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EURNZD: Bullish Confluence Aligns for Buy Setups at Key ArraysGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we identify that the current institutional order flow is bullish. With this bias in mind, we aim to capitalize on high-probability buying opportunities from key points of interest aligned with institutional behavior. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe is showing a clear bullish narrative. This bullish order flow is confirmed by the H4 timeframe, which is also delivering higher highs and higher lows—providing confluence between both the macro and intermediate timeframes. This alignment increases our confidence in seeking long setups. Key Observations on H4: Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep: Price recently took out H4 buy stops, which triggered a retracement into internal range price action. Re-Delivered Re-Balanced Zone (RDRB): Price has now pulled back into a re-delivered, re-balanced array—a significant institutional level that typically offers low-risk buy setups. Given the nature of this zone, we do not anticipate a deeper pullback into the fair value gap (FVG), thereby treating it as a potential breakaway gap. Draw on Liquidity: The next probable target is the external liquidity pool resting in premium prices. The market appears poised to gravitate towards that area. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor the lower timeframes for bullish confirmations within the RDRB array. Targets: The primary target is the engineered liquidity pool in premium prices. For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.website/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ Remain patient, trust the structure, and execute with precision as the bullish narrative unfolds. Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
NZDJPY Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NZDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 88.786 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 88.284 My Stop Loss - 89.075 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
CHFJPY SELL TRADE PLAN🔥 CHFJPY TRADE PLAN 🔥 📅 Date: 22 July 2025 📋 Trade Plan Overview Type Direction Confidence R:R Status Swing Sell ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (82%) 4.0:1 Awaiting Confirmation Guidance: Focus on Scenario A Primary Plan – high confluence bearish rejection zone after extended bullish run. Scenario B remains tactical, lower probability unless impulsive breakdown. Total risk: 1.2% (standard swing). Primary Trade Plan: Swing Sell 📈 Market Bias & Trade Type Bias: Bearish Trade Type: Reversal - Post-Parabolic Exhaustion 🔰 Confidence Level ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (82%) Reason: D1 parabolic exhaustion + rejection wicks. H4 strong bearish engulfing. H1 impulsive breakdown from 185.40 zone. Volume spike on H1 selling. Fib 61.8% rejection. Sentiment stretched overbought JPY weakness. Breakdown: Price Structure: 30% Candlestick Patterns: 20% Volume / Fib / RSI: 22% Macro / Sentiment: 10% 📌 Status Awaiting Confirmation 📍 Entry Zones 🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 184.45 – 184.75 (H4 bearish order block + imbalance + prior rejection) 👉 Status: Waiting for rejection wick / bearish engulfing / LTF breakdown. 🟧 Secondary Sell Zone: 185.20 – 185.45 (H4 final supply zone; riskier short). ❗ Stop Loss 185.65 (above secondary zone wick + structure + 1.2x ATR). 🎯 Take Profit Targets 🥇 TP1: 183.10 (H1 imbalance fill; 125 pips; ~2.0:1 R:R) 🥈 TP2: 182.20 (liquidity pool, structure target; 210 pips; ~3.5:1 R:R) 🥉 TP3: 180.90 (deeper swing pullback; H4 demand zone; ~4.8:1 R:R) – Optional trail. 📏 Risk:Reward TP1: 2.0:1 TP2: 3.5:1 TP3: 4.8:1 🧠 Management Strategy Risk 1.2% of $ ($ , lots). Move SL to breakeven after TP1 hit. Close 60% at TP1, 30% at TP2, leave 10% runner for TP3 (trail SL). If impulsive bullish reclaim above 185.00, exit manually. Portfolio Risk capped at 3% max open trades. ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist H1 bearish engulfing OR rejection wick in primary zone. H1/H4 volume spike during London or NY session. RSI divergence (optional). No major JPY risk events upcoming. ⏳ Validity H4 Swing: Valid for 2–4 days (expires 26 July 2025). ❌ Invalidation 4H candle close above 185.65 Bullish BOS on H1 beyond secondary zone. 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot COT: CHF neutral / JPY oversold. DXY: Rangebound. Retail: 77% buyers CHFJPY (contrarian bearish bias). Cross-Pair: EURJPY and AUDJPY showing topping signs. Cross-Market: Risk sentiment fragile (SP500 fading). Macro: No major CHF/JPY news. Sentiment Score: +7/10 bearish CHFJPY. 📋 Final Trade Summary Sell CHFJPY targeting reversal after extended bullish run. Focus is on rejection from 184.45–184.75 with strict SL above 185.65. Patience mandatory for confirmation candlesticks. Aggressive scaling only if H1 breaks down from current price.
