Pyramiding Entries On Early Trends (by Coinrule)Pyramiding the entries in a trading strategy may be risky but at the same time very profitable with a proper risk management approach. This strategy seeks to spot early signs of uptrends and increase the position's size while the right conditions persist.
Each trade comes with its stop-loss and take-profit to enforce a proportional risk/reward profile.
The strategy uses a mix of Moving Average based setups to define the buy-signal.
The Moving Average (200) is above the Moving Average (100), which prevents from buying when the uptrend is already in its late stages
The Moving Average (9) is above the Moving Average (100), indicating that the coin is not in a downtrend.
The price crossing above the Moving Average (9) confirms the potential upside used to fire the buy order.
Each entry comes with a stop-loss and a take-profit in a ratio of 1-to-1. After over 400 backtests, we opted for a 3% TP and 3% SL, which provides the best results.
The strategy is optimized on a 1-hour time frame.
The Advantages of this strategy are:
It offers the possibility of adjusting the size of the position proportionally to the confidence in the possibilities that an uptrend will eventually form.
Low drawdowns. On average, the percentage of trades in profit is above 60%, and the stop-loss equal to the take-profit reduces the overall risk.
This strategy returned good returns both with trading pairs with Fiat/stable coins and with BTC. Considering the mixed trends that cryptocurrencies experienced during 2020 vs BTC, this strengthens the strategy's reliability.
The strategy assumes each order to trade 20% of the available capital and pyramids the entries up to 7 times.
A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange.
Earlyentry
Turbo Scaler - The Art Of Being (too) EarlyIntroduction
Fast smooth indicators that produce early signals can sound utopic but mathematically its not a huge deal, the effect of early outputs based on smooth inputs can be seen on differentiators crosses, this is why i propose this indicator that aim to return extra fast signals based on a slightly modified max-min normalization method. The indicator introduce inherent smoothing without having an huge impact on the indicator reactivity.
The Indicator
The indicator is based on max-min normalization (like the stochastic oscillator) however instead of using the highest/lowest of the input we use the highest and lowest of the moving average of the input. This process using as input the closing price and the moving average closing price will return two lines, and because of the nature of max-min normalization we can see that the trigger line (in orange) produce earlier crosses. length control the highest/lowest period while smooth control the output lines smoothness (50 by default).
alpha control the scaling amount, with higher values of alpha creating more constrained scale, when alpha = 1 the scale is in a range of (0,1) while lower values of alpha can make the output move more freely.
alpha = 0.25
alpha = 1
Higher values of alpha create earlier signals.
Downsides Of Early Crosses
Of course such indicator make us exposed to the trend as seen below.
We can nonetheless protect ourselves against such cases scenarios by lowering alpha.
lowering alpha allow to catch movements of the trend without loosing much reactivity at the cost of an increased umber of trades.
Possible Uses
The proposed indicator allow for an high number of uses because of its scale, reactive nature...etc. A method that allow us to go with the main trend is by taking into account the crosses between the lines and the sign of the lines, for example :
The first signal (green) happen when the main line (in blue) crossover the trigger (orange) while both are > 0, the same happen with the second signal however both lines are < 0. This method can use certain levels instead of the sign (main line crossover trigger while both > 0.7...etc).
This method is great for the indicator because such cases scenarios does not happen a lot with ranging markets, we can clearly that when trending the trigger can have the tendency to be flat and higher than 0 thus allowing for the main line to produce those signals.
Conclusion
I have presented a super reactive crosses indicator based on max-min normalization with the ability to both be smooth and produce early entries/exits signals, different methods have been presented in order to allow for different setups using this indicator.
The introduction of the alpha parameter allow for more control which is what those kind of indicators needs. I hope you find an use to it :)
Support Me
Making indicators sure is hard, it takes time and it can be quite lonely to, so i would love talking with you guys while making them :) There isn't better support than the one provided by your friends so drop me a message.
