90 Minute Cycles + MTFCredit goes to LuxAlgo for the inspiration from 'Sessions' which allowed users to analyse specific price movements within a user defined period with tools such as trendline, mean and vwap.
Settings
Sessions
Enable Session: Allows to enable or disable all associated elements with a specific user set session.
Session Time: Opening and closing times of the user set session in the hh:mm format.
Range: Highlights the associated session range on the chart.
Ranges Settings
Range Area colour: Set each range to a specific colour.
Range Label: Shows the session label at the mid-point of the session interval.
Usage
By breaking 24hrs in quarters, starting with an Asian range of 18:00 NY time you can visualise the principles of Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution and Rebalance. Know as AMD or PO3 (Power of Three), the principle is that the Manipulation phase will break above or below the Accumulation, before moving in an apposing direction and then rebalancing. This only works when there is a higher timeframe PD array or liquidity to support an apposing move.
Further to the daily quarters, each one can then be broken down again into 90min cycles. Again, each represents AMD, allowing the user an opportunity to watch for reversals during the 90min manipulation phase.
Note: Ensure the Asian Cycle always begins at 18:00 NY time.
The example shows that the 90min cycle occurs, followed by an apposing move away in price action
Here is the Daily cycle, highlighting the Manipulation phase.
Enjoy!
T-distribution
On-Balance Accumulation Distribution (Volume-Weighted)The On-Balance Accumulation Distribution (OBAD) indicator is designed to analyze the accumulation and distribution of assets based on volume-weighted price movements. The indicator helps traders identify periods of buying and selling pressure and assess the strength of market trends. By incorporating volume and price data, the OBAD indicator provides valuable insights into the flow of funds in the market.
To calculate the OBAD, the indicator multiplies the volume, price, and volume factor (user-defined) with the price change and aggregates the values over a specified length. This results in a histogram and a line plot representing the OBAD values. The OBAD signal line is derived by applying a simple moving average (SMA) to the OBAD values over a shorter period (9 by default). The crossover of the OBAD line and signal line can indicate potential entry or exit points.
The OBAD indicator utilizes coloration to enhance its visual representation and interpretation. The OBAD background is colored based on the relationship between the OBAD values and the OBAD signal line. When the OBAD values are above the signal line, the background is displayed in lime, suggesting a bullish accumulation scenario. Conversely, when the OBAD values are below the signal line, the background is colored fuchsia, indicating a bearish distribution pattern. The bar coloration is also applied to provide further visual cues, with lime representing bullish conditions and fuchsia denoting bearish conditions. When the OBAD signal line is above 0, it is colored green. Conversely, if the signal line is below 0, it is colored maroon.
The length parameter in the OBAD indicator determines the number of periods used in the calculation. Shorter lengths, such as 10 or 20, can make the indicator more responsive to recent price and volume changes, providing quicker signals. This can be beneficial for short-term traders or in fast-paced markets. Conversely, longer lengths, such as 50 or 100, smooth out the indicator and provide a broader view of accumulation and distribution over a more extended period. This may suit longer-term traders or when analyzing trends in less volatile markets. Traders should experiment with different lengths to find the optimal balance between responsiveness and smoothness that aligns with their trading goals.
The volume factor parameter allows traders to adjust the weighting of volume in the OBAD calculation. By modifying this factor, traders can emphasize the impact of volume on the indicator. Increasing the volume factor amplifies the influence of volume in the OBAD calculation, making it more sensitive to volume changes. This can be advantageous when volume is considered a significant driver of price movements, such as during news events or market catalysts. On the other hand, decreasing the volume factor reduces the impact of volume, making the indicator less sensitive to volume fluctuations. Traders can experiment with different volume factors to align the indicator's responsiveness with their analysis of volume patterns and its importance in their trading decisions.