Short
by jibkhan111
2
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 148.46 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 147.15 Recommended Stop Loss - 149.17 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
NZDUSD Is a Short-Term Rebound on the Table?NZD/USD is down nearly 0.4% in Tuesday’s European session, trading near the key support area of 0.5940 — a confluence of the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the midline of a descending channel. The pair is pressured by rising expectations that the RBNZ may cut rates in August, while the USD remains volatile amid uncertainty surrounding trade talks between the US and its key partners. 🔍 Technical Overview – Structure & Momentum ✅ Overall Trend: Bearish short-term (descending channel) ✅ Current Structure: Price is testing key technical support at 0.5940 ✅ Volume Profile: VPOC and upper supply zones remain key targets on a bounce NZD/USD continues to respect the bearish channel structure. However, the support zone at 0.5940 (Fibo 0.5 + recent demand) is showing signs of holding. If price sustains above this level, a bullish correction toward the 0.6006 and 0.6040 supply zones is a valid scenario. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🔸 Bullish Short-Term Scenario (if 0.5940 holds): Entry: Buy around 0.5940 TP1: 0.60064 (VPOC + supply zone) TP2: 0.60400 (OBS sell zone) SL: Below 0.5905 (sell-side liquidity break) 🔹 Bearish Continuation (if support breaks): A clean break below 0.5905 confirms downside continuation Look for retest and short entries targeting deeper channel lows (0.586x–0.583x) ⚠️ Macro Risk Drivers Growing expectations of an RBNZ rate cut in August Ongoing US trade negotiation uncertainty with key partners Potential USD volatility around upcoming macroeconomic releases 📌 Key Price Levels to Watch Technical Support 0.5940 Fibo 0.5 + mid-channel Sell-Side Liquidity 0.5905 Bearish confirmation if broken VPOC + Supply Zone 0.60064 First upside target OBS Sell Zone 0.60400 Final bullish target / resistance 💬 The descending channel remains in control, but 0.5940 could be the key pivot. Wait for confirmation before entering, and watch volume closely.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
2
AUD/JPY Finally Decided To Go Down , Don`t Miss This 150 Pips !Here is my 1H Chart on AUD/JPY , And my opinion is we have a very clear breakout and the price will go down a little to make a retracement after this huge movement to upside without any correction , so i`, waiting the price to retest my broken supp and new Res and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting 100 : 150 pips . if the price go up again and closed above my res area with daily candle then this idea will not be valid anymore.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
2
USDJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 146.36 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 147.90 My Stop Loss - 145.68 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURCHF has been a Terrible Market to Trade inEURCHF on the 1D has been consolidating for a few months now. Box has been drawn to indicate that. It's been all noise and I dont think it would be wise to trade in a choppy market. I'm wondering if anyone is trading EURCHF and has found a profitable way to trade it in this choppy market. Open to hearing any strategies being used in this market. Key level of support is present at 0.92300. If price breaks the consolidation zone, I'll look to sell till 0.92300. If the price moves up and above the consolidation zone, we could push till 0.95000 Would be setting alerts for these key levels but may not look to trade at the moment. Open to hearing any profitable strategies being used in these market conditions.
by Nikladon
China's Economic Storm: A Global Wake-Up CallChina, the world’s second-largest economy, is facing a perfect storm of demographic collapse, a housing market crash, and a strategic sell-off of US treasuries. These interconnected crises threaten not only China’s stability but also global markets, impacting forex traders, investors, and businesses worldwide. This article unpacks the unfolding challenges and their far-reaching implications, as discussed in our latest Edge Forex podcast. A Demographic Time Bomb China’s population is aging faster than any major economy in history, driven by a fertility rate of just 1.1–1.2 children per woman—well below the 2.1 needed to sustain a population. The legacy of the one-child policy has left a shrinking workforce and a projected 400 million people over 65 by 2050, comprising one-third of the population. This demographic cliff strains pensions and healthcare systems while youth unemployment, reported at 20% in 2023, fuels social discontent. Government subsidies to boost birth rates have failed, as high living costs and a drying job market deter young couples from starting families. The result? A shrinking labor force, slowing GDP growth, and brewing social unrest. By 2080, China’s population could halve, leaving empty cities and businesses without workers. This isn’t just a numbers game—it’s a crisis that could derail China’s economic engine for decades. Housing Market Collapse: A Crumbling Pillar Once the backbone of China’s economic miracle, the housing sector is now a liability. New home prices have plummeted 23–25%, with monthly declines of 6–7%. Accounting for 25–30% of GDP, this sector’s collapse is catastrophic. The liquidation of Evergrande in 2024, with $310 billion in debt, exposed the over-leveraged nature of China’s property market. Goldman Sachs estimates $13 trillion (93 trillion RMB) in excess inventory—millions of empty condominiums in ghost towns, with malls and highways leading nowhere. Housing represents 60–70% of Chinese household wealth, so falling prices are crushing consumer confidence and spending. Local governments, reliant on land sales, face budget crises, and an 8 trillion RMB stimulus has fallen short. This slow-motion crash, reminiscent of Japan’s 1989 property bubble but worsened by demographic decline, threatens financial stability and global economic growth. US Treasury Sell-Off: A High-Stakes Gamble In 2024, China slashed its US mortgage-backed securities holdings by 20%, part of a broader sell-off of US treasuries. This isn’t a choice but a necessity, driven by declining export revenues and insufficient funds to meet domestic and international obligations. The sell-off, fueled by a trade war and a sharp drop in US exports post-tariffs, forces China to liquidate treasuries to access US dollars. However, this move risks raising US interest rates, disrupting global housing markets, and escalating geopolitical tensions. Charts show China’s treasury holdings peaking around 2005 before a sharp decline, while other economies like the Eurozone and UK increase their purchases. This shift could flood bond markets, pushing up yields and affecting forex pairs like USD/CNY. While short-term relief for China, this sell-off is a long-term gamble that could isolate it financially and signal deeper economic distress. Global Implications for Markets and Forex China’s export slump, treasury sell-offs, and housing crisis paint a picture of a nation losing its economic grip. For forex traders, the weakening Chinese Yuan against the US Dollar (USD/CNY) is a key focus, as economic stagnation and treasury sales pressure the currency. Higher US interest rates from these sell-offs could strengthen the USD, impacting global currency pairs and emerging markets. Investors in Chinese equities or real estate face risks from declining growth prospects, while businesses reliant on Chinese demand—think commodities or luxury goods—may see revenues shrink. At Edge Forex, we see this as a red flag for long-term investors. Diversifying into assets less tied to China, such as Eurozone or UK markets absorbing treasury sales, could mitigate risks. The global ripple effects are undeniable: China’s slowdown could depress demand, disrupt bond markets, and create volatility across forex and equity markets. What’s Next for Traders and Investors? Monitor USD/CNY: Expect volatility as China’s economic woes weaken the Yuan. Track Global Rates: Treasury sell-offs could push up US yields, impacting housing and forex markets. Diversify Portfolios: Reduce exposure to Chinese assets and explore26% of Chinese household wealth, so falling prices erode consumer confidence.
Long
by RoadToAMillionClub