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Key Levels to Watch for USDCHFAfter losing the key 0.8350 level, USDCHF attempted a re-entry but failed to hold above it. The pair is now under renewed pressure, with the price falling below 0.80. The Swiss franc remains strong against most currencies due to solid fundamentals. USDCHF's next possible targets are 0.7830 and 0.7460, both based on Fibonacci expansion levels. For CHF bears, the key zone to watch is between 0.8050 and 0.8100. A recovery into this zone could serve as an early signal of potential upward movement in USDCHF. However, the critical level remains at 0.8350.
by ftdsystem
AUDCAD Bullish Setup – 15min Structure Shift1. Price was trading at a discount in the context of a higher time frame bullish trend (HHs and HLs). 2. On the 15-minute chart, price attempted to break a previous lower low but failed — signaling potential exhaustion in bearish pressure. 3. This failure to break structure on the 15 min suggested sell-side liquidity was absorbed, and smart money shifted direction. 4. Price then broke short-term 15-minute structure to the upside, indicating a bullish order flow shift. 5. A bullish retracement followed into an OB, offering a high-probability entry point before continuing higher.
by Dlongoria90
1
GBPUSD Long, 24 JulyBullish HL Setup from 15m POI + D Imbalance Reaction Despite reacting from a Daily Bearish Orderblock, the higher timeframe remains overall bullish. Price tapped into a 15m POI aligned with a Daily Imbalance fill — signaling potential continuation of the macro trend. 📈 HTF Confluence: ✅ Daily Imbalance filled at a 15m POI 🔄 Overall trend remains bullish despite local D OB ❌ No clear HTF OB support in this exact zone, but reaction is valid 📉 LTF Confluence: ✅ Asia low in place — potential for HL formation ✅ Strong 15m uptrend, no bearish break of structure yet → 75% chance this is a HL ✅ DXY reacting from 5m OB + Asia gap to fill ❌ No strong rejections or gaps on EURUSD itself 🎯 Entry Setup: ✅ 1m BOS from 15m POI – confirmation buyers are stepping in ✅ Entry taken from 3m OB (5m and 1m OB were already mitigated) ✅ 15m Decisional OB backing the zone ❌ Not a clean 1m or 5m tap – more of a reactive entry post-structure shift 🛡 SL: Placed below the 3m OB – enough to protect structure with minimal risk 📌 TP: Targeting Asia high for continuation – 1:3 RR minimum
Long
by sTax11
AUDJPY – NDOG & Resistance Zone Campaign Shorted after clean reaction from NDOG (96.669–96.697) and rejection at my 96.617–96.645 resistance zone. Entered on a strong bearish shift candle with solid volume. TP locked at 96.331, past the 96.439 sellside draw, aiming toward structural liquidity near 96.301. Playbook reminder: structure validated, entry timing needs refinement—early trigger noted. SL hit after engineered volatility, but bias read and magnet zone logic held firm.
Short
by liambillo35
USDJPY may have already found its bottom and is now on a rising USDJPY may have already found its bottom and is now on a rising path Technical Analysis USDJPY found long-term horizontal support (1.5 yrs) at 140.00 in April and began a slow rebound, forming consistent higher lows—signaling strengthening bullish momentum despite no clear breakout yet. The EMAs across multiple timeframes are starting to converge after an extended bearish phase for months, indicating a possible bullish reversal as momentum shifts. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the correction phase appears to have completed a full three-subwave, with Wave C ending at the same level as Wave A—forming a "Regular Flat Corrective Wave." This means USDJPY may now in an early stages of a new bullish impulse wave, signaling potential for extended upside. If USDJPY can break and close above the previous high near 150.00, it would confirm the bullish reversal and could further strengthen upward momentum. However, this analysis would be invalidated if the price closes below the key support around 142.00, in particularly if it drops below 140.00, which could signal a significant deeper downside. Macroeconomic Analysis In the long term, Japan has already passed its golden era driven by the Baby Boomer workforce and has now in an aging society. This structural demographic shift is reducing Japan's economic dynamic by slowing growth in productivity and overall consumption. As a result, demographic headwinds will likely weigh on Japan’s long-term economic momentum. Japan’s tech and industrial edge, once dominant in autos and electronics, has eroded under pressure from China and South Korea, weakening long-term competitiveness and weighing on the yen. On the trade front, Trump’s tariffs have reshaped global trade, hurting Japan’s export-led sectors like steel and autos. This likely reduced Japan’s trade surplus with the U.S., and by economic theory, this will cause the yen to weaken against the dollar. (Although the yen has recently strengthened due to President Trump’s announcement on Wednesday that Washington and Tokyo had reached a trade agreement, this is likely just a short-term market sentiment that will fade.) In the near term, political uncertainty is also weighing on the yen. The Liberal Democratic Party's loss in the Upper House elections could hinder the government's legislative efforts. Rumors that PM Ishiba plans to resign could further undermine investor confidence in the yen. Moreover, an uncertain impact of US tariffs on Japan makes it unlikely that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) can raise interest rates soon. This supports the continuation of the Yen Carry Trade, putting additional pressure on the yen. Japan’s July Manufacturing PMI stayed in contraction at 48.8, while services slightly recovered. Q1 2025 GDP shrank -0.7% QoQ (annualized), reinforcing slowdown concerns and limiting BoJ’s room to hike rates. Japan needs a new S-curve driver—like a tech revolution—to regain strong growth and restore confidence in the yen. Without it, further yen depreciation is likely. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by KrisadaYoonaisil
USD/CHF WATCHING🔍 USD/CHF – Watching for Pullback Setup We’re monitoring USD/CHF for a potential pullback into a strong S/R zone. Here’s what we need to see before considering entry: ✅ Volume increasing in the direction of the setup ✅ Momentum rising, then hooking down in alignment ✅ A clean engulfing candle at the zone for the trigger If all criteria align, we’ll drop to the 1H chart to fine-tune the entry per VMS strategy rules. 📌 We don’t guess—we prepare. The trade either fits the strategy, or it doesn’t.
Short
by darlwright
EURNZD SHORT UPDATE ON SHARE ANALYSIS WE CREATED THE FVG AS PREDICTED WE GOT A DECENT REACTION WE CREATED A SMALL CHCOH + FVG ON 5M TF JUST ENTERED THE POSITION I am not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice. The information shared is for educational and informational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion and analysis. Please do your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading involves risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Short
by AtaBankz
Is USDCAD staring at a new low for 2025?FX_IDC:USDCAD ready for a lower low? Let's see. MARKETSCOM:USDCAD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
EUR/USD Analysis:🔹 Performance Overview: The short-term trend is bullish, and price is likely to continue rising toward a key liquidity zone at 1.1829 USD. 1️⃣ Holding above 1.1780 could push the price toward testing the 1.1829 level. 2️⃣ However, a break below the 1.1715 support and stability beneath it may lead to a retest of 1.1680, followed by 1.1640. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Fadi_radar
EURGBP Analysis : Breakout, Central Zone Flip & Reversal Target🧠 Overview: This EURGBP daily chart clearly presents a bullish breakout from a long-term descending channel, a successful reclaim of the central structure zone, and a projection toward a key reversal level. This analysis incorporates Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Market Maker Concepts (MMC), and classic structural behavior. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 📉 Long-Term Bearish Channel (2021–2025) For nearly 4 years, EURGBP was trapped in a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. This long-term bearish phase reflects strong supply-side control and institutional distribution. The breakout above this structure is significant — marking a potential mid- to long-term trend reversal. 🔁 Major Support Zone (0.8300–0.8350) Price bounced strongly from this historical demand zone multiple times (in 2021, 2022, and recently in 2025). This zone is critical and acts as a high-volume accumulation area where smart money has stepped in. The strong reaction from this level in 2025 triggered the breakout of the bearish structure. 🚀 Break of Structure + Retest After breaking the descending channel, price retested the upper boundary, confirming a structure shift. The breakout retest succeeded — marking the transition from a bearish phase to a bullish expansion. 📍 Central Zone Flip The Central Zone, once a resistance/supply area during the downtrend, has now been reclaimed as support. This is a powerful MMC concept – where the "central balance" of a structure flips and becomes a base for the next impulse. Current price is sitting just above this zone, indicating bulls are still in control. 🎯 Next Reversal Zone (Target Area: 0.9000–0.9050) The chart outlines a projected bullish move toward the Next Reversal Zone marked above. This is a key supply area, likely to trigger profit-taking or institutional sell orders. Expect price to range or wick into this zone before showing a possible bearish reversal. 🔄 Future Projection Scenarios: Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: Price continues to build bullish structure and approaches the 0.90 reversal zone. Rejection from this zone may trigger consolidation or a minor retracement. Scenario 2 – Major Reversal: Upon hitting the next reversal zone, price could reverse and fall back toward the Central Zone or even the Major Support below, especially if macroeconomic fundamentals shift. 🔑 Confluences Supporting This Setup: ✅ Element 🧩 Description 🔹 Major Support Historical demand zone with repeated rejections 🔹 Channel Breakout Structure shift confirming bullish interest 🔹 Retest Success Technical confirmation of breakout validity 🔹 Central Zone Flip Old resistance → new support (MMC principle) 🔹 Reversal Zone Anticipated next profit-taking / supply area 📌 Strategic Insight: Bias: Bullish short-term to mid-term Entry Opportunity: Lower timeframe pullbacks into Central Zone (or retest zones) Target: 0.9000–0.9050 area Watch for Rejection: In reversal zone for potential bearish shift ⚠️ Risk Note: Always wait for confirmation at reversal zones. Overextended moves without correction can quickly retrace. Manage your trades with stop-losses below key structural levels and maintain strict risk-reward planning. 🧠 Conclusion: EURGBP has transitioned from a long bearish cycle into a bullish expansion phase. Smart Money accumulation at the base and a clean breakout with retest confirm a strong directional shift. Keep your focus on the Central Zone retests and the Reversal Zone reaction for optimal entries or exits.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
AUDCAD Forex Heist Plan: Entry, SL & TP by Thief Trader Style🏴‍☠️🔥 AUD/CAD Bank Heist Plan – Thief Trader's Long Con in Motion! 🔥🏴‍☠️ Breakout Bulls vs Bearish Guards – Who Wins the Forex Vault This Time? 🌍 Hello Money Makers, Market Bandits, and Strategic Robbers! 💰🚀💣 It’s Thief Trader back again, dropping heat with another high-stakes Forex bank job – this time we're targeting the AUD/CAD vault. This is not your grandma’s trading plan. We’re executing a well-calculated heist based on a fusion of technical breakouts + fundamental drivers with a dose of pure trading psychology warfare. 🎯 💼 The Heist Blueprint: Long Entry Game Plan 🧠 Our job is to move in silence until the breakout alarms go off. We target 0.90200 as the clean breakout trigger over the Moving Average. This zone marks the guard shift — bulls take over if we break through. 📌 Entry Types (Choose your weapon): 🔹 Buy Stop: Above 0.90200 (Post-MA breakout confirmation). 🔹 Buy Limit (DCA Style): Set limit buys at recent lows (M15/M30 swing low) for pullback entries. Layer your entries like a true strategist. 🔔 Set Alerts: Don't sleep on this. Place alerts at breakout zones – let the chart notify you when the bank door opens. 📡 🛑 Risk Management – The Escape Plan We don't jump in blind. Place your Stop Loss ONLY AFTER the breakout confirms. 📍Suggested SL: 0.89600, near recent 4H wick low. 🔥 Reminder: Your stop depends on your lot size, risk tolerance, and how many entries you're stacking. Don't set it too tight – we don't want early alarms killing the mission. 🎯 Profit Target – Rob & Exit 📍 Primary TP: 0.91200 🎭 Or simply: Escape before the alarm rings (i.e., close early if you see price weakness near resistance or news surprises). 🧲 Scalpers, stick to long bias only. If you're running capital deep, go in hard. If not, ride with the swing team. Use trailing SLs to protect and ride the move like a ghost. 🧠 Behind the Heist – What Fuels Our Mission? The AUD/CAD pair is showing bullish signs backed by: ✴️ Macroeconomic indicators ✴️ Central Bank divergences ✴️ COT data (Commitment of Traders) ✴️ Intermarket correlations ✴️ Sentiment shifts & positioning strategies Before executing any trade, read your fundamentals. Study the landscape. Then strike. 🕵️‍♂️ ⚠️ Trading Safety Alert – Timing Is Everything 🚫 Avoid placing trades during high-impact news. ✅ Use trailing SL to lock in profits and prevent whipsaw hits. 📊 Protect your capital like it’s stolen loot – because it is! 💥Support the Crew 💥 🚀 Smash that 💗 Boost Button if you’re vibing with the plan. Every like strengthens the Thief Trading Crew – and gets us closer to daily market domination. 🎉💪 📲 Stay locked in. Another heist is coming soon. Till then – rob smart, trade sharp, and vanish like a legend. 🐱‍👤💸 🔑 #AUDCAD #ThiefTrader #ForexBreakout #LongSetup #ScalpToSwing #TradeWithPlan #DCAEntry #ForexHeist #MarketStrategy #RiskReward
Long
by The-Thief
ECB Interest Rate Decision: What to Expect and How Could React📊 ECB Interest Rate Decision: What to Expect and How EURUSD Could React This week’s spotlight is on the European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision — a key market driver that could shape the near-term direction of the euro and broader European markets. Here's what to expect. 👇 🔔 Key Event to Watch 📅 ECB Interest Rate Decision 🕐 Date: July 24 ⏰ Time: 12:15 p.m. UTC 📉 Forecast: Hold at 2.15% 📌 Economic Context The European Central Bank is expected to hold interest rates steady on Thursday, likely marking the end of its current easing cycle after eight consecutive cuts that brought borrowing costs to their lowest levels since November 2022. 🔒 Main refinancing rate: 2.15% 💰 Deposit facility rate: 2.00% Policymakers are likely to adopt a wait-and-see approach as they monitor the impact of persistent trade uncertaintyand potential U.S. tariffs on economic growth and inflation. Adding to the cautious stance, inflation finally reached the ECB’s 2% target in June, and is now forecast to dip belowthat level later this year. This drop is expected to be sustained over the next 18 months, driven by: A strong euro 💶 Falling energy prices 🛢️ Cheaper imports from China 🇨🇳 Markets are currently pricing in just one more rate cut by December, with around a 50% probability of that happening in September, before a possible tightening cycle resumes in late 2026. 📈 EURUSD Technical Outlook EURUSD has been trading within a descending channel since early July. However, it recently rebounded from trendline support, backed by bullish RSI divergence. The pair is approaching a breakout above the 1-hour SMA200, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. 🔼 A minor pullback is possible before a stronger move Bullish momentum may continue if resistance is cleared 🎯 Target range: 1.18250 – 1.18300 🧩 Summary The ECB is likely to keep rates unchanged at 2.15%, adopting a cautious tone amid easing inflation and global trade risks. This outcome could support the euro, particularly if U.S. rate expectations soften. With technical indicators aligning with fundamental stability, EURUSD may be setting up for a bullish continuationin the coming sessions. 📊💶
by ProfessorSingapore