The signal line period parameter determines the number of periods used to calculate the moving average of the OBAD values. Adjusting this parameter can help smooth out the indicator and filter out short-term noise or provide more timely signals. A shorter signal line period, such as 5 or 7, provides more sensitive and frequent crossovers with the OBAD values, potentially offering early entry or exit signals. This can be useful for traders seeking shorter-term trades or more agile trading strategies. Conversely, a longer signal line period, such as 9 or 14, smooths out the indicator and provides more stable signals. This may suit traders who prefer longer-term trends or a more conservative approach. Traders should consider their trading timeframe and the desired balance between responsiveness and stability when adjusting the signal line period.
The OBAD indicator can be applied in various trading strategies and scenarios. It helps traders identify potential trend reversals, confirm existing trends, and generate entry and exit signals. For example, when the OBAD histogram transitions from fuchsia to lime, it may suggest a shift from selling to buying pressure, signaling a potential buying opportunity. Traders can also use the OBAD indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as trendlines or support/resistance levels, to confirm signals and make more informed trading decisions.
-- Trend Reversal Identification : The OBAD indicator can be useful in identifying potential trend reversals. When the OBAD values cross above the signal line after being below it, it may suggest a shift from bearish distribution to bullish accumulation. Conversely, when the OBAD values cross below the signal line after being above it, it may indicate a transition from bullish accumulation to bearish distribution. Traders can use these crossovers as potential signals to enter or exit trades in anticipation of a trend reversal.
-- Confirmation of Trend Strength : The OBAD indicator can act as a confirmation tool for assessing the strength of existing trends. When the OBAD values remain consistently above the signal line, it confirms the presence of strong bullish accumulation and validates the upward trend. Similarly, when the OBAD values stay consistently below the signal line, it confirms the presence of strong bearish distribution and validates the downward trend. Traders can use this confirmation to have more confidence in the prevailing trend and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
-- Divergence Analysis : Divergence between the price and the OBAD indicator can provide valuable insights. Bullish divergence occurs when the price forms lower lows while the OBAD indicator forms higher lows, suggesting a potential trend reversal to the upside. Conversely, bearish divergence occurs when the price forms higher highs while the OBAD indicator forms lower highs, indicating a potential trend reversal to the downside. Traders can use these divergences as additional confirmation signals in their trading decisions.
-- Volume Analysis : The OBAD indicator incorporates volume data, making it particularly useful for volume analysis. Traders can analyze the relationship between OBAD values and volume levels to gauge the strength and validity of price movements. Higher OBAD values accompanied by higher volume can indicate strong accumulation or distribution, providing confirmation for potential trade setups. On the other hand, lower OBAD values accompanied by low volume may suggest a lack of participation and potentially signal caution in trading decisions.
It is important to note that the OBAD indicator, like any other technical indicator, has certain limitations. It relies on historical price and volume data, which may not always accurately reflect current market conditions or future price movements. Traders should exercise caution and use the OBAD indicator in conjunction with other analysis techniques and risk management strategies. Additionally, customization of the OBAD parameters, such as adjusting the length or volume factor, can provide flexibility to adapt the indicator to different market conditions and trading preferences.
Overall, the OBAD indicator serves as a valuable tool for traders to gauge the accumulation and distribution patterns in the market. Its calculation based on volume-weighted price movements and the coloration enhancements make it visually appealing and intuitive to interpret. By incorporating the OBAD indicator into trading strategies and considering its limitations, traders can potentially improve their decision-making process and enhance their trading outcomes.
RSI is in Normal Distribution?Does RSI Follow a Normal Distribution?
The value of RSI was converted to a value between 0~2, 2~4, ..., 98~100, and the number of samples was graphed.
The Z values are expressed so that the values corresponding to 30 and 70 of the RSI can be compared with the standard normal distribution.
Additionally, when using the RSI period correction function of the 'RSI Candle Advanced V2' indicator that I made before, it shows no change in standard deviation.
RSI는 정규분포를 따를까요
RSI의 값을 0~2, 2~4, ..., 98~100 사이 값으로 변환하고 그 표본 갯수를 그래프로 표현하였습니다.
Z 값은 RSI의 30, 70에 해당하는 값을 표준정규분포와 비교할 수 있도록 표현하였습니다.
추가적으로 제가 예전에 만들었던 'RSI Candle Advanced V2' 지표의 RSI 기간 보정 함수를 사용할 경우 표준편차의 변화가 없음을 보입니다.
RSI Accumulation/Distribution [M]Hello everyone,
After my long tests, I observed that the rate of change of direction of the price was high after the periods when the RSI spent a long time outside the band. As a result of my observations, I prepared this indicator.
This indicator shows you the accumulation and distribution areas that occur outside the rsi band.
There are 3 different levels available.
Level 1 = 5 Bars
Level 2 = 7 Bars
Level 3 = 9 Bars
For example, if the RSI spends more than 9 bars below the 30 level or above the 70 level, it will paint that area red. Levels can be changed from the indicator settings. The rsi is smoothed with simple moving average to reduce fake signals.
Using the RSI A/D indicator with different indicators or patterns will increase your success rate.
Examples:
True Accumulation/Distribution (TG fork)An accumulation/distribution indicator that works better against gaps and with trend coloring.
Accumulation/Distribution was developed by Marc Chaikin to provide insight into strength of a trend by measuring flow of buy and sell volume .
The fact that A/D only factors current period's range for calculating the volume multiplier causes problem with price gaps. They are ignored or even misinterpreted.
True Accumulation/Distribution solves the problem by using True Range instead of only relying on current period's high and low.
Most of the time, True A/D reverts to producing the same values as the original A/D. The difference between True A/D and original A/D can be better seen when a gap has occurred, True A/D has handles it better than Accumulation/Distribution which a bearish close in period's range cause it to misinterpret the strong buy pressure as sell volume
The Moving Average Cloud is simply the filling between the moving average and the True A/D. This feature was inspired by D7R ACC/DIST closed-source indicator, kudos to D7R for making such neat visual indicators (but unfortunately all closed source!).
This indicator was made to extend the original work by adding MTF support and a moving average cloud and coloring.
If you like this indicator, please show the original author RezzaHmt some love:
Real-time price distribution in candlesThis indicator splits the candle time into 30 units to indicate where the price was at each time.
In the case of a 1-hour time zone, 60 minutes / 30 = 2 minutes, so this display the location of the price every 2 minutes.
In case of 1 minute time zone, it is displayed every 2 seconds.
CAUTION
If a transaction does not occur, the display may be omitted.
You can change the color of the opening and closing prices and the size of the dots.
Trend Identifier StrategyTrend Identifier Strategy for 1D BTC.USD
The indicator smoothens a closely following moving average into a polynomial like plot and assumes 4 staged cycles based on the first and the second derivatives. This is an optimized strategy for long term buying and selling with a Sortino Ratio above 3. It is designed to be a more profitable alternative to HODLing. It can be combined with 'Accumulation/Distribution Bands & Signals' and 'Exponential Top and Bottom Finder'.
Money Flow LineWhat is this? The Money Flow Line (MFL) indicator is at its core a more even-tempered version of the Price-Volume-Trend (PVT). The primary difference is the usage of `hlc3` ((high + low + close) / 3) rather than `close` to use the "typical price" that it critical to the calculation of the Money Flow Index (MFI). Other similar indicators include the Accumulation Distribution Line (ADL) and the On Balance Volume (OBV) indicators. The purpose of all of these indicators is to attempt to measure the strength of the money flow by combining price and volume into a rolling measurement that can be compared over time to look for confirmations and divergences.
The indicator also includes an optional averaging (smoothing) line that can be enabled in the display settings. Enabling this smoothing line with a desired period allows for simpler trend comparisons and also allows the user to view how far the line has diverged from the mean. This creates an indicator very similar to Elder's Force Index (EFI), which is also a `close * volume` style indicator.
Why is this important? After an extreme movement or volume spike the MFI will "snap back" sharply as that bar eventually exits the set period. This produces a result that is meaningless and skews the indicator away from the market structure. Because of this behavior, range clamping, and the loss of comparative history I prefer to shy away from oscillator style indicators. The Money Flow Line instead gives you all of the history so you may compare and see the broader trend without sharp snaps in history based on an arbitrary period setting.
Why is this better? This produces a no-lag indicator that isn't subject to the harsh skewing produced by they Money Flow Index's period calculation. It doesn't lose history like MFI or EFI, is clear about the trend direction, and prefers a "typical price" (averaging the entire range of each bar) rather than whatever happens to be the closing price for a given bar.
How can I use it? The indicator is attempting to measure supply and demand in the markets. No indicator is perfect, but we can use all of the information we have available to make our best predictions. There are only 3 pieces of data the market gives us:
1. Price (action)
2. Volume
3. Time
The Money Flow Line combines all of these data points into a readable rolling data set that attempts to show subtle balance of power shifts based on changes in volume and "smart money" (or "big money") stepping in and out of the picture. Much like PVT, we look for the same things:
- Trend Identification: an up or down trend appears in the MFL
- Confirmations: the MFL agrees with price action in direction and magnitude
- Divergence: the MFL disagrees with price action, indicating a reversal may be coming soon
When applying the smoothing line we can also look for similar things we would with EFI. The primary case would be to look for the MFL to jump very far away from the mean (a high magnitude movement) which indicates that price may be reverting towards the mean soon (a "mean reversion"). On the other hand, it may indicate strength in the current price direction. All of these predictions depend heavily on price action and market structure. Good luck!
Trend IdentifierTrend Identifier for 1D BTC.USD
It smoothens a closely following moving average into a polynomial like plot.
And assumes 4 stage cycles based on the first and second derivatives.
Green: Bull / Exponential Rise
Yellow: Distribution
Red: Bear / Exponential Drop
Blue: Accumulation
Red --> Blue --> Green: indicates the start of a bull market
Green --> Yellow --> Red: indicates the start of a bear market
Green --> Yellow: Start of a distribution phase, take profits
Red --> Blue: Start of a accumulation phase, DCA
Sequence Distribution Reporta basic tool to retrieve statistics of the distribution of price range sequences.
Breakout Accumulation/DistributionBasic modification of my SFP Momentum Indicator showing accumulation/distribution patterns based on breakouts above previous anchor points.
Candles are colored based on whether accumulation or distribution was last.
Best if used at HTF then confirmed at LTF.
SFP MomentumCustom swing fail detector with levels and breakouts both major and minor plus colored candles based on SFP momentum.
Probability ConesA probability cone is an indicator that forecasts a statistical distribution from a set point in time into the future.
Features
Forecast a Standard or Laplace distribution.
Change the how many bars the cones will lookback and sample in their calculations.
Set how many bars to forecast the cones.
Let the cones follow price from a set number of bars back.
Anchor the cones and they will not update from their last location.
Show or hide any set of cones.
Change the deviation used of any cone's upper or lower line.
Change any line's color, style, or width.
Change or toggle the fill colors between any two cone lines.
Basic Interpretations
First, there is an assumption that the distribution starting from the cone's origin, based on the number of historical bars sampled, is likely to represent the distribution of future price.
Price typically hangs around the mean.
About 68% of price stays within the first deviation cones.
About 95% of price stays within the second deviation cones.
About 99.7% of price stays within the third deviation cones.
When price is between the first and second deviation cones, there is a higher probability for a reversal.
However, strong momentum while above or below the first deviation can indicate a trend where price maintains itself past the first deviation. For this reason it's recommended to use a momentum indicator alongside the cones.
There is no mean reversion assumption when price deviates. Price can continue to stay deviated.
It's recommended that the cones are placed at the beginning of calendar periods. Like the month, week, or day.
Be mindful when using the cones on various timeframes. As the lookback setting, which selects the number of bars back to load from the cone's origin, will load the number of bars back based on the current timeframe.
Second Deviation Strategy
How to react when price goes beyond the second deviation is contingent on your trading position.
If you are holding a losing trade and price has moved past the second deviation, it could be time to stop trading and exit.
If you are holding a winning trade and price has moved past the second deviation, it would be best to look at exit strategies to capitalize on the outperformance.
If price has moved beyond the second deviation and you hold no position, then do not open any new trades.
FunctionProbabilityDistributionSamplingLibrary "FunctionProbabilityDistributionSampling"
Methods for probability distribution sampling selection.
sample(probabilities) Computes a random selected index from a probability distribution.
Parameters:
probabilities : float array, probabilities of sample.
Returns: int.
ArrayGenerateLibrary "ArrayGenerate"
Functions to generate arrays.
sequence_int(start, end, step) returns a sequence of int numbers.
Parameters:
start : int, begining of sequence range.
end : int, end of sequence range.
step : int, step, default=1 .
Returns: int , array.
sequence_float(start, end, step) returns a sequence of float numbers.
Parameters:
start : float, begining of sequence range.
end : float, end of sequence range.
step : float, step, default=1.0 .
Returns: float , array.
sequence_from_series(src, length, shift, direction_forward) Creates a array from a series sample range.
Parameters:
src : series, any kind.
length : int, window period in bars to sample series.
shift : int, window period in bars to shift backwards the data sample, default=0.
direction_forward : bool, sample from start to end or end to start order, default=true.
Returns: float array
normal_distribution(size, mean, dev) Generate normal distribution random sample.
Parameters:
size : int, size of array
mean : float, mean of the sample, (default=0.0).
dev : float, deviation of the sample from the mean, (default=1.0).
Returns: float array.
log_spaced(length, start_exp, stop_exp) Generate a base 10 logarithmically spaced sample sequence.
Parameters:
length : int, length of the sequence.
start_exp : float, start exponent.
stop_exp : float, stop exponent.
Returns: float array.
linear_range(stop, start) Generate a linearly spaced sample vector within the inclusive interval (start, stop) and step 1.
Parameters:
stop : float, stop value.
start : float, start value, (default=0.0).
Returns: float array.
periodic_wave(length, sampling_rate, frequency, amplitude, phase, delay) Create a periodic wave.
Parameters:
length : int, the number of samples to generate.
sampling_rate : float, samples per time unit (Hz). Must be larger than twice the frequency to satisfy the Nyquist criterion.
frequency : float, frequency in periods per time unit (Hz).
amplitude : float, the length of the period when sampled at one sample per time unit. This is the interval of the periodic domain, a typical value is 1.0, or 2*Pi for angular functions.
phase : float, optional phase offset.
delay : int, optional delay, relative to the phase.
Returns: float array.
sinusoidal(length, sampling_rate, frequency, amplitude, mean, phase, delay) Create a Sine wave.
Parameters:
length : int, The number of samples to generate.
sampling_rate : float, Samples per time unit (Hz). Must be larger than twice the frequency to satisfy the Nyquist criterion.
frequency : float, Frequency in periods per time unit (Hz).
amplitude : float, The maximal reached peak.
mean : float, The mean, or DC part, of the signal.
phase : float, Optional phase offset.
delay : int, Optional delay, relative to the phase.
Returns: float array.
periodic_impulse(length, period, amplitude, delay) Create a periodic Kronecker Delta impulse sample array.
Parameters:
length : int, The number of samples to generate.
period : int, impulse sequence period.
amplitude : float, The maximal reached peak.
delay : int, Offset to the time axis. Zero or positive.
Returns: float array.
Function - Probability Chebyshev Inequalityfunction to calculate Chebyshev Inequality. wich can be used to compute the probability that we will diverge from what we expect to obtain.
reference:
- www.omnicalculator.com
- github.com
- statisticstopics.wordpress.com
- en.wikipedia.org
Outlier Detector with N-Sigma Confidence IntervalsA detrended series that oscilates around zero is obtained after first differencing a time series (i.e. subtracting the closing price for a candle from the one immediately before, for example). Hypothetically, assuming that every detrended closing price is independent of each other (what might not be true!), these values will follow a normal distribution with mean zero and unknown variance sigma squared (assuming equal variance, what is also probably not true as volatility changes over time for different pairs). After studentizing, they follow a Student's t-distribution, but as the sample size increases (back periods > 30, at least), they follow a standard normal distribution.
This script was developed for personal use and the idea is spotting candles that are at least 99% bigger than average (using N = 3) as they will cross the upper and lower confidence interval limits. N = 2 would roughly provide a 95% confidence interval.
Function - Entropy Gini Indexfunction to retrieve Gini Impurity / Gini Index.
reference:
- victorzhou.com
- en.wikipedia.org
test - event distributiondisplays the distribution of the outcome of a event over the last event.
similar to this script:
Average Dollar VolumeDollar volume is simply the volume traded multiplied times the cost of the stock.
Dollar volume is an extremely important metric for finding stocks with enough liquidity for market makers to position themselves in. Market Liquidity is defined as market's feature whereby an individual or firm can quickly purchase or sell an asset without causing a drastic change in the asset's price. The key concept you want to understand is that these big instructions with billions of dollars need liquidity in a stock in order to even think about buying it, and therefore these institutions will demand a large dollar volume. A good dollar volume amount, that represents a pretty liquid name, is typically above 100 million $ average. Why are institutions important? Simple because they are the ones who make stocks move, and I mean really move. If you want to see large growth from a stock in a short amount of time, you need institutions wielding billions of dollars to be fighting one another to buy more shares. Institutions are the ones who make or break a stock, this is why we call them market makers.
My script calculates average dollar volume using four averages: the 50, the 30, the 20, and the 10 period. I use multiple averages in order to provide the accurate and up to date information to you. It then selects the minimum of these averages and divides this value by 1 million and displays this number to you.
TL;DR? If you want monster moves from your stocks, you need to pick names with average high liquidity(dollar volume >= $100 million). The number presented to you is in millions of whatever currency the name is traded in.
Up/Down Volume RatioUp/Down Volume Ratio is calculated by summing volume on days when it closes up and divide that total by the volume on days when the stock closed down.
High volume up days are typically a sign of accumulation(buying) by big players, while down days are signs of distribution(selling) by big market players. The Up Down volume ratio takes this assumption and turns it into a tangible number that's easier for the trader to understand. My formula is calculated using the past 50 periods, be warned it will not display a value for stocks with under 50 periods of trading history. This indicator is great for identify accumulation of growth stocks early on in their moves, most of the time you would like a growth stocks U/D value to be above 2, showing institutional sponsorship of a stock.
Up/Down Volume value interpretation:
U/D < 1 -> Bearish outlook, as sellers are in control
U/D = 1 -> Sellers and Buyers are equal
U/D > 1 -> Bullish outlook, as buyers are in control
U/D > 2 -> Bullish outlook, significant accumulation underway by market makers
U/D >= 3 -> MONSTER STOCK ALERT, market makers can not get enough of this stock and are ravenous to buy more
U/D values greater than 2 are rare and typically do not last very long, and U/D >= 3 are extremely rare one example I kind find of a stock's U/D peaking above 3 was Google back in 2005.
MAKE SURE TO HIT THE SETTINGS WHEEL AND CHECK THE BOX NEXT TO PLOT IN ORDER TO GET RID OF THE PLOTTED LINE.
Volume Buzz 2.0Volume Buzz/Volume Run Rate as seen on TC2000 and MarketSmith respectively.
Basically, the volume buzz tells you what percentage over average(100 time period moving average) the volume traded was. You can use this indicator to more readily identify above-average trading volume and accumulation days on charts. The percentage will show up in the top left corner, make sure to click the settings button and uncheck the second box(left of plot) in order to get rid of the chart line.
Pictured above, a chart with the volume on the bottom along with the 50-day moving average applied to volume. As you can see in the top left it will tell you the "volume buzz" of that day, telling you what days were on above-average volume and how above-average those days were.
Accumulation and Distribution MomentumThis applies Chande Momentum to Accumulation and Distribution index as a means to changes.
Experimental oscillator.
Compare it to both Money Flows, Acc/Dis and Chande and you notice it has elements of all of them. Could potentially replace other volume based momentum indicators in your strategy.
It is a little more volatile, reaching from side to side, while having a tendency to lean towards the side that gets the most action over a longer period of time.
It also tends to reach and hang in oversold regions BEFORE a pump - something I noticed.
Could be used as an early warning sign as well as for overall trend analysis.
