Futures market
Golden Support Holds โ Bulls Poised for Another Leg Higher"If gold cannot break through the 3365-3375 area, gold will fall under pressure again, or refresh the recent low of 3341, and continue to the 3335-3325 area." Gold's performance today is completely in line with my expectations. Gold just retreated to a low of around 3320, but soon recovered above 3325, proving that there is strong buying support below.
From the current gold structure, the short-term support below is mainly concentrated in the 3320-3310 area. If gold slows down its downward momentum and its volatility converges when it approaches this area, then after the gold bearish sentiment is vented, a large amount of off-site wait-and-see funds will flow into the gold market to form strong buying support, thereby helping gold regain its bullish trend again, thereby starting a retaliatory rebound, or a technical repair rebound.
Therefore, for short-term trading, I still insist on trying to go long on gold in the 3330-3320 area, first expecting gold to recover some of its lost ground and return to the 3340-3350 area.
Gold 16.07.25Over the last 2 weeks there was this redistribution model forming, where i yesterday found an entry. The Initial distribution i was looking for in may never hit it's target, so i might be able to ride this trade all the way down. The time displacement on the last tap wasn't the best, so there might be another move into the POI's, where i then have to reenter. It would suck a little bit though, atm it's an 39 R/R.
BUY XAUUSD 16.7.2025Trend Resumption at H1: BUY at M15
Type of order: Limit order
Reason:
- The price brokeout the sub key of M15, confirming the uptrend into main key M15.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of sub key M15 (3335)
Set up entry:
- Entry buy at 3325
- SL at 3319
- TP1: 3335
- TP2: 3347
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
XAUUSD Analysis : Gold's Bullish Comeback + Target๐ Chart Overview:
Gold has shown a technically strong structure on the 4-hour time frame, respecting multiple layers of support, while slowly shifting momentum in favor of buyers. What stands out most in this chart is the parabolic curve formation at the bottom, labeled the "Black Mind Curve Support" โ a key psychological zone that has guided price action back to the upside.
Letโs walk through the key elements and why this current setup deserves your attention:
๐ง 1. Black Mind Curve Support โ Bullish Base Formation:
This curved structure at the bottom is no ordinary pattern. It reflects gradual accumulation and buyer dominance, often seen in textbook rounded bottom formations. The market printed multiple higher lows along this curve, suggesting a deliberate and patient entry by smart money.
Whenever price touched this curve, it found strong demand โ a clear sign that the bulls are defending their territory.
๐งฑ 2. Channel Support + SR Interchange โ Historical Demand:
Zooming into the left side of the chart, youโll notice how price dropped into a converging zone where a descending channel support intersected with a historical support/resistance (SR) level. This confluence created a high-probability buy zone โ the very origin of the current bullish wave.
This channel breakout also represents a structural shift, marking the beginning of bullish control.
๐ 3. Major SR โ Interchange Zone:
One of the most critical areas in this chart is the Major SR Interchange zone, where former resistance was broken and later retested as support. This is a classic support-resistance flip โ the type of zone institutional traders watch closely.
This level currently acts as a launchpad for bulls, reinforcing bullish structure and offering low-risk long opportunities when respected.
โ๏ธ 4. Minor BOS (Break of Structure):
Recently, the price broke above a short-term lower high, indicating a minor bullish break of structure. This is confirmation that momentum has shifted in the short term. Such BOS events are powerful signals, especially when backed by curve support and SR flips.
This also paves the way for the price to push into the next liquidity pocket above.
๐งญ 5. Central Zone โ 50% Equilibrium:
The horizontal line drawn around the $3,330 level marks the central 50% zone โ the midpoint of this entire price range. This acts as a natural equilibrium zone where buyers and sellers usually fight for control.
Price is now trading above this zone, giving the upper hand to bulls. Holding above the 50% line increases the probability of continuation to higher resistance levels.
