ABSI - Potential up trend ABSI is currently in a accumulation phase and requires strong volume to break above the blue downtrend line.
The first target is to reach the uptrend line at approximately 3.34. If this level is achieved with high volume, we could then see targets at 4.4 and 5.64.
Stop Loss is set at 2.45
GH 3D: breakout forming inside ascending channelThe price of GH continues consolidating within the top of an ascending channel, confirming bullish structure. The rectangular accumulation has lasted for over three months, with price staying above all major EMAs and MAs - a strong trend confirmation. On the last impulse, volume increased, and now the price is compressing again. A breakout with a retest would serve as a valid entry. First target lies near 61.38, second at 73.66, and third at 87.37 - aligned with the upper range of the medium-term Fibonacci extension. Fundamentally, GH remains a promising biotech pick amid sector rotation and potential Fed easing. EMAs and MAs sit below price, and D/A supports the breakout scenario. Waiting for confirmation before entering.
7/9/25 - $envx - Friends tell friends the truth7/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ENVX
Friends tell friends the truth
- not a fan of Raj, seems inauthentic on one front... and tbh, that might seem "judgy". i've made my money on wall street reading mgrs in the first 5 seconds i meet them. i'd just not give this guy my money, that's all. it's my human LLM.
- the company financials look ready to "explode" (mm in a good way) if you ask wall street/ expectations. but i don't trust that either. i always do my own work.
- all battery (*cough* meme) tech has done well since april lows
- important to choose names that have solid balance sheets, growth ... and ideally leaders in both respects. i keep coming back to NYSE:SES given it's size, similar if not better growth vs. much larger comps. more chemistry-agnostic software/tech
- so am i actually shorting ENVX. no. but i find too many ppl these days will put a "buy" on things that are buys and "holds" (whatever that means) and actual sells get a "ehh... keep it..". NO. if it's not working OR you have better alternatives dump that trash.
Listen. class in session here for a moment.
One of the most important things you can do in trading, poker and life (all are very similar - also different - but similar)... is when you have a bad hand, you get introduced to a sus person... you find yourself in an unfavorable decision AND you can decide to either engage or just say "thanks but no thanks"... say "thank you very much and no thank you". Don't say "thank you and i'll follow up" or "thank you and i'll consider it". forget that waste of your time. "thank you" (be polite) and "no thank you" all in the same sentence. if you've got some history/ legacy/ other ties.. more complicated. But of course, when we look at stonks, we can have that decision. If we lose a bit of coin. what. f'n ever. nobody EVER shoots 100%. or 80% or even 70%. move on. take your losses. move on. if a stock is non-obvious. move on. maybe you come back to it. should be for a good reason beyond FOMO. but re-consider. alas. you have the decision to say no.
we talk about time being scarce. so is your ability to give two shoes about some of these stocks. if you're not high conviction, then forget it. time is too short to diversify and make excuses.
make time for those who matter
make space in your PnL for the stocks that will drive results
and forget the rest.
Gn my friends
V
7/9/25 - $flnc - Does the AES offer...7/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:FLNC
Does the AES offer...
- AES *apparently* got a takeout offer y day (check stock px)
- i'd believe it, as long as they don't get coreweave'd (*sigh*)
- that aside, i can swear i was reading about grid scale M&A in my newsflow and Grok isn't helping tn
- I think FLNC is super interesting given it's AES/ siemens ownership and given this AES topic/ buyout
- perhaps this asset gets divested
- i'd guess *if* and that's a h3ll of a guess... maybe a lot higher 30-50%
- probably a stock to have on high alert... if breaks the $9/$9.50 level i may ape with a bit more conviction.
V
Can Ondas Holdings Redefine Defense Tech Investment?Ondas Holdings (NASDAQ: ONDS) is carving a distinct path in the evolving defense technology landscape, strategically positioning itself amid escalating global tensions and the modernization of warfare. The companyโs rise stems from a synergistic approach, combining innovative autonomous drone and private wireless network solutions with shrewd financial maneuvers. A pivotal partnership with Klear, a financial technology firm, provides Ondas and its growing ecosystem with non-dilutive working capital. This off-balance-sheet financing mechanism is crucial, enabling rapid expansion and strategic acquisitions within the capital-intensive defense, homeland security, and critical infrastructure sectors without shareholder dilution.
