Gold Buy Plan - 16 July 2025📌 Gold Buy Plan - 16 July 2025
Timeframe: H4
Bias: Bullish
Structure: Market has formed bullish FVGs and is respecting demand zones.
🔍 Key Zones:
Demand Zone: 3,314 - 3,325 (Blue Zone)
Entry Range: Price expected to dip into demand zone before rally
Current Price: 3,343.52
Liquidity Target 1: 3,393.46
Liquidity Target 2: 3,451.19 (Final target / magnet area)
✅ Buy Setup Plan:
Wait for retracement:
Let price dip into the demand zone around 3,320–3,325.
Entry Trigger:
Look for:
Rejection candle in H1 or M30
Break of structure or bullish FVG formation
Engulfing candle from the demand zone
Buy Entry:
Around 3,320 ± few points (inside demand zone)
Stop Loss:
Below the demand zone: around 3,305
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,393 (liquidity level)
TP2: 3,451 (magnet zone)
Risk to Reward:
From 3,320 to 3,451 → approx. 1:4 RRR
⚠️ Conditions to Invalidate Buy Plan:
If price closes H4 candle below 3,305, plan is invalid.
If price forms a bearish FVG after liquidity sweep, re-evaluate.
Futures market
Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Analysis for July 16Support Zone: The market has found support around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 3,333.58. This could be a potential entry point for a long trade if the price bounces here.
Resistance Zone: The price action is approaching the 3,345.18 level, with a strong resistance around that zone. If the price breaks above this resistance, we could see further upward movement.
Price Action: We can observe an initial bullish movement followed by a correction. The price is currently in an uptrend, forming a series of higher lows and higher highs.
Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 level at 3,333.58 has already acted as a support zone, and if the price retraces back here, this could be a good opportunity to enter long positions. The 0.618 level at 3,336.32 serves as a key resistance point. If price breaks above this level, it could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend.
Bullish Scenario (Long Entry): If the price retraces back to the 3,333.58 area (0.5 Fibonacci level) and shows signs of support (such as bullish candlestick patterns), consider entering long with a target at 3,345.18.
Bearish Scenario (Short Entry): If the price fails to break above 3,345.18 and forms a reversal pattern, you could consider shorting with a target near 3,320.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below 3,330, allowing for a small margin of error in case the price breaks through the support level.
Take Profit: Consider setting a take-profit at 3,345.18 for short-term moves or look for further price action if you're aiming for a longer-term trend.
Reminder: Always monitor the price action closely and adjust stop losses accordingly. The market is subject to volatility, especially during high-impact news events, so make sure to stay updated.
WTI Crude Oil Analysis – July 15, 2025Following recent Middle East tensions, WTI crude oil briefly surged to around $77.
However, the price quickly retraced back to its previous range and seems to have resumed its prior downward trajectory — characterized by a gradual bearish slope.
🔍 It’s important to remember that before the geopolitical events, analysts were eyeing the $52 level as a potential target.
Now, with liquidity being absorbed around the $70 area, that bearish scenario remains valid.
📉 Unless oil decisively breaks above key resistance levels, the outlook continues to favor a slow, downward trend.
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, the setup clearly shows a bearish breakdown from an ascending channel, supported by Ichimoku Cloud analysis.
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📉 Target Points (as marked on your chart):
1. First Target Point: Around $2,335
2. Second Target Point: Around $2,312
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🔍 Analysis Breakdown:
Price has broken below the Ichimoku cloud – a bearish signal.
The ascending channel is broken to the downside.
Support zones and target levels are clearly marked:
The first target aligns with a previous support level.
The second target is a deeper support area, likely the base of the previous strong rally.
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📌 Summary:
🥇 First Target: $2,335
🥈 Second Target: $2,312
📉 Bias: Bearish (continuation likely if momentum holds and no strong reversal signs appear)
Let me know if you want suggested stop-loss, entry confirmation ideas, or risk management tips.