๐งจ 6. Target Area โ "Next Reversal Zone":
Looking ahead, the $3,370 โ $3,380 range is labeled as the Next Reversal Zone. This is where sellers previously stepped in and rejected price hard. However, if momentum remains strong and bulls can push price into this zone again, we might witness either:
A sharp pullback (if bearish reaction occurs), or
A major breakout above toward the $3,400 key resistance (if buyers overpower).
This is the zone to watch for either short-term profit taking or potential trend continuation setups.
๐ Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: $3,330 โ $3,315 (Central + Retest Zone)
Major Support: $3,290 (Mind Curve Base)
Short-Term Resistance: $3,370 โ $3,380 (Reversal/Reaction Zone)
Bullish Continuation Target: $3,400+
๐ Conclusion & Strategy Insight:
This chart presents a textbook bullish reversal setup with clean structural progression:
Price formed a rounded base
Broke out of previous range resistance
Retested multiple key SR zones
Now targeting liquidity above
The bulls are in control as long as the price remains above the curve and the major SR zone. A retracement into $3,330 could offer an ideal long entry, targeting the $3,370โ$3,380 zone with tight risk.
โ
Suggested Trading Approach:
Buy Opportunities: On pullbacks toward $3,330โ$3,315 with confirmation
Sell Watch: Near $3,375โ$3,380 if bearish divergence or strong rejection appears
Invalidation: Break and close below $3,290 curve support
๐ง Final Thoughts:
Gold continues to build a strong bullish base. The parabolic nature of the support curve suggests rising demand. As long as support holds, the bulls may take price to fresh highs in the coming days.
Keep an eye on how price behaves around the Next Reversal Zone โ that will reveal whether this bullish rally is ready for a breakout or a cooldown.
Gold Short Term OutlookGold has pulled back sharply from the 3,354 resistance but found support inside the Pullback Zone (3,335โ3,3305 where buyers have stepped back in. Price is now attempting to reclaim ground, trading around 3,341, with the 50MA acting as dynamic resistance overhead and the 200MA as dynamic support.
For the bullish move to continue, we need to see a clean break and hold above 3,354. That would reopen the path toward 3,383 and 3,400, with 3,416 as the higher-timeframe target.
If price fails to clear 3,354 and rolls over again, watch the Pullback Zone (3,335โ3,305) for signs of exhaustion. A break below 3,305 would shift focus to the deeper Support Zone (3,289 - 3,267) and potentially toward 3,241 - 3,208 if bearish pressure accelerates.
๐ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
โฃ 3,354
โฃ 3,383
โฃ 3,400
โฃ 3,416
Support:
โฃ 3,335
โฃ 3,305
โฃ 3,289
โฃ 3,267
โฃ 3,241
๐ Fundamental Focus โ PPI Release Today
Todayโs U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) will be closely watched as a followโup to yesterdayโs CPI data.
Public short selling profit, NY short-term multiple layoutInterest rate futures data showed that the results were in line with our previous expectations, with a lower rate cut this month and a higher probability of a 25 basis point cut in September. In the short term, gold may first take profits and then rebound. NY session trading has just begun. Bros can pay attention to the 3335-3330 area below. If it falls back and stabilizes, you can consider participating in long positions, defending 3325 and targeting 3355-3365.
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Forming Falling WedgeGold (XAUUSD) has recently completed a textbook falling wedge breakout, confirming a powerful bullish reversal setup on the higher timeframes. This pattern, known for its strong trend-continuation potential, has played out beautifully. After a period of consolidation and lower highs, price has decisively broken above wedge resistance and is now pushing higher with strong bullish momentum. We've already captured significant profit from the breakout zone, and price action suggests another wave to the upside is imminent.
