Regression Channel ExtendedBasic regression channel
Tested on QQQ 5 min interval
Edit fixedDeviationAmount based on ticker
Regression-trend-channel
Weighted Regression Bands (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Weighted Regression Bands is a precision-engineered trend and volatility tool designed to adapt to the real market structure instead of reacting to price noise.
This indicator analyzes Weighted High/Low medians and applies user-selectable smoothing methods — including Kalman Filtering, ALMA, and custom Linear Regression — to generate a Fair Value line. Around this, it constructs dynamic standard deviation bands that adapt in real-time to market volatility.
The result is a visually clean and structurally intelligent trend framework suitable for breakout traders, mean reversion strategies, and trend-driven analysis.
█ How It Works
⚪ Structural High/Low Analysis
At the heart of this indicator is a custom high/low weighting system. Instead of using just the raw high or low values, it calculates a midline = (high + low) / 2, then applies one of three weighting methods to determine which price zones matter most.
Users can select the method using the “Weighted HL Method” setting:
Simple
Selects the single most dominant median (highest or lowest) in the lookback window. Ideal for fast, reactive signals.
Advanced
Ranks each bar based on a composite score: median × range × recency. This method highlights structurally meaningful bars that had both volatility and recency. A built-in Kalman filter is applied for extra stability.
Smooth
Blends multiple bars into a single weighted average using smoothed decay and range. This provides the softest and most stable structural response.
⚪ Smoothing Methods (ALMA / Linear Regression)
ALMA provides responsive, low-lag smoothing for fast trend reading.
Linear Regression projects the Fair Value forward, ideal for trend modeling.
⚪ Kalman Smoothing Filter
Before trend calculations, the indicator applies an optional Kalman-style smoothing filter. This helps:
Reduce choppy false shifts in trend,
Retain signal clarity during volatile periods,
Provide stability for long-term setups.
⚪ Deviation Bands (Dynamic Volatility Envelopes)
The indicator builds ±1, ±2, and ±3 standard deviation bands around the fair value line:
Calculated from the standard deviation of price,
Bands expand and contract based on recent volatility,
Visualizes potential overbought/oversold or trending conditions.
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Trading & Filtering
Use the Fair Value line to identify the dominant direction.
Only trade in the direction of the slope for higher probability setups.
⚪ Volatility-Based Entries
Watch for price reaching outer bands (+2σ, +3σ) for possible exhaustion.
Mean reversion entries become higher quality when far from Fair Value.
█ Settings
Length – Lookback for Weighted HL and trend smoothing
Deviation Multiplier – Controls how wide the bands are from the fair value line
Method – Choose between ALMA or Linear Regression smoothing
Smoothing – Strength of Kalman Filter (1 = none, <1 = stronger smoothing)
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Stochastic Overlay - Regression Channel (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Stochastic Overlay – Regression Channel (Zeiierman) is a next-generation visualization tool that transforms the traditional Stochastic Oscillator into a dynamic price-based overlay.
Instead of leaving momentum trapped in a lower subwindow, this indicator projects the Stochastic oscialltor directly onto price itself — allowing traders to visually interpret momentum, overbought/oversold conditions, and market strength without ever taking their eyes off price action.
⚪ In simple terms:
▸ The Bands = The Stochastic Oscillator — but on price.
▸ The Midline = Stochastic 50 level
▸ Upper Band = Stochastic Overbought Threshold
▸ Lower Band = Stochastic Oversold Threshold
When the price moves above the midline → it’s the same as the oscillator moving above 50
When the price breaks above the upper band → it’s the same as Stochastic entering overbought.
When the price reaches the lower band →, think of it like Stochastic being oversold.
This makes market conditions visually intuitive. You’re literally watching the oscillator live on the price chart.
