SHORT GBPNZD Trade Highlight: Short GBPNZD
Analysis:
This trade beautifully showcased the power of technical analysis! We capitalized on the clear bearish trend with lower highs, perfecting our entry at 1.9900 just below strong resistance at 2.00. The bearish engulfing pattern reinforced our conviction, indicating potential selling pressure. Coupled with the RSI nearing overbought territory, it was a textbook setup!
Outcome:
The trade was a triumph, reaching our take profit at 1.9650 for a rewarding 250 pips! This not only validated our strategy but also underscored the importance of reading market signals accurately.
Conclusion:
This trade exemplifies how disciplined analysis and patience can lead to successful outcomes. Happy trading! 🌟
Forex market
GBPNZD to form a higher low?GBPNZD - 24H expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 2.2515.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 2.2515 (stop at 2.2475)
Our profit targets will be 2.2675 and 2.2710
Resistance: 2.2660 / 2.2720 / 2.2770
Support: 2.2510 / 2.2420 / 2.2375
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EURUSD: Mid-Term Analysis💶 EURUSD Analysis
The blue boxes under liquidity look good.
📍 The Plan
If price moves into these blue boxes:
✅ Watch for footprint absorption (buyers stepping in)
✅ Look for CDV support or bullish divergence
✅ Wait for a structure reclaim to confirm entry
⚡ Why This Matters
No chasing. No guessing.
These zones are where I’m interested if the market wants to give an opportunity.
🎯 Action Point
If signals align, I will consider a risk-managed long.
If not, I am fine waiting.
Patience and clarity. The right price, or no trade.
USDJPY BUY Setup🗾 USDJPY BUY Setup – Reversal from Demand Zone (H1 Analysis)
📅 22 July 2025
USDJPY has shown strong bearish momentum recently, but price has now tapped into a clear demand zone (marked in green), which previously acted as a launchpad for bullish moves.
🟦 Entry: Buy @ 146.37
🔵 SL: Below 146.00 (just beneath demand zone)
🟩 TP: 149.10 – targeting the recent H1 structure high
🔍 Why I took this trade:
• Clean reaction from a historical demand zone
• Strong rejection wick forming on the hourly
• RSI divergence and volume exhaustion confirmed the buy
• Risk-to-reward ratio > 3:1
⏳ Waiting for confirmation on lower timeframes (M15/M5) before scaling in further.
📊 Let’s see how this plays out – following price action closely!
GBPUSD: Mid-Term Analysis💷
Everyone wants to catch the move, but the real edge comes from patience.
🛡️ The Situation:
GBPUSD has shown strength, but chasing here isn’t my game.
📍 The Plan:
According to orderflow, the next buying point is in the blue box I’ve marked.
That’s where I let the market come to me.
🔎 What I need to see there:
✅ Footprint absorption (clear buyers stepping in)
✅ CDV support or divergence
✅ Structure reclaim for clean confirmation
💡 Why it matters:
Anyone can hit buy, but buying at the right place with confirmation is how you stay in the game.
🎯 What’s next:
If price returns to the blue box and confirms, I will execute with clear risk.
If not, I’ll stay patient and let the market prove itself.
✅ Summary:
Let price come to your level, confirm, and then act decisively.
No chasing. No fear. Just clear, disciplined execution.
AUD/CHF Bearish Breakdown – Daily Chart
Price remains in a solid downtrend, respecting lower highs and bearish order blocks. With clean rejection from the 0.54 supply zone, we’re seeing continued bearish pressure heading toward the 0.5037 demand zone.
🟢 Watch for reaction around 0.50374
🔻 Trend: Bearish
📅 Timeframe: Daily
#AUDCHF #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #MarketStructure #ForexGhana #PriceAction #The20PipsCenter
GBPAUD: Liquidity Grab and Fair Value Gap RejectionPrice recently swept liquidity above a key level, grabbing stops resting above that range. Following that, it quickly reversed and left behind a clean Fair Value Gap , suggesting a possible shift in intent.
We are now watching price retrace into the FVG zone. If price reacts from there with a strong bearish confirmation candle like a bearish engulfing or another sign of rejection, we could see a continuation move lower. Our short-term target would be the previous day’s low.
This setup reflects how important it is to wait for confirmation and not chase the first reaction. Let price come to you and show its hand. Patience leads to clarity and better entries.
A trade without confirmation is just a guess. A trade with structure, confluence, and patience is a plan. Stay sharp.
NZDCAD: Patience Before the PushNZDCAD on the 1H chart just completed a clean liquidity sweep below the previous day’s low. That long wick aggressively took out resting sell stops before price sharply reversed.
We’ve now seen a break of structure to the upside, showing a possible shift in market direction. Price is currently pulling back toward two visible imbalance zones (iFVGs), both sitting just below the previous day’s low.
If price trades into these iFVGs and gives us a clear bullish confirmation like a bullish engulfing candle, a rejection wick, or a strong break of structure on lower timeframes, we could look for continuation toward the liquidity above the highs.
📌 Key Levels
• Liquidity sweep below PDL
• Bullish break of structure
• iFVGs aligning as potential entry zones
• Final target: liquidity resting near 0.81900
🧠 Psychology Tip
The best trades don’t need to be forced. Wait for confirmation. A setup without a signal is just a theory. Protect your capital, trade your plan, and trust the process.
GBPJPY - How i see the market. WHAT DO YOU THINK?A channel within a channel .
Short-term bearish pressure to complete the 3-drives pattern, which ultimately suggests a long bullish setup. I'd only consider this setup if the trend continues to 198.000.
side note
198.000 I'll be looking for buying opportunities to the upside probably until we hit the red channel trendline. That should guarantee approx. 350pips.
You could take advantage of the current bearish move and rejoin when the bulls hit the ground running. Remember use your own trading plan and enjoy the ride . It can go either way but hopefully it respects PA and goes with this flow.
Market Travel: An Adaptive Framework for Tracking Structure🧭 Understanding Market Travel: An Adaptive Framework for Tracking Structure Manually
Market structure can be one of the most challenging patterns to read. There are tools and methods to help interpret it, but none are absolute. As market speed and volatility shift, so does its behavior. That’s why it’s important to move beyond rigid definitions and start understanding how price travels through the market.
What Is Travel?
“Travel” is a concept I developed through personal study and chart work. As price moves, it naturally forms pullbacks—temporary dips toward the weak side—and breaks—moves that close beyond the strong side. These are the two critical phases that form the backbone of market structure.
While most people focus on static patterns, I’ve found more value in learning how price travels through its pullbacks and breaks. These movements aren’t random—they follow clear behavioral patterns. Once you learn to identify these, structure becomes easier to read across timeframes.
The Three Modes of Travel
I've observed three types of travel that occur between the dip and the break:
1. Pure Sentiment Travel
This is the cleanest and most decisive form of travel. Price moves in one dominant direction with little to no opposing candles. For example, in a daily uptrend, the pullback might consist entirely of bearish 4H candles. As soon as a strong bullish candle appears, that typically signals the return toward the trend’s strong high.
2. Stacking Travel
Stacking is more nuanced. Price moves with alternating bullish and bearish candles, but the dominant sentiment stays in control.
Let’s say price is dipping in a daily uptrend. On the 1H chart, you may see a bearish sequence that includes a few bullish candles. These bullish candles don’t invalidate the bearish structure because they fail to close above the pivot high formed between the last bullish leg and the beginning of the bearish move. As long as that high is respected, the bearish stacking is valid.
Once price breaks that high (or, in a bullish stacking case, breaks the pivot low), the stacking order is broken, and that signals a reversal back toward the dominant direction.
3. Shifting Travel
Shifting travel looks similar to stacking but is constantly flipping between bullish and bearish stacking. Each shift creates a new high or low within the shifting structure. These micro-structures form lower lows or higher highs as sentiment switches back and forth.
Once price breaks its own shifting structure (e.g., breaks a bearish sequence with a bullish close), this typically signals the end of that leg of travel and a reversal toward the dominant higher timeframe trend.
How to Apply Travel Across Timeframes
These three types of travel operate in a hierarchy:
- Shifting travel (LTF) respects stacking travel (MTF)
- Stacking travel (MTF) respects pure travel (HTF)
- Pure sentiment travel (HTF) is the master mode that resets the others
When you identify a new pure sentiment shift on the higher timeframe, that becomes your reset point. From that candle forward, you should begin fresh stacking and shifting analysis on your lower timeframes.
Workflow example:
1. Spot a pure sentiment shift on the HTF (e.g., bullish daily candle after a clean bearish pullback)
2. From that pivot low, begin tracking stacking travel on the MTF
3. Use shifting travel on the LTF to navigate inside the stacking structure
If stacking or shifting behavior breaks unexpectedly, that usually means market speed is changing—and you may need to reassign which timeframes serve as HTF, MTF, and LTF.
Why This Works
This framework gives you a fixed point of structure—the dip and the break—but allows you to adapt to the behavior in between. Instead of just reacting to breakouts, you're learning how price moves to get there.
