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Futures market
Xausd techinical analysis.This chart is a 1-hour candlestick chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with various technical indicators and annotations. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
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🔍 Technical Analysis Overview:
1. Price:
Current price: 3,338.205
Up by +13.200 (+0.40%)
2. Chart Patterns:
Bullish Harmonic Pattern (Possibly a Bat or Gartley): Formed prior to the upward movement.
The pattern suggests a potential reversal zone (PRZ) around the 3,330 area, which seems to have held as support.
3. Yellow Path (Projected Price Action):
Suggests a bullish scenario:
Continuation of higher lows and higher highs.
Targets:
~3,348 (mid resistance)
~3,360–3,370 (major resistance zone)
4. Support & Resistance Zones (Purple lines):
Support: Around 3,330 (confluent with PRZ and recent bounce).
Resistance levels:
~3,348–3,350
~3,360–3,370
Trendline resistance (descending pink line) intersects around 3,360.
5. Volume & Event Markers:
**Purple
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap.📈 Gold Market Daily Outlook 💰
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and clearing liquidity below recent lows.
🔥 Price is now heading into a key bearish FVG zone on the 4H chart.
📊 Key Level to Watch:
If $3339 breaks with strong bullish momentum, we could see a further push towards $3350 and beyond.
⚠️ Reminder:
This is not financial advice — always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-hour chart4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD)** showing a key technical setup near the \$3,344 level. Price action is testing a significant **resistance zone** highlighted in grey, with two possible scenarios unfolding from this level.
**Chart Analysis Overview:**
* Gold has been in a **bullish short-term trend**, forming higher lows and pushing above the **EMA 7, 21, and 50**, all converging near the \$3,324–\$3,331 area (acting as dynamic support).
* Price is now approaching a **multi-tested resistance zone** near \$3,360–\$3,390, where it has previously faced selling pressure.
* Volume is rising, supporting the current bullish momentum.
**Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Green Path)**
**Conditions:**
* Price breaks and holds above the \$3,360–\$3,390 resistance zone.
* Continued bullish momentum supported by trade tensions, safe-haven demand, and Fed uncertainty.
**Target:**
* First target: \$3,400
* Extension: \$3,420–\$3,440 zone if momentum strengthens.
**Invalidation:**
* Failure to hold above \$3,360–\$3,390 range could limit upside potential.
**Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Red Path)**
**Conditions:**
* Price gets rejected from the resistance zone (\$3,360–\$3,390).
* Fails to establish support above the breakout level and drops back below \$3,330.
**Target:**
* Immediate support at \$3,310–\$3,290
* Deeper correction towards \$3,260–\$3,220 if bearish pressure increases.
**Confirmation:**
* Look for bearish candlestick patterns near resistance (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing).
* Drop below EMA cluster (\$3,324–\$3,331) to confirm weakness.
**Conclusion:**
Gold is at a decision point near major resistance. A breakout above \$3,390 could extend the bullish rally, while failure to break this level may invite sellers and trigger a correction. Watch price action around this resistance for confirmation of the next move.
Gold fluctuates downward. Can it break through?The CPI data released is in line with expectations, the tariff storm is still continuing, inflation rebounds and the Fed's expectations of interest rate cuts have cooled. Gold rebounded to 3366 and then fell, and is currently fluctuating around 3330.
From the current trend, gold fell strongly and broke through the Bollinger middle rail and the moving average support. The daily line focuses on the Bollinger middle rail under pressure near 3340, and the short-term support is at 3310. At present, a staged top pattern has been formed and the K-line double top is around 3366. The Bollinger moves downward and the price is in a downward channel.
For short-term operations, Quaid believes that the strategy of rebound shorting can still be followed.
Short near 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range 3330-3310
Long near 3310, stop loss 3300, profit range 3330-3345
Using 1 min time frame for entries on VX algo & day tradingwhat time frames do you use to confirm entries outside of a buy signal?
If I am day trading, I will mainly use the 1 minute time frame to look for moving average support and resistance, and read the candle stick patterns as well from that chart.
However, there are times I'll switch to a 5 minute and 10 minute time frame to take a look at levels for moving averages and see what the candle stick patterns are from there.
So for example, today we had 3 of the x1 sell signals around 9:31, so we pull up the 1 min chart, we are getting confirm break of the 1st moving average support = bearish confirmation #1, follow by DHC = Bearish confirmation #2 , and the sell signal is already 3 confirmations, so we need to short ASAP.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23034.25
- PR Low: 22973.75
- NZ Spread: 135.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | PPI
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
AMP margins raised overnight for expected PPI volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/16)
- Session Open ATR: 277.22
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Silver. The price has pulled backHi traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, the price has broken out of the sideways range through the upper boundary at 37.31.
The price has pulled back close to levels where potential buy patterns could form — 37.54, 37.47, and 37.31.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bounce off a multi-swing-low supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 64.84 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 61.80 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 70.04 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Could OIL Slide to $60? a 5% Drop Might Be on the Table? Hey Realistic Traders!
Price action is weakening. Will USOIL find support or slide further?
Let’s Break It Down..
On the 4H timeframe, oil has formed a double top pattern followed by a neckline breakout, which is a classic sign of a potential shift from a bullish to a bearish trend.
This breakout was confirmed by a break below the bullish trendline, accompanied by consecutive bearish full-body candlesticks that reinforce the bearish momentum. Afterward, the price formed a bearish continuation pattern known as a rising wedge, which was followed by a breakdown.
The combination of bearish reversal and continuation pattern breakouts signals further downside movement and confirms the shift into a bearish trend.
Therefore, we foresee the price forming lower lows and lower highs toward the first target at 63.21, with a potential extension to the close the gap at 60.73.
The bearish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays below the key stop-loss level at 69.66.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on USOIL.
GOLD in narrow range, after sharp drop on US CPI dataOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply on Tuesday (July 15) as the US Dollar TVC:DXY gained significantly after the US CPI report was released. As of now (July 16), gold is trading at 3,326 USD/oz, equivalent to an increase of only 2 USD in the day.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June was in line with expectations but higher than the previous value. The surge in the Dollar after the US released the June CPI is the main reason for the pressure on gold prices so far.
• Data released by the US on Tuesday showed that the US CPI increased by 2.7% compared to the same period last year in June, in line with expectations, but higher than the 2.4% in May.
• The US CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in June, in line with market expectations but up from a 0.1% increase, the largest increase since January this year.
• In addition, the US core CPI rose 2.9% year-on-year in June, up from 2.8% in May, while the core CPI in June rose 0.2% month-on-month.
The market generally believes that US President Trump's tariff policies have increased price pressures, prompting the Federal Reserve to wait and see what further action to take. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell previously said he expected prices to rise in the summer.
The market is still expecting the first rate cut in September. Investors are looking ahead to Wednesday's U.S. producer price index data for more information on the Federal Reserve's move.
Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments, whereas high-interest-rate environments or expectations of future rate hikes put pressure on gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is trading in a fairly narrow range after 2 sessions of downward adjustment, but the specific trend is still unclear, as sent to readers throughout last week, the technical conditions mainly show a sideways accumulation movement. After testing the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, gold was unable to overcome this resistance, and the decline from this position brought the gold price close to the support of 3,310 USD and then the area of the original price point of 3,300 USD with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
With the technical conditions not giving a specific trend as they are now, for gold to be able to have a new bullish cycle it needs to move the price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target would be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430. On the other hand, if gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level again, it could be a good signal for an expectation of a bullish cycle, then the target would be around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The relative strength index is hovering around 50, indicating that the market is hesitant in terms of momentum and is not leaning towards a specific trend.
During the day, with the current sideways accumulation, gold will be noticed by the following technical levels.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,240 – 3,250 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3387
→Take Profit 1 3375
↨
→Take Profit 2 3369
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3300
→Take Profit 1 3312
↨
→Take Profit 2 3318
Gold fluctuates and moves lower! Gold price falls!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (July 16), spot gold fluctuated slightly higher and is currently trading around $3,330/ounce. After the release of US inflation data, the market's focus shifted from macro data and interest rate prospects to policy risks again. The US dollar index strengthened by 0.6%, which also exacerbated the short-term pressure on London gold prices!
Although gold prices have shown a downward trend in the short term, market sentiment has not completely turned to pessimism. The uncertainty of tariff policies may provide support for gold prices. We are still optimistic about the long-term trend of gold, and the market's attention to tariffs will drive international gold prices to rebound in the future.
Next, investors will focus on the US Producer Price Index (PPI) to be released on Wednesday, as well as speeches by Fed officials to assess policy trends. Many institutions believe that in the context of intensified global policy games and increased volatility of the US dollar, the importance of international gold as a safe-haven and anti-inflation asset is still increasing.
Technical review:
Gold hit a high of 3,366 yesterday and was blocked and fell back. It broke down to 3,320 during the US trading session and closed with a long shadow on the daily line. Today, the trend is to continue to fluctuate, and there should not be much room below. The current support level is near the daily MA5 and the middle track. The next step is still the focus. If you want to rise, you can't go down here. If you go down, you will continue to sweep back to 3320 and 3300!
The daily line maintains a continuous negative structure. The further strengthening of the US index puts gold and silver under downward pressure. The gold price on the daily chart returns to below the MA10 daily moving average, the New York closing plus the 5/7-day moving average, the RSI indicator middle axis is flat, and the price is running in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band. The four-hour chart and the hourly chart moving average cross open downward, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the Bollinger band hourly chart opens downward and runs in the middle and lower track of the price. The gold trading idea remains unchanged with the high-price selling layout as the main layout, and the low-price buying is auxiliary.
Today's analysis:
Gold has been very weak in the past two days, and it has been going up and down. Gold finally fell as expected yesterday. Gold won three consecutive victories yesterday. Gold bought at a high level and failed. Gold will be sold again next. Gold rebounded in the Asian session and continued to sell.
Gold's 1-hour moving average has also begun to turn downward from a high position. If the gold's 1-hour moving average forms a dead cross downward, the downward momentum of gold will increase, and gold still has room to fall. Gold fell below the previous double bottom support of 3346 in the US market yesterday. Now gold's 3346 short-term has begun to turn into resistance. Gold is under pressure at 3346 in the Asian market and continues to sell at high prices.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3310-3313 buy, stop loss 3302, target 3340-3360;
Short-term gold 3346-3349 sell, stop loss 3358, target 3320-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3320, second support level: 3308, third support level: 3292
First resistance level: 3346, second resistance level: 3360, third resistance level: 3376
XAUUSD Structural Analysis & Confluence - 16 July 2025 4-Hour Bias & Structural Context
Gold has recently broken above a key structure level at $3,320, confirming a bullish market environment on the 4‑hour timeframe. This follows a Change of Character (CHOCH) around $3,300, signifying a shift from consolidation to an upward trend. The swing from the late-June low ($3,244) to mid-July’s high ($3,374) sets our Fibonacci context:
38.2% retrace ≈ $3,318
50% retrace ≈ $3,309
61.8% retrace ≈ $3,300
These fib levels also align with prior structure and key ICT/SMC zones, signaling strong areas of interest.
🧭 Key 4-Hour Confluence Zones
Demand / Order Block → $3,300 – 3,305
Multi-method support: BOS, CHOCH, 50–61.8% fib convergence.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) → $3,320 – 3,325
Volume deficient zone post-BOS, primed for a retest.
Supply / Resistance Area → $3,360 – 3,370
High-timeframe supply, likely to cap further upside.
🧠 Smart Money Concepts
BOS above $3,320 confirms bullish structure.
CHOCH at ~$3,300 marks structure flip.
Liquidity grab zones found between $3,335–3,340, validating the presence of institutional activity.
Order Block at $3,300–3,305 supports buy-side interest.
📊 1-Hour Intraday Trade Setups
🔸 Setup #1 – FVG Re-Test
Entry: At ~$3,325 on pullback into $3,320–3,325 zone
SL: Below $3,320
TP1: $3,345, TP2: $3,360
🔸 Setup #2 – Demand OB Bounce (“Golden Setup”)
Entry: In the $3,300–3,305 range
SL: Below $3,298
TP1: $3,325, TP2: $3,345, TP3: $3,360
Edge: Tight risk, high confluence (SMC + fib + structure)
🌟 The Golden Setup
Zone to Watch: $3,300–3,305
Why It Rates Highest:
BOS, CHOCH, fib, and OB all align
Offers tight stop placement and strong upside
Risk-to-reward ~1:3
📌 Daily Watchlist Summary
Directional Bias: Bullish (BOS above $3,320 intact)
Primary Entry Zones:
$3,300–3,305 (Demand OB + structure)
$3,320–3,325 (FVG retest for continuation)
Key Target Zones:
$3,345–3,350 – realistic intraday exit
$3,360–3,370 – major supply cap
Invalidation Level: 4‑hour candle close below $3,298 negates bullish outlook
Final Commentary
Stay disciplined—only trade reactive signals at these levels: clean bounces, pinbars, or bullish engulfing patterns. The $3,300–3,305 zone stands out as the prime ‘Golden Setup’ entry.
WTI(20250716)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① The annual rate of the overall CPI in the United States in June rose to 2.7%, the highest since February, in line with market expectations, and the monthly rate was 0.3%, the highest since January, in line with market expectations; the annual rate of the core CPI rose to 2.9%, the highest since February, lower than the expected 3%, but slightly higher than 2.8% last month, and the monthly rate was 0.2%, lower than the market expectation of 0.3%.
② Interest rate futures still show that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates this month, but there is a high possibility of a 25 basis point cut in September.
③ Fed mouthpiece: The CPI report will not change the Fed's policy direction.
④ Trump: Consumer prices are low and the federal funds rate should be lowered immediately. The Fed should cut interest rates by 3 percentage points.
⑤ Fed Collins: The core inflation rate is expected to remain at about 3% by the end of the year, and the Fed should maintain active patience.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
65.66
Support and resistance levels:
66.49
66.18
65.98
65.34
65.14
64.83
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 65.66, consider buying, the first target price is 65.98
If the price breaks through 65.34, consider selling, the first target price is 65.14
XAU/USD(20250716) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3353.05
Support and resistance levels:
3386.70
3374.12
3365.96
3340.13
3331.97
3319.40
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 3353.05, consider buying in, the first target price is 3365.96
If it breaks through 3340.13, consider selling in, the first target price is 3331.97
XAUUSD is currently trading at 3358, entering a potential buy zoXAUUSD is currently trading at 3358, entering a potential buy zone for short-term upside continuation.
This level is attractive for buyers, positioned just above the key support at 3339.00, offering a favorable risk-reward setup.
The immediate resistance is located at 3370, which will serve as the first test of bullish strength.
A breakout above 3370 opens the door for a move toward the second resistance at 3375.
Sustained bullish momentum and a clear close above 3375 would build confidence toward the confirmation target at 3400Stop-loss should be strictly placed below 3339.00 to manage downside risk and protect capital.
The optimal buy zone lies between 3356–3359, providing a tight entry range above support with upward potential.
Momentum indicators and volume spikes near 3370–3375 should be monitored to confirm breakout validity.
If price holds above 3350 with strength, it signals buyer dominance and increases the probability of hitting 3400.
Overall, this is a high-probability buy setup above 3358, targeting 3370, 3375, and 3400, with 3339 as the critical invalidation point.
Range Bound July Fade The BreakoutNow that CPI has traded and closed below the monthly open, I am eager to see Wednesday's price action. I believe this is the Low of Month/Mid Month Reversal to trap shorts selling down low. Since the trend is bullish, I want to see buyers step in and pivot away from that low. Trap and shift.
I don't know how far it will go out of balance before/if snapping back inside for the trap and shift.
Tuesday's Daily candle is a signal day as a down day in a range bullish trend. It will either have more follow through or get bought back up.
I will be looking for a buy low opportunity Wednesday.
CPI triggers sell-off, 3330 can be short-term long📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
The short-term trend flag pattern has been formed, and our short-selling strategy perfectly hits the TP. According to current news, Trump has once again urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. While there is almost no possibility of a rate cut this month, there is a high probability that a 25 basis point rate cut will be completed in September, which is also in line with our previous prediction of market trends.
The big negative line in 4H pierced the middle Bollinger band. Although the CPI data is bullish, it has little impact based on the announced value. Market expectations have been digested in advance, so there is no room for a big drop. The upper points still focus on the short-term resistance of 3355-3365. If it rebounds to this area first in the short term, you can consider shorting again. Focus on the strong support of 3330 below. As long as the retracement entity does not fall below 3330, gold will rise again and touch the resistance line of 3375-3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3355-3365
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD