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Bitcoinforecast

Blockchain Fundamentals: 200 Week MA Heatmap [CR]Blockchain Fundamentals: 200 Week MA Heatmap This is released as a thank you to all my followers who pushed me over the 600 follower mark on twitter. Thanks to all you Kingz and Queenz out there who made it happen. <3 Indicator Overview In each of its major market cycles, Bitcoin's price historically bottoms out around the 200 week moving average. This indicator uses a color heatmap based on the % increases of that 200 week moving average. Depending on the rolling cumulative 4 week percent delta of the 200 week moving average, a color is assigned to the price chart. This method clearly highlights the market cycles of bitcoin and can be extremely helpful to use in your forecasts. How It Can Be Used The long term Bitcoin investor can monitor the monthly color changes. Historically, when we see orange and red dots assigned to the price chart, this has been a good time to sell Bitcoin as the market overheats. Periods where the price dots are purple and close to the 200 week MA have historically been good times to buy. Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool If you are looking to predict the price of Bitcoin or forecast where it may go in the future, the 200WMA heatmap can be a useful tool as it shows on a historical basis whether the current price is overextending (red dots) and may need to cool down. It can also show when Bitcoin price may be good value on a historical basis. This can be when the dots on the chart are purple or blue. Over more than ten years, $BTC has spent very little time below the 200 week moving average which is also worth noting when thinking about price predictions for Bitcoin or a Bitcoin price forecast. Notes 1.) If you do not want to view the legend do the following: Indicator options > Style tab > Uncheck "Tables" 2.) I use my custom function to get around the limited historical data for bitcoin. You can check out the explanation of it here:
Pine Script® indicator
by theheirophant
10
R19 STRATEGYHello again. Let me introduce you R19 Strategy I wrote for mostly BTC long/short signals This is an upgrated version of STRATEGY R18 F BTC strategy. I checked this strategy on different timeframes and different assest and found it very usefull for BTC 1 Hour and 5 minutes chart. Strategy is basically takes BTC/USDT as a main indicator, so you can apply this strategy to all cryptocurrencies as they mostly acts accordingly with BTC itself (Of course you can change main indicator to different assets if you think that there is a positive corelation with. i.e. for BTC signals you can sellect DXY index for main indicator to act for BTC long/short signals) Default variables of the inticator is calibrated to BTC/USDT 5 minute chart. I gained above %77 success. Strategy simply uses, ADX, MACD, SMA, Fibo, RSI combination and opens positions accordingly. Timeframe variable is very important that, strategy decides according the timeframe you've sellected but acts within the timeframe in the chart. For example, if you're on the 5 minutes chart, but you've selected 1 hour for the time frame variable, strategy looks for 1 hour MACD crossover for opening a position, but this happens in 5 minutes candle, It acts quickly and opens the position. Strategy also uses a trailing stop loss feature. You can determine max stoploss, at which point trailing starts and at which distance trailing follows. The green and red lines will show your stoploss levels according to the position strategy enters (green for long, red for short stop loss levels). When price exceeds to the certaing levels of success, stop loss goes with the profitable price (this means, when strategy opens a position, you can put your stop loss to the green/red line in actual trading) You can fine tune strategy to all assets. Please write down your comments if you get more successfull about different time zones and different assets. And please tell me your fine tuning levels of this strategy as well. See you all.
Pine Script® strategy
by SenatorVonShaft
My 1st indicator- Log(price/20w sma)you may comment out outputs and change variable req for using in different timeframes because its suitable for only 20w sma and bitcoin only for understanding when to buy long term and sell too i recommend zooming out and making a trend line from tops back from 2013 in bitcoin-index chart pair it up with rsi and bam you have a very powerful indicator for bitcoin buys for long term This indicator gnerally provides confluence and i got the idea from , honourable, Benjamin Cowen's Youtube channel to make it Its not as colourful as his becoz as u see the name its my first indicator but i hope i improve myself :)
Pine Script® indicator
by EdIrfan786xLin
4
BTC Multi Exchange Perpetual PremiumThis script tracks the premium/discount of Bitcoin perpetual contracts at various exchanges. The premium/discount is calculated against an index price. The index price is calculated from spot exchange prices and are weighted as follows: Bitstamp:28,81% Bittrex:5,5% Coinbase: 38,07% Gemini: 7,34% Kraken: 20,28 The difference between this script and other available scripts, is that exciting script seems to only focus on one exchange. This script is also open source.
Pine Script® indicator
by egils75
4
MA Multiplier with FibonacciThis implementation of the "2-Year MA Multiplier" gives you some control over the indicator, you can change the multiplier from it's default of 5, you can change the lookback from it's default of 730 days and I've also added three fibonacci traces between the moving average and it's multiple that you can play with. Oh and you can also choose the data source ('close' or 'hl2' make most sense). The formula for this indicator was created by Philip Swift. Thanks to @Pladizow for pointing me to this indicator.
Pine Script® indicator
by bu5hm4nn
MAFIA CANDLESMafia Candles is a Exhaustion bar count and candle count indicator, Using the Leledc Candles and 1-3 counting candle play gives you a pretty good idea where a so called "top" will be or a so called "bottom" will be! In this example, getting the transparent round circles ( either lime or red ) would mean that the move will be a good size move! EXAMPLE=1 You see a down trend and then the Mafia Candles Flashes a Green Dot on the forming new red candle. This is where in theory you might want to consider going long on the market! EXAMPLE=2 If you see a RED $ symbol, after a uptrend, this means in theory, there might be room for a short play or room for a small pullback in the price! THE CIRCLES(RED OR LIME COLORED) ARE INDICATING BIGGER MOVES! THE $ SYMBOLS (RED OR LIME COLORED) ARE INDICATING SMALLER PULLBACKS OR SMALLER PUMPS IN PRICE! RED IS CONSIDERED TO BE A SELL! LIME COLOR IS CONSIDERED TO BE A BUY! AS MUCH IS BASED OF THE 1-3 CANDLE COUNT AND THE LEDLEC CANDLE DEVIATION STRATEGY, LET ME EXPLAIN THE THEORY ON BOTH THE 1-3 CANDLE COUNT AND THE LELEDC STRATEGY I COMBINE TO BRING YOU THIS ADDITION OF THE INDICATOR.... LELEDC THEORY USAGE... An Exhaustion Bar is a bar which signals the exhaustion of the trend in the current direction. In other words an exhaustion bar is “A bar of last seller” in case of a downtrend and “A bar of last buyer”in case of an uptrend. Having said that when a party cannot take the price further in their direction,naturally the other party comes in , takes charge and reverses the direction of the trend. TO EASIER UNDERSTAND I GIVE YOU A EASY EXAMPLE OF WHAT AN LELEDC EXHAUSTION BAR IS... 1. A wide range bar ( a bar with long body!!!). 2. A long wick at the bottom of the bar and no or negligible wick at the top of the bar in case of “Bear exhaustion bar” and a long wick at the top and no or negligible wick at the bottom of the bar in case of “Bull exhuation bar”!!! 3. Extreme volume and..... 4. Bar forming at a key support or resistance area including a Round Number (RN) and Big Round Number ( BRN ).THE PSYCHOLOGY BEHIND THIS!!! Now let's assume that we have a group of people,say 100 people who decides to go for a casual running. After running for few KM's few of them will say “I am exhausted. I cannot run further”. They will quit running. After running further, another bunch of runners will say “I am exhausted. I can’t run further” and they also will quit running. This goes on and on and then there will be a stage where only few will be left in the running. Now a stage will come where the last person left in the running will say “I am exhausted” and he stops running. That means no one is left now in the running.This means all are exhausted in the running. The same way an exhaustion bar works and if we can figure out that exhaustion bar with all the tools available on hand, we will be in a big trade for sure!!.The reason is an exhaustion bar is formed at exact tops and bottoms most of the times.In forex with wide variety of pairs available at the counter ,one can trade this technique to make lifetime gains. NOW LET ME EXPLAIN THE 1-3 CANDLE CORRECTION COUNT THEORY WHICH IS USED TO GET THE SUM UP SIGNALS FROM THIS INDICATOR FROM ITS INPUT LEVELS!!! 1-3 CANDLES.... The 1-3 Candlestick pattern is basically like sequential, aka a candle counting system! 1-3 CANDLE COUNT means you count the number of bullish=green candles or the bearish=red candles! 3 BULL/GREEN CANDLES in a row, each closing its close higher than the previous one before it is the 1-3 candle top count idea! lets say you get 3 red bear candles, each candle after the first closes its body below the previous red candle before it, then you see 3 red candles with each closing lower bodies lower than the previous candle, THATS A POSSIBLE SIGN OF BEARISH EXHAUSTION, AND YOU MIGHT HAVE SOME BULLS STEP IN TO TAKE THE PRICE UP AFTER THE IMMEDIATE DOWNFALL OF THOSE 3 RED CANDLES!! PLEASE IF ANYONE HAS QUESTIONS OR NEEDS ANY FURTHER EXPLANATION, DONT HESISITATE TO MESSAGE ME! CHALRES KNIGHT IS THE ORIGINAL AUTHOR OF THE 1-3 CANDLE COUNT AND THE LELEDC EXHAUSTION BAR INDICATOR ON METE-TRADER! R.IP CHARLES F KNIGHT!!! WE LOVE YOU AND MISS YOU BROTHER! CHARLES KNIGHT PASSED DOWN ALL OF HIS INDICATORS AND SCRIPTS IN ORIGINAL CODE TO MYSELF WHEN HE PASSED AWAY AND I WILL CONTINUE TO HONOR HIS MEMORY BY ENHANCING HIS ORIGINAL SOURCE CODED SCRIPTS TO ENHANCE THE LIFE FOR ALL TRADERS! CHARLIE LOVED WHEN I WOULD PUT MY OWN SWING ON HIS INDICATORS! HE TAUGHT ME EVERYTHING I KNOW AND I KNOW ONE DAY I WILL SEE HIM AGAIN! TRADE IN PARADISE CHARLIE!!! THE BEST TRADER IN THE WORLD!!!
Pine Script® indicator
by THECHARTMAFIA
Voss Strategy (Filter + Trend Indicator) [Bitduke]Created strategy based on Voss Predictive Filter, implemented by TradingView user e2e4mfck. Voss Predictive Filter This is a relatively new filter from John F. Ehlers’ article, “A Peek Into The Future .” Ehlers describes the calculation of a new filter that could help signal cyclical turning points in markets. But filter has a negative group delay and while an indicator based on it cannot actually see into the future, it may provide the trader with signals in advance of other indicators. In mentioned article he tested filter on SPY and at one point in time "it went into a trend mode in January 2019, and the cycle signal failed miserably, signaling a short position during the runup. <...> The only way to minimize the impact of this condition is to employ an additional trend detector." Thus I've added another Ehlers' based trend based indicator Instantaneous Trendline (thanks to LazyBear for implementation) to minimize the impact of the trend mode and got a good results on XBTUSD pair 4h. Backtest : > Range: 2016 - 2020 > XBTUSD > 4h > ~20% drawdown > Sharpe (0.361, not too impressive) I think it can be improved with Risk Management system and experimenting with various trend following indicators.
Pine Script® strategy
by Bitduke
2
BTC Transaction/On-Chain Volume (Basic)Description: Whale: Whale utilizing discounted prices (increasing on-chain volume & decreasing price) Recovering: Positive momentum in price after potential whale activity Cycle Volume Support: The transaction volume support during a cycle What’s the best time to invest? After institutions make up their mind at low price levels. How’s on-chain volume related to whales or institutional money? On-chain volume is contributed not only by using BTC as payment methods, but more importantly by large custodians using the BTC chain to settle internal whale trades. When OTC volume is estimated 2-3 times of exchange volume, and when total on-chain volume is only a small fraction of the exchange volume, the OTC settlement plays a big factor in moving the on-chain volume around. Why does the price drop further after spotting whale money? Does new money equal higher true value? Yes. Does new money equal higher price? No. Whales could not only ladder in when they see the price on discount, but also push the price further down to accumulate at better price levels. However, either route chosen, it’s most likely for the price to rise to a higher level compared to the level when the whales enter. Whales are here to make money after all.
Pine Script® indicator
by Phi-Deltalytics
16
Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth CurvesThis plots logarithmic curves fitted to major Bitcoin bear market tops & bottoms. Top line is fitted to bull tops, bottom line is fitted to lower areas of the logarithmic price trend (which is not always the same as bear market bottoms). Middle line is the median of the top & bottom, and the faded solid lines are fibonacci levels in between. Inspired by & based on a Medium post by Harold Christopher Burger, which shows how linear Bitcoin's long-term price growth is when plotted on a double-log chart (log scaling on the price AND time axis). These curves will only make sense for tickers representing Bitcoin vs. USD (such as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD, BITMEX:XBTUSD, BLX index). Plotting on other assets will probably end up with lines that shoot off into space without any relationship to the underlying price action. The upper, middle & lower curves can be projected into the future, which can be turned on or off in the indicator settings. The fibonacci levels can also be switched on/off. And the upper & lower curve intercepts & slopes can be tweaked. I'm releasing this open-source, if you end up making something cool based off of this code, I don't need attribution but please hit me up on here or on twitter (same username) so I can check out what ya made. Thanks, hope y'all enjoy it.
Pine Script® indicator
by quantadelic
49
BTC FRACTAL ANN S-R LEVELS (Fixed ANN MACD) This script is an adaptation of my deep learning system for Bitcoin to fractals. Fractal codes are not belong to me. Original : The code for the Deep learning (ANN MACD BTC) work belongs to me. Original: I didn't get license for this script because the fractal codes don't belong to me.You can use it for any purpose. This command can be a very helpful guide.You can use that fractals with your indicators for Bitcoin. You can also combine these levels with ANN - MACD - BTC script. Scripts about Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) will continue soon ! I hope it will help us to gain insight into technical analysis. Best regards. Noldo.
Pine Script® indicator
by Noldo
ANN MACD (BTC) Logic is correct. But I prefer to say experimental because the sample set is narrow. (300 columns) Let's start: 6 inputs : Volume Change , Bollinger Low Band chg. , Bollinger Mid Band chg., Bollinger Up Band chg. , RSI change , MACD histogram change. 1 output : Future bar change (Historical) Training timeframe : 15 mins (Analysis TF > 4 hours (My opinion)) Learning cycles : 337 Training error: 0.009999 Input columns: 6 Output columns: 1 Excluded columns: 0 Grid Training example rows: 301 Validating example rows: 0 Querying example rows: 0 Excluded example rows: 0 Duplicated example rows: 0 Network Input nodes connected: 6 Hidden layer 1 nodes: 8 Hidden layer 2 nodes: 0 Hidden layer 3 nodes: 0 Output nodes: 1 Learning rate : 0.6 Momentum : 0.8 More info : EDIT : This code is open source under the MIT License. If you have any improvements or corrections to suggest, please send me a pull request via the github repository github.com
Pine Script® indicator
by Noldo
13
Bitcoin Price User Correlation [aamonkey]You can only use this for BTC. Bitcoin over time tends to be priced at 7000 times the number of users (in terms of market cap). Calculation: Number of Wallets*7000/(Circulating Supply or 21,000,000) Settings: You can decide whether you want to use the Circulating Supply or 21,000,000 as a reference. The default settings are using 21,000,000 because it seems to be more accurate. You can easily switch between both versions by checking the box in the settings. Interesting Findings: Using circulating supply: - Most of the time we are under the estimated ("PUC") line - Once we break above the PUC line we are in the parabolic phase of the Bullrun - In history, we broke only 4 times above the PUC - Once we are above the PUC we see crazy growth (parabolic phase) - We don't spend much time above the PUC - From breaking the PUC to the new All-Time High of the cycle we took in order: 3 Days, 7 Days, 22 Days, 30 Days - So the trend is increasing (We are taking more and more time until we see the ATH) - Currently, we are about to break the PUC - Then I expect the parabolic phase to begin - I expect the run to last about 30 days
Pine Script® indicator
by aamonkey
2
Alpha-Sutte ModelThe Alpha-Sutte model is an ongoing project run by Ansari Saleh Ahmar, a lecturer and researcher at Universitas Negeri Makassar in Indonesia, that attempts to make forecasts for time series like how Arima and Holt-Winters models do. Currently Ahmar and his team have conducted research and published papers comparing the efficacy of the Alpha-Sutte and other models, such as Arima and Holt-Winters, on topics ranging from forecasting Turkey's CPI data, Bitcoin prices, Apple's stock prices, primary energy supply of Indonesia, to infant mortality rates in China. The Alpha-Sutte model in comparison to the other two models listed above shows promise in providing a more accurate forecast, and the project has been able to receive some of its funding from organizations such as the US Agency for International Development, which is a part of the US Federal Government, so maybe the project has some actual merit. How it works: In this model there are four values presented at the top of the window. 1) The first value in blue is the value of the Alpha-Sutte model whose purpose is to forecast the price of the current bar. 2) The second value in yellow is an adaptive version of the Alpha-Sutte model that I made. The purpose of the adaptive Alpha-Sutte model is to expand upon the Alpha-Sutte by allowing new information to be introduced, causing the value to change during the current period, hence the adaptiveness of it. 3) The third value in aqua is the moving average of the low% Sutte line which is a predictive line that is based off of the close and low of the current and previous periods. 4) The fourth value in red is the moving average of the high% Sutte line which is a predictive line that is based off of the close and high of the current and previous periods. Trend signals: If low% Sutte (aqua value/line) is greater than high% Sutte (red value/line) then this is a buy signal. If high% Sutte (red value/line) is greater than low% Sutte (aqua value/line) then this is a sell signal. Caveat: Even though this model's purpose is to forecast the future, will it be able to predict periods of large movements? No, of course not, but it will adjust quickly to try to make more accurate forecasts for the next period. This was also a reason why I made an adaptive version of this model to try to reduce some of the discrepancies between the Alpha Sutte and price when there is a large unexpected move. *WARNING before using this I would highly recommend that you look up "Sutte Indicator" online and read some of the papers about this model before you use this , even though this model has shown merit when compared to Arima and Holt-Winter models this is still an ongoing project.* Hopefully this project will actually come to something in the near future as the calculation for this time series predictive model is much easier to calculate and program in pine editor than something like an Arima model. *Also, if you know how to use R language there is a package for the "Alpha-Sutte model".*
Pine Script® indicator
by SegaRKO
6