That’s what gives you the edge: not just reading where price is, but how it’s traveling to get there.
Final Thoughts
This adaptive travel model helps break down market structure into something both trackable and flexible. Try observing these travel types in real time and let me know how it works for you.
Tools & Resources
If you’d like to access my Pure Order Flow indicator and more exclusive tools, visit my TradingView profile:
@The_Forex_Steward
I’ve built an arsenal of indicators designed to support this framework across different markets and styles. If this breakdown helped, don’t forget to boost the post so others can benefit from it too!
AUDUSD Ready to enter Buy?✅ **Market & Timeframe:**
AUD/USD, 1‑hour chart.
✅ **Overall Bias (multi‑timeframe):**
* Weekly: Bullish
* Daily: Bearish
* 12H: Bullish
* 6H: Bullish
* 4H: Bullish
➡️ **≈ 80% Bullish bias overall.**
✅ **Pattern & Structure:**
You’ve clearly highlighted an **Inverse Head and Shoulders**:
* Left Shoulder near 0.6520
* Head near 0.6500
* Right Shoulder near 0.6525
Price has broken above the neckline (\~0.6540 area).
✅ **Key Levels:**
* **Daily AOI (Area of Interest):** 0.6537–0.6541
(price currently above, expected to retest this zone)
* **Next upside target:** 0.6588–0.6590
* **Major support:** Lower Daily AOI around 0.6466–0.6490
✅ **Moving Averages:**
* Blue MA (shorter) is above red MA (longer) – showing upward momentum.
✅ **Price Action Plan (illustrated by your arrows):**
1. Price has just broken out above the neckline.
2. Expecting a **retest back into Daily AOI (\~0.6540)**.
3. Looking for bullish confirmation there (e.g., bullish candlestick pattern) to enter **long**.
4. Targeting the resistance zone around **0.6588–0.6590**.
---
📌 **Summary:**
Your chart signals an **80% bullish setup**.
✅ Inverse head & shoulders → breakout above neckline.
✅ Wait for price to pull back into Daily AOI (0.6537–0.6541).
✅ Look for bullish confirmation → then enter long.
🎯 Target: \~0.6588–0.6590.
Why EUR/USD Dropped: A Step-by-Step Breakdown for Learners📉 Overview:
The EUR/USD has recently approached a key resistance zone near 1.17726, showing signs of a potential rejection after a bullish rally. The price is currently hovering around 1.17468, forming a short-term bearish setup that could lead to a retracement or reversal.
⸻
⚙ Key Technical Zones:
• 🔼 Resistance: 1.17500 – 1.17726
Price was strongly rejected after testing this area. This level has historically acted as a supply zone.
• 🔽 Support: 1.15500 – 1.16000
This is a historically significant demand zone, where price previously consolidated and reversed.
• 🎯 Target Zone: 1.16308
Marked as a potential take-profit level based on prior price structure and volume profile imbalance.
⸻
🧠 Indicators & Tools:
• Bollinger Bands: Price touched the upper band in overbought conditions, suggesting a possible mean reversion.
• Volume Profile (VRVP): Indicates declining volume near resistance, pointing to weak buyer momentum.
• Price Action: Bearish engulfing candle and strong rejection wick at resistance, confirming selling pressure.
⸻
🧭 Market Bias:
📌 Short-Term Bearish
A short opportunity is forming based on the rejection from resistance and overextension of price.
⸻
🧩 Possible Scenario:
1. Breakdown below 1.17061 (mid-level support) could trigger acceleration to the downside.
2. 1.16500 and 1.16308 are ideal short targets before reevaluation for continuation or bounce.
⸻
🛑 Risk Management Tips:
• Consider SL above 1.17800 (previous high).
• Monitor for confirmation before entry (e.g., bearish candle close below 1.17000).
• Adjust size and risk-reward ratio appropriately.
EUR/USD - Final Push Before Collapse?This EUR/USD daily chart highlights a bearish setup within a weakening rising wedge.
A Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms a potential shift in structure as price pushes toward buy-side liquidity above previous highs—where retail stops are likely resting.
Once this liquidity is swept, smart money is expected to reverse price sharply, breaking wedge support. The projected move targets the 1.03 zone, representing a 7% drop, aligning with internal liquidity and a return to the discount zone.
This setup illustrates classic SMC behavior: liquidity grabs, structural shifts, and institutional unloading before a major move.
EUR/USD – Final Push Before Collapse?
NZD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅NZD_USD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.5980 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.