7 year gold bull run after ETF $GLD launches in 2004This begs the question, how many multi year bull run will bitcoin go for considering NASDAQ:IBIT is the most successful ETF of all time and that bitcoin is scarce.
Futures market
15/7/25 Bulls Need Strong FT Buying Above Bear Trendline
Monday’s candlestick (Jul 14) was a bull bar closing near its high around the bear trend line area.
In our last report, we said traders would see if the bulls could create a retest of the July 11 high or if the market would trade sideways and stall around the bear trend line area (4230-50) in the next few days instead.
The market traded higher to test the July 11 high, closing slightly below Friday's high.
The bulls got another leg up to form the wedge pattern (Jul 3, Jul 9, and Jul 14).
They want a measured move based on the first leg up (July 1 to July 3), which will take the market to around the 4260 area. The market tested the 4245 today.
The bulls need to create a strong breakout above the bear trend line with follow-through buying to increase the odds of a sustained move.
The bears want a higher high major trend reversal and a large wedge pattern (May 15, Jun 20, and Jul 14).
They want a major lower high vs the April high.
They hope the bear trend line will act as resistance. They must create strong bear bars to show they are back in control.
Production for July is expected to be around the same level as June or slightly higher.
Refineries' appetite to buy so far looks decent.
Export: The data is mixed, and the outcome remains to be seen—estimates down 6% in the first 15 days.
So far, the follow-through selling by the bears is still limited. The buying pressure is stronger.
For now, traders will see if the bulls can create more follow-through buying, or if the move will start to stall around the bear trend line area.
For tomorrow (Tuesday, Jul 15), traders will see if the bulls can create a strong breakout above the bear trend line.
Or will the market trade sideways and stall around the bear trend line area (4250-70) in the next few days instead?
Andrew
07/14 Nasdaq TradeThis time I had to wait for the red candle to create the wick for me to enter. I just needed that because we already had enough volume. Nasdaq is dangerous with this type of time frames. So review
Yellow Part: Variation
Blue Part: The wick that the red candle was creating for me to enter mroe confidently and using the wick as a stop loss.
Red Part: Execute the volume is on your side
It was good that you waited. Now here's a way to get involved. Over the weekend we took a look at Silver and predicted that we'd probably see an emotional reaction on the open where a lot of (casual traders) look to get involved (due to the headlines) and unfortunately, pay the price for being late.
Now that, that initial group has been shaken out of the market, I want to revisit the metal and show my preferred area for entry along with a conservative approach that you can use if you want to get in earlier.
Please leave any questions, comments, or your trading ideas below.
Give me a follow that way you don't miss my next trading idea.
Akil
#DJI Futures Outlook: Key Levels to Watch Around Pivot 44,736Date: 14-07-2025
📊 Current Price: 44,645
📍 Pivot Point: 44,736.00
🔼 Upside / Bullish Scenario
If the price sustains above the pivot point (44,736), it could target the following resistance and bullish targets:
Immediate Resistance: 45,305.40
Target 1: 45,708.70
Target 2: 46,112.00
Target 3: 46,628.00
Target 4: 47,144.00
Bullish Bias Trigger: A break and hold above 45,305.40 increases confidence in these targets.
🔽 Downside / Bearish Scenario
If the price moves and holds below the pivot, the focus shifts to support levels and bearish targets:
Immediate Support: 44,170.04
Target 1: 43,765.02
Target 2: 43,360.00
Target 3: 42,844.00
Target 4: 42,328.00
Bearish Bias Trigger: A break below 44,170.04 opens the door to these downside levels.
#DowJones #TradingView #StockMarket #Investing #Trading #DJIFutures
#PivotPoints #DowJones #MarketOutlook #FuturesTrading
break above 6866.1 may push prices toward the second resistance break above 6866.1 may push prices toward the second resistance at 6911.3 (TP2).
Confirmation of bullish continuation would occur if price closes above 6981.0 on a 4H or daily chart.
Volume and momentum indicators should be monitored near 6866–6911 to assess breakout strength.
This trade setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio with a tight SL at 6522 and layered targets.
Ideal buy entries can be placed between 6630–6660, as this range shows price stability and potential reversal signs.
Traders should stay alert for fundamental news (inventory reports, geopolitical events) that could accelerate momentum past resistance levels
is currently trading at 6648.3, positioning itself within an attractive short-term buy zone.
This level sits just above strong support at 6522, which acts as the logical stop-loss (SL) zone.
The price action suggests bullish potential as it forms a base near the support level.
Immediate resistance lies at 6866.1, which could be the first profit target (TP1).
Silver (XAG/USD) Bullish Trade Setup from Key Support ZoneXAG/USD (Silver) Trade Analysis – 2H Chart (July 2, 2025)
🔹 Trade Setup Overview:
Entry Point: 35.84299
Target (TP): 37.32540
Stop Loss (SL): 35.59483
Current Price: 36.36350
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~5.9:1 (Very favorable)
🔹 Technical Insights:
Support Zone:
Price recently tested and respected a strong demand zone between 35.60 – 35.84, which has now acted as a bounce level.
Multiple wicks and rejections at this zone highlight buyer interest.
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red) is starting to flatten, possibly hinting at momentum reversal.
200 EMA (blue) held as dynamic support during the last dip — a bullish signal.
Breakout Potential:
Price has bounced off the entry zone and is approaching minor resistance near 36.40–36.60.
A clean break above this area can trigger momentum toward the 37.30s.
Volume & Momentum:
The latest candle shows strong bullish momentum, validating the bounce setup.
No sign of exhaustion yet.
🔹 Strategy Suggestion:
Entry has already occurred or is slightly above entry zone — ideal for aggressive traders to ride the momentum.
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback near 36.00–36.10 before entering.
SL is well-placed below previous lows and structure — reasonable protection.
🔹 Conclusion:
This setup reflects a bullish continuation trade from a strong support zone. Given the risk/reward profile and recent bullish action, this trade is technically sound as long as price stays above 35.84. A close below this level could invalidate the setup
Gold and DXY. Day before CPI 14.07.2025, MondayExplaining about the thoughts on CPI. Expect major movements on GOLD
Gold Outlook – Monday Session BreakdownOn the Monthly timeframe, gold has shown a triple wick rejection, which continues to signal potential downside movement. After several failed attempts to break above the $3,400 level, we’ve begun to see a retracement take shape.
On the Daily chart, a Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be forming — further reinforcing the bearish narrative.
During Monday’s session, price action retested the upward trendline from Friday, before sharply reversing down to the $3,353 zone, where it consolidated and formed a neckline. During the London session, gold once again tested the trendline, met sharp resistance, and formed a double top. The neckline and ascending channel were then broken at $3,353 during the New York session.
At present, gold is trading between the two key neckline levels: $3,353 and $3,330.
• A break and close above $3,353 could signal renewed bullish sentiment, with targets at the $3,378 trendline and potentially the $3,402 resistance.
• A break and close below $3,330 would point to continued bearish momentum, with a downside target at $3,312.
CPI data is scheduled for tomorrow, which may bring increased volatility and key level breaks.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: $3,402, $3,378, $3,353
• Support: $3,330, $3,312, $3,300, $3,283
Trade Zones:
• Buy entries: $3,330 – $3,328
• Sell entries: $3,353 – $3,355
Stay sharp this week, and remember to manage your risk wisely — 1–2% per trade.
Let the market come to you — patience pays.
Crude oil------sell near 70.00, target 66.70-63.00Crude oil market analysis:
Recently, crude oil has been rising, and buying is slowly climbing, but the amplitude is not particularly large. The daily line has not formed a large buying pattern. It is currently a technical repair market after falling too much. Today's idea is to sell on the rebound. Pay attention to the suppression near 70.00. If this position is broken, it may change the short-term trend and buying may rise.
Fundamental analysis:
Last week, Trump increased tariffs on Canada and is about to increase tariffs on Brazil. There is no sign of stopping the tariff war. It is long-term bullish for gold. The situation in the Middle East has not completely stopped, and it is also long-term suppression of the US dollar to support gold.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil------sell near 70.00, target 66.70-63.00
Gold----Buy near 3348, target 3369-3389Gold market analysis:
Looking back at last week's market, the market performance on Monday and Tuesday last week was quite abnormal, belonging to the rhythm of a big oscillation. The following three trading days were basically relatively normal, and the market rose all the way after the buy-in. The overall market was a bottoming-out and rebounding market. Recently, investors are very confused about whether the general trend is bullish or bearish? First of all, we need to distinguish how long the general trend cycle is? If you look at the weekly line, you can at least see a 2-4 week trend. If you want to see a trend for a month, then you have to look at the weekly K-shaped and monthly trend. I understand that the long-term trend is at least a trend of one month to half a year. With the current instability of the international situation, the trend of Russia and Ukraine, the situation in the Middle East, and Trump's global tariff war, I think the half-year trend is bullish. We are short-term traders, and basically can't see that far. Looking at the trend of one week at most is the limit. Playing with long-term trends requires a 100-point mentality, and playing with short-term trends only requires technology. The first thing every Monday is to figure out the trend of the week. Buy short-term climb at the weekly close. This week's thinking is bullish first. We estimate that there will be a decline in the second half of the week. Today's weekly line is treated as a low-price buy first, and pay attention to the retracement to the support to buy. The low point of Friday's retracement near 3348 is a new support, and it is also the starting point of the pattern support 3344. In addition, the hourly stepping point is near 3342. If it does not break 3342 today, insist on buying. If it breaks, adjust the thinking to be bearish in time. A small step on the Asian session is also an opportunity to get on the train.
Pressure 3397, support 3348, 3345, 3342, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3342.
Fundamental analysis:
Last week, Trump increased tariffs on Canada and will soon increase tariffs on Brazil. There is no signal of stopping the tariff war. It is long-term bullish for gold. The situation in the Middle East has not completely stopped, and it is also a long-term suppression of the US dollar to support gold.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Buy near 3348, target 3369-3389
