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NZDUSD Is a Short-Term Rebound on the Table?NZD/USD is down nearly 0.4% in Tuesday’s European session, trading near the key support area of 0.5940 — a confluence of the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the midline of a descending channel. The pair is pressured by rising expectations that the RBNZ may cut rates in August, while the USD remains volatile amid uncertainty surrounding trade talks between the US and its key partners. 🔍 Technical Overview – Structure & Momentum ✅ Overall Trend: Bearish short-term (descending channel) ✅ Current Structure: Price is testing key technical support at 0.5940 ✅ Volume Profile: VPOC and upper supply zones remain key targets on a bounce NZD/USD continues to respect the bearish channel structure. However, the support zone at 0.5940 (Fibo 0.5 + recent demand) is showing signs of holding. If price sustains above this level, a bullish correction toward the 0.6006 and 0.6040 supply zones is a valid scenario. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🔸 Bullish Short-Term Scenario (if 0.5940 holds): Entry: Buy around 0.5940 TP1: 0.60064 (VPOC + supply zone) TP2: 0.60400 (OBS sell zone) SL: Below 0.5905 (sell-side liquidity break) 🔹 Bearish Continuation (if support breaks): A clean break below 0.5905 confirms downside continuation Look for retest and short entries targeting deeper channel lows (0.586x–0.583x) ⚠️ Macro Risk Drivers Growing expectations of an RBNZ rate cut in August Ongoing US trade negotiation uncertainty with key partners Potential USD volatility around upcoming macroeconomic releases 📌 Key Price Levels to Watch Technical Support 0.5940 Fibo 0.5 + mid-channel Sell-Side Liquidity 0.5905 Bearish confirmation if broken VPOC + Supply Zone 0.60064 First upside target OBS Sell Zone 0.60400 Final bullish target / resistance 💬 The descending channel remains in control, but 0.5940 could be the key pivot. Wait for confirmation before entering, and watch volume closely.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
2
AUD/JPY Finally Decided To Go Down , Don`t Miss This 150 Pips !Here is my 1H Chart on AUD/JPY , And my opinion is we have a very clear breakout and the price will go down a little to make a retracement after this huge movement to upside without any correction , so i`, waiting the price to retest my broken supp and new Res and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting 100 : 150 pips . if the price go up again and closed above my res area with daily candle then this idea will not be valid anymore.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
2
USDJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 146.36 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 147.90 My Stop Loss - 145.68 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURCHF has been a Terrible Market to Trade inEURCHF on the 1D has been consolidating for a few months now. Box has been drawn to indicate that. It's been all noise and I dont think it would be wise to trade in a choppy market. I'm wondering if anyone is trading EURCHF and has found a profitable way to trade it in this choppy market. Open to hearing any strategies being used in this market. Key level of support is present at 0.92300. If price breaks the consolidation zone, I'll look to sell till 0.92300. If the price moves up and above the consolidation zone, we could push till 0.95000 Would be setting alerts for these key levels but may not look to trade at the moment. Open to hearing any profitable strategies being used in these market conditions.
by Nikladon
China's Economic Storm: A Global Wake-Up CallChina, the world’s second-largest economy, is facing a perfect storm of demographic collapse, a housing market crash, and a strategic sell-off of US treasuries. These interconnected crises threaten not only China’s stability but also global markets, impacting forex traders, investors, and businesses worldwide. This article unpacks the unfolding challenges and their far-reaching implications, as discussed in our latest Edge Forex podcast. A Demographic Time Bomb China’s population is aging faster than any major economy in history, driven by a fertility rate of just 1.1–1.2 children per woman—well below the 2.1 needed to sustain a population. The legacy of the one-child policy has left a shrinking workforce and a projected 400 million people over 65 by 2050, comprising one-third of the population. This demographic cliff strains pensions and healthcare systems while youth unemployment, reported at 20% in 2023, fuels social discontent. Government subsidies to boost birth rates have failed, as high living costs and a drying job market deter young couples from starting families. The result? A shrinking labor force, slowing GDP growth, and brewing social unrest. By 2080, China’s population could halve, leaving empty cities and businesses without workers. This isn’t just a numbers game—it’s a crisis that could derail China’s economic engine for decades. Housing Market Collapse: A Crumbling Pillar Once the backbone of China’s economic miracle, the housing sector is now a liability. New home prices have plummeted 23–25%, with monthly declines of 6–7%. Accounting for 25–30% of GDP, this sector’s collapse is catastrophic. The liquidation of Evergrande in 2024, with $310 billion in debt, exposed the over-leveraged nature of China’s property market. Goldman Sachs estimates $13 trillion (93 trillion RMB) in excess inventory—millions of empty condominiums in ghost towns, with malls and highways leading nowhere. Housing represents 60–70% of Chinese household wealth, so falling prices are crushing consumer confidence and spending. Local governments, reliant on land sales, face budget crises, and an 8 trillion RMB stimulus has fallen short. This slow-motion crash, reminiscent of Japan’s 1989 property bubble but worsened by demographic decline, threatens financial stability and global economic growth. US Treasury Sell-Off: A High-Stakes Gamble In 2024, China slashed its US mortgage-backed securities holdings by 20%, part of a broader sell-off of US treasuries. This isn’t a choice but a necessity, driven by declining export revenues and insufficient funds to meet domestic and international obligations. The sell-off, fueled by a trade war and a sharp drop in US exports post-tariffs, forces China to liquidate treasuries to access US dollars. However, this move risks raising US interest rates, disrupting global housing markets, and escalating geopolitical tensions. Charts show China’s treasury holdings peaking around 2005 before a sharp decline, while other economies like the Eurozone and UK increase their purchases. This shift could flood bond markets, pushing up yields and affecting forex pairs like USD/CNY. While short-term relief for China, this sell-off is a long-term gamble that could isolate it financially and signal deeper economic distress. Global Implications for Markets and Forex China’s export slump, treasury sell-offs, and housing crisis paint a picture of a nation losing its economic grip. For forex traders, the weakening Chinese Yuan against the US Dollar (USD/CNY) is a key focus, as economic stagnation and treasury sales pressure the currency. Higher US interest rates from these sell-offs could strengthen the USD, impacting global currency pairs and emerging markets. Investors in Chinese equities or real estate face risks from declining growth prospects, while businesses reliant on Chinese demand—think commodities or luxury goods—may see revenues shrink. At Edge Forex, we see this as a red flag for long-term investors. Diversifying into assets less tied to China, such as Eurozone or UK markets absorbing treasury sales, could mitigate risks. The global ripple effects are undeniable: China’s slowdown could depress demand, disrupt bond markets, and create volatility across forex and equity markets. What’s Next for Traders and Investors? Monitor USD/CNY: Expect volatility as China’s economic woes weaken the Yuan. Track Global Rates: Treasury sell-offs could push up US yields, impacting housing and forex markets. Diversify Portfolios: Reduce exposure to Chinese assets and explore26% of Chinese household wealth, so falling prices erode consumer confidence.
Long
by RoadToAMillionClub
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
2
USDJPY Smart Money Analysis – Bearish OutlookAfter a confirmed 1-hour bearish divergence @149.202, price initiated a downward structure. We saw a bounce from a bearish 4H Order Block (OB) @147.356, but this bounce did not invalidate the initial bearish divergence structure. Price then broke below that 4H OB slightly, before retracing back into the same OB zone, forming another 4H bearish OB at that level, indicating reinforced institutional interest. This was followed by a clean CHoCH @146.943, confirming further bearish pressure. Price reacted next from a bullish 4H OB @146.496, initiating a short-term retracement. 📌 Expectations: 🔁 We expect price to retrace back into the newly created 4H bearish OB @147.626, which is a refined point of interest. 📉 If that level holds as expected, the bearish move is likely to continue towards the next bearish OB sitting around 145.148, which is a potential demand exhaustion zone. 🧠Summary of Key Zones: 1H Bearish Divergence: 149.202 Initial 4H Bearish OB: 147.356 CHoCH Confirmation Level: 146.943 Bullish OB Reaction: 146.496 Expected Retracement POI (4H OB): 147.626 Final Bearish Target OB: 145.148 ⚠️Risk Management Note: This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts and market structure observation. Always use proper risk management — risking no more than 1–2% of your capital per trade. Ensure your stop-loss and lot sizes match your account equity. News events and volatility can invalidate technical zones quickly. Trade safe. 🧠💼📉
Short
by The-ultimate-trader
AUD/USD – 15m Demand📊 Trade Breakdown: Pair: AUD/USD Timeframe: 15 Minute Bias: Bullish Type: Demand Zone Rejection Entry: 0.65264 Stop Loss: 0.65186 Take Profit: 0.65570 Risk-to-Reward: ~3R ⸻ 📌 Key Confluences: • Clean 15m demand zone formed after a sharp impulse move • Strong bullish engulfing candle from demand • Liquidity sweep to the left prior to demand forming • Structure shift with higher highs and higher lows • Previous resistance flipped to support at entry zone • AUD strength showing on intraday sentiment across multiple pairs ⸻ ⚙️ Trade Setup: Entered long after price tapped into the refined 15m demand zone and printed a bullish rejection wick. SL placed just below the zone to avoid noise. TP set near a prior 15m supply area / liquidity sweep zone. I’m watching for continuation on the next 15m-1h candle closures. If price breaks above 0.6544, expecting follow-through to 0.6557+. ⸻ 🧠 Mindset: Stayed patient waiting for price to come to me. No FOMO. Clear invalidation and clean R:R. Confidence in the setup due to structure, confluences, and reaction off the zone. Trusting the process and letting the trade breathe. Trade Simple, Live Lavish
Long
by QuilLavish
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1696 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1651 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
EURGBP The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURGBP below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8676 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.8670 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GBPUSD? GBP/USD has broken support zone and its ascending trendline, indicating a shift in momentum. The pair is currently in a pullback phase, retesting the broken support zone, which now acts as resistance. Once the pullback is complete, we expect further downside toward the next identified support level. As long as the price remains below the broken zone, the bearish outlook remains valid, and rallies may offer sell opportunities. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
26