Amphibiantrading — Indicators and Strategies

Speedometer Revisited Speedometer Revisited is a new way to draw custom metric speedometers and is intended to be a utility for other coders to use. @rumpypumpydumpy originally introduced the Speedometer Toolkit in version 4 of Pine Script. Since then, Pine Script has been updated to version 5, introducing some amazing new features such as polylines and chart.points. This indicator is an example of what can be done with these newer features. The indicator starts off with a handful of functions that will be used to create the drawings. Notes are left throughout the code explaining what each line of the functions does. My goal was to make these functions user-friendly and somewhat easy to understand. I then demonstrate two examples: one speedometer with five segments and another with three. The first example demonstrates how to visually represent the analysts' ratings for a stock using the built-in syminfo.recommendations. The speedometer is divided into five segments, each representing a different level of analyst recommendation: strong sell, sell, hold, buy, and strong buy. Each segment is drawn using a polyline from the createSeg function, with colors assigned as follows: Red for 'Strong Sell' Maroon for 'Sell' Yellow for 'Hold' Green for 'Buy' Lime for 'Strong Buy' The script identifies the maximum value among the analyst ratings, calculates the midpoint of the corresponding segment, and draws a needle pointing to this midpoint. The second example employs the speedometer design to display market sentiment through the put-call ratio. The put-call ratio is a gauge of investor sentiment, where values above 1 indicate a bearish sentiment (more puts being bought relative to calls), and values below 1 suggest a bullish outlook (more calls being bought relative to puts). The speedometer is divided into three segments, reflecting different ranges of the put-call ratio: Red for a ratio greater than 1 (bearish sentiment) Yellow for a ratio between 0.8 and 1 (neutral to bearish sentiment) Lime for a ratio less than 0.8 (bullish sentiment) Depending on the value of the put-call ratio, the script calculates which segment the current value falls into and determines the appropriate segment number. The script calculates the midpoint of the selected segment and draws a needle pointing to this value. Both examples show how the speedometer can be used as a visual indicator of certain market conditions, helping traders quickly recognize trends and adjust their strategies accordingly. A big thanks to @rumpypumpydumpy for his original Speedometer Toolbox. I hope this take on it can be useful for other coders.

Equity Curve An equity curve is a graphical representation of the change in the value of a trading account over a time period. The equity curve is a direct reflection of a trading strategy's effectiveness. A consistently upward-trending equity curve indicates a successful strategy, while a flat or declining curve may signal the need for adjustment. This indicator takes traders daily account values as a comma separated list, and creates an equity curve and simple moving average of the equity curve. This serves as a mirror reflecting the outcome of past actions and decisions, guiding traders in fine-tuning their strategies, managing risk more effectively, and ultimately striving towards a consistently profitable trading journey. New equity values should be added to the end of the current list. A space or no space after the comma has no effect. Importance of the Equity Curve Strategy Evaluation: The equity curve is a direct reflection of a trading strategy's effectiveness over time. A consistently upward-trending equity curve indicates a successful strategy, while a flat or declining curve may signal the need for adjustment. Risk Management: Monitoring the equity curve helps traders to see the impact of their risk management practices. Sudden drops in equity could highlight instances of excessive risk-taking or inadequate stop-loss settings. Performance Benchmarks: Comparing the equity curve against benchmarks or desired performance goals allows traders to assess if they are meeting, exceeding, or falling short of their trading objectives. Psychology: Trading is as much about psychology as it is about strategy. A visual representation of one's equity curve helps maintain discipline, encouraging adherence to a trading plan during downturns and preventing overconfidence during upswings. Having this data visually allows traders to see which category of trader they fall into. Unprofitable Boom or Bust Profitable Statistical Data The indicator not only plots the equity curve and moving average, but includes the option to display the highest value reached by the equity curve, the percentage difference from the peak, and performance over selected periods (All Time, YTD, QTD, MTD, WTD). Historical Analysis The Equity Curve Indicator is not just a tool for real-time monitoring of trading performance; it also serves as a powerful instrument for conducting historical analysis. By analyzing the equity curve in conjunction with historical market conditions, traders can identify patterns or triggers that resulted in significant gains or losses. For example, the chart below shows the equity curve overlaid on periods of net new highs / lows. The equity curve experienced declines while the market was showing net new lows or choppy periods (represented by a red or white background), while most of the equity gains were made while net new highs were present (green background). This retrospective analysis helps in understanding how different market conditions impact trading strategies and performance. Trading the Equity Curve All trading strategies produce an equity curve that has winning and losing periods. In the example above, the trader could introduce a simple rule to lighten up on long positions or move to cash during periods of net new lows. Another simple rule could be introduced to stop trading if the equity curve falls below the moving average, until favorable market conditions return again. This indicator is intended to be used on the daily timeframe.

Danger Signals from The Trading Mindwheel The " Danger Signals " indicator, a collaborative creation from the minds at Amphibian Trading and MARA Wealth, serves as your vigilant lookout in the volatile world of stock trading. Drawing from the wisdom encapsulated in "The Trading Mindwheel" and the successful methodologies of legends like William O'Neil and Mark Minervini, this tool is engineered to safeguard your trading journey. Core Features: Real-Time Alerts: Identify critical danger signals as they emerge in the market. Whether it's a single day of heightened risk or a pattern forming, stay informed with specific danger signals and a tally of signals for comprehensive decision-making support. The indicator looks for over 30 different signals ranging from simple closing ranges to more complex signals like blow off action. Tailored Insights with Portfolio Heat Integration: Pair with the "Portfolio Heat" indicator to customize danger signals based on your current positions, entry points, and stops. This personalized approach ensures that the insights are directly relevant to your trading strategy. Certain signals can have different meanings based on where your trade is at in its lifecycle. Blow off action at the beginning of a trend can be viewed as strength, while after an extended run could signal an opportunity to lock in profits. Forward-Looking Analysis: Leverage the 'Potential Danger Signals' feature to assess future risks. Enter hypothetical price levels to understand potential market reactions before they unfold, enabling proactive trade management. The indicator offers two different modes of 'Potential Danger Signals', Worst Case or Immediate. Worst Case allows the user to input any price and see what signals would fire based on price reaching that level, while the Immediate mode looks for potential Danger Signals that could happen on the next bar. This is achieved by adding and subtracting the average daily range to the current bars close while also forecasting the next values of moving averages, vwaps, risk multiples and the relative strength line to see if a Danger Signal would trigger. User Customization: Flexibility is at your fingertips with toggle options for each danger signal. Tailor the indicator to match your unique trading style and risk tolerance. No two traders are the same, that is why each signal is able to be turned on or off to match your trading personality. Versatile Application: Ideal for growth stock traders, momentum swing traders, and adherents of the CANSLIM methodology. Whether you're a novice or a seasoned investor, this tool aligns with strategies influenced by trading giants. Validation and Utility: Inspired by the trade management principles of Michael Lamothe, the " Danger Signals " indicator is more than just a tool; it's a reflection of tested strategies that highlight the importance of risk management. Through rigorous validation, including the insights from "The Trading Mindwheel," this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with an informed, strategic approach. Whether you're contemplating a new position or evaluating an existing one, the " Danger Signals " indicator is designed to provide the clarity needed to avoid potential pitfalls and capitalize on opportunities with confidence. Embrace a smarter way to trade, where awareness and preparation open the door to success. Let's dive into each of the components of this indicator. Volume: Volume refers to the number of shares or contracts traded in a security or an entire market during a given period. It is a measure of the total trading activity and liquidity, indicating the overall interest in a stock or market. Price Action: the analysis of historical prices to inform trading decisions, without the use of technical indicators. It focuses on the movement of prices to identify patterns, trends, and potential reversal points in the market. Relative Strength Line: The RS line is a popular tool used to compare the performance of a stock, typically calculated as the ratio of the stock's price to a benchmark index's price. It helps identify outperformers and underperformers relative to the market or a specific sector. The RS value is calculated by dividing the close price of the chosen stock by the close price of the comparative symbol (SPX by default). Average True Range (ATR): ATR is a market volatility indicator used to show the average range prices swing over a specified period. It is calculated by taking the moving average of the true ranges of a stock for a specific period. The true range for a period is the greatest of the following three values: The difference between the current high and the current low. The absolute value of the current high minus the previous close. The absolute value of the current low minus the previous close. Average Daily Range (ADR): ADR is a measure used in trading to capture the average range between the high and low prices of an asset over a specified number of past trading days. Unlike the Average True Range (ATR), which accounts for gaps in the price from one day to the next, the Average Daily Range focuses solely on the trading range within each day and averages it out. Anchored VWAP: AVWAP gives the average price of an asset, weighted by volume, starting from a specific anchor point. This provides traders with a dynamic average price considering both price and volume from a specific start point, offering insights into the market's direction and potential support or resistance levels. Moving Averages: Moving Averages smooth out price data by creating a constantly updated average price over a specific period of time. It helps traders identify trends by flattening out the fluctuations in price data. Stochastic: A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that compares a particular closing price of an asset to a range of its prices over a certain period of time. The theory behind the stochastic oscillator is that in a market trending upwards, prices will tend to close near their high, and in a market trending downwards, prices close near their low. While each of these components offer unique insights into market behavior, providing sell signals under specific conditions, the power of combining these different signals lies in their ability to confirm each other's signals. This in turn reduces false positives and provides a more reliable basis for trading decisions These signals can be recognized at any time, however the indicators power is in it's ability to take into account where a trade is in terms of your entry price and stop. If a trade just started, it hasn’t earned much leeway. Kind of like a new employee that shows up late on the first day of work. It’s less forgivable than say the person who has been there for a while, has done well, is on time, and then one day comes in late. Contextual Sensitivity: For instance, a high volume sell-off coupled with a bearish price action pattern significantly strengthens the sell signal. When the price closes below an Anchored VWAP or a critical moving average in this context, it reaffirms the bearish sentiment, suggesting that the momentum is likely to continue downwards. By considering the relative strength line (RS) alongside volume and price action, the indicator can differentiate between a normal retracement in a strong uptrend and a when a stock starts to become a laggard. The integration of ATR and ADR provides a dynamic framework that adjusts to the market's volatility. A sudden increase in ATR or a character change detected through comparing short-term and long-term ADR can alert traders to emerging trends or reversals. The "Danger Signals" indicator exemplifies the power of integrating diverse technical indicators to create a more sophisticated, responsive, and adaptable trading tool. This approach not only amplifies the individual strengths of each indicator but also mitigates their weaknesses. Portfolio Heat Indicator can be found by clicking on the image below Danger Signals Included Price Closes Near Low - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less Price Closes Near Weekly Low - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less Price Closes Near Daily Low on Heavy Volume - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days Price Closes Near Weekly Low on Heavy Volume - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Weeks Price Closes Below Moving Average - Price Closes Below One of 5 Selected Moving Averages Price Closes Below Swing Low - Price Closes Below Most Recent Swing Low Price Closes Below 1.5 ATR - Price Closes Below Trailing ATR Stop Based on Highest High of Last 10 Days Price Closes Below AVWAP - Price Closes Below Selected Anchored VWAP (Anchors include: High of base, Low of base, Highest volume of base, Custom date) Price Shows Aggressive Selling - Current Bars High is Greater Than Previous Day's High and Closes Near the Lows on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days Outside Reversal Bar - Price Makes a New High and Closes Near the Lows, Lower Than the Previous Bar's Low Price Shows Signs of Stalling - Heavy Volume with a Close of Less than 1% 3 Consecutive Days of Lower Lows - 3 Days of Lower Lows Close Lower than 3 Previous Lows - Close is Less than 3 Previous Lows Character Change - ADR of Last Shorter Length is Larger than ADR of Longer Length Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic - Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic Fast & Slow Stochastic Curved Down - Both Stochastic Lines Close Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days Lower Lows & Lower Highs Intraday - Lower High and Lower Low on 30 Minute Timeframe Moving Average Crossunder - Selected MA Crosses Below Other Selected MA RS Starts Curving Down - Relative Strength Line Closes Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days RS Turns Negative Short Term - RS Closes Below RS of 7 Days Ago RS Underperforms Price - Relative Strength Line Not at Highs, While Price Is Moving Average Begins to Flatten Out - First Day MA Doesn't Close Higher Price Moves Higher on Lighter Volume - Price Makes a New High on Light Volume and 15 Day Average Volume is Less than 50 Day Average Price Hits % Target - Price Moves Set % Higher from Entry Price Price Hits R Multiple - Price hits (Entry - Stop Multiplied by Setting) and Added to Entry Price Hits Overhead Resistance - Price Crosses a Swing High from a Monthly Timeframe Chart from at Least 1 Year Ago Price Hits Fib Level - Price Crosses a Fib Extension Drawn From Base High to Low Price Hits a Psychological Level - Price Crosses a Multiple of 0 or 5 Heavy Volume After Significant Move - Above Average and Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days 35 Bars or More from Breakout Moving Averages Begin to Slope Downward - Moving Averages Fall for 2 Consecutive Days Blow Off Action - Highest Volume, Largest Spread, Multiple Gaps in a Row 35 Bars or More Post Breakout Late Buying Frenzy - ANTS 35 Bars or More Post Breakout Exhaustion Gap - Gap Up 5% or Higher with Price 125% or More Above 200sma

Power Outage The Power Outage indicator serves as the antithesis to the Power Trend, highlighting periods of extreme weakness or downtrends. Drawing inspiration from the Power Trend, the Power Outage framework was conceived by reversing the logic to highlight periods where being in cash or net short could be beneficial. What Initiates a Power Outage? The high is below the 21-day EMA for at least 10 consecutive days. The 21-day EMA is below the 50-day SMA for a minimum of five days. The 50-day SMA is on a downward trajectory. The closing price is lower than the previous day's close. A Power Outage can be a caution sign for traders to tighten up risk management and encourage defensive strategies or the consideration of short positions. Not only does this indicator clearly identify a Power Outage by a shaded background or shape plotted on the chart, but it also records metrics for each previous Power Outage. The number of Power Outages that have occurred, their average length, and average depth (from the first day's close when the Power Outage activates to the low of the Power Outage) are all displayed to help assess the condition of the current Power Outage. What Ends a Power Outage? A Power Outage ends when the 21-day EMA crosses above the 50-day SMA, or when the price closes 10% above the recent low and above the 50-day SMA. This indicator is designed to be viewed on a daily time frame.

Anchored Chandelier Exit The Chandelier Exit is a popular tool among traders used to help determine appropriate stop loss levels. Originally developed by Chuck LeBeau, the Chandelier Exit takes into account market volatility and adjusts the stop loss level dynamically. This indicator builds upon the original Chandelier Exit by allowing the trader to select an anchor date or starting point for the indicator to begin calculating from. The Original Chandelier Exit Before we get into the details of the Anchored Chandelier Exit, let's review the original. Essentially a dynamic ATR stop loss, the Chandelier Exit provides a trailing stop that moves higher or lower based on volatility. The Chandelier Exit is calculated based on the following criteria: 🔶ATR - The ATR is used to measure the volatility of a security over a lookback period. The ATR length determines the number of bars to consider when calculating the average true range. The shorter the length, the more responsive the level will be. 🔶ATR Multiplier - The default multiplier is set to 3. This is used to determine the sensitivity of the Chandelier Exit. The higher the ATR multiplier the wider the stop levels will be. A lower multiplier will tighten stop levels. 🔶Highest / Lowest Points - Determine the highest high (bullish trade) or lowest low (bearish trade) during the lookback period. The default length is 22 bars. Calculating the Chandelier Exit Bullish trades - Highest High - ATR * Multiplier Bearish trades - Lowest Low + ATR * Multiplier The Anchored Chandelier Exit The Anchored Chandelier Exit is a new twist on the original, allowing traders to adapt their stop loss levels based on specific market events, levels or bars. Similar to the original, traders can select the ATR length and multiplier, however, the high or low from which the ATR is subtracted or added is first determined at the anchor bar. As new bars form, the indicator checks for the previous high/low to be breached. If the high or low is exceeded, the highest/lowest point is updated and the Chandelier Exit is recalculated. When the indicator is first loaded to your chart, it will ask you to select an anchor bar and choose the bias for the trade. A bullish (long) bias trade will plot the Chandelier Exit below price action, while a bearish (short) bias trade will plot the Chandelier Exit above price action. Indicator Features 🔶Custom Start Date 🔶Bullish or Bearish Bias 🔶Selectable ATR Length & Multiplier 🔶Custom Colors 🔶Exit With Close or Wicks 🔶Exit Alerts With careful parameter optimization, the Anchored Chandelier Exit can be a useful tool for helping traders manage risk based on market volatility.