ZIV Update | Channel Breakout 5% Move InboundNot too familiar with ZIV, looks like we broke channel resistance. Looking for a retest of $76.8, resulting in a 5% move.
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ZIV
ZIV VS. Bitcoin Price (Bitstamp) VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Medium-Term ETN* (Ticker: ZIV) VS. Bitcoin Price (Bitstamp)
Nice correlation between ZIV and Bitcoin price since 2013.
*The VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Medium-Term ETN provides daily inverse exposure to an index that tracks the price performance of futures contracts on the VIX with an average maturity of 5 months.
ZIV VS. Bitcoin Price (Bitstamp) VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Medium-Term ETN* (Ticker: ZIV) VS. Bitcoin Price (Bitstamp)
Nice correlation between ZIV and Bitcoin price since 2013.
*The VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Medium-Term ETN provides daily inverse exposure to an index that tracks the price performance of futures contracts on the VIX with an average maturity of 5 months.
Inverted VIX: Ominous signalThis might be an interesting pattern to monitor. Lately the SPY has been outperforming inverted VIX, unlike what happened at the start of the 2016 uptrend, where we observed a shift from outperformance to underperformance.
The inverted VIX daily chart shows a daily downtrend is ongoing and suggests we'll see a 22.88% drop (22.88% jump in VIX) over the next few days. Considering NFP on Friday, this might not only happen sooner than forecasted, but might be a conservative estimate.
I'm holding SPY shorts (among other trades), and looking to hold for an extended period of time if we break under the monthly uptrend mode support in SPY. Keep close watch of this chart, and remember to keep position sizes safe, if you're holding trades over the weekend like I'm doing (considering NFP Friday).
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Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
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Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
