The Day Ahead Economic Data
US June Existing Home Sales (10:00 ET): Will gauge housing demand resilience amid high mortgage rates. A weaker print may support rate cut expectations.
Eurozone July Consumer Confidence (Flash): Important for sentiment around ECB rate policy. Any downside surprise could weigh on the euro.
Central Banks
BoJ’s Uchida Speaks: Watch for any shift in tone post-yield curve control tweak. A hawkish slant may support JPY and pressure Japanese equities.
Earnings – High-Impact Reports
Tech & Comms:
Alphabet (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA), IBM, T-Mobile US (TMUS) – Key for Nasdaq sentiment and AI/cloud/EV momentum.
Industrial & Energy:
GE Vernova, Equinor, Freeport-McMoRan – Outlooks can move energy, copper, and renewables sectors.
Financials & Payments:
Fiserv, UniCredit – Insight into global payment volumes and eurozone banking resilience.
Consumer & Healthcare:
Chipotle, Hilton, Thermo Fisher, Boston Scientific – Consumption trends, travel recovery, and health sector resilience in focus.
Fixed Income
US 20-Year Bond Auction (13:00 ET): Watch for demand metrics (bid-to-cover, indirect bids). Weak take-up could push yields higher and pressure equities.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Forex market
EUR/AUD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
EUR/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 1.787
Target Level: 1.791
Stop Loss: 1.785
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/CHF PROBABLY !Waiting for confirmation on candles and Real Volume 5min or 15min (power of Real Volume)-without real volume I am like a blind man in a dense forest :)
Tools:
- real volume (proper interpretation)
- Fibonacci expansion ABC (an additional, new goal every day)
- Fibonacci retracement (combined with the real volume, it shows me the real probable movement for the next hours and days)
- volume support and resistance levels (confirmation of the price recovery level)
- oversold/overbought index (focusing on 1H and 4H something is already overvalued or undervalued)
- candlestick patterns (my entry point for 5 minutes or 15 minutes candlestick formations confirmed by particularly increasing volume).
EUR/CAD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the EUR/CAD pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 1.600.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EURUSD BUY TRADE PLAN WITH CAUTIONEURUSD TRADE PLAN** 🔥
📅 Date: July 23, 2025
---
### 📋 Trade Plan Overview
| Plan ID | Type | Direction | Confidence | R\:R | Status |
| ----------------- | -------- | ----------------- | ---------- | ----- | ---------- |
| EURUSD-20250723-A | Swing | **Buy** (Primary) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) | 3.5:1 | 🕒 Waiting |
| EURUSD-20250723-B | Tactical | Sell (Alt. Setup) | ⭐⭐⭐ (65%) | 2.5:1 | 🕒 Waiting |
🧭 **Guidance:**
Favor the **buy plan** due to HTF trend and liquidity sweep setup. Sell setup is tactical against trend.
---
## 📈 Market Bias & Trade Type
* **Bias:** Bullish overall (HTF)
* **Trade Type A:** Continuation (Buy) - PRIMARY / PREFERRED
* **Trade Type B:** Countertrend (Sell) - ALTERNATIVE
---
## 🔰 Confidence Level Breakdown
* ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 80% (Buy Plan A)
* H4 OB + Volume Imbalance = 35%
* Fib Confluence = 25%
* Sentiment Score +6/10 = 10%
* DXY Divergence = 10%
* ⭐⭐⭐ 65% (Sell Plan B)
* Short-term exhaustion pattern
* Inducement to the downside
---
## 📍 Entry Zones & Status
### 🟩 **Primary Buy Zone**
* **Zone:** 1.1680 – 1.1705 (H4 OB + Fib 61.8%)
* **Status:** 🕒 *Waiting*
### 🟧 **Secondary Buy Zone**
* **Zone:** 1.1640 – 1.1660 (Deeper imbalance)
* **Status:** 🕒 *Waiting*
---
### 🟥 **Sell Zone (Scenario B)**
* **Zone:** 1.1760 – 1.1790 (Liquidity sweep, bearish engulfing risk)
* **Status:** 🕒 *Waiting*
---
## ❗ Stop Loss Levels
* **Buy SL:** 1.1620 (Below OB + 1.5x ATR)
* **Sell SL:** 1.1815 (Above H4 supply & wick inducement)