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. Here is a quick 30 minute chart showing where I am looking for potential buy scalp and sell scap trade set ups. Let's see how the current 30 minute candle closes. Pre NY volume starts coming in about 40 minutes from this writing. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
SILVER h4 bullish pattansilver bullish mode Bearish Disruption Scenario:
Fake bounce to ~$37.00
Rejection → Break $36.00 support
Bear momentum pushes to $35.00–34.50
Neutral/Range Disruption:
Price oscillates between 36.00 and 36.80 for longer than expected — builds up coiled energy before either sharp breakout or breakdown
Only Bullish IF:
Clean reclaim of 37.25 with strong close above
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – July 15, 2025As outlined in our previous analyses, we anticipated a potential reversal before gold could reach the $3400 zone.
We also noted that any upward movement followed by a solid rejection could offer a valid short (sell) opportunity.
📉 Yesterday’s market reaction to the CPI release, with a drop of nearly 500 pips, has now confirmed this bearish setup.
📌 Based on current price structure, the $3350–$3360 area appears ideal for seeking short entries.
🎯 All target levels previously mentioned remain valid and in play.
3540 could come knocking Gold is currently experiencing a period of price growth, and looks like it will be upward momentum throughout the rest of 2025 and into 2026. As inflation pressure increases and uncertainty in global markets, investors are increasing their Gold holdings and that will push gold higher.
Support :
Buys can be taken around the support of 3306- 3318 as it moves this triangle.
target:3540 is the target for now thats where our resistance is
RISK WISELY
Key zones & Interpretation.
Sell Zone (Upper Yellow Box ~3352.00)
A major resistance area from which price previously rejected strongly.
Expecting seller activity if price revisits this zone.
Suitable for scalp sells or swing shorts if price fails to break above cleanly.
Level to Monitor (Mid Green Zone 3324.00–3326.00):
Key demand area / structure support.
If price pulls back here and finds support again, expect bullish continuation.
Acts as decision point — either bounce or breakdown.
Target Buy 1 (Lower Line ~3319.00):
This is your first aggressive buy target zone, assuming price dips below the “monitor level.”
Good for sniper long entries if price overreacts and traps shorts.
Level to Monitor (Mid Green Zone (3324.00–3326.00)
Key demand area / structure support.
If price pulls back here and finds support again, expect bullish continuation.
Acts as decision point — either bounce or breakdown.
Lingrid | Gold ready to Make BoostOANDA:XAUUSD maintains a solid bullish structure with a clear series of higher lows (HLs) forming along the ascending trendline. After strong impulsive waves labeled A and B, price has repeatedly tested the resistance zone around 3450–3460, creating a double-top-like structure with equal tests. A confirmed close above 3460 would unlock the next leg higher in this ongoing uptrend.
📉 Key Levels
🔼 Buy trigger: Break and close above 3460
🟢 Buy zone: 3320–3340 (near HL and trendline)
🎯 Target: 3650–3700 (long-term breakout objective)
🚫 Invalidation: Drop below 3275 and trendline failure
💡 Risks
-Potential fakeout above 3460 without volume support
-Broadening consolidation range if breakout fails
-Macroeconomic catalysts (FOMC, CPI, geopolitical tensions)
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD NEXT MOVIE DOWN TREND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The price has formed a Lower High near a key resistance zone, indicating weakening bullish momentum. A Bearish Engulfing Candle at the resistance confirms seller dominance. Price is also trading below the 50 EMA, showing trend reversal signs.
A Bearish Call Move is setting up — where the price breaks a support zone, retests it, and continues to fall. Classic confirmation from structure + EMA + price action.
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🧠 Trade Idea:
Entry:
Sell/Short on retest of the broken support (now acting as resistance)
Stop Loss (SL):
Just above the recent swing high / resistance zone
Target (TP):
TP1: Nearest demand zone / previous support
TP2: Extended Target — Trendline touch or 1.618 Fib Extension
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⚙️ Indicators Used:
20 EMA & 50 EMA
Price Action Candles (e.g., Engulfing, Pin Bar)
Optional: Volume Profile / Trendline / Fib levels
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📏 Risk Management:
Minimum 1:2 Risk:Reward
Use Position Sizing — Risk max 1-2% of capital
Avoid during major news events or high volatility
XAU/USDPrice action trading is a methodology where traders make decisions based on the interpretation of actual price movements on a chart, rather than relying primarily on lagging indicators. It involves observing and analyzing candlestick patterns, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and volume to identify potential trading opportunities and manage risk. The focus is on understanding the story the market is telling through its price behavior.
XAUUSD AI Analyze### 1. TRADE SIGNALS
**Current Context:** XAUUSD is trading within a long-term ascending channel (4-hour, 1-hour charts) and is currently consolidating near the upper boundary of this channel and a significant multi-timeframe resistance zone around **3,366 - 3,375**. Lower timeframes (1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute) show price testing a short-term descending trendline within this consolidation.
**Scenario A: Rejection from Multi-Timeframe Resistance (Short Bias)**
- **Reasoning:** Price is at a strong confluence of resistance: the upper boundary of the 4-hour ascending channel, a horizontal resistance zone (3,366 - 3,375), and a short-term descending trendline (1-minute, 5-minute). A confirmed bearish reversal pattern on lower timeframes (1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute) or a strong bearish candle on higher timeframes (1-hour, 4-hour) from this zone would signal a sell opportunity.
- **SELL ENTRY:**
- **Clear Entry Price:** **3,360 - 3,365** (Enter on confirmation of bearish reversal, e.g., a strong bearish engulfing or pin bar closing below 3,365.509 on 1-minute/5-minute, or a clear rejection from the 1-hour/4-hour channel trendline).
- **BUY LIMIT / SELL LIMIT:** Consider a **SELL LIMIT** at **3,370 - 3,375** if price briefly spikes into the upper channel boundary/resistance and shows immediate rejection.
- **STOP LOSS AREA:**
- **Above 3,380** (Above the 3,366 - 3,375 resistance zone and the 4-hour channel's upper boundary, providing buffer for false breakouts).
- **TARGET AREAS:**
- **Target 1:** **3,340 - 3,345** (Immediate multi-timeframe support zone).
- **Target 2:** **3,331.464** (Key horizontal support).
- **Target 3:** **3,310.708** (Next major horizontal support).
- **Target 4:** Lower boundary of the 4-hour ascending channel (dynamic target).
**Scenario B: Breakout Above Multi-Timeframe Resistance (Long Bias)**
- **Reasoning:** If price decisively breaks and sustains above the **3,375** level and the upper boundary of the 4-hour ascending channel with strong bullish momentum and volume, especially on 1-hour or 4-hour charts. This would signal a significant bullish continuation.
- **BUY ENTRY:**
- **Clear Entry Price:** **3,376 - 3,380** (Enter after a confirmed breakout and a successful retest of 3,375 as new support, or a strong bullish continuation candle after the breakout).
- **STOP LOSS AREA:**
- **Below 3,360** (Below the newly broken resistance, now acting as support, and below the 4-hour channel's upper trendline).
- **TARGET AREAS:**
- **Target 1:** **3,400** (Psychological level, potential next resistance).
- **Target 2:** **3,449.078** (Major horizontal resistance, previous swing high).
### 2. CANDLESTICK PATTERNS
- **Consolidation/Indecision:** Across all timeframes (1-minute to 4-hour), price is forming small-bodied candles with wicks within the 3,350 - 3,375 range, indicating indecision and a tight battle between buyers and sellers at this resistance confluence.
- **Rejection Candles (1-minute, 5-minute):** The 1-minute and 5-minute charts show candles with upper wicks forming at the short-term descending trendline and the 3,365.509 horizontal resistance, suggesting rejection from these immediate levels.
- **Prior Bullish Momentum:** Leading into the current consolidation, there were periods of strong bullish candles, especially on the 1-hour chart, indicating the strength of the underlying uptrend within the channel.
### 3. MARKET STRUCTURE
- **Ascending Channel (4-hour, 1-hour):** XAUUSD is clearly trading within a well-defined ascending channel (pink trendlines) on the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, indicating a long-term bullish trend. Price is currently near the upper boundary.
- **Multi-Timeframe Resistance Zone:** The area around **3,366 - 3,375** is a significant resistance zone, acting as a ceiling for recent price action.
- **Immediate Support Zone:** On the 15-minute and 1-hour charts, a support zone is identified between **3,340 - 3,345**.
- **Key Horizontal Supports:**
- **3,331.464:** A strong horizontal support level.
- **3,310.708:** Another significant horizontal support.
- **Major Resistance:** **3,449.078** is a critical horizontal resistance, representing a prior major high.
