Broad market index / quantifytools- Overview
Broad market index is a market breadth based oscillator, depicting broad market trend by analysing ratio between symbols moving up and symbols moving down in a given market. When market breadth is positive, more symbols are going up and when negative, more symbols are going down. As markets tend to correlate, broad market trend dictates likely path for all individual symbols that make up the market.
This tool provides market breadth for US equities (based on NYSE advancers - decliners) and ability to build two custom breadth baskets with up to 39 symbols included in each. Market breadth can be customized with variety of smoothing options, weighting and threshold modes to find most optimal rules for trend following. Performance of the model is reflected on metrics showing percentage of up/down moves during bullish/bearish states.
Example
↑ 63% = 63% of price moves during positive breadth state are to the upside
↓ 59% = 59% of price moves during negative breadth state are to the downside
Breadth state is colorized on line and chart according to its state (negative/positive/equilibrium) and direction (trending up/down). Upper and lower bands depict historical turning points in breadth for identifying extremes in broad market trend. Triangles mark breadth thrusts, in other words abnormally large moves in breadth at either upper or lower extreme. Breadth thrusts can serve as early signs of broad market trend reverting.
- Concept and features
By default, market breadth is calculated based on NYSE advancers - decliners, usable for all major indices that depict broad markets in US equities (SP500, QQQ, IWM). Users can also build 2 custom breadth baskets consisting of up to 39 symbols for defining broad market on other asset classes, such as cryptocurrencies. Custom baskets are suitable for any chart that fairly represents a market as a whole.
Example
Basket consisting of cryptocurrencies = Use on CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL (all cryptocurrencies aggregated)
Basket consisting of healthcare stocks = Use on AMEX:XLV (healthcare sector ETF)
Breadth line can be further refined using various smoothing options (SMA, EMA, HMA, RMA, WMA), threshold method and weights. By default, threshold (dividing line between bullish and bearish states) is set to fixed at 0, depicting an equilibrium where equal amount of symbols are going up and down.
Threshold mode can also be set to Dynamic, switching threshold to a moving average of the breadth line. Fundamental functionality still remains, breadth line above threshold marks bullish state and below threshold marks bearish state. Difference here is that the threshold no longer depicts a point of equilibrium, but simply a smoothed version of the breadth line itself, which can catch turns in broad market trend earlier.
Breadth basket can be adjusted to volatility of the viewed chart, causing an overstating of breadth on high volatility and understating on low volatility. Weighting takes into account magnitude of up/down moves, which can provide better relevance for trend following purposes.
- Practical guide
Example #1 : Broad market trend
The utility of market breadth is based on the idea that markets correlate and individual symbols making up the market will eventually join the broad market trend. With this in mind, going against broad market is like swimming upstream, it's going to be the hard way. A well performing basket with clear skew for upside and downside on respective breadth states can be used to form directional bias for trades and risk on/off regimes for investing.
Example #2 : Broad market reversals
Thrusts signify two things: a historical extreme in breadth and an aggressive move to the opposite direction. Thrusts are valuable clues for exhaustion in broad market trend, potentially leading to a reversal.
Example #3 : Breadth/price divergences
Market breadth and price diverging signify events where most symbols that make up the market are going one way but a few high weight symbols (big tech for SP500) are going the other way. In other words, only a few symbols are moving the market while general interest and intention is to the other direction. Divergences in breadth and price are not ideal for sustainable trend and can be expected to eventually revert to the direction of broad market.
Mclellan
Indicator Based Market Exposure (IBME)The Indicator Based Market Exposure (IBME) system was created by Big Wave Chartist as a way to navigate the markets using a confluence of three different signals to determine when the "internals" of the market are in your favor and how heavily invested to be at any point. The idea of the system is also to flash warning signs when the market internals are beginning to deteriorate so as to take a defensive stance. Of course this system can be strictly adhered to, or it can be incorporated into a more discretionary style of trading, and be combined with progressive exposure into (and out of) the market as positions gain (or lose) traction.
The IBME displays a straightforward action signal based on the combination of the 3 separate signals:
Green 🟢 Full size-longs permitted
Yellow 🟡 Pilot positions permitted
Red 🔴 No longs allowed
So let's get into the signals used:
McClellan Summation Index
Net New Highs/Lows
Net New Highs Crossover
McClellan Summation Index (MSI)
The McClellan Summation Index is a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator, which is a market breadth indicator based on stock advances and declines. Interpretation is similar to that of the McClellan Oscillator, except that it is more suited to intermediate to major trends and related reversals. The McClellan Summation Index can be calculated as the sum of all the daily values of the McClellan Oscillator. This is used along with the 10-sma to watch for a crossover indicating an uptrend or downtrend beginning.
Net New Highs/Lows
This is the net number of stocks making 52-week highs or lows. For instance, if there are 60 new 52-week highs and 20 new 52-week lows, the net number will be 40 net new 52 week highs. This signal is particularly useful in gauging breadth.
Net New Highs Crossover
This is the description of NNHC from the original separate version of this indicator created by HikoStory: "Net New Highs can guide you to increase or decrease your exposure based on the current market health. They are calculated by subtracting the new highs from the new lows, based on all stocks of the...NASDAQ. A positive value shows that the market is doing good, since more stocks are making new highs compared to new lows. A negative value shows that the market is doing bad, since more stocks are making new lows compared to new highs. Combined with a moving average you can see crossovers that can warn you early when there is a change in the current market health."
The default index for the IBME is the Nasdaq.
The IBME is meant to be used on a daily time frame chart, therefore the signal will only show on a daily time frame chart.
Display options include:
Show/hide individual signals
Table background/font color
Table size/placement