Furthermore, Ondas's American Robotics subsidiary, a leader in FAA Type Certified autonomous drones, recently cemented a strategic manufacturing and supply chain partnership with Detroit Manufacturing Systems (DMS). This collaboration leverages U.S.-based production to enhance scalability, efficiency, and resilience in delivering American Robotics' advanced drone platforms. This domestic manufacturing focus aligns seamlessly with initiatives like the "Unleashing American Drone Dominance" executive order, which aims to bolster the U.S. drone industry, fostering innovation while safeguarding national security against foreign competition.
The company's offerings directly address the paradigm shift in modern warfare. Ondas's private industrial wireless networks (FullMAX) provide critical secure communication for C4ISR and battlefield operations, while its autonomous drone solutions (like the Optimus System and Iron Drone Raider for counter-UAS) are integral to evolving surveillance, reconnaissance, and combat strategies. As geopolitical instabilities intensify, driving unprecedented demand for advanced defense capabilities, Ondasโs integrated operational and financial platform is primed for significant growth, attracting considerable investor interest with its innovative approach to capital deployment and technological advancement.
7/9/25 - $dpro - PSA... rotate7/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:DPRO
PSA... rotate
- saw some d00d shilling this
- couldn't help myself
- this isn't a company with a future outside M&A or restructuring
- the meme move is simply what we've gotten in chitco's since the liquidity bottom in april
- you do you
- but friends don't let friends drive drones or PnL drunk
V
7/9/25 - $sldp - Pass.7/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SLDP
Pass.
- this thing just has kinda weak energy top line growth
- maybe that changes
- burns cash (which is "fine" - big quotes - if there's some real lift off on growth, which there's NOT)
- my impression (change my mind) is this co got listed to create bag holders for the bag holders
- not going to look at it much more closely tn given it's getting late and i need to get thru a few more of these
- but high net cash is good - they won't be dunking on the market
- i just think the stonk px performance reflects the high-beta-high-meme sector (and there are honestly some good reasons some of the stocks worked)... but idk if i'd be paying up for this one
- sidelines.
V
$TSLA: Battleground stock. Thereโre better way to make money. In this bull market where almost all the stocks are working, NASDAQ:TSLA seems to be still in the penalty box. When NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT are at ATH and most of the Mag7 are near to the ATH. NASDAQ:TSLA is still 33% below its ATH of 484 $. And the price action is not particularly bullish. This week NASDAQ:AVGO crossed NASDAQ:TSLA with a larger Market Cap cos. May be NASDAQ:AVGO should replace NASDAQ:TSLA in MAG7. A food for thought.
With such poor price action and the price stuck within the 0.618 and 0.382 Fib retracement levels the stock has not looked bullish recently. IN this recent market reversal all the speculative sectors like Quantum, Space stocks and Drone stocks are working, NASDAQ:TSLA is still searching for direction. In my opinion NASDAQ:TSLA has a great future with a visionary leader, but it might end up being a good company but not a good stock. With controversy surrounding the leadership it has become a battle ground stock. There are many large cap liquid stocks where the positive momentum is working. Until the stock breaks out of this consolidating pattern itโs better to make money somewhere else.
Verdict: Stay on sidelines for NASDAQ:TSLA stock. Accumulate if you need to. Buy it above 400 $ once momentum is back.
7/9/25 - $ampx - Hrm. Got my interest.7/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:AMPX
Hrm. Got my interest.
- high energy, high power lithium ion warez for aviation etc.
- i think what's most interesting are two things
1/ i first came across this in march '24 and said "not interested - bonkers valuation" and in some resepects... for a year... esp given mkt had been ripping, it was awful risk-on reward
2/ NOW, if you look at the revenue #s over that period forward, they basically continuously crushed. and the YoY comps are almost laughably high... >100% growth for the next 2 years. that's, let's get serious... pretty amazing if true
- gross margins improving (lol at these scale growth rates... i'd HOPE)
- and we get to EBITDA breakeven maybe late '26... by '27?
- co doesn't really burn much cash, 30-40 (M) bucks a year... they'll probs need to raise, maybe it gets well-received given px action recently idk.