Fundamentally, gold continues to benefit from growing geopolitical tensions, elevated inflation concerns, and central bank reserve accumulation. With the Federal Reserve leaning cautiously dovish due to signs of a softening labor market and cooling inflation, real yields are under pressure. This is supportive for gold, especially as markets begin to price in potential rate cuts before year-end. The weakening US dollar and stable treasury yields are reinforcing demand for precious metals, particularly among institutional investors seeking safety and hedge assets.
Technically, gold has broken its bearish structure and is forming a new bullish leg, supported by strong volume and RSI divergence at the lows. The breakout from the falling wedge pattern has opened up upside targets toward recent swing highs and potentially even all-time highs if macro conditions remain favorable. With price now above key moving averages and consolidating above the wedge breakout zone, the technical bias is clearly bullish.
This move aligns well with seasonality and macro risk flows. As risk-off sentiment slowly builds and inflation risks remain unresolved globally, gold is regaining its status as a premier safe-haven asset. Expecting continued follow-through in the coming weeks, with clean structure and fundamentals favoring bulls, this setup remains a high-probability opportunity to ride the next impulsive bullish leg.
Gold โ Bullish Structure Confirmed | July 16 Outlook๐ข Gold (XAUUSD) โ July 16 Analysis | Uptrend Resumed After H4 OB Test
As outlined in our previous post โ Gold โ H4 Structure at Key Decision Point | July 14 Outlook , price has now tested the H4 order block near 3320, which we marked as a high-probability reversal zone.
Following this, the market has shown clear signs of strength โ with both internal structure shift and a Break of Structure (BoS) on M15, confirming that the uptrend has resumed.
๐ Structure Alignment:
โ
H4: Bullish continuation after OB test
โ
M15: ChoCH + BoS โ confirms trend alignment with H4
๐ Key Intraday Levels to Watch:
๐ฉ 3335โ3333 (M15 Order Block & Breaker Level):
โ A short-term OB just before our main POI
โ If price respects this zone with LTF confirmation (M1 Micro-ChoCH + BoS), we may plan an early long entry
๐ฉ 3327.7โ3329.4 (Main M15 POI Zone):
โ High-probability continuation zone
โ On retest + LTF confirmation โ plan for long setup
๐ Trade Plan:
โ Watch 3335โ3333 OB first
โ If respected with M1 confirmation, early entry is valid
โ If that zone fails, wait for price to revisit 3327โ3329 POI
โ Same confirmation rules apply
In both cases, target new HH, in line with current trend momentum
๐ When price respects structure and confirms behavior, donโt second-guess โ follow the process.
๐ Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Dow Jones Futures (YM_F) Expects Rally From Extreme AreaThe Dow Jones E-mini Futures (YM_F) favors impulsive rally from 4.07.2025 low of 36708. It is trading close to the previous high of 1.31.2025 of 45227. A break above that level will confirm the bullish sequence. Other US indices like Nasdaq & S & P 500 futures already confirmed the new high in daily, calling for more upside against April-2025 low. As per latest Elliott wave sequence in Dow Jones, it favors upside & pullback in 1-hour remain supported in extreme area to rally higher. Since April-2025 low, it placed 1 at 42976 high & 2 at 41236 low. Above there, it favors upside in 3 of (1) & expect one more push higher, while dips remain above price trendline. We like to buy the pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings at extreme area for next rally.
Within 3, it ended ((i)) at 43316 high, ((ii)) at 42088 low & ((iii)) at 45177 high. In wave ((iii)), it ended (i) at 42759 high, (ii) at 42096 low, (iii) at 44435 high, (iv) at 44185 low & (v) at 45177 high. Currently, it favors pullback in zigzag correction in ((iv)) & expect small downside in to 44286 โ 43815 area before resume upside in ((v)) of 3. Within ((iv)), it placed (a) at 44482 low, which subdivides in 5 swings. It placed (b) at 45043 high in 3 swings bounce that almost corrects 90 % of (a). Currently, it favors downside in (c), which should unfold in 5 swings in to extreme area. Within (c), it placed i at 44324 low, ii at 44827 high & iii at 44118 low. It favors bounce in iv before final down in v to finish the (c) of ((iv)) against 6.19.2025 low before rally resumes towards 45500 or higher levels. In 4-hour, it expects two or more highs to finish the impulse sequence from April-2025 low before it may see bigger correction
GOLD has entered a NEW BULL CYCLE this month! GET LOADED now!GOLD, has been on a consistent ascend since 2k levels hitting a series of ATH taps week after week.