█ How It Works
The indicator layers 3 distinct technical elements into one clean view:
⚪ Stochastic Momentum Engine
Tracks overbought/oversold conditions and directional strength using:
%K Line → Momentum of price
%D Line → Smoothing filter of %K
Overbought/Oversold Bands → Highlight potential reversal zones
⚪ Volatility Adaptive Bands
Dynamic bands plotted above and below price using:
ATR * Stochastic Scaling → Creates wider bands during volatile periods & tighter bands in calm conditions
Basis → Moving average centerline (EMA, SMA, WMA, HMA, RMA selectable)
This means:
→ In strong trends: Bands expand
→ In consolidations: Bands contract
⚪ Regression Channel
Projects trend direction with different models:
Logarithmic → Captures non-linear growth (perfect for crypto or exponential stocks)
Linear → Classic regression fit
Adaptive → Dynamically adjusts sensitivity
Leading → Projects trend further ahead (aggressive mode)
Channels include:
Midline → Fair value trend
Upper/Lower Bounds → Deviation-based support/resistance
⚪ Heatmap - Bull & Bear Power Strength
Visual heatmeter showing:
% dominance of bulls vs bears (based on close > or < Band Basis)
Automatic normalization regardless of timeframe
Table display on-chart for quick visual insight
Dynamic highlighting when extreme levels are reached
⚪ Trend Candlestick Coloring
Bars auto-color based on trend filter:
Above Basis → Bullish Color
Below Basis → Bearish Color
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Trading
→ Use Band direction + Regression Channel to identify trend alignment
→ Longs favored when price holds above the Basis
→ Shorts favored when price stays below the Basis
→ Use the Bull & Bear heatmap to asses if the bulls or the bears are in control.
⚪ Mean Reversion
→ Look for price to interact with Upper or Lower Band extremes
→ Stochastic reaching OB/OS zones further supports reversals
⚪ Momentum Confirmation
→ Crossovers between %K and %D can confirm continuation or divergence signals
→ Especially powerful when happening at band boundaries
⚪ Strength Heatmap
→ Quickly visualize current buyer vs seller control
→ Sharp spikes in Bull Power = Aggressive buying
→ Sharp spikes in Bear Power = Heavy selling pressure
█ Why It Useful
This is not a typical Stochastic or regression tool. The tool is designed for traders who want to:
React dynamically to price volatility
Map momentum into volatility context
Use adaptive regression channels across trend styles
Visualize bull vs bear power in real-time
Follow trends with built-in reversal logic
█ Settings
Stochastic Settings
Stochastic Length → Period of calculation. Higher = smoother, Lower = faster signals.
%K Smoothing → Smooths the Stochastic line itself.
%D Smoothing → Smooths the moving average of %K for slower signals.
Stochastic Band
Band Length → Length of the Moving Average Basis.
Volatility Multiplier → Controls band width via ATR scaling.
Band Type → Choose MA type (EMA, SMA, WMA, HMA, RMA).
Regression Channel
Regression Type → Logarithmic / Linear / Adaptive / Leading.
Regression Length → Number of bars for regression calculation.
Heatmap Settings
Heatmap Length → Number of bars to calculate bull/bear dominance.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Logarithmic Regression Channel-Trend [BigBeluga]
This indicator utilizes logarithmic regression to track price trends and identify overbought and oversold conditions within a trend. It provides traders with a dynamic channel based on logarithmic regression, offering insights into trend strength and potential reversal zones.
🔵Key Features:
Logarithmic Regression Trend Tracking: Uses log regression to model price trends and determine trend direction dynamically.
f_log_regression(src, length) =>
float sumX = 0.0
float sumY = 0.0
float sumXSqr = 0.0
float sumXY = 0.0
for i = 0 to length - 1
val = math.log(src )
per = i + 1.0
sumX += per
sumY += val
sumXSqr += per * per
sumXY += val * per
slope = (length * sumXY - sumX * sumY) / (length * sumXSqr - sumX * sumX)
average = sumY / length
intercept = average - slope * sumX / length + slope
Regression-Based Channel: Plots a log regression channel around the price to highlight overbought and oversold conditions.
Adaptive Trend Colors: The color of the regression trend adjusts dynamically based on price movement.
Trend Shift Signals: Marks trend reversals when the log regression line cross the log regression line 3 bars back.
Dashboard for Key Insights: Displays:
- The regression slope (multiplied by 100 for better scale).
- The direction of the regression channel.
- The trend status of the logarithmic regression band.
🔵Usage:
Trend Identification: Observe the regression slope and channel direction to determine bullish or bearish trends.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Use the channel boundaries to spot potential reversal zones when price deviates significantly.
Breakout & Continuation Signals: Price breaking outside the channel may indicate strong trend continuation or exhaustion.
Confirmation with Other Indicators: Combine with volume or momentum indicators to strengthen trend confirmation.
Customizable Display: Users can modify the lookback period, channel width, midline visibility, and color preferences.
Logarithmic Regression Channel-Trend is an essential tool for traders who want a dynamic, regression-based approach to market trends while monitoring potential price extremes.
Machine Learning Regression Trend [LuxAlgo]The Machine Learning Regression Trend tool uses random sample consensus (RANSAC) to fit and extrapolate a linear model by discarding potential outliers, resulting in a more robust fit.
🔶 USAGE
The proposed tool can be used like a regular linear regression, providing support/resistance as well as forecasting an estimated underlying trend.
Using RANSAC allows filtering out outliers from the input data of our final fit, by outliers we are referring to values deviating from the underlying trend whose influence on a fitted model is undesired. For financial prices and under the assumptions of segmented linear trends, these outliers can be caused by volatile moves and/or periodic variations within an underlying trend.
Adjusting the "Allowed Error" numerical setting will determine how sensitive the model is to outliers, with higher values returning a more sensitive model. The blue margin displayed shows the allowed error area.
The number of outliers in the calculation window (represented by red dots) can also be indicative of the amount of noise added to an underlying linear trend in the price, with more outliers suggesting more noise.
Compared to a regular linear regression which does not discriminate against any point in the calculation window, we see that the model using RANSAC is more conservative, giving more importance to detecting a higher number of inliners.
🔶 DETAILS
RANSAC is a general approach to fitting more robust models in the presence of outliers in a dataset and as such does not limit itself to a linear regression model.
This iterative approach can be summarized as follow for the case of our script:
Step 1: Obtain a subset of our dataset by randomly selecting 2 unique samples
Step 2: Fit a linear regression to our subset
Step 3: Get the error between the value within our dataset and the fitted model at time t , if the absolute error is lower than our tolerance threshold then that value is an inlier
Step 4: If the amount of detected inliers is greater than a user-set amount save the model
Repeat steps 1 to 4 until the set number of iterations is reached and use the model that maximizes the number of inliers
🔶 SETTINGS
Length: Calculation window of the linear regression.
Width: Linear regression channel width.
Source: Input data for the linear regression calculation.
🔹 RANSAC
Minimum Inliers: Minimum number of inliers required to return an appropriate model.
Allowed Error: Determine the tolerance threshold used to detect potential inliers. "Auto" will automatically determine the tolerance threshold and will allow the user to multiply it through the numerical input setting at the side. "Fixed" will use the user-set value as the tolerance threshold.
Maximum Iterations Steps: Maximum number of allowed iterations.
Regression Channel Trend DetectionThis is a regression channel that uses ichimoku to determine trend. The sensitivity is customizable. The centerline will change color according to the trend detected by ichimoku, and each line can act as support/resistance. The bands of the channel also change colors according to how far price is getting away from them. If you notice in this example, the lower band is turning orange when the price is getting too far away from it, suggesting that it may have risen too fast and too soon. This is still in testing so feel free to comment with any suggestions or fixes.
TF Segmented Polynomial Regression [LuxAlgo]This indicator displays polynomial regression channels fitted using data within a user selected time interval.
The model is fitted using the same method described in our previous script:
Settings
Degree: Degree of the fitted polynomial
Width: Multiplicative factor of the model RMSE. Controls the width of the polynomial regression's channels
Timeframe: Fits the polynomial regression using data within the selected timeframe interval
Show fit for new bars: If selected, will fit the regression model for newly generated bars, else the previous fitted value is displayed.
Src: Input source
Usage
Segmented (or piecewise) models yield multiple fits by first partitioning the data into multiple intervals from specific partitioning conditions. In this script this partitioning condition is for a user selected timeframe to change.
Segmented models can be particularly pertinent for market prices, which often describes a series of local trends.
Segmented polynomial regressions can describe the nature of underlying trends in the price from their fit, such as if an underlying trend is more linear (trending) or constant (ranging), and if a trend is monotonic.
The above chart shows a monthly partitioning on SPX 15m, using a polynomial regression of degree 3. Channel extremities allows highlighting local tops/bottoms.
For real time applications users can choose to fit a current model to incoming price data using the Show fit for new bars settings.
Details
The script does not make use of line.new to display the segmented linear regressions, which allows showing a higher number of historical fits. Each channel extremity as well as the model fit is displayed from the plot function, as such user can more easily set alerts on them.
It is important to note that achieving this requires accessing future price data, as such this script is subject to lookahead bias, historical results differ from the results one could have obtained in real-time.
Infiten's Regressive Trend Channel An experiment using Pinescript's candle plotting feature. This indicator performs a linear regression on the lows, highs, and moving average, and plots them all in the form of a candlestick. If the close is below the prediction, the candlestick is red, if the close is above the regression, the candlestick is green. Effective and aesthetic way to analyze trends.
Linear Regression Channel - Auto Volume BasedBased on oryginal TV indicator BUT with a little twist. ;)
I really like the regression channel - but the problem is that the length needs to be always manually adjusted.
In this script I try to solve this issue.
This is modified version on TV indicator - Linear Regression Channel.
The main difference is that now you don't get static length - it is automatically adjuested to the recent price action (determined by highest volume in last 300 bars).
Linear Regression Relative Strength[image/x/iZvwDWEY/
Relative Strength indicator comparing the current symbol to SPY (or any other benchmark). It may help to pick the right assets to complement the portfolio build around core ETFs such as SPY.
The general idea is to show if the current symbol outperforms or underperforms the benchmark (SPY by default) when bought some certain time ago. Relative performance is displayed as percent and is calculated for three different time ranges - short (1 mo by default), mid (1 quarter), and long (half a year). To smooth the volatility, the script uses linear regression to estimate the trend and takes the start and the end points of the linear regression line to compute the relative strength.
It is important to remember that the script shows the gain relative to SPY (or other selected benchmark), not the asset's gain. Therefore, it may indicate that the asset is profitable, but it still may lose value if SPY is in downtrend.
Therefore, it is crucial to check other indicators before making a decision. In the example above, standard linear regression for one quarter is used to indicate the direction of the trend.
Moving Regression Prediction BandsIntroducing the Moving Regression Prediction Bands indicator.
Here I aimed to combine the principles of traditional band indicators (such as Bollinger Bands), regression channel and outlier detection methods. Its upper and lower bands define an interval in which the current price was expected to fall with a prescribed probability, as predicted by the previous-step result of the local polynomial regression (for the original Moving Regression script, see link below).
Algorithm
1. At every time step, the script performs local polynomial regression of the sample data within the lookback window specified by the Length input parameter.
2. The fitted polynomial is used to construct the Moving Regression time series as well as to extrapolate data, that is, to predict the next data point ( MRPrediction ).
3. The accuracy of local interpolation is estimated by means of the root-mean-square error ( RMSE ), that is, the deviation between the fitted polynomial and the observed values.
4. The MRPrediction and RMSE values calculated for the previous bar are then used to build the upper and lower bands , which I define as follows:
Upper Band = MRPrediction_prev + Multiplier *( RMSE_prev )
Lower Band = MRPrediction_prev - Multiplier *( RMSE_prev )
Here the Multiplier is a user-defined parameter that should be interpreted as a quantile in the standard normal distribution (the default value of 2.0 roughly corresponds to the 95% prediction interval).
To visualize the central line , the script offers the following options:
Previous-Period MR Prediction: MRPrediction_prev time series from the above equation.
MR: Conventional Moving Regression time series.
Ribbon: “Previous-Period MR Prediction” and “MR” curves plotted together and colored according to their relative value (green if MR > Previous MR Prediction; red otherwise).
Usage
My original idea was to use the band breakouts as potential trading signals. For example, the price crossing above the upper band is a bullish signal , being a potential sign that price is gaining momentum and is out of a previously predicted trend. The exit signal could be the crossing under the lower band or under the central line.
However, be aware that it is an experimental indicator, so you might fin some better strategies.
Feel free to play around!
GAURs Polynomial Regression ChannelsThanks to The Sweet Lord , here is the Gaur's Polynomial Regression Channel.
Its a Polynomial Regression Channel but applied a little differently. Wont go into technical details much. Overview of options is as follows-
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Channel Options
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1. Degree of Polynomial: 1/2/3
Default = 3
Defines the degree of polynomials - 1,2,3. Note here, degree 1 will not be a straight line since its applied differently.
Try different degrees for different fits and market conditions.
2. Channel Length:
Default 30 (candles)
You can go beyond 100 or 200 candle lengths but smaller is the usual preference of Poly-Reg-channel traders. It all depends on market conditions and your style of trading. Do your research. I am usually comfortable with a range of 20-50 (in crypto markets).
3. Basis of Channel height/boundries: ATR/Manual
Default: ATR
ATR provides a dynamically adjusted entry/exit bounds of the channels. As ATR changes, the channel bounds also changes its height. It can also be fixed manually. Manual heights wont change automatically.
4. Basis of Y-Value: open/close/ sma / ema / wma /hilow
Default: close
Y- value is the y value of the (x,y) coordinates used while calculating the regression coefficients. Dont worry about it, its nothing serious.
5. Apply channel smoothning using sma?: Yes/No
Default: Yes
Without smoothning, the channel does not "look" good.
6. Shaded Area Height Percentage:
Its the extra margin for the channel. Its in percentage of the total height (defined 3 above) of channels. The shaded area provides an extra allowance for your entries or exits beyond the ATR or manual heights.
7. Plot RSI?: Yes/No
Default: Yes
Plots RSI (orange line in between the channel - its different from the dotted center line) considering the downbound of channels as 0 (oversold) and upbound of channels as 100 (overbought)
8. Plot 200 sma?: Yes/No
Default: Yes
It plots a 200 period fast (green) and 225 period slow (red) sma . I usually use two MAs. Its visually very easy to understand.
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Sample Strategy
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You can develop your own strategy with the channels. But following is just one of the ways you can trade.
Best Application: Ranging markets. But can be happily used in volatile conditions, with a little experience.
1. SMA: -- (this condition is optional really)
If green (200) is above red (225) go only long. If red is above green go only short. Defines long term trend of the market.
2. Channel slope: -- (this stuff needs practice/experience)
Depending on the channel slope, like if its tending to go up or down, you can choose to take only short or long trades. It defines short term momentum of the market.
3. ATR based heights:
Since its ATR based, the channel height are our natural entry and exit points.
Long:
When price touches lower shaded area, consider possible long entry. Exit on price entering the upper shaded area.
Short:
Enter on upper bound shaded area, exit on lower.
4. RSI:
For additional conformations. Again note, the RSI considers the lower bound of channel as 0 and upper as 100. But since, the channel moves up and down, the RSI will also move not only as RSI but also with the channel. Meaning, say if the RSI is valued at 50, then it will be near the center of the channel but since the center changes as time and price changes, the RSI valued at 50 at different times will not be at the same horizontal level respect to the graph, although it will be at the same level (center) respect to the channel.
5. PRC Channel Percentage label:
This label is at the lower side a bit ahead of the current candle. Provides you info on what is the channel percentage. This is especially helpful in crypto markets to gauge your possible percentage profit where profits can be much higher than forex or other instruments. It can also helps you select a suitable market/instrument if the channels are based on ATR.
6. Extra indicators:
I usually use stochastic along with this setup for extra conformations.
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Donate
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Use freely and donate generously if you find value. Your help will really help.
I had earlier provided BTC addresses for donations but it seems to violate TV House rules.
Hope they make TV coins redeemable in future.
- Pranav Joshi
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Extra Info
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// © cpranavjoshi
// special thanks to the "Trading View" people for providing this great platform for free
// ------------------------
// MATH
// ------------------------
// special thanks to an article on the web that provided layman friendly explanation of the maths
// unfortunately i wont be able to provide the link to that article owing to TV restrictions, though i sincerely would have liked to credit the author.
// Google search this phrase, and you should be able to get it in one of the first results - "polynomialregression Mathematics of Polynomial Regression"
// my regression math calculation is a further resolution upon the generalized matrix formula given in the that article.
// the generalized matrix looks scary but in fact its much simpler than one may assume
// the summation sign things are just float numbers that can be easily found out
// so we get a matrix with number of equations equal to the number of unknowns.
// e.g. if its a 3rd degree poly, it has 4 unknowns (c0,c1,c2,c3) with 4 equations as in the generalized matrix
// it can be resolved by simple algebra
// Note: the results have been verified with excel using same input data points.
// pine was difficult for me so i coded it in python first to verify
// ------------------------
// WHY
// ------------------------
// this script was coded because Pranav badly needed Polynomial channels (had used them in mt4 earlier)
// and at the time of this coding, i could not find any readily available script in the trading view public library ( tnx public)
// the complex math was probably the hurdle
// i m not good in maths, but by the Will of the Lord, i could resolve the issue with simple algebra and logic
// ------------------------
// PINE
// ------------------------
// i am just an average (even poor probably) programmer and pine script is not my language
// this is a humble attempt to write my first pine with whatever i could do quickly
// experts - feel free to develop if needed. have used some workarounds in drawings/plottings. rectify them if possible
//
//
// - Pranav Joshi
Regression Channel [DW]This is an experimental study which calculates a linear regression channel over a specified period or interval using custom moving average types for its calculations.
Linear regression is a linear approach to modeling the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables.
In linear regression, the relationships are modeled using linear predictor functions whose unknown model parameters are estimated from the data.
The regression channel in this study is modeled using the least squares approach with four base average types to choose from:
-> Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA)
-> Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
-> Simple Moving Average (SMA)
-> Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
When using VWMA, if no volume is present, the calculation will automatically switch to tick volume, making it compatible with any cryptocurrency, stock, currency pair, or index you want to analyze.
There are two window types for calculation in this script as well:
-> Continuous, which generates a regression model over a fixed number of bars continuously.
-> Interval, which generates a regression model that only moves its starting point when a new interval starts. The number of bars for calculation cumulatively increases until the end of the interval.
The channel is generated by calculating standard deviation multiplied by the channel width coefficient, adding it to and subtracting it from the regression line, then dividing it into quartiles.
To observe the path of the regression, I've included a tracer line, which follows the current point of the regression line. This is also referred to as a Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA).
For added predictive capability, there is an option to extend the channel lines into the future.
A custom bar color scheme based on channel direction and price proximity to the current regression value is included.
I don't necessarily recommend using this tool as a standalone, but rather as a supplement to your analysis systems.
Regression analysis is far from an exact science. However, with the right combination of tools and strategies in place, it can greatly enhance your analysis and trading.
LinearRegressionChannelBreakoutMy first idea about the linear regression channel... It is free and available for everybody.