- definitely serving an interesting niche.
- valuation is basically in no-man's-land
- price action is not only KING, but taking a step back... it can be somewhat justified. this isn't just some vaporware trust-me-bro-quantum-is-the-future-in-2030-BS-situation
- and the chart looks pretty.
- i'm not going to trade this. eventually you get older, you narrow down your arsenal to stuff that is high impact high hit rate... and you stick to it. but i'd consider longing this from a trading perspective. problem is... i have too much discipline at this pt and again, my comp is NYSE:SES which hasn't really moved, is 10x cheaper (literally) in terms of enterprise value and only 1/2 the revenue and better mgns. so yeah.
- i'm not suggesting this is a short. i'm not gonna buy it. i might buy it lower. i'm no longer doom and gloom like a year ago.
- but no thanks. i still need moarrrr.
V
7/8/25 - $qs - Pass. No thanks.7/8/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:QS
Pass. No thanks.
- Great story bro, company
- Does this thing continue to ape higher a la meme market? idk idc
- I think pre-revenue stuff can be interesting if there's clear visibility toward scaling revenue or the costs are contained, but let's be real... 4 years post de SPAC and this thing has just ""now"" turned the corner
- maybe.
- i'll give you that. maybe.
- i'm not close to it, i'm going to turn over the battery "rocks" tonight to see if i can find anything more compelling than NYSE:SES (ironically, the smallest cap battery-related name... usually it's the opposite - the big stuff is more de-risked and obvious)
- so here we have a co that's just doubled it's stonk price on this announcement
- do investors genuinely believe manufacturing is "easy" or this transition to scaling or monetizing the JV w VW will start to justify a nearly $4B enterprise value "easily"?
- here's what i'll give the bulls, especially those coming to the story fresh and without all this: run-rating nearly $400mm in R&D is probably worth something (*throws finger into rear end and then into the air*) in the $400/.2 = $2 bn region (20% is a high benchmark for risky tech, it should be higher but again let's give a lil cred). I tend to like to double this (usually for co's that r revenue-generating and have traction) but let's just throw V's rules out the window and do it here - alas i don't know what i don't know - and perhaps there's something here. So that's $4 bn. So i better have a good idea or alpha to make money at this pt.
- add to this a TON of co's (that shouldn't be public co's) are doing all sorts of whacky jerk fests with banks... ATMs, converts... you name it! scammy banks are going to have a great year! so then i have to believe this co won't do any "proactive" raise. they shouldn't *need* to given nearly $1 bn in cash on the books... but again, tis not like they're going to buy back stock... so even if the risk is low... it's there.
- all in: i'd need a CLEAR catalyst that the co was hitting strides with OEMs, VW was seriously interested in taking this thing out and locking down this game changer tech. and that's just not what i want to have in my book at a 50 bps or 100 bps position *crossing fingers*. i go big. and it's hard for me to understand where i'd get that conviction.
- so i keep my finger on the battery pulse. it's a sector that is probably most exciting to me from an energy-investment perspective over the coming years. there will be some massive winners here. maybe NYSE:QS is one of those.
- but i'm going to pass.
V
QuantumScape ($QS) โ VolanX SMC Activation Zone๐ Technical Context
QuantumScape is setting up for a potential bullish breakout after consolidating within a descending wedge and maintaining structure above the golden Fibonacci pocket (0.5โ0.618 zone). Smart Money Concepts (CHoCH + BOS) have been triggered, indicating the start of institutional positioning. Volume has compressed, often a prelude to explosive movement.