As with any parabolic event -- a trim down is warranted.
After hitting its ATH zone at 3500, gold significantly corrected back to 38.2 fib levels at 3100 area. 38.2 fib levels has been acting as a strong support for GOLD for quite a bit and as expected buyers has started to converge and positioned themselves back again for that upside continuation -- long term.
After hitting this fib key level gold has been making consistent higher lows on the daily conveying clear intentions on its directional narrative -- to go NORTH.
As of this present, July 2025, GOLD has seen renewed elevation in momentum metrics signifying definitive blueprint towards its next upside move.
Based on our diagram above. WE have now entered a new bull cycle that only transpires every 6 months. The last cycles happened on July 2024, January 2025, then presently July 2025 which is in progress. This is very special as we dont get to see this bullish setup on a regular basis.
Ideal seeding zone is at the current range of 3300-3350.
Mid-Long Term Target at 3400
TAYOR.
Trade safely. Market is Market.
Not financial advice.
XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis
๐ Expected Scenario:
Your projection implies the following:
Short-term pullback into the 3,305โ3,315 demand zone.
A bullish reversal from this level, supported by price structure and prior demand imbalance.
Upside targets: First at 3,365 (minor supply), then extension toward 3,385โ3,400.
This view is technically valid, as the market seems to be collecting liquidity below intermediate lows while maintaining structural integrity.
๐ Key Zones ("Your Borders"):
๐ฝ Demand Zone (Support)
Location: 3,305 to 3,315
Purpose: Your chart illustrates this as the primary reaccumulation zone. It aligns with a mid-structure demand zone and could serve as the launchpad for the next leg up, especially if paired with bullish order flow or volume confirmation.
Below this: A deeper, stronger demand lies around 3,285โ3,295 (also marked by your 0.5 level at โ3,286.14), which may act as a final liquidity grab zone before continuation.
๐ผ Supply Zones (Resistance)
Lower Supply: 3,355โ3,365
Upper Supply: 3,375โ3,385
These zones represent potential profit-taking areas for any longs initiated at the demand. A breakout above 3,385 would suggest a continuation toward the 3,400โ3,420 macro resistance.
xauusd setup"๐ Welcome to Golden Candle! ๐
We're a team of ๐ passionate traders ๐ who love sharing our ๐ technical analysis insights ๐ with the TradingView community. ๐
Our goal is to provide ๐ก valuable perspectives ๐ก on market trends and patterns, but ๐ซ please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. ๐ซ
Instead, they reflect our own ๐ญ personal attitudes and thoughts. ๐ญ
Follow along and ๐ learn ๐ from our analyses! ๐๐ก"
Xausd techinical analysis.This chart is a 1-hour candlestick chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with various technical indicators and annotations. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
---
๐ Technical Analysis Overview:
1. Price:
Current price: 3,338.205
Up by +13.200 (+0.40%)
2. Chart Patterns:
Bullish Harmonic Pattern (Possibly a Bat or Gartley): Formed prior to the upward movement.
The pattern suggests a potential reversal zone (PRZ) around the 3,330 area, which seems to have held as support.
3. Yellow Path (Projected Price Action):
Suggests a bullish scenario:
Continuation of higher lows and higher highs.
Targets:
~3,348 (mid resistance)
~3,360โ3,370 (major resistance zone)
4. Support & Resistance Zones (Purple lines):
Support: Around 3,330 (confluent with PRZ and recent bounce).
