Markets Converging MVIS market changing potentialMicrovision is weeks away from hitting an intense inflection point.
Pending news for SBMC (decision date August 29th )
Microvision is partnered with NVDA for their driving lidar and software -- and have a plug and play system better than any competitor. (an update was made to MVIS website while not yet on the NVDA website. Possibly indicating pending news related)
Industrial contracts are positioned to come in by September of this year.
Potentially in the month of August/September MVIS could announce news of wins in 3 different verticals absolutely flipping the bear base upside down. causing an insane short squeeze. (to TRUE/FAIR market evaluations)
The 5 year chart I have shown indicate moves and price targets as well as time frames for news. The consolidating 5 year wedge can also be seen as wyckoff accumulation. There are multiple indicators implying bullish divergences on the 5 year time frame. People WANT MVIS.
These markets MVIS are entering are HUGE and going to grow astronomically. The potential upside if MVIS is established as the key player could be INSANE.
Lidar competitors have typically 1 vertical. Microvision has 5.
I believe the catalyst to all of this is news related to SBMC. industrial and automotive OEMs are conservative and want a company that will survive to fulfill their needs. an SBMC would guarantee survivability and military approval.
I believe multiple OEMs are waiting for this exact moment. if MVIS is selected by the DoD, then a domino effect will happen in all 3 markets.
META, GOOGLE, APPL will also then see the AR tech validated & may proceed with trying to buy them out or purchase licenses.
This stock, could be THE stock of a lifetime.
AAPL – Bullish Wedge Breakout Setup Toward Gap FillAAPL NASDAQ:AAPL has broken out of a descending trendline and is now consolidating inside a bullish wedge pattern . Price is holding above the 200 SMA and hovering near the 50 SMA.
The structure suggests a potential breakout above the wedge, with a clear gap area between $216–$224 acting as the next upside target.
Key levels:
Support: $206 (wedge base / 50 SMA)
Resistance: $216–$224 (gap zone)
Trend structure: Bullish consolidation after breakout
A clean breakout from the wedge with volume could trigger a continuation move toward the gap zone.
📌 Watching for confirmation and potential entry on a breakout + retest.
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
CRM Bullish Double bottom unfolding🚀 CRM Bullish Double bottom unfolding
Ticker : Salesforce, Inc. (CRM)
Timeframe : 1D (Daily Chart)
Setup Type : Potential Double Bottom / Range Breakout
Bias : Bullish Reversal
Technical Breakdown
CRM is showing signs of forming a potential bottoming structure after a sharp decline and a period of sideways consolidation. We're currently sitting near the bottom of the range, and this could offer a favorable long setup with clearly defined risk and reward.
Look at the Blackstone's chart where a double bottom appeared in a very similar moment and offered a great opportunity to join the rally.
Here’s what’s happening:
Price has tested the same support level twice, around $259, hinting at a possible Double Bottom pattern.
If buyers step in from here and push price above the resistance zone near $275–278, we could see a strong continuation move.
The Volume Profile (VPVR) shows a big high-volume node above $275, meaning once that level is cleared, there’s room to run.
🎯 Educational Trade Plan
Entry idea : On confirmation of support around $259 or breakout above $278
Stop Loss : Below support, ~3% risk
Target 1 (Easy TP): 5.5% – retest of previous highs near $290
Target 2 (Full Move): 11% – around $310, aligned with the broader resistance and VPVR value area
💡 Why This Matters
This setup offers a tight stop and healthy reward , perfect for traders looking for calculated entries. It's also a great teaching moment:
-> When price consolidates near support with clear structure and nearby volume gaps, breakouts can be explosive once resistance gives way.
-> If CRM confirms the bounce, we could be at the early stages of a bullish swing back to value.
✅ Key Takeaways for Traders
Structure : Potential double bottom or range play
Location : Near strong support
Volume : Favorable above resistance
Risk Management : Clean stop just below lows with great risk/reward ratio.
💬 Does this setup align with your view on CRM?
🚀 Hit the rocket if this helped you spot the opportunity and follow for more clean, educational trade ideas!
QS Breakout Setting Up — Entries Triggered, Waiting for ConfirmSeed System entries are printing on QS with trailing profit zones holding firm.
MACD crossovers confirming the move. Watching RSI cooling just under breakout resistance at $11.35.
A push through $11.50 with volume and I’m adding — slowly.
Support at $10.03, cut fast if price shows weakness.
Let the market do the heavy lifting.
#QS #SeedSystem #SwingTrading #TrendFollowing #LivermoreStyle #BreakoutWatch
Short - AMDTime period for this play : week to months
Analysis : Elliot wave 12345 ABC. Expect hitting .618 and bounce back up to go higher.
Pattern if wave B completed : Head & Shoulder
Price Target: Wave ABC
ETA Timeline for correction. Please refer to the chart.
Upcoming events:
Tariff active on 8/1/25 - Friday
Earning on 8/5/25 - Tuesday
Top is not in yet, so 2 Possible top-in levels:
Top 1 - $163.45 : Retesting to hit 163.45, rejected, and break $158
Top 2 - $173.94 : Breaking 163.45 and reject at 173.94
=> Overall, It begins trading side way and show some weakness now.
The correction may not pull back to .618, which is the best level. Other scenarios:
- 0.5 fib, where it test wave 3
- 0.328 fib, strong bullish level if it doesn't break & go to the upside faster
I'm just going to keep putting the hammer down - Long at 3.88I've done two other ideas for ASM in the last 3-1/2 months, so I'm not gonna rehash all those details here. If you are new to me or to my ideas for this ticker, just look at those. In them, I make a fairly compelling argument for short term trading this name. I'll sum it up quickly here - it's been extremely profitable. I'm expecting no different this time.
Since my last idea on June 20th, there has been only one buy signal on this name until this week, but that one paid 9.5% in two trading days. Today's signal is actually the 3rd in a row (not uncommon for this ticker) and full disclosure, I traded the other two so I'm in this already. That said, today's signal is extra spicy, thanks to that pretty little hammer of a candlestick that printed today. For those unfamiliar, it is often a sign of a bullish reversal. It requires confirmation, but given the perfect record my signals have provided to this point on ASM, I can justify not waiting for that confirmation as it can cause missed trades if the stock jumps 4 or 5% the next day, as it is fond of doing. But if someone were to jump in on this trade but wanted to wait for confirmation, I believe that the move here would last more than one day, should it happen.
I also have been increasing my exposure to inflation-related trades lately and why not get that from something that bumps like this does?
The solid uptrend that goes back well farther than this chart shows sweetens the deal even more. Given that my first recent signal clicked at the 4.17 level two days ago, I'm expecting a move to and beyond that level in the relatively near term, though that's obviously not a guarantee. I will likely get out of this leg of the trade before it gets there, unless it does it in one move, which isn't out of the question at all. That's only about 7.5% above the current price and this stock moves that much in a day semi-frequently. Twice in the last 7 trading days, in fact.
So that's my case. If the market stays semi-strong, this will likely stay weak until the market cools off some. This is my second add to my real life position, so I'm certainly not shy about adding more if my signals warrant it.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Palantir Is Up 600%+ Since August. What Do Its Charts Say?National-security software firm Palantir Technologies NASDAQ:PLTR hit a new all-time high this week and has gained more than 600% since hitting a 52-week low last August. What does technical and fundamental analysis say could happen next?
Let's look:
Palantir's Fundamental Analysis
PLTR has been on a tear of late, hitting a $153.91 intraday record high on Thursday. (Full disclosure: I own the stock.)
Shares have been rising in part because NATO member nations recently agreed to increase defense and defense-related infrastructure spending to 5% of each country's gross domestic product -- news that could play right into the company's hands.
Only Spain opted out from among the 32 Western nations that belong to the military alliance, although Canada went along only somewhat reluctantly.
The move surprised many NATO observers. Just some eight years ago, President Trump couldn't get a majority of these nations during his first term to pay what he called their "fair share" -- which was then mandated at only 2% of GDP.
But having a hostile Russian Army in Ukraine knocking at NATO's front door has changed global perceptions of what's fiscally necessary and what's not. Spain and Canada are far away from the Russia-Ukraine war, but some NATO members physically closer to the fighting have far more enthusiastically embraced the new 5% spending target.
What becomes of these promises to boost military spending?
There will, no doubt, still be costly purchases of expensive military hardware like tanks, artillery, aircraft and naval vessels. But intelligence provided by the kind of data-based, AI-assisted analysis that Palantir sells seems likely to only grow in significance.
Purchasing such intelligence (or the high-tech, modern systems to gather it) looks to be far more cost-effective than simply throwing money at things like submarines and fighter aircraft.
That's what nations need these days for national security, as well as what many large businesses need just to compete. All of that sounds like music to Palantir's ears.
The company will report Q2 earnings after the closing bell on Aug. 4, with analysts looking for the firm to post $0.14 in adjusted earnings per share on $939.3 million of revenue.
That would represent a 55.6% increase from the $0.09 in adjusted EPS and 38.5% improvement on the $678.1 million in revenues that PLTR reported for the same period last year.
Of the 19 sell-side analysts I found that cover Palantir, 12 have revised their earnings estimates higher since the current quarter began, while three have lowered their forecasts.
Palantir's Technical Analysis
Now let's take a look at PLTR's charts, beginning with this one that runs from January through Tuesday afternoon:
Readers will first note that Palantir continues to break out from the bullish "cup-with-handle" pattern that became visible this spring (shaded purple in the chart above).
The stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) also remains quite robust, but is not yet technically overbought.
Similarly, Palantir's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with gold and black lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is postured bullishly as well.
Within that MACD, the histogram of the stock's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted with blue bars) is above zero. That's often seen technically as short-term bullish.
Meanwhile, Palantir's 12-day EMA (the black line) is back above its 26-day EMA (the gold line), with both in positive territory. That's also a historically bullish signal.
Now let's look at PLTR's chart going back 12 months:
Taking a longer look back, we can take a Raff Regression model (the orange and purple field above) and place it over the stock's price action to better illustrate the trend that's in place.
This view shows PLTR riding its 21-day EMA (the green line above) since mid-April.
Palantir's current pivot is the upper trendline of the model -- about $156 in the chart above vs. the $153.43 that PLTR was trading at on Thursday afternoon.
The stock's 50-day SMA (the blue line at $131.40 in the chart above) represents PLTR's downside pivot, with the Raff Regression model's lower trendline not too far below that for potential support.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long PLTR at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Double Top in MELI – Potential Reversal Inside a Channel🧠 Double Top in MELI – Potential Reversal Inside a Channel
Ticker : MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI)
Timeframe : 1D (Daily Chart)
Pattern : Double Top
Bias : Bearish Reversal within a Bullish Channel
Technical Breakdown
We're spotting a clean Double Top at the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel , a key zone where price has struggled multiple times in the past.
Here’s what stands out:
Two clear peaks around $2,700, signaling buyer exhaustion.
Price has now broken the minor support (neckline) around $2,350, which could trigger further downside in the short term.
The pattern is forming inside a well-defined upward channel, so this move could just be a healthy pullback within the larger trend, or the beginning of something deeper...
📐 Trade Setup
Entry : After the neckline break (~$2,350)
Stop Loss : Above recent highs, at 5% risk
Take Profit : Projected to 6.5% lower, toward the midline of the ascending channel and a high-volume node on the VPVR
📊 The Volume Profile (VPVR) supports this setup:
Lower liquidity between current price and the $2,200–2,250 zone may accelerate the move.
High-volume support is found at the TP zone, which makes it a smart target.
📘 Educational Insight
This setup is a great example of how classic chart patterns (like the Double Top) can still be relevant, even within strong uptrends.
A key lesson here:
Not every reversal is a trend change. Sometimes, it’s just a rotation to rebalance price within structure (like this channel). Risk management becomes crucial.
💬 What do you think? Is MELI heading for a deeper pullback or just catching its breath?
Hit the 🚀 if this helped clarify the setup, and follow for more clean, educational ideas!
TSLA weekly coiling into something powerfulNever doubt the power of TSLA. Recently broke out of a huge pennant, and now nearing the end of another pennant while simultaneously holding support above the daily 20EMA(overlayed on this weekly chart).
Also recently found support off of the monthly 20EMA (overlayed on this weekly chart) and took 2 direct hits on the monthly 50EMA (overlayed on this weekly chart) before that and rallied up. It will take a lot to crush this setup but anything can happen. Possibly a longer pennant formation.
I'm just a cat not a financial advisor.
$GRAB ready for the launch to $6-8 range- NASDAQ:GRAB market leader in south east asia with diversified business in a growing economy has massive TAM and strong tailwinds i.e economy of scale.
- it provides you to diversify your portfolio with emerging markets.
- NASDAQ:GRAB was consolidating and now is ready for the impulsive move to its new range of $6-8 where it might consolidate further to challenge the all time highs.
$RKLB Overvalued asf! - NASDAQ:RKLB is overvalued. I will either stay on the sidelines or short the heck out of this POS.
- Company sells hopium which doesn't have meaningful materialization as of now and not even in the distant future.
Fundamentally,
2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
-0.32 | -0.08 | 0.17 | 0.47
Revenue:
576.83M | 905.01M | 1.21B | 1.69B
- Market cap of NASDAQ:RKLB currently sits at 24.61B as of July 17, 2025.
- People who are buying now are buying someone else bag and are in for a horrible ride.
- Consider buying it under $15 if you are super bullish
Walmart: Long Position Attractive on Demand ZoneWalmart Inc. presents a compelling long opportunity. The price action is reclaiming a key demand zone, suggesting a continuation of the current uptrend, a pattern reinforced by seasonal factors. Further bolstering the bullish case is the observed increase in large speculator positions.
✅ Please share your thoughts about WMT in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
7/3/25 - $meta - Still a buy sub $1k/shr7/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:META
Still a buy sub $1k/shr
- reality is, why would you bet against zuck
- his platforms are hitting on all strides. he is willing to internally build the best AI when he's falling behind by hiring the best talent and it is a LOT cheaper to hire for collectively $500 mm than say pay billions for a developed product and internalize it. great move Zuck!
- and their ad tools are second to none and don't suffer as much from "Google search" narrative as the ecosystem is one of those that's incrementally chipping away from Google.
- at mid 20s + PE, the stock is not "cheap" but it's actually quite affordable for the environment we're in
- some market POV: I think we've seen the "garden variety" pullback already. believe it or not... when you look at the individual names from recent highs, we've seen a lil 3 to 10% shuffle and not all on the same day (take for instance the TSLA dip the other day, large, and not on a day where nasdaq or other Mag7's were red).
- i continue to see small caps failing on large cap peers
- i see more money still floating lager caps higher at the expense of small caps, even tho it might look the opposite in the immediate term (this is a story as old as time... newbs chase quick thrills, get squashed and can afford less of the assets they should be buying to begin with). so word to the wise: if you've made some nice tendies lately on slightly more degen plays... buying stuff like Mag7's or even indices at highs is not necessarily a "bad" buy.
- anyway i like NASDAQ:META at sub $1k and sub 35x PE into the print
- would like to own more, so would be buying dips
- but think this is a winner in 2H
V
PG Approaching Oversold Discount Zone Ahead of Q4 Earnings BTFD?📝 Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) is trading at $153.73 (-10.8% YTD), lagging the S&P 500’s +6.5% YTD gain. Despite recent weakness, a confluence of technical support, dividend resilience, and a looming catalyst could signal a tactical entry. Let’s break it down:
🔍 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Q4 Earnings Webcast (July 29):
P&G will webcast Q4 results at 8:30 AM ET, with focus on organic sales growth (guided at +2% FY25) and margin trajectory 14.
EPS Expectations: Q4 consensus at $1.43 (+2.1% YoY); FY25 core EPS guided at $6.72–6.82 (2–4% growth) 410.
Dividend Fortress:
Quarterly payout raised to $1.0568/share (ex-div: July 18), marking 69 consecutive years of increases and a 2.75% yield 612.
Payout ratio at 67% of earnings – sustainable for a consumer staple 6.
Cost Pressures & Mitigation:
Tariff Headwinds: $1B–$1.5B annual cost hit from U.S.-China tariffs 410.
Offsets: $2.4B dividend payouts + $1.4B buybacks in Q3; 280bps gross productivity savings 10.
🌍 Macro & Risk Factors
Consumer Softness: Q3 net sales fell -2% YoY; volume declines in Baby Care (-2%) and Fabric & Home Care (-1%) segments 10.
Pricing Power: Average +1% pricing in Q3 (led by Grooming/Health Care), though mix/elasticity risks persist 104.
Structural Shifts: Portfolio pruning (minor brand exits) and job cuts to offset tariff impacts 4.
📉 Technical Setup: Oversold with Base-Building Potential
RSI 31.5 (Neutral but nearing oversold) 511.
Price vs. MAs: Below all key MAs (20-day: $159.17, 50-day: $161.59, 200-day: $165.56) – signaling bearish momentum but extreme discounts 5811.
Support Zone: $152–153 aligns with 52-week lows ($151.90) and the 2025 dividend-capture floor 212.
MACD -1.57: Suggests potential reversal if momentum shifts 5.
Technical Indicators Summary:
Indicator Value Signal
RSI (14) 31.45 Neutral
MACD (12,26) -1.57 Buy
Price vs. 200D SMA -7.1% Sell
Bollinger Bands (25) $157–161.94 Sell
🎯 Probabilistic Price Targets
Scenario Target Probability Rationale
Bounce to 20D MA $158–160 60% Mean reversion + dividend ex-date support
Reversion to 50D MA $162–164 45% Technical confluence + tariff resolution hopes
Rally to 200D MA + ATH $174 25% Bull case: Macro stabilization + guidance upgrade
📌 Trade Strategy
Entry: $152–154 (aligns with structural support) 28.
Stop Loss: $149.50 (1–2% below July 16 low of $152.27) 2.
Targets: Scale out at $160 → $164 → $174.
Catalysts: Q4 earnings (July 29) + clarity on tariff mitigation 14.
Position Size: Allocate 3–5% of portfolio; pair with long-volatility hedge.
⚠️ Key Risks
Guidance Miss: Sluggish volumes or tariff escalation could pressure FY26 EPS projections.
Technical Breakdown: Close below $151.90 invalidates support, inviting a slide to $145.
Macro Sensitivity: Consumer staples underperformance if inflation rebounds.
💎 Final Take
PG offers a rare combo: defensive yield (2.75%) + oversold technicals + imminent catalyst. While tariffs and consumer weakness justify caution, the $152–154 zone is a high-probability dip-buying opportunity. Earnings day vol could amplify moves – enter pre-event with tight stops.
#PG #ConsumerStaples #DividendKing #EarningsPlay #Tariffs
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Conduct your own due diligence.
COIN -- Major Trendlines + Bearish Divergence = Breakdown?Hello Traders!
Today I have shared the chart of COINBASE. Of course we cant know for sure what price will do, however you can take clues and combine them to give you a high probability reading of the chart.
Here are the clues:
1) MAJOR TRENDLINE
2) TRENDLINE
3) BEARISH DIVERGENCE
4) BULL FLAG MEASURED MOVE
When we combine these clues, a very bearish picture is painted... This signals to me that there is a high probability price will likely reverse and trade to the downside in the near future.
I hope everyone enjoyed this post and is able to use it as an educational tool.
Thanks everyone and best of luck on your trading journey!