๐ VolanX Probability Matrix
๐ฏ Probability of Bullish Continuation (Target $8.47): 70โ75%
๐ Probability of Failure (Drop to $6.43 or lower): 25โ30%
๐ง Key Levels & Confluences:
Entry Zone: Break & close above red trendline ($6.85+)
Premium Target: $7.65โ7.70 (Liquidity Zone)
Final Target: $8.47 (Fib 2.0 Extension)
Stop-Loss Invalidation: Below $6.43 (structural break)
SMC Zones: Liquidity void + breaker retest + CHoCH confirmation
๐ Risk-Reward Setup:
RRR โ 3.8x, with structural confluence across Fib, volume, and SMC
๐ก โWe donโt just trade the chart โ we activate the timeline.โ โ VolanX Protocol
๐ This post is part of WaverVanir International LLCโs multi-asset DSS framework.
#SMC #QuantumScape #VolanX #WaverVanir #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #OptionsFlow #LiquidityZones #Breakout #TradingStrategy #RiskReward #TechnicalAnalysis
ZS is starting the early sign of the Wyckoff distribution phaseMarkup (Phase E) that has been going on for months. But look closer. The momentum is getting tired. The daily chart is where the truth comes out. After that magnificent run, the price has stalled and started moving sideways for a month.
Entry Level: Initiate a trade if ZS rallies to the $325 - $327 area and fails to hold its gains.
Price Target: The ultimate target is the start of the markdown phase, with an initial price objective around $250.
Stop Loss: A confirmed weekly close above $335 would indicate the distribution pattern has failed and you should exit the trade.
Long Trade Description (UBER | Uber Technologies Inc.)๐
Ticker: NYSE:UBER
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Trade Type: Long โ Ascending Triangle Breakout
UBER is forming a strong ascending triangle near resistance, with bullish momentum and clean structure. Entry is taken around $97.48, anticipating a breakout above the horizontal level. Target is set at $99.73, while the stop-loss is placed just below the triangle trendline at $96.00.
With strong trend continuation and multiple rejections at resistance, this trade offers a clear risk-to-reward opportunity with solid breakout confirmation.
๐ Trade Levels:
Entry: $97.48
Target: $99.73
Stop-Loss: Below $96.00
๐ก Chart shared for educational use only โ not financial advice.
๐ Follow @ProfittoPath for more actionable trade setups and real-time breakdowns.
Long Trade Description (QUBT | Quantum Computing Inc.)๐
Ticker: NASDAQ:QUBT (Quantum Computing Inc.)
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Trade Type: Long โ Breakout Setup
QUBT is forming a tight wedge breakout, bouncing off trendline support with entry confirmation around $19.35. The breakout structure offers strong momentum potential if price reclaims above $20.23. Stop-loss is positioned below key trendline around $18.76, with upside target near $21.26.
This is a clean bullish continuation setup with a solid risk-reward ratio and rising volume near the breakout zone.
๐ Trade Levels:
Entry: $19.35
Target: $21.26
Stop-Loss: $18.76
๐ก This trade is shared for educational purposes only โ not financial advice.
๐ Follow @ProfittoPath for daily stock setups & market breakdowns.
Best Long Trade Description (EL | Estee Lauder)๐
Ticker: NYSE:EL (Estee Lauder)
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Trade Type: Long โ Breakout Setup
Price is breaking out from a symmetrical triangle near a key support zone. Entry triggered at $85.55 with a clean structure and volume support. Targeting a move toward $89.38, with a tight stop below $85.00.
The setup offers strong risk-to-reward and fits a breakout continuation play after recent bullish structure.
๐ Trade Levels:
Entry: $85.55
Target: $89.38
Stop-Loss: Below $85.00
๐ก Educational purpose only โ not financial advice.
๐ Follow @ProfittoPath for daily trade setups & breakdowns.
WKHS - Daily - Likely Pump and DumpThis company, founded in 2007, maintains a modest market cap of $26 million, indicating a lack of significant investment. They have consistently experienced negative net income between 2022 and 2024, and despite an improved free cash flow in 2024 compared to 2020-2023, their cash and equivalents are nearly depleted, suggesting potential financial difficulties in the coming years. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock has reached its 100-day moving average target, following a similar pump behavior from around November 12, 2024, making it an unfavorable time for long positions, and current investors should exit. Furthermore, the stock shows no signs of accumulation, though a volume uptick around May 28, 2025, could suggest insider trading.
Not financial advice, always do your due diligence
Leave a like๐ and/or comment๐ฌ.
We appreciate and value everyone's feedback!
- RoninAITrader
META at the Pivot Zone: Big Options Energy Building Ahead of CPIGEX-Based Options Analysis:
META is currently trading at $720.70, right beneath the highest positive GEX wall at $725, which aligns with the Gamma Resistance zone. The call structure above is dense, with strong walls at 730, 735, and 740, suggesting sellers may be active on strength unless price can break through and hold above $725. This zone is the inflection.
Below, Put Support builds at 715, 710, and especially at 707.5, forming a defensive gamma floor. The net gamma delta leans slightly CALL-biased at 12.6%, and IVR at 28.6 signals a relatively low volatility environment. This favors premium-selling strategies or debit spreads with strong directional confluence.
๐ก Option Trade Setup Ideas:
* Bullish: Above $725 with confirmation, long 735c or 740c dated 7/12 or 7/19. Safer via debit spreads (e.g., 725/735 call spread) if IV climbs post-CPI.
* Bearish: Rejection below $723 with failed breakout = potential short via 720p or 715p targeting $710โ707 area.
* Neutral-to-Range Play: Short strangle 715p/735c if expecting chop until CPI resolution.
1-Hour Chart Technical Analysis:
The price action is forming a compression wedge between descending trendline resistance and a horizontal demand base between 711.80โ713.50, which has been defended multiple times. The current structure shows lower highs, but also consistent support with multiple BOS/CHoCH flips, especially along the 715 zone.
A strong reaction candle printed off the demand block after sweeping liquidity on July 8th. Volume is declining, suggesting compression before expansion.
๐ Key Technical Levels:
* Support: 711.80 โ 707.50 (Put wall + SMC demand)
* Resistance: 725 โ 730 โ 735 (GEX resistance cluster)
The EMA and volume structure hint at accumulation, but buyers need a clear breakout over 725 and retest for confirmation. A break below 711 would signal bearish continuation toward 707 and potentially 700.
My Trading Outlook:
* Bullish above 725: Iโll be looking for breakout + volume confluence for short-term long toward 735โ740.
* Bearish below 713: If price loses structure and VWAP shifts downward, Iโll scalp short setups toward 707.50 zone.
* Avoid chasing in mid-zone: Let CPI and market sentiment unfold.
Disclaimer:โจThis analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade based on your own risk tolerance and always use proper risk management.
AMZN Near Critical Pivot AMZN Near Critical Pivot โ Option Traders, Watch These GEX Levels Carefully!
๐ง GEX Analysis for Options Trading:
Amazon is sitting right below its Gamma Wall at $225, which aligns with the highest positive NETGEX, suggesting a significant resistance zone. There's a clear call wall stack at $227.5 and $230, with GEX values ramping up between $223.5 to $232.5, pointing to a possible squeeze if price starts reclaiming the $222.5โ$225 range. However, the current rejection confirms short-term hesitation.
* Put Support builds around $215, with the PUT wall at $212.5 and heavy GEX defense at $217.5.
* Current GEX sentiment leans slightly bullish (๐), but with only 9.8% calls and IVR/IVX at 3.1/3.5, the market seems cautiousโno extreme positioning or imbalance.
* IV is relatively low, which means option premiums are cheapโideal for debit spreads or directional calls if price starts reclaiming $222.
๐ข If price breaks back above $222.5 with volume, consider long calls targeting $225โ$230.โจ๐ด If it breaks down below $217.5 with momentum, puts toward $215 or even $212.5 become attractive.
๐ 1-Hour Chart Technical Outlook:
Price structure has clearly shifted bearish following a confirmed CHoCH (Change of Character) beneath a previously bullish zone around $223โ$224. There's been a break of trendline support, and price is currently consolidating just above the $217.5โ$218.75 key support zone, which aligns with HVL and GEX defense.
* Previous BOS and CHoCH zones have now flipped into supply, and unless bulls reclaim $222.5, rallies may be sold into.
* A liquidity sweep could develop toward $215 or $212.5 before any rebound.
* Volume spike on the drop shows seller aggression. Reclaiming the broken OB (purple box) could flip bias back short-term bullish.
๐ข Scalp Long above $220.5 toward $222.5โ$224 if buyers step in on reclaim.โจ๐ด Scalp Short below $217.5 targeting $215โ$213.โจโ Stay out in the chop zone between $218โ$220. Let the market show its hand.
๐ฏ Key Trade Suggestions:
* Call Option: Break/retest $222.5 โ Buy $225C / $230C (Jul 12/19 expiry)
* Put Option: Break $217.5 โ Buy $215P / $212.5P (Jul 12/19 expiry)
* Spread Idea: If long bias confirmed, $222.5/$227.5 call debit spread offers low IV play
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
PLTR Approaching Key Gamma ResistanceโWill 140 Break or Reject?๐ Options Sentiment (GEX Analysis):
PLTR is pushing into a high gamma zone with notable resistance from options positioning:
* Call Walls are stacked at 140, 142, and 145, with the 145 line aligning with a GEX10 and 2nd Call Wall (86.54%). This suggests significant overhead resistance and a possible hedging zone.
* Gamma flip zone is near 137, where the Highest Positive NETGEX sits โ this acts as a pivot or support.
* Below 133, a Put Wall at 130, along with -14.16% NetGEX, offers clear downside targets if bulls lose momentum.
Implied Volatility Data:
* IVR 38.5 / IVx avg 62.3 โ Implied volatility is relatively compressed.
* Call positioning is dominant at 38.1%, with GEX showing a โ ๏ธ yellow signal and diamond risk signals forming โ indicating risk of volatility expansion.
๐ง Options Trade Ideas:
Bullish Case (Momentum breakout):
* If PLTR clears 140 with volume, a breakout toward 144โ146 is possible.
* Suggested trade:
* Buy 145C or 150C (next week) on breakout + momentum confirmation.
* Ideal for gamma squeeze into overhead walls.
* Cut below 137.
Bearish Case (Rejection & fade):
* Rejection below 140 + shift under 137 would invalidate gamma support.
* Suggested trade:
* Buy 135P or 130P, looking for unwind down to 133 โ 130.
* Cut if PLTR reclaims 140 and holds.
โฑ 1-Hour Price Action Analysis (Intraday to Swing Trading):
PLTR has been climbing steadily within a rising wedge channel, forming higher lows and breaking previous CHoCH/BOS zones.
* Recent CHoCH โ xBOS confirms bullish intent but weโre currently at a potential short-term supply zone.
* Price is near structural resistance at 139.30โ140, while remaining above the ascending trendline support.
๐ Key Levels:
* Resistance: 140 โ 142 โ 145
* Support: 137 (pivot), 133 (gap/FVG), then 130
* Trendline Support: Ascending, unbroken since early July
๐ก Trading Outlook & Strategy:
* This is a "make-or-break" zone โ bulls must clear 140 to unlock upside toward 144โ146 (in line with call walls).
* Failure to break this level likely triggers profit-taking, especially if macro headwinds align.
* A pullback to 133โ137 could provide a clean dip-buy zone, but a breakdown below 133 opens room to 130 and beyond.
โ
Actionable Strategy:
* Break & Hold Above 140 = Long setup
* Target 144/146
* Stop below 137
* Failure at 140 + Break Below 137 = Short setup
* Target 133/130
* Stop above 140
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
TSLA at Critical Compression โ Will 300 Break or Reject Again?๐ Options Sentiment (GEX) Insight:
TSLA is currently sitting just below the $300 call wall โ a key resistance level with 71.83% call gamma. This makes $300 a battleground where dealers are likely to defend against upward movement unless there's a significant catalyst or volume thrust. The highest positive call gamma is stacked at $320, making that the next magnet level if $300 is breached with strength.
Below, the $290 level is critical, hosting a major PUT wall and high-volume liquidity (HVL). A break below could trigger acceleration toward $285โ$280, where the strongest negative NET GEX exists โ signaling potential dealer hedging flows in favor of downside momentum.
Options Trade Ideas:
* Bullish Scenario (Breakout):
* Buy CALL if TSLA breaks and holds above $300, targeting the $310โ$317.5 range.
* Ideal setup: Use 310c or 315c, 1โ2 weeks out, looking for gamma squeeze.
* Bearish Scenario (Breakdown):
* Buy PUT if TSLA breaks and holds below $290, targeting $285 โ $280.
* Ideal contracts: 280p or 285p, especially if IV remains low (IVR is at 21.3).
* Be cautious of chop inside the $290โ$300 zone โ it's gamma neutral.
๐ 1-Hour Technical Structure:
TSLA is trading inside a descending wedge with a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) confirming near the lower boundary of the wedge. There is a visible bullish OB (order block) between $288โ$290, which acted as support in the last two sessions.
* Trendline Resistance from recent highs still caps upward movement unless $300 is reclaimed decisively.
* A strong bullish breakout above $300 could flip the structure fully bullish and initiate trend continuation toward $320.
* Failure to hold $290 could invalidate the CHoCH and confirm a BOS (Break of Structure) back to the downside.
Intraday Trade Scenarios:
* Scalp Long:
* Entry: $297.50 (if holds and reclaims above $300)
* Target: $307 / $310
* Stop: $293.94 (below last swing)
* Scalp Short:
* Entry: Break below $288.77
* Target: $285 โ $280
* Stop: $293.94
Final Thoughts:
TSLA is consolidating near a major decision zone. $300 remains the trigger level for a directional move, and option flows suggest an explosive resolution if either side breaks. Stay nimble, wait for confirmation, and trade with clear invalidation in mind.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
NVDA Testing Gamma Ceiling โ Eyes on 162.5 ๐ฉ Options Sentiment & GEX Analysis
NVDA is pressing into a critical Gamma Wall at 162.5, which aligns with the highest positive NET GEX and second-tier Call Wall concentration. Dealers are likely short calls here, meaning a breakout could trigger gamma-induced hedging, fueling a squeeze.
* Call Walls: 162.5 โ 165 โ 167.5 โ 170
* Put Walls: 157.5 โ 155 โ 152
* GEX Skew: Strong bullish exposure into 162.5, suggesting a resistance zone but also potential fuel if breached.
* IVR: 6.6 โ Implied Volatility remains cheap, ideal for directional plays.
* IVx Avg: 38.6 โ still elevated, giving edge to debit spreads.
* Put/Call Ratio: 0.2% Puts โ overly call-heavy positioning adds risk of dealer chasing if breakout occurs.
๐ง GEX-Based Option Trade Ideas
๐ Bullish Gamma Squeeze Play
* Setup: Buy 160/165 Call debit spread (Jul 19 or Jul 26 expiry).
* Trigger: Break & close above 161 with volume.
* Target: 165 โ 167.5
* Why: Breaching Gamma Wall at 162.5 opens room to next Call Walls. Dealer hedging could force rapid upside.
๐ Bearish Fade Setup
* Setup: Buy 160/155 Put debit spread
* Trigger: Failure to reclaim 161โ162.5 zone with clear rejection pattern.
* Target: 157.5 โ 155
* Why: Rejection at GEX ceiling could unwind recent rally, especially if broader market rolls over.
๐งญ 1-Hour Technical Chart Overview
NVDA is consolidating tightly under its Gamma resistance within a clear ascending channel.
๐ Structure & SMC Highlights
* Series of Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirms bullish trend.
* CHoCH zones have been retested and flipped bullish around 157.5.
* Current price is compressing under a key supply zone at 160.98โ162.5, with rising trendline providing support.
* A clean bullish reaction from the 157.5 order block shows buyer interest is intact.
๐จ Levels to Watch
* Key Resistance: 161 โ 162.5 (GEX ceiling, prior swing highs)
* Support Zone: 157.5 โ 155 (prior CHoCH and OB zone)
* Trendline: Acting as dynamic support from June lows
๐ Trading Plan (1H Price Action Focus)
Long Setup
* Trigger: Break above 161 with bullish candle close and volume
* Entry: 161.20โ161.50
* Stop: Below 159.80 (last demand zone wick)
* Target: 165 first, then 167.5
* Bias: Trend continuation + gamma squeeze
Short Setup
* Trigger: Rejection at 162.5 with bearish engulfing or shooting star
* Entry: 161.80โ162.50
* Stop: Above 163
* Target: 157.5 โ 155
* Bias: Fade extended rally into gamma wall
๐ง Summary
NVDA is perched just under a powerful options-driven ceiling. Whether this turns into a breakout squeeze or a sharp rejection depends on how price reacts to the 161โ162.5 zone. Traders should prepare for both scenarios with defined-risk debit spreads and lean into price confirmation before committing.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.