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XAUUSD Gold price moves closer to three-week peak amid modest USD downtick Gold price regains positive traction amid a modest USD pullback from a multi-week high. Persistent trade-related uncertainties also lend support to the safe-haven precious metal. Reduced Fed rate cut bets might cap the commodity ahead of the critical US CPI repo Fundamental Overview Amid US President Donald Trump’s fresh tariff threats announced late Monday and his latest criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, Gold traders resorted to profit-taking after the bright metal hit a three-week high of $3,375 while bracing for the US inflation report for June. Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Russia if President Vladimir Putin does not agree to a deal to end his invasion of Ukraine in 50 days, per Bloomberg. Meanwhile, the US President renewed his attacks on Powell, noting that “interest rates should be at 1% or lower, rather than the 4.25% to 4.50% range the Fed has kept the key rate at so far this year.” Markets now price in 50 basis points of Fed interest rate cuts by year-end, with the first reduction foreseen in September. However, it remains to be seen if these expectations hold ground following the US CPI data publication. Economists are expecting the US annual CPI and core CPI to accelerate 2.7% and 3% in June, reflecting the tariff impact feeding through prices. Meanwhile, the monthly CPI and core CPI inflation figures are set to rise to 0.3% in the same period. Hotter-than-expected US CPI monthly or annual readings could reinforce the Fed’s patient outlook, pushing back against expectations of two Fed rate cuts this year. This scenario could help the US Dollar (USD) extend its recovery at the expense of the non-yielding Gold price. Alternatively, if the data come in below forecasts, it could provide a fresh tailwind to the Gold price on renewed bets that the Fed will remain on track for two rate cuts. BAY TP TP 1 3,371 TP 2 3,391 TP 3 3,412 SELL PT TP 1 3,337 TP 2 3,311 TP 3 3,286
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mark804
3
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the trend line📊 Technical Analysis ● The break of the July descending cap at 3 355 has held as support; price is stair-stepping along a steep intraday channel whose lower rail coincides with the 3 350 pivot. ● Momentum is pressing the 3 368–3 393 supply; clearing that band opens the March swing objective at 3 430, while pullbacks into 3 350-3 355 are buffered by the former trend-line. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● A second straight downside surprise in US PPI cooled 2-yr yields and the DXY, restoring carry appeal for non-yielding gold. ● World Gold Council notes June central-bank net purchases rose 6 % m/m, signalling persistent official demand. ✨ Summary Long 3 350-3 360; hold above 3 355 targets 3 393 → 3 430. Bias void on an H1 close below 3 325. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
9
GOLD Last move down Next Target after this Breakout?Gold edged higher on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to provide clearer insight into the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate decisions. Market participants are watching closely for any signals that could influence the dollar and yields, thereby impacting gold prices. Technical Outlook: Gold has entered a potential buy zone, showing signs of bullish support Price recently retested the 3353 level, forming a long squeeze setup and now aiming to challenge the resistance at 3373. A successful breakout above 3373 could open the path toward the 3400 and 3432 long-term targets. On the downside, a retest of the key 3345 level is also possible. This zone between 3345 – 3353 is seen as strong support, and as long as bulls defend it, upward momentum remains likely. PS: Support with like and comments for more batter insights to share with you.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
17
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of CPI. Chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating amid a correction in the dollar ahead of important news. Consumer price index data is due later today. The market is stagnant and will not move prematurely. On Tuesday, gold rose slightly amid profit-taking ahead of the US CPI release. Investors are waiting for a signal from inflation: weaker data could strengthen bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold, while strong inflation would strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The situation is exacerbated by Trump's new tariff threats and his criticism of the Fed chair. Let me remind you of Trump's pressure on regulators regarding inflation and interest rate cuts. Technically, gold is trading above the previously broken “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. Bulls are trying to hold their ground above 3340-3350. Focus on the current range of 3340-3373 Resistance levels: 3373, 3394 Support levels: 3350, 3340 Favorable news for gold could boost interest in the metal, which would generally lead to growth. However, there is a factor of unpredictability, and against this backdrop, gold may test support at 3350-3340. If the bulls manage to keep the price above this zone, we may see growth in the medium term. Otherwise, the price may drop to 3310-3280. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
