reached. Today Initial Jobless Claims before NFP is published and the market may go into a consolidation phase.
On D1 we see the dollar declining after a false break of the resistance at 104.94 as well as the downside resistance. Ahead of Initial Jobless Claims, in general, traders are waiting for neutral-negative data, the situation is still complicated, but Powell is trying to keep the market from Panic with his statements.
Obviously, after the release of PMI and JOLTS data the Fed will not change the policy based on Q1 data. What is happening in the market now is emotion, but many people take it seriously. Still, we should wait for more important and factual data than just words in the air.
The inflation rate in January-February was higher than in 2023, which was the reason for the panic "inflation will be even higher and rates will be held for longer". But, the latest data doesn't change the situation significantly.
2300 may become a key psychological level for gold and cool down the market a bit, which may form a correction. There are still some areas of imbalance that the market maker may test before resuming the rise to the resistance level formed on the monthly timeframe.
Support levels: 2288, 2265, 2253
Resistance levels: 2300, 2325, 2337
Technically, a small correction to liquidity zones may start before further rsoot towards psychological levels
COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. linda!
GOLD → A correction before further growth?FX:XAUUSD has been forming a small correction towards liquidity zones since the opening of the session. On the background of strong bullish trend it is quite logical scenario before the news publication.
The dollar index is testing a strong resistance before the news and a correction is possible, which will only strengthen the growth of gold. But, it is impossible to determine in advance what kind of news it will be (bullish or bearish for the dollar). Traders expect bullish: ADP NonFarm, ISM PMI, and bearish: SP PMI. Also, the big question is what Powell will say tonight....
Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend. And it may continue after a correction.
Resistance levels: 2288, 2300
Support levels: 2265, 2253, 2228
Technically, the market is bullish. A retest and false breakout of one of the above areas could strengthen the price again. But, the structure may break when the channel resistance (as support) or 2228 is broken, in which case the correction will be prolonged to lower zones.
Regards R. Linda!