XAUUSD Bear Flag Breakdown Incoming? Watch 3322 Support Zone
🔴 Resistance Zones:
3,370–3,375: Strong supply zone (highlighted in orange). Price has been rejected multiple times here.
3,350–3,355: Minor resistance, also aligned with a descending trendline (shorter-term bearish structure).
🔵 Support Zones:
3,322–3,325: Currently holding above this key intraday demand zone.
3,316–3,318: Next major demand zone if current support breaks (highlighted in blue).
📉 Trend Structure:
Price is in a downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows.
Multiple bearish trendlines are intact.
Recent rejection from 3,370 zone with strong bearish momentum.
🔄 Current Price Behavior:
Price is consolidating near 3,324, testing the support zone.
If this support fails, next clean drop likely toward 3,316.
---
✅ Trade Signal for Today
Bias: Bearish (Short)
🔻 Entry (Sell):
Sell below 3,322 (on 15-min candle close below the blue zone)
🎯 Targets:
1. TP1: 3,318
2. TP2: 3,312
🛡️ Stop Loss:
SL: Above 3,332 (last minor structure high)
---
🔁 Alternative Buy Scenario (Aggressive Intraday Long)
Only valid if strong bullish engulfing forms above 3,325 support.
🔼 Buy above: 3,327 (confirmation candle)
TP1: 3,335
TP2: 3,345
SL: Below 3,321
⚠️ Note: This buy is counter-trend, so take with smaller size or avoid unless momentum shifts.
---
🧠 Summary
Main Play: Follow the bearish trend and wait for a clean break below 3,322.
Avoid buying unless you see strong demand reaction with volume from the current blue zone.
Futures market
Gold Rejects Resistance Again – Gold Rejects Resistance Again ?Gold is currently trading near $3,335, showing signs of exhaustion after a failed breakout above the recent consolidation range. The market attempted to push higher but lacked strong momentum, leading to a pullback and possible shift in bias. The price is forming lower highs, indicating bearish pressure building up on the 4H timeframe. Gold is showing weakness after a second breakout followed by a possible retest failure. The market structure indicates a bearish bias
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
- Two Breakouts: Price attempted two bullish breakouts recently. The first breakout gained some traction, while the second failed to hold above resistance.
- Failed Retest: Price has now returned back near the previous breakout zone (~$3,332), signaling a potential bearish reversal pattern.
- The chart structure suggests a distribution phase, with price struggling to hold gains, and sellers slowly gaining control.
🧭 Key Support and Resistance Levels:
✅ Resistance Zones:
- $3,337.54 – Immediate resistance (recent rejection zone)
- $3,348.03 – Strong resistance if price pushes above $3,337
- $3,412.76 – Major resistance from previous swing high
- $3,490.40 – Long-term psychological resistance
🔻 Support Zones:
- $3,318.94 – Immediate support (just below current price)
- $3,303.46 – Key fib retracement (0.382 level)
- $3,248.28 – Strong horizontal support (major zone)
- $3,193.11 – Fibonacci extension level (-0.382)
- $3,159.02 – Next support zone (Fibo -0.618 level)
🟠 Current Bias:
Bearish to Neutral – as long as price remains below $3,337.
If price breaks and holds above $3,337 with volume, short-term bullish reversal is possible.
Yeterday there was a fake news and gold was pumped but after clarification it was dumped. It means buyers are not much interested till fed next meeting and the high price of the gold. Sellers will short the gold on every rise while buyers will wait for low price of the gold for long term trade.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 17✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹Although President Trump denied plans to dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, he emphasized that he does “not rule out the possibility in the future” and criticized the Fed’s headquarters renovation for budget overruns. This added to policy uncertainty and strengthened gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
🔹Market expectations for a rate cut in September have risen to 60%, which is supportive for gold.
🔹On the geopolitical front, Israel launched an airstrike on Damascus, the capital of Syria, hitting areas near the Ministry of Defense and the Presidential Palace. The escalation in Middle East tensions has driven safe-haven flows into the gold market.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸So far this week, gold has shown a clear range-bound pattern. Despite various market influences, gold has been rejected three times near 3375 on the upside and found support twice near 3320 on the downside. This indicates a well-defined consolidation zone between 3375 and 3320.
🔸As long as this range remains intact, gold is unlikely to form a strong trending move. The market is expected to continue fluctuating within this zone through Thursday and Friday. Thus, the trading strategy remains focused on range trading — selling near resistance and buying near support.
🔸In the event of an unexpected breakout: A break above 3375 could open the path toward 3400. A breakdown below $3320 could trigger a move down to 3285. However, price extensions in either direction may be limited in scope.
🔴 Key Resistance Zone: 3365–3375
🟢 Key Support Zone: 3320–3315
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰If gold finds support near 3325–3330, consider entering light long positions.
🔰Conservative traders may wait for a confirmed rebound from 3320 before entering.
🔰Target levels: 3340 → 3355 → 3375
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰If gold rebounds and faces resistance within the 3365–3370 zone, consider initiating short positions based on price action signals.
🔰Suggested stop-loss: above 3378
🔰Target levels: 3325→ 3320→ 3310
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
WEDGE IN XAUUSD, POSSIBLE OUTCOMESWEDGE IN XAUUSD, POSSIBLE OUTCOMES👀
Since the fundamentals didn't influence this asset (I mean yesterdays U.S. PPI report, escalation in the Middle East and Trump's hint on Powell's resignation), let's talk about technicals in gold.
XAUUSD primarily trades sideways since the beginning of June. Main support levels are 3,250.00 and 3,300.00. Main resistant levels are 3,375.00 and 3,450.00. Currently the asset trades within a range of 3,300.00 - 3,375.00. Additionally, bullion has formed a bearish wedge since the beginning of July. Right now the price is heading towards lower border of this wedge, where the SMA50 is situated and may act as an additional support here.
I see 2 main scenarios for a mid-term here:
1) Break below the wedge, rebound from 3,300.00 support, targeting 3,375.00.
2) Rebound from the wedge’s lower border, show a bearish move to 3,375.00, then drop to 3,300.00.
In both cases, I assume the price to stay sideways for a long period of time.
SP500 ES Weekly Recap | ATH Deviation → Pullback or Powell Pump?Overview:
ES made a new all-time high last week, sweeping the previous high with strong momentum.
However, the move ended up being a deviation, and the price quickly reversed — suggesting short-term exhaustion.
Bearish Scenario (Baseline):
🔻 Rejection from ATH
🔻 Possible retracement targets:
12H Swing Low (turquoise line)
Weekly Fair Value Gap (purple zone)
I believe a pullback into those levels could provide bullish continuation setups for new highs. I’ll look for LTF confirmation once price reaches those zones.
Bullish Scenario (Catalyst-Driven):
🚨 If Fed Chair Powell resigns this week (a circulating macro rumor), the market may not wait for retracement.
This could lead to an aggressive breakout, driving ES and risk assets straight into new ATHs again.
Plan:
✅ Watch for LTF confirmation after pullback
✅ Stay open to both scenarios
✅ Focus on HTF bullish structure as long as key levels hold
Short for Gold to TargetsSimple trading
Using patrons fibonacci RSI and Trendlines
We see a rising wedge we calculate the first high to the low of the wedge and use that to predict a target, we use the fibonacci to find the 61.8%, I have put for myself different values in the fib settings to find targets that works for the market and for me.
With precision the first high to low of the wedge I copy to find the target and matched with my fib setting.
We have enough space on the RSI to make the correction what needed is to get space for the uptrend.
Target 2 is based on the weekly fib what needed is to test on the 61.8 to complete the behavior of the market and follow the uptrend again.
We getting better in understanding the psychology of the markets behavior.
How we see the trendlines react we know there is a understanding on patrons.
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,327.26 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37.832 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37.762..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold fluctuated downward. Stuck in a stalemate.Information summary:
Global investors have experienced the longest night this year. There are reports that Trump has drafted a letter to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. The incident triggered a strong reaction in the financial market. An hour later, Trump came out to clarify that "there is no plan to take any action" and denied drafting a letter to fire Powell.
Due to the impact of the incident, gold experienced a roller coaster market, soaring more than $50 at one time, hitting a three-week high of $3,377.17, and then narrowed its gains to 0.68%, and finally closed at $3,347.38. In today's Asian market, gold fell slightly and is currently hovering around $3,325.
Market analysis:
The current volatility pattern has not changed. In the short term, the market shows signs of weakness, which is also affected by CPI data, and expectations for interest rate cuts have weakened. In the current state where there is no break in the pattern, waiting and watching is still the best strategy.
The first support level is around 3,310, which is the starting point of last week's high. The second is around 3280, which is the historical low since July and also the starting point of the rise in the first week of July.
XAUUSD parallel channel Gold is currently holding rising channel.
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I'm looking for Buying towards at 3320-3312 support area if it's sustained
Along H4 remains above then keep buy set targets at 3345 then 3360
-> Moral of Day buy the Dips
Additional TIP:
Below 3310 I will Activate my resell and hold till 3300then 3290
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 17 July 2025Hello Traders, welcome to new Trading day
Today we have some high impact news of USD, Currently market is still in tight range and we still need breakout of 3300 Psychological for downside clearly
For upside market must need to close above 3380-90 zone for further upwards continuation
currently we are also keep an eyes on WAR Fundamental news
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold (XAU/USD) - Elliott Wave Suggests Wave 5 Upside Starting!📊 Current Wave Count:
Wave 1 (Complete): Rally from to .
Wave 2 (Corrective): Pullback to (held 50%/61.8% Fib).
Wave 3 (Extended): Strong impulse to .
Wave 4 (Corrective): ABC pattern ending near (e.g., 38.2% Fib of Wave 3).
🎯 Wave 5 Projection:
Target: Typical 0.618–1.0 extension of Wave 1-3 → $ .
Invalidation: Break below Wave 4 low ($ ).
📈 Why Now?
Wave 4 completed as a shallow correction (flat/triangle).
MACD/RSI shows bullish divergence on lower timeframes.
Fundamental drivers (e.g., Fed dovishness, inflation) align.
⚡ Trading Plan:
Entry: Near current pullback (~$ ).
Stop Loss: Below Wave 4 low.
Take Profit: Scale out at 0.618 and 1.0 extensions.
Crude oil-----Sell near 66.80, target 65.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis:
The recent crude oil daily line began to decline, but a small V appeared last night, which was also caused by the situation in the Middle East. Israel bombed Syria and crude oil began to rebound. Overall, crude oil is still bearish. We consider continuing to sell it when it rebounds. It has not broken near 64.00, and it is difficult to form a large unilateral. The suppression position is near 66.80. Consider selling it near it.
Fundamental analysis:
Trump’s dissatisfaction with Powell has not been a day or two. Conflict is inevitable, and the impact on gold is also short-term. Yesterday’s pull-up and dive is a case in point.
Operational suggestions
Crude oil-----Sell near 66.80, target 65.00-62.00
Gold Builds Up to 3370’s — Bullish Stance ReclaimedGold market price builds up to the 3370’s, reclaiming its bullish stance after a successful mitigation at 3340’s. This move signals a likely continuation of bullish momentum, with further upside projections in play. follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea
Xausd techinical analysis.This chart shows a potential bullish reversal pattern in Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with clear technical signals suggesting a possible upside move. Here's a breakdown:
---
🔍 Pattern & Analysis
Falling Wedge: The pink trendlines mark a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish reversal signal.
ABC Bullish Harmonic Pattern:
XA, AB, BC, and CD legs suggest a Bullish Gartley or Bat pattern.
Point C appears to be the reversal zone, supported by Fibonacci levels (0.886 of AB and 1.047 of XA), indicating potential entry.
---
📈 Price Action Insight
Current Price: 3,330.415
Target Zones:
TP1: Around **3,345–3