- **Short-term Descending Trendline:** On the 1-minute and 5-minute charts, a short-term descending trendline (pink) is acting as immediate resistance within the current consolidation.
### 4. MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE
- **Strong Resistance Confluence:** The **3,366 - 3,375** horizontal resistance zone aligns with the upper boundary of the 4-hour ascending channel. This makes it a very strong multi-timeframe supply area. The 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, and 1-hour charts all show price struggling at or below this area.
- **Aligned Support:** The **3,340 - 3,345** zone and the **3,331.464** level are consistently identified as support across multiple timeframes, reinforcing their importance.
- **Trend Consistency:** The underlying bullish trend (ascending channel) is evident on the 4-hour and 1-hour charts. The current consolidation on lower timeframes is occurring at a critical resistance point within this larger trend, indicating a potential reversal or a pause before a breakout.
### 5. PRICE ACTION & VOLUME
- **Momentum Slowdown:** The price action across all timeframes shows a clear slowdown in bullish momentum as price approaches the 3,366 - 3,375 resistance and the upper channel boundary.
- **Consolidation:** Price is in a tight consolidation range, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a significant move.
- **Liquidity:** The repeated testing of the 3,366 - 3,375 zone suggests it's an area where significant sell orders might be present (order block), or where liquidity is being absorbed before a directional move.
### 6. KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
- **3,449.078:** Major horizontal resistance, previous swing high.
- **3,366.509 - 3,375:** Critical multi-timeframe resistance zone, upper channel boundary.
- **3,364.963:** Current price level, within the resistance zone.
- **3,340 - 3,345:** Immediate multi-timeframe support zone.
- **3,331.464:** Key horizontal support.
- **3,310.708:** Next major horizontal support.
- **Lower boundary of 4-hour ascending channel:** Dynamic support.
Gold Trade Plan 16/07/2025Dear Traders,
Date: July 16, 2025
📉 Overview:
The chart shows price action at a key confluence zone:
The long-term ascending trendline (black) still holds as strong support.
The blue demand zone aligns with the trendline and the bottom of the descending channel.
A downward-sloping channel indicates short-term bearish correction.
🔍 Likely Scenarios:
A short-term pullback to the 3310–3320 support zone (confluence of trendline and demand).
If this support holds, we may see a bullish rebound toward 3375 and a potential breakout above the channel (toward 3380+).
If the support fails, further downside toward 3280 is possible.
📌 Conclusion: The 3310–3320 zone is critical. Watch for price action signals in this area to decide on long or short positions.
Regards,
Alireza!
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME TRADING IDEA UPDATE -
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME🔥
The XNGUSD goes quite well, as predicted. It held the trendline and moving upwards slowly, but surely. Short-term support here is the EMA20 on 4h timeframe. The asset is just below 3.600 resistance level and sma200. Since the July 10, the asset seems to be moving within the ascending channel (pic 2). I expect that the price will break the 3.6000 resistance level, will go towards upper channel border and then, after quick retest, move towards 3.8000. Not a trading advice! Trade cautiously!
Skeptic | XAG/USD Analysis: Precision Triggers for Spot & FutureHey everyone, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Ready to ride XAG/USD’s next wave? Let’s dive into XAG/USD (Silver) to uncover long and short triggers that can deliver solid profits. Currently trading around $ 36.31 , we’re analyzing Daily and 4-hour timeframes to pinpoint high-probability setups. Here’s the no-nonsense breakdown to keep you sharp. 📊
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the Daily timeframe, we saw a strong primary uptrend sparked by a V-pattern breakout at $ 33.68317 , which drove a 10% rally, as flagged in my previous analyses—hope you caught it! We’re now in a consolidation box, potentially acting as accumulation or distribution. Today’s candle faced a strong rejection from the box ceiling. If it closes this way in 9 hours, the odds of breaking the box floor increase significantly.
Key Supports: If the floor breaks, watch $ 34.78648 and $ 34.41291 as strong reaction zones for potential bounces.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour timeframe, let’s lock in long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $ 37.29163 , confirmed by RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide for how I optimize setups with RSI.
Short Trigger: Break below support at $ 35.59660 , with volume confirmation. Additional confirmation: RSI entering oversold.
Confirmation Timing: Choose your confirmation timeframe based on your style—4-hour, 1-hour, or even 15-minute. I typically confirm triggers on 15-minute closes for precision, but if 1-hour momentum kicks in, I use 1-hour candle closes. Focus on candle body closes, not just shadows, to avoid fakeouts.
Pro Tip: Stick to 1%–2% risk per trade for capital protection.
Final Vibe Check
This XAG/USD breakdown arms you with precise triggers: long at $37.29163, short at $35.59660, with volume and RSI as your allies. The Daily consolidation signals a big move is brewing—stay patient for the ceiling or floor break. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which Silver trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Ideas for Gold
The US dollar is gaining strength following Tuesday's CPI report, which showed a 2.7% inflation rate. This development is likely to benefit gold bears. On the chart, gold is currently trading within a range, but this could be the catalyst for a significant drop to $3300. With gold currently trading at $3340 and facing resistance, the upcoming core CPI report could further impact gold's value. If the report favors the dollar again, gold prices may decline even further.
GOLD Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 3,363.11.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 3,342.15 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD 16/07 – Temporary Rebound or Trap Before the Next Drop?XAUUSD 16/07 – Temporary Rebound or Trap Before the Next Drop?
🌍 Macro View – Calm Before the Volatility?
Gold is currently hovering around $3,334/oz after an aggressive sell-off earlier this week. While June's Core CPI data from the US came in lower than expected — easing immediate inflation concerns — the broader macro landscape remains far from stable:
New US tariffs are beginning to ripple through consumer prices.
Sectors like appliances and electronics are seeing early signs of inflation.
Shrinking inventories may lead to direct price pressures on consumers soon.
🔎 As the market digests these signals, gold remains a defensive play — but today's PPI release could flip sentiment quickly.
📉 Technical Outlook – Setup for a Deeper Pullback?
After CPI, gold retraced sharply and filled liquidity around 332x.
A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed on the H1 chart, alongside a potential Continuation Pattern (CP) near 3347–3349.
Price action is likely to revisit the 334x–336x resistance zone, providing ideal short setups if rejection is confirmed.
🎯 Below lies a deep liquidity zone (FVG) near 3294, which could serve as the magnet for the next bearish move.
📊 Key Trade Zones to Watch
🔵 Buy Zone – Deep Liquidity Support: 3,296 – 3,294
SL: 3,290
TP: 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,330
🔴 Sell Scalp – CP Pattern Rejection: 3,347 – 3,349
SL: 3,353
TP: 3,343 → 3,340 → 3,336 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310 → 3,300
🚨 Sell Zone – VPOC Level Resistance: 3,358 – 3,360
SL: 3,364
TP: 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320 → 3,300
⚠️ What to Expect Today
All eyes are on the US PPI data, which could shake markets later in the session.
Look for a bullish fake-out during London or New York hours, especially toward 334x–336x zones.
Ideal strategy: wait for H1 candle confirmation before entering, and manage risk with clean TP/SL levels.
💬 Your Take?
Will gold revisit 329x this week, or are we setting up for a bullish reversal?
👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments and follow @MMFlowTrading for high-probability setups and macro insights — daily!
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB Setups✅ Green boxes = Buy Order Blocks (OB)
✅ Red boxes = Sell Order Blocks (OB)
✅ Blue boxes = Fair Value Gaps (FVG) (none currently on this chart)
Currently, gold is approaching the 1H Sell OB (red) between 3360 – 3370, which is a strong resistance zone.
We have two clear scenarios:
1️⃣ If sellers step in and we get confirmation, we can look for a pullback down to the lower green buy OB zones:
3320 – 3330 (1H OB)
3290 – 3300 (1H OB)
These zones will be key for looking for buy opportunities with LTF confirmations.
2️⃣ If buyers break above 3370 with a strong close, we can expect a move towards the 4H Sell OB (red) at 3380 – 3395.
🎯 Summary:
✅ Currently looking for a potential sell at the red zone with LTF confirmations.
✅ Watching green zones below for clean buys on a pullback.
✅ If price breaks above, the next target will be 3380 – 3395.
Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation on 3m/5m for clean entries, and stay disciplined with your plan.
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📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades