Ehlers Cyber Cycle [CC]The Cyber Cycle was created by John Ehlers (Cybernetic Analysis For Stocks And Futures pg 34) and this is one of my favorite Ehlers indicators. I use it personally for exits but it has several uses. It gives great entry and exit signals when you enter when it is at the bottom or at the very top during a cycle. When it is above 0 then the stock is in a strong uptrend and when it is below 0 then the stock is in a strong downtrend. It is also very reactive as well with zero lag according to Ehlers. Buy when the indicator line is green and sell when it is red.
Let me know if there are other scripts you would like to see me publish or if you want something custom done!
Cycleanalysis
Stochastic Pop and Drop by Jake Bernstein v1 [Bitduke]I found a simple strategy by Jake Bernstein, modified it a little and created a strategy with Risk Management System (SL+TP); After that I test it on the different cryptocurrency pairs.
About the Indicator
Basically it's the strategy of 2 indicators: Stochastic Oscillator to define the bias and Average Directional Index to confirm it.
One again, It uses Stochastic Oscillator to define the trading bias. In particular, the trading bias was deemed bullish when the weekly 14-period Stochastic Oscillator was above some default value (in him paper - 50) and rising and vice versa.
Once the trading bias is established, Steckler used the Average Directional Index (ADX) to define a slowdown in the trend. ADX measures the strength of the trend and a move below 20 signals a weak trend.
Modifications
I didn't implement Average Directional Index (ADX) and test just different sources for data, oscillator periods and different levels in relation to the crypto market.
So, it shows good results with two tight thresholds at 55 and 45 level.
The bar chart below the defining the bullish and bearish periods (green and red) and gives a signal to enter the trade (purple bars).
Backtesting
Backtested on XBTUSD , BTCPERP (FTX) pairs. You may notice it shows good results on 3h timeframe.
Relatively low drawdown
~ 10% (from 2019 to date) FTX
~ 22% (4 years from 2016) Bitmex
I backtested on the different altcoin pairs as well, but the results were just not good.
Relatively good results were shown by some index pairs from the FTX exchange ( FTX:SHITPERP ), but I think there is a few data for backtesting to be asure in them.
Bitmex 3h (2017 - 2020) :
i.imgur.com
FTX 3h (2019 - 2020):
i.imgur.com
Possible Improvements
- Regarding trading algorithm it would be good to check with strategy with ADX somehow. Maybe for the better entries
- As for Risk Management system, it can be improved by adding trailing stop to the strategy.
Link: school.stockcharts.com
TrendFlex Oscillator - Dr. John EhlersHot off the press, I present this NEW "TrendFlex Oscillator" employing PSv4.0, originally formulated by Dr. John Ehlers for TASC - February 2020 Traders Tips. John Ehlers might describe it's novel characteristics as being a reversal sensitive near zero-lag averaging indicator retaining the TREND component. Also, I would add that irregardless of the sampling interval, this indicator has a bound range between +/-2.0 on "1 second" candles all the way up to "1 month" candle durations. This indicator also has a companion indicator entitled "Reflex Oscillator". I have published it in tandem with this one in my scripts profile.
One notable difference between this and the original formulation is that I have added an independent control for the Super Smoother. This "tweak" is enabled by applying the override and adjusting it's period. There is a "Post Smooth" input() that "tweaks" the internal TrendFlex EMA too. Keep in mind that my intention of adding tweaks is solely for experimentation with the original formulation.
I also added adjustable levels for those of you that may wish to employ alertcondition()s to this indicator somehow. Providing a more utilitarian approach, I created this with an easy to use reusable function named trendflex(). As always, I have included advanced Pine programming techniques that conform to proper "Pine Ettiquette". Being this is one of John Ehlers' first two simultaneously released indicators for 2020, I felt a few more bells and whistles were appropriate as a proper contribution to the Tradingview community.
Features List Includes:
Dark Background - Easily disabled in indicator Settings->Style for "Light" charts or with Pine commenting
AND much, much more... You have the source!
The comments section below is solely just for commenting and other remarks, ideas, compliments, etc... regarding only this indicator, not others. When available time provides itself, I will consider your inquiries, thoughts, and concepts presented below in the comments section, should you have any questions or comments regarding this indicator. When my indicators achieve more prevalent use by TV members, I may implement more ideas when they present themselves as worthy additions. As always, "Like" it if you simply just like it with a proper thumbs up, and also return to my scripts list occasionally for additional postings. Have a profitable future everyone!
CCI Cycle (Modified Schaff Trend Cycle)This is a modified Schaff Trend Cycle (STC), which is designed to provide quicker entries and exits.
I've been a huge fan of the STC for a long time, but being based on the MACD means its signals often lag by a bar or two (especially in fast moving markets). All I've done here is take the base STC script (all credit to user @LazyBear), and change the source to a modified CCI.
The CCI Cycle provides more timely entries and exits, often by 1-2 bars. The flip side of the increased responsiveness is a prevalence for more false signals (a perfect example is the 17th August on the above chart). It's the nature of the beast! Still, I've been using this for a few months now and it's (in my opinion) an upgrade on the standard STC.
As always, you will need to pair this with another indicator or method of technical analysis to provide a trade bias, as the CCI Cycle (and STC) aren't designed to trade every signal. In my experience, either divergence identification, or using one or more moving averages works particularly well.
The indicator is also MTF capable, so you can get some interesting results from that.
Any queries let me know.
DD
Ehlers Stochastic Cyber CycleEhlers Stochastic Cyber Cycle indicator script.
This indicator was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (see his book `Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures`, Chapter 8: `Stochasticization and Fisherization of Indicators`).
Ehlers Cyber CycleEhlers Cyber Cycle indicator script.
This indicator was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (see his book `Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures`, Chapter 4: `Trading the Cycle`).