Buy XAUUSD?Date: July 15, 2025 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Timeframe: 4H Direction: Long Entry: ~3,360 Stop Loss: ~3,327 (below sell-side liquidity) Take Profit: ~3,492 RR Ratio: ~1:4 ⸻ 🔍 Market Context • Price had been trending downward and then consolidated for several sessions. • A sell-side liquidity sweep occurred just below 3,327 — taking out stops beneath local lows. • Strong bullish reaction followed, forming a clean bullish order block and reclaiming structure. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Rationale • Sell-side liquidity taken → market structure shift → bullish BOS (break of structure). • Bullish order block formed with clear mitigation. • Small black-box consolidation likely a retest zone for low-risk entry. • Targeting inefficiency toward 3,492, with a clean range above. ⸻ 🧠 Trade Management Plan • Move stop to breakeven at 3,375 once price clears local resistance. • Consider partial TP at 3,420–3,450 to lock profit. • Trail remainder to higher lows or use fib-based trailing stop. ⸻ 😐 Emotional State Before Trade Calm and focused. Recognized a textbook SMC entry — no rush or FOMO. ⸻ ✅ Post-Trade Reflection (To Fill Later) • ❓ Did price react to the zone as expected? • ❓ Was entry execution precise (limit vs market)? • ❓ Any slippage or management improvements? • ❓ Was I patient enough?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NoFaceNoCase2020
1
XAUUSD. TRADE PLAN BULLISH 📈 Bullish Trade Plan – XAU/USD (Gold Spot) | 15-Minute Chart 🔍 Market Structure Overview: Price recently formed a CHoCH (Change of Character), shifting from bearish to bullish structure. A solid Higher Low (HL) has formed after the CHoCH – indicating bullish continuation. EMAs (20, 50, 200) are stacked bullishly below price, acting as dynamic support. Current price is pulling back into a potential demand zone and HL area for a long setup. 🟩 Long (Buy) Trade Setup Entry Zone: 3,357.00 – 3,359.00 (around HL zone + demand area + EMA confluence) Stop Loss (SL): 3,349.50 (below HL structure and EMA support) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,370.00 (near-term resistance level) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,375.00 (previous swing High / HH zone) Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,380.00 (liquidity target / extended bullish move) 📐 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Target Risk Reward RR TP1 @ 3,370 ~7.5 pts ~13 pts ~1:1.3 TP2 @ 3,375 ~7.5 pts ~18 pts ~1:1.85 TP3 @ 3,380 ~7.5 pts ~23 pts ~1:2.5 ✅ Bullish Confluences: Confirmed CHoCH → bullish trend shift Strong Higher Low (HL) and support forming Price rejecting from a demand zone EMAs (20, 50, 200) aligned in bullish direction Clean RR setup with clear invalidation level ❌ Invalidation: If price breaks and closes below 3,349.50, bullish bias is invalid. That would indicate a break in bullish structure and potential reversal. --- 📘 Trading Notes: Ideal for intra-day bullish trading setups. Avoid trading during high-impact news events (e.g., FOMC, CPI). Always apply proper risk management – never risk more than 1–2% of your capital on a single trade.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BasitTraders
Two Retracement Levels Converge, Creating Strong ResistanceGold is hovering near 3370 amid a wave of tariff-related headlines over the past few days. After Trump’s threats toward Mexico, Canada, and the European Union, gold has been pushing toward higher levels. The latest warning came over the weekend, targeting both the EU and Mexico with a 30% tariff unless an agreement is reached by August 1. The EU trade commissioner described the proposed tariff as “absolutely unacceptable.” So far, markets remain calm due to ongoing delays in the actual implementation of these tariffs. However, that could change as the August deadline approaches. Trump may view it as politically damaging to issue repeated threats without following through. Meanwhile, the EU is preparing countermeasures in case the deadline passes without an agreement and the U.S. enforces the 30% tariffs. The EU’s plan targets $84 billion worth of goods, including automobiles, aircraft, wine, bourbon, agricultural and chemical products, plastics, and electrical equipment. The outcome of U.S.-EU negotiations could be a major driver for gold in July. Another factor to watch is the recent surge in bond yields in Japan. The rising probability that Japan’s ruling coalition may lose its majority is creating uncertainty, especially since opposition parties favor tax cuts and increased government spending. Higher Japanese yields could trigger a reversal in carry trade flows, which might also push up yields in Europe and the U.S. Gold pushed higher, breaking out of the bearish trendline drawn from the July 13 top, and reached the 3370–3375 area. So far, this zone has provided strong short-term resistance. The 3374 is significant, as it marks both the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the May–June rally and the 61.8% retracement of the June 16–30 pullback. This confluence could make it a key pivot point for gold this week. If this level is broken, gold could gain further momentum and move above 3400. On the downside, 3342 has been acting as a support level for now.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ftdsystem
XAUUSD:Today's trading strategies for buying and selling The gold price reached a peak of 3374.69 during the Asian trading session. Overall, it remains in a bullish uptrend. From the half-hour and hourly charts, the 30-day line provides support at around 3353. Therefore, when trading within this fluctuating range, it is important to note that in a situation where the bullish trend is strong, short selling should be conducted with a light position. Trading Strategy: BUY@3353-57 TP:3370-75 SELL@3375-80 TP:3360-63 More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_