Resistance levels:
~3,348โ3,350
~3,360โ3,370
Trendline resistance (descending pink line) intersects around 3,360.
5. Volume & Event Markers:
**Purple
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap.๐ Gold Market Daily Outlook ๐ฐ
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and clearing liquidity below recent lows.
๐ฅ Price is now heading into a key bearish FVG zone on the 4H chart.
๐ Key Level to Watch:
If $3339 breaks with strong bullish momentum, we could see a further push towards $3350 and beyond.
โ ๏ธ Reminder:
This is not financial advice โ always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-hour chart4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD)** showing a key technical setup near the \$3,344 level. Price action is testing a significant **resistance zone** highlighted in grey, with two possible scenarios unfolding from this level.
**Chart Analysis Overview:**
* Gold has been in a **bullish short-term trend**, forming higher lows and pushing above the **EMA 7, 21, and 50**, all converging near the \$3,324โ\$3,331 area (acting as dynamic support).
* Price is now approaching a **multi-tested resistance zone** near \$3,360โ\$3,390, where it has previously faced selling pressure.
* Volume is rising, supporting the current bullish momentum.
**Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Green Path)**
**Conditions:**
* Price breaks and holds above the \$3,360โ\$3,390 resistance zone.
* Continued bullish momentum supported by trade tensions, safe-haven demand, and Fed uncertainty.
**Target:**
* First target: \$3,400
* Extension: \$3,420โ\$3,440 zone if momentum strengthens.
**Invalidation:**
* Failure to hold above \$3,360โ\$3,390 range could limit upside potential.
**Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Red Path)**
**Conditions:**
* Price gets rejected from the resistance zone (\$3,360โ\$3,390).
* Fails to establish support above the breakout level and drops back below \$3,330.
**Target:**
* Immediate support at \$3,310โ\$3,290
* Deeper correction towards \$3,260โ\$3,220 if bearish pressure increases.
**Confirmation:**
* Look for bearish candlestick patterns near resistance (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing).
* Drop below EMA cluster (\$3,324โ\$3,331) to confirm weakness.
**Conclusion:**
Gold is at a decision point near major resistance. A breakout above \$3,390 could extend the bullish rally, while failure to break this level may invite sellers and trigger a correction. Watch price action around this resistance for confirmation of the next move.
Gold fluctuates downward. Can it break through?The CPI data released is in line with expectations, the tariff storm is still continuing, inflation rebounds and the Fed's expectations of interest rate cuts have cooled. Gold rebounded to 3366 and then fell, and is currently fluctuating around 3330.
From the current trend, gold fell strongly and broke through the Bollinger middle rail and the moving average support. The daily line focuses on the Bollinger middle rail under pressure near 3340, and the short-term support is at 3310. At present, a staged top pattern has been formed and the K-line double top is around 3366. The Bollinger moves downward and the price is in a downward channel.
For short-term operations, Quaid believes that the strategy of rebound shorting can still be followed.
Short near 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range 3330-3310
Long near 3310, stop loss 3300, profit range 3330-3345
Using 1 min time frame for entries on VX algo & day tradingwhat time frames do you use to confirm entries outside of a buy signal?
If I am day trading, I will mainly use the 1 minute time frame to look for moving average support and resistance, and read the candle stick patterns as well from that chart.
However, there are times I'll switch to a 5 minute and 10 minute time frame to take a look at levels for moving averages and see what the candle stick patterns are from there.
So for example, today we had 3 of the x1 sell signals around 9:31, so we pull up the 1 min chart, we are getting confirm break of the 1st moving average support = bearish confirmation #1, follow by DHC = Bearish confirmation #2 , and the sell signal is already 3 confirmations, so we need to short ASAP.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23034.25
- PR Low: 22973.75
- NZ Spread: 135.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | PPI
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
AMP margins raised overnight for expected PPI volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/16)
- Session Open ATR: 277.22
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone