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RAYA Approaching Trendline with Bullish DivergenceRAYA is currently testing a key ascending trendline, showing signs of a potential reversal. The price action is forming bullish divergence on the RSI and other momentum indicators, suggesting a possible bounce toward previous resistance levels. Key Observations: ✅ Price is nearing strong trendline support. ✅ Bullish divergence forming on RSI and other indicators. ✅ Volume is stabilizing, indicating potential accumulation. ✅ First target: 2.58 (major resistance), then 3.24+ if momentum continues. ✅ Stop-loss below 2.10 to manage risk. A confirmed breakout above short-term resistance could trigger a stronger upside move. Waiting for confirmation before entering a position is crucial! What are your thoughts? 🚀📈not financial advice
EGX:RAYA
by TONYMONTANA87
# **CONTACT Financial Holding | Bullish Reversal from Golden Fib# **CONTACT Financial Holding | Bullish Reversal from Golden Fibonacci Zone 🚀** **Ticker**: EGX:CNFN **Timeframe**: 1D **Pattern**: Fibonacci Golden Ratio Reversal + Descending Trendline Breakout ### **📌 Key Analysis:** - The price has approached the **Golden Fibonacci retracement level (0.618 - 0.705)**, a key area where buyers tend to step in. - There is a strong **historical support zone** aligning with this golden pocket, increasing the probability of a rebound. - The **descending trendline** is acting as resistance. A breakout above this level would confirm the bullish reversal. - **RSI** is at a relatively low level, indicating that the stock may be oversold and primed for a reversal. ### **🎯 Targets:** 1. **4.18 EGP (0.618 Fib Retest)** 2. **4.45 EGP (0.5 Fib Level)** 3. **4.94 EGP (0.382 Fib Resistance)** 4. **6.43 EGP (Major Long-term Target from Previous Highs)** ### **🛑 Stop Loss:** - A break below **3.25 EGP (0.79 Fib Level)** would invalidate the bullish setup. ### **🔥 Bullish Confirmation:** - A breakout above **4.18 EGP** with strong volume. - Positive momentum and RSI turning upwards. If confirmed, this setup presents a **great risk-reward ratio** for a potential upside move. 🚀📈 What do you think? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE⬇️
EGX:CNFN
by TONYMONTANA87
MASR: Riding the New Wave to 6 EGPMASR: Riding the Bullish Wave to 6 EGP 🚀** MASR is forming a strong **ascending triangle pattern**, respecting its **bullish trendline** while consolidating within a key range. The price recently bounced off support and is now pushing higher, showing signs of accumulation. ### **Technical Analysis:** 🔹 The price is holding above the long-term **trendline support**, signaling strength. 🔹 The **triangle pattern** suggests a breakout could be approaching. 🔹 **MACD & RSI are bullish**, indicating growing momentum. 🔹 **Volume Profile** shows strong interest around 4.00 EGP, reinforcing support. ### **Key Levels to Watch:** 📌 **Resistance Levels:** 4.36 – 4.75 EGP → **Breakout Target: 6.00 EGP** 📌 **Support Levels:** 4.00 – 3.46 EGP → **Invalidation below trendline** A confirmed breakout above **4.75 EGP** could pave the way for a rally toward **6.00 EGP**, following the broader bullish trend. However, patience is key, as price action should be monitored for confirmation. 🚨 **Not Financial Advice – Always Do Your Own Research!** 🚨 What are your thoughts on this setup? 📈🔥
EGX:MASR
by TONYMONTANA87
ACT FINANCIAL (EGX) – Sideways Trade with Breakout PotentialHere’s a TradingView idea for your sideways trade setup with a potential breakout: --- **ACT FINANCIAL (EGX) – Sideways Trade with Breakout Potential** 📉 **Technical Analysis:** The stock is currently trading within a sideways range, showing strong support and resistance levels. The price is bouncing between these levels, offering a short-term trading opportunity. However, the presence of a bullish divergence in the MACD suggests a possible breakout. 📌 **Trade Plan:** - **Entry:** Near the lower boundary of the range, aiming for a small upward move. - **Stop Loss:** Below the recent support zone. - **Target Levels:** 1️⃣ **First Target:** Minor resistance within the range. 2️⃣ **Second Target:** Upper boundary of the sideways channel. 3️⃣ **Breakout Target:** If a breakout occurs, aiming for a new resistance level above the range. 📊 **Indicators & Confirmation:** - MACD showing bullish divergence, signaling potential upside. - Watching for volume increase as a breakout confirmation. - Risk/Reward ratio looks favorable within the range. 🚀 **Final Thought:** A range-bound trade with small targets offers a controlled risk setup. However, if the stock gains momentum and breaks out, it could lead to a strong bullish move. Keep an eye on key levels! #Trading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #EGX --- not financial advice 🚀
EGX:ACTFLong
by TONYMONTANA87
Long,Pioneers Holding (EGX: ASPI) Pioneers Holding (EGX: ASPI) has several key financial indicators that you should consider before making any investment decisions. Here's a breakdown of the company's financial position and performance: fundamentals Analysis 1. Stock Performance & Valuation: • Current Price: 0.278 EGP • Book Value Per Share: 0.35 EGP (suggests the stock is trading below book value, which could indicate undervaluation) • Based on Book Value Multiple → 0.60 EGP • Based on P/E Ratio → 0.41 EGP • The stock is currently trading at a significant discount compared to both valuation benchmarks: o 53.7% discount to the book value multiple (0.278 vs. 0.60 EGP). o 32.2% discount to the fair value based on the sector’s P/E ratio (0.278 vs. 0.41 EGP). • EPS: 0.07 EGP • 52-Week Price Change: -32.05% (significant decline, suggesting weak market sentiment or financial concerns) 2. Financial Health & Liquidity: • Cash: 498.11M EGP • Debt: 875.23M EGP (debt exceeds cash, leading to a net debt of -377.12M EGP) • Net Cash Per Share: -0.19 EGP (indicating a negative net cash position, which raises concerns about liquidity and financial stability) • Working Capital: -134.22M EGP (negative, suggesting possible short-term liquidity issues) 3. Profitability & Margins: • Revenue: 345.92M EGP • Net Income: 76.01M EGP (net margin of 21.97%, which is decent) • Gross Margin: 22.94% (moderate, indicating the company retains a reasonable portion of revenue after direct costs) • Operating Margin: 16.82% (suggesting the company has good cost control, but interest expenses may be a concern given the high debt levels) 4. Key Takeaways: ✅ Positive Factors: • Profitable with a 21.97% net profit margin • Trading below book value (0.278 EGP vs. 0.35 EGP), which might indicate undervaluation • Stable earnings per share (EPS: 0.07 EGP) ⚠️ Concerns: • High debt (875.23M EGP) relative to cash reserves • Negative working capital (-134.22M EGP), which could pose liquidity risks • Stock has underperformed significantly in the last year (-32.05%) Investment Consideration: According to Tracxn, Pioneers Holding has a Tracxn score of 34 out of 100, positioning it ahead of Beltone (29/100) but indicating room for growth compared to leading firms in the sector. • Value Perspective: If you believe the company can improve its balance sheet and market sentiment shifts, this could be an undervalued opportunity. • Risk Consideration: The negative cash position and high debt may pose risks, especially if interest rates rise or earnings decline. Tech. Analysis see the chart mark refer to GANN & Elliot wave
EGX:ASPILong
by maminpip
1
Long OIH Company Overview: • Orascom Investment Holding (OIH) operates as an investment holding company in the telecom and technology sectors across Egypt and Africa. • The company is also engaged in real estate investments, leveraging its experience in North Africa and Sub-Saharan markets to expand into Africa’s fast-growing economies. • OIH invests in energy, financial services, agriculture, real estate development, logistics, and transport. • The company is also focusing on world-class entertainment destinations, integrating entertainment, retail, and hospitality to drive regional development. Financial Highlights (2024): • Net Cash Position: EGP 2.27 billion (Cash: EGP 2.94 billion, Debt: EGP 664.15 million) → EGP 0.43 per share. • Book Value Per Share (BVPS): o 2024: EGP 0.79 (+33% YoY). o 2023: EGP 0.59 (+12.96% YoY). o 2022: EGP 0.52 (+67.75% YoY). • Fair Value Per Share (based on sector book value multiple): EGP 1.72. Stock Performance & Investment Outlook: • 52-Week Performance: +48.05% increase. • Current Price: EGP 0.58/share. • 52-Week High: EGP 0.64/share (02/03/2024). • Elliott Wave Analysis Targets: o TP1: EGP 0.774. o TP2: EGP 0.959. • Investment Recommendation: o Buy below EGP 0.52/share. o Hold for long-term upside potential. Next Estimated Earnings Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025.
EGX:OIHLong
by maminpip
QNB Analysis with IndicatorsKey Observations: Support & Resistance Zones: Strong Resistance: 37.41 EGP (Previous high). Current Resistance: 31.68 - 32.11 EGP (Needs a breakout for bullish continuation). Support Levels: 31.54 EGP, 28.08 EGP, and 25.03 EGP. Moving Averages (Blue & Red Lines): Price is near moving averages, suggesting a retest of support or an early uptrend. If the price stays above moving averages, it could confirm bullish momentum. Indicators (MACD, RSI, Volume): RSI: 54.74 (Neutral-Bullish). Needs to break above 60 to confirm strong bullish trend. MACD: Slightly bullish crossover forming. Could signal momentum shift upward. Volume Profile: High volume between 28-32 EGP, indicating accumulation.Trading Strategy Ideas: 📌 Bullish Scenario: Buy above 32.11 EGP with a target of 47.41 EGP. Stop loss below 29.50 EGP to minimize risk. Confirmation: RSI above 60, MACD positive crossover, and increased volume.
EGX:QNBELong
by TONYMONTANA87
bullish trade setup for **QALA ### **Key Observations:** 1. **Breakout from Resistance** - The stock has recently **broken above a key resistance level** around **2.88 - 3.08 EGP**, indicating bullish momentum. - A successful retest of this zone could confirm it as a **new support level**. 2. **Volume Profile Analysis** - The **volume profile** on the right shows a strong **buying interest** around **2.4 - 2.8 EGP**, indicating strong demand. - **Low volume areas above 3.08 EGP** suggest that price could move quickly towards the next resistance. 3. **Target Levels** - **First Target:** **3.81 EGP** (previous high and key resistance). - **Second Target:** **4.29 EGP** (next major resistance level). 4. **Stop-Loss & Risk Management** - **Stop-Loss:** Below **2.42 EGP** (previous strong support level). - **Risk-to-Reward Ratio:** Appears to be favorable (high reward potential vs. controlled risk). 5. **Trendline & Market Structure** - A **rising trendline** supports the price action. - The market structure remains **bullish** with **higher highs and higher lows**. ### **Trade Plan (Bullish Setup)** - **Entry Zone:** **3.00 - 3.08 EGP** (on a retest of support). - **Stop-Loss:** Below **2.42 EGP** (invalidation level). - **Take Profit Targets:** - **First Target:** **3.81 EGP** - **Second Target:** **4.29 EGP** If buying volume continues, the stock has a **strong chance of rallying** toward the target levels.
EGX:CCAPLong
by TONYMONTANA87
Ascending Triangle Pattern bullish continuation pattern **Trend Analysis** 1. **Ascending Triangle Pattern:** - The chart shows an **ascending triangle** pattern, characterized by a horizontal resistance line and an upward-sloping trendline. - This is typically a **bullish continuation pattern**, meaning a breakout above resistance could lead to further upward movement. 2. **Support & Resistance Levels:** - **Resistance:** Around **56.13 EGP** (historical peak). - **Support:** The **ascending trendline** acts as dynamic support. - **Major Supports:** **42.57, 41.07, 40.81 EGP** (previous lows and moving averages). 3. **Moving Averages:** - The price is trading **above key moving averages (blue and red lines)**, suggesting the trend is still bullish. - These MAs are also acting as dynamic support. ### **Indicators & Momentum** 1. **Volume & Breakout Potential:** - The volume bars indicate **higher interest** near the breakout level. - A **strong breakout with high volume** would confirm the pattern. 2. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** - Currently around **55-61**, indicating the stock is in a neutral to slightly bullish zone. - No overbought or oversold conditions. 3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** - The MACD line is crossing above the signal line, which is a **bullish signal**. - A strong crossover with an increase in momentum could confirm an uptrend. ### **Potential Future Movements** 1. **Bullish Scenario:** - If the price **breaks above 56.13 EGP with strong volume**, the next target could be around **66.66 EGP**. - This aligns with the measured move of the ascending triangle breakout. 2. **Bearish Scenario:** - If the price fails to break resistance and falls below the trendline (**around 42-43 EGP**), it may **decline towards 39.88-36.24 EGP**. ### **Conclusion & Trade Idea** - **Bullish bias** as long as price remains above the trendline. - Watch for a breakout above **56.13 EGP** for confirmation. - If price **fails and drops below 36 EGP**, expect a downside move.
EGX:ADIBLong
by TONYMONTANA87
GDWA_A Deeply Underrated Asset Investment Decision Analysis for GDWA holding company has shares as following: 1) 72.3% of Electro Cables (ELEC) market Cap 9.15B 2) 47.9% of Arab Dairy (ADPC) Market Cap 1.58B, 3) 73.9% of Universal for Paper &Packaging Materials (UNIP) Market Cap 621.74M 4) 74.7% Egyptian Integrated for Food Industries (EIFI) Market Cap 101.74M Minimum Market Cap Estimate: If GDWA's value is purely based on its investments, the minimum estimate is 7.91B. value-based price of EGP 7.54/share, you would gain approximately +28.0 % profit from your investment at the current price (EGP 5.8/share). The fair value of GDWA's share price can be determined based on the valuation data provided in the reports and financial metrics. Here’s a detailed calculation and analysis: A) Historically, GDWA's financial performance tends to be stronger in the second half of the year due to operational seasonality and project completions. Q4 Financial Performance B) EBIT for Q4: EGP 1.15 billion, up by +185.81% compared to previous periods. This indicates strong operational growth. C) Net Income for Q4: EGP 430.05 million, up by +203.65%, suggesting solid profitability improvements in the company. Gadwa is a leading industrial development and investment company that boasts holdings in the industrial sector, particularly high growth-potential consumer-related businesses, and defensive business models. 1. Projected Price by End of 2025: EGP 10.4/share 2. Projected Price by End of 2026: Refer stockanalysis.com the company The enterprise value is 16.37 billion. what shou be prices of share DWA would be approximately EGP 15.59 per share.
EGX:GDWALong
by maminpip
#RAYA Egyptian stock - great opportunity - great fundamental.#RAYA time frame 1 DAY Created Gartley Bullish pattern , also there is positive diversion at RSI ( may that support our idea ) as follow : Entry level around 2.70 Stop loss 2.55 ( estimated loss -5.50% ) First target at 3.00 ( with profit around 10% ) Second target 3.30 ( with profit around 20% ) Third target 3.50 ( with profit 28% ) NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock . Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing Thanks and good luck
EGX:RAYALong
by tfcgeorge
2
#IEEC - Egyptian stock#IEEC time frame 1 DAY Created a bearish Gartley pattern Sell point around 0.359 Stop loss / reentry 0.368 ( estimated loss -2.5% ) First target at 0.338 ( estimated profit 5.80% ) Second target 0.32 ( estimated profit up to 11% ) also RSI made a negative diversion that may support our idea . NOTE : this data according to time frame 1 DAY Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing Thanks and good luck
EGX:IEECShort
by tfcgeorge
#MOIL - Egyptian stock#MOIL time frame 1 hour created a bullish Gartley pattern Entry level around 0.338 Stop loss 0.334 ( estimated loss -1.10% ) First target at 0.346 ( estimated profit around 2.50% ) Second target 0.354( estimated profit around 4.80% ) Third target 0.363 ( estimated profit 7% ) Note : In addition there is positive diversion at RSI and MACD , that may be support our idea . NOTE : this data according to time frame I hour Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing Thanks and good luck
EGX:MOILLong
by tfcgeorge
#KRDI - Egyptian stock#KRDI time frame 1 hour created a bullish Gartley pattern Entry level around 0.59 Stop loss 0.575 ( estimated loss -2% ) -5% from currant prices First target at 0.611 ( estimated profit around 4% ) achieved Second target 0.633( estimated profit around 8% ) Third target 0.659 ( estimated profit 12% ) Note : First target already achieved so it will be good chance if prices fall back into entry zone. NOTE : this data according to time frame I hour Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing Thanks and good luck
EGX:KRDILong
by tfcgeorge
ISPH Short I think there is a valid short opportunity here. Here is more fundamental analysis (done by ChatGPT). /////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Ibnsina Pharma is a prominent pharmaceutical distribution company in Egypt, listed on the Egyptian Exchange under the ticker symbol ISPH. Established in 2001, the company distributes a wide range of pharmaceutical and cosmetic products to both private and public-sector clients, including pharmacies, hospitals, and healthcare institutions. INVESTING.COM Financial Overview: Revenue: In 2023, Ibnsina Pharma reported revenues of approximately EGP 33.95 billion. BARRONS.COM Net Income: The net income for the same period was EGP 173.14 million, resulting in a net profit margin of 0.51%. BARRONS.COM Total Assets and Liabilities: The company's total assets stood at EGP 18.55 billion, with total liabilities amounting to EGP 17.1 billion, indicating a debt-to-assets ratio of 92.19%. BARRONS.COM Shareholder Structure: Ibnsina Pharma's ownership is diversified among prominent entities: Free Float: 40.7% Abdel Gawad Family: 15.0% Faisal Islamic Bank: 14.0% Mahgoub Family: 12.9% European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD): 9.6% Blom Investment: 7.8% This diverse shareholder base has enhanced the company's corporate governance practices. IR.IBNSINA-PHARMA.COM Stock Performance: As of January 29, 2025, the stock closed at EGP 7.02 per share, with a 52-week range between EGP 2.14 and EGP 7.59. IR.IBNSINA-PHARMA.COM Considerations for Investors: While Ibnsina Pharma has demonstrated significant revenue generation, its net profit margin is relatively low, and the company operates with a high debt-to-assets ratio. Potential investors should weigh these factors carefully and consider consulting with a financial advisor to determine if this investment aligns with their risk tolerance and financial objectives.
EGX:ISPHShort
by lojjkkjvvv