---
## 🎯 Take Profit Targets
* 🥇 **TP1:** 1.1745 (OB imbalance reclaim) – \~65 pips
* 🥈 **TP2:** 1.1785 (Swing high) – \~100 pips
* 🥉 **TP3:** 1.1840 (Full extension / trail) – *Swing only*
---
## 📏 Risk\:Reward
* Buy Plan A: **3.5:1** to TP2, **5.2:1** to TP3
* Sell Plan B: **2.5:1** to TP2
---
## 🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 1.0% of account ($\ , \ lots)
* SL to breakeven at TP1
* Take: 30% at TP1, 50% at TP2, trail final 20%
* Exit if: H4 BOS or USD Index flips strongly bullish
---
## ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
* Bullish engulfing or inside bar (H1-H4)
* Volume confirmation on bounce (preferably NY or London open)
* Optional: M30 RSI divergence
* **Avoid:** FOMC / ECB pressers
---
## ⏳ Validity
* **Buy Plan (H4):** Valid 48–72 hours → until July 26
* **Sell Plan (H1):** Valid 12–16 hours → intraday only
---
## ❌ Invalidation Conditions
* Close below 1.1620 (Buy)
* Close above 1.1815 (Sell)
* Major USD macro shift
---
## 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* COT: USD weak bias
* DXY: Retracing lower from 106.00
* Retail: 68% short EURUSD
* Cross-Pair: EURGBP also trending up
* Macro: EUR resilience post-ECB minutes
* Sentiment Score: **+6/10**
---
## 📋 Final Trade Summary
🟩 **Buy plan is preferred**, aligned with HTF trend, clean OB-Fib structure, and good RR.
🟥 **Sell plan** is tactical, potential liquidity grab before bullish continuation.
Both setups allow flexibility with proper confirmation and risk control.
---
Major EUR-related news is scheduled this week, and it's critical to factor into both trade timing and plan execution. Here's your ⚠️ Fundamental Update for EURUSD:
🌐 EUR Fundamental Events – This Week
Date Event Time (UTC) Impact Level Forecast / Notes
July 24 (Wed) 🇪🇺 Eurozone PMIs (Manu. & Services) 08:00 UTC 🔴 High Strong driver of EUR intraday volatility
July 25 (Thu) 🇪🇺 ECB Interest Rate Decision 12:15 UTC 🔴🔴🔴 Very High Key market mover – Dovish = bearish EUR
ECB Press Conference 12:45 UTC 🔴🔴🔴 Critical High volatility expected
July 26 (Fri) 🇩🇪 IFO Business Climate 08:00 UTC 🟡 Medium Impactful for EUR strength sentiment
🔍 Implications for Your EURUSD Trade Plan
✅ Buy Plan
Wait until post-ECB OR only take the setup with strong candle confirmation, ideally after NY session pullback.
Hold reduced exposure before July 25 ECB to avoid whipsaw.
❌ Sell Plan
Be extremely cautious; if ECB is neutral/hawkish, any tactical short may get invalidated rapidly.
If you take the short, exit before Thursday's ECB, unless trailing with SL to breakeven.
📊 Summary:
Yes, major EUR events this week — especially Thursday's ECB — could invalidate technical setups or accelerate them violently. Patience + confirmation = priority. Avoid entry during red events. Let volatility settle.
Let me know if you'd like to pause your trade plan until post-news or want a modified low-volatility alternative!
🧠 Always manage risk tightly around macro events. This is not investment advice.
🧠 Fundamental Snapshot
🔵 EUR Macro Landscape:
Factor Signal Explanation
Inflation 🔼 Still elevated Keeps ECB hawkish bias alive
ECB Policy ⚠️ Potentially hawkish hold Market expects no cut, but hawkish tone could push EUR higher
Economic Activity ⚪ Mixed PMIs Slight slowdown, but not recessionary
COT/Positioning 🟢 Light EUR longs Room for upside without overcrowding
Retail Sentiment 🔴 Bearish crowd Contrarian signal supports buys
USD Pressure 🟠 Mixed Fed possibly done hiking, but US economy resilient
⚠️ ECB SCENARIOS (July 25):
Scenario Likelihood Market Reaction
🟢 Hawkish Hold (no cut, firm inflation tone) 60% 🔼 EURUSD likely rallies
🟡 Neutral/Dovish Hold 30% 🔄 EUR consolidates or fades spike
🔴 Surprise Cut / Dovish Pivot 10% 🔽 EUR drops hard – buy invalidated
Most institutional forecasts lean toward a hawkish or neutral hold, giving EURUSD room to rise after the event.
🎯 Conclusion:
✅ Fundamentals support a buy, especially post-ECB.
❗ Best entry is after July 25, when market digests Lagarde's tone.
🔄 If entering early, stay small and manage risk very tightly — ECB surprises = volatility.
GBPCHF: Bearish Move From Trend LineI spotted a strong descending trend line on 📉GBPCHF, with the price rising to that last week on a daily.
As it tested this level, the pair formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4-hour time frame.
The neckline has recently been broken and retested.
I anticipate a bearish move towards the 1.0700 level now.
EUR/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 169.859 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resitance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.88
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slight.y above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.18
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 145.85
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25📊EURUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
Euro Surges as Dollar Falters Amid Political TensionsThe EUR/USD pair is experiencing a strong rally, breaking above the 1.1760 level — its highest point in two weeks as of Tuesday. This sharp move not only signals the Euro’s recovery strength but also highlights the impact of heavy selling pressure on the US dollar.
The driving force? Ongoing trade tensions, coupled with rising uncertainty surrounding the escalating feud between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, are shaking investor confidence in the stability of US monetary policy.
As a result, the dollar is losing its safe-haven appeal, paving the way for EUR/USD to climb higher. If this bullish momentum holds, the next key target for the pair could be around 1.1800.
Bullish reversal?USD/CAD is faalling towards the support level which is a multi swing low support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3553
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
Stop loss: 1.3500
Why we like it:
There is a support at the 127.2% Fibonacc extension.
Take profit: 1.3646
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD M30 I Bearish Drop Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.1736, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.1712 a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1768, which is above a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY – Bearish Rejection After Channel BreakUSD/JPY – Bearish Rejection After Channel Break
🔹 2H Chart Analysis by PULSETRADESFX
USD/JPY has broken down from a rising channel and is now rejecting a key supply zone around 147.000 – 147.250. The pair is showing early signs of bearish continuation after retesting this zone as resistance.
This setup favors short positions targeting deeper levels, especially with price failing to reclaim the broken structure.
📌 Trade Setup:
Entry: 146.808
Stop Loss: 147.350 (Above supply zone)
TP1: 146.000 (Recent low)
TP2: 145.250 (Demand support)
TP3: 144.300 (Major structural zone)
This is a clean break–retest–continuation scenario with risk-to-reward aligning well for short-term and swing traders.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Rising channel break
Supply zone rejection
Lower high structure
Bearish engulfing reaction
TP levels mapped to recent price memory zones
📅 July 23, 2025
📊 CMC Markets Feed | USD/JPY (2H)
#USDJPY #ForexAnalysis #BearishBreakdown #TechnicalSetup #PriceAction #TradingView #PULSETRADESFX
USCAD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25📊USCAD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3589
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3673
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resstance.
Take profit: 1.3469
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD BUY 0.5990On the 4-hour chart, NZDUSD formed a bullish bat pattern and then stabilized and rebounded, and short-term bulls have the upper hand. Currently, you can pay attention to the support near 0.5990. If it stabilizes, you can consider going long. The upper resistance is 0.6080-0.6120 area.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1660
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1593
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1813
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP Pushing Up about to reach Major Resistance Level!EURGBP has been in a nice uptrend on the 1D and 4H.
Now, it is reaching a major resistance level at 0.86900.
Looking at the strong buying, there is a chance that price may break that level a move above 0.86900, but that is yet to be determined.
I've taken a demo position in this case, aiming 1:1 but possibly aiming for that 0.86900 level.
I saw a nice bounce of the 20 EMA and also that the 20, 50 and 200 EMA are lined very well. The RSI is also pointing upwards suggesting some strength.
It's been a while since the entry has passed by, but I'd like to post this idea to document this trade.
When price comes at the 0.86900 level, we can see what happens at the time and decide whether we are long or short.
It'll be interesting to see how this trade plays out.
EURJPY about to enter into a DowntrendRecently EURJPY reached high points in the chart at 173.016
From there it fell and continued downwards.
I took a quick demo trade with an inverse risk to reward. Not the ideal thing to do, but I didn't want to keep my TP higher than 173.016 since we know it's a strong resistance level.
Got a quick win there.
Now, on the 4H, we can see that one huge red candle look out the previous five green candles.
It indicates that selling pressure is incoming.
This would be a good time to sell now. But I do want to see price go below 171.540 just to get that extra confirmation. Just in case, price decides to consolidate or go high for a while.
Have to stay vigilant with this market now.
TP1 will be 171.100.
TP2 will be 170.000
TP3 will be 168.800
Lets see how this trade plays out.