Volatilitytrend — Indicators and Strategies

Volatility Regime Classifier | ATRP Percentile Zones This indicator helps you understand the current volatility environment of any asset by comparing recent ATR-based values to its historical range. It defines four regimes: 🔴 Low Volatility: Volatility is decreasing 🟢 Normal: Volatility is increasing but still below average 🟠 High: Volatility is elevated 🟣 Extreme: Volatility is very high compared to recent history ⚙️ How it works We calculate the Average True Range (ATR) as a percentage of price (ATRP), then compare a short-term ATR to a longer-term one. Their difference shows whether volatility is picking up or slowing down. To make the signal more adaptive, we look at the distribution of recent volatility over a rolling window. We compute the 50th and 70th percentiles of that history to set dynamic thresholds. About distribution & percentiles Volatility in financial markets doesn't follow a normal (Gaussian) distribution, it's often skewed, with sudden spikes and fat tails. That means fixed thresholds (like "ATR > 20") can be misleading or irrelevant across assets and timeframes. Using percentiles solves this: The 50th percentile marks the middle of the recent volatility range. The 70th percentile captures a zone where volatility is unusually high, but not too rare, which keeps the signal usable and not overly sensitive. These levels offer a balance: ⚖️ not too reactive, not too slow — just enough to highlight meaningful shifts. ✅ Use cases Spot changes in market conditions Filter or adapt strategies depending on the regime Adjust position sizing and risk dynamically

Volatility Trend (Zeiierman)█ Overview The Volatility Trend (Zeiierman) is an indicator designed to help traders identify and analyze market trends based on price volatility. By calculating a dynamic trend line and volatility-adjusted bands, the indicator provides visual cues to understand the current market direction, potential reversal points and volatility. █ How It Works The indicator uses a weighted moving average of historical prices to create a responsive trend line that is adjusted for volatility using standard deviation. The indicator sets upper and lower bands at intervals of two standard deviations, acting as markers for potential overbought or oversold conditions. Additionally, by comparing current and previous trend line values, the indicator identifies the trend direction, providing crucial insights for traders. █ How to Use Trend Identification Use the trend line to identify the overall market direction. An upward-sloping line indicates an uptrend, while a downward-sloping line indicates a downtrend. Volatility Assessment Use the distance between the upper and lower bands to gauge market volatility. Wider bands indicate higher volatility, while narrower bands indicate lower volatility. Overbought/Oversold If the price reaches or exceeds the upper or lower bands, it may be in an overbought or oversold condition, respectively. █ Settings Trend Control: Adjusts the sensitivity and smoothness of the trend line. Lower values make the trend more responsive, while higher values make it smoother. Trend Dynamic: Controls how quickly the trend adjusts to price changes. Higher values result in a slower adjustment. Volatility: Consists of two parts - the scaling factor for volatility and the sensitivity for volatility adjustment. Adjusting these settings alters the distance between the trend lines and the price, as well as how sensitive the bands are to changes in volatility. Squeeze Control: Influences the degree to which market squeeze is considered in the calculation, with higher values increasing sensitivity. Enable Scalping Trend: A toggle that, when activated, makes the indicator focus on short-term trends, which is particularly useful for scalping strategies. █ Related scripts with the same calculation philosophy TrendCylinder TrendSphere Predictive Trend and Structure ----------------- Disclaimer The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!

Daily Factor Indicator [CC]The Daily Factor Indicator was created by Andrea Unger (Stocks and Commodities Jun 2023 pgs 26-31), and this is a new volatility indicator that compares the body, which is the absolute difference between the previous open and previous close, and the range which is the difference between the previous high and previous low. The indicator is calculated by dividing the body and range to determine the volatility for the previous bar. This indicator will range between 0 and 1. Values closer to 1 mean very high volatility, and values closer to 0 mean very low volatility. I have introduced a simple moving average strategy to decide buy or sell signals and colors. Darker colors mean the indicator is above the threshold level, and lighter colors mean the indicator is below the threshold level. Colors are shades of green when the price is above the moving average and shades of red when the price is below the moving average. Feel free to try out your own threshold level and general buy and sell signals. Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like me to publish!

+ Dynamic Fibo-Donchian Channels This is my second Donchian Channels indicator (and will probably be my last because how many does one really need). This version is different from my other one in that, well, it's 'dynamic' which simply means that it self adjusts based on the same formula that my Ultimate Moving Average does. What does that mean? It just means that the script takes an average of 8 different length, in this case, highest highs and lowest lows. The user doesn't need to pick a lookback/length/period/what-have-you. The indicator does it all itself. This, I think, makes for a very nice baseline or bias indicator to fit within a system that utilizes something like that. I also think it makes for a more accurate gauge of higher highs and lower lows within a timeframe, because honestly what does it mean to make a lower low over 20 periods or 8 periods or 50 periods? I don't know. What I do know is that traditional Donchian Channels never made much sense to me, but this does. Additionally, I've kept (I guess that's not 'additionally') the fibonacci retracement levels from my other Donchian Channels indicator. These are calculated off the high and the low of the Donchian Channels themselves. You will see that there are only three retracement levels (.786, .705, .382), one of which is not a fib level, but what some people call the 'OTE,' or 'optimal trade entry.'' If you want more info on the OTE just web search it. So, why no .618 or .236? Reason being that the .618 overlaps the .382, and the .236 is extremely close to the .786. This sounds confusing, but the retracement levels I'm using are derived from the high and low, so it was unnecessary to have all five levels from each. I could have just calculated from the high, or just from the low, and used all the levels, but I chose to just calculate three levels from the high and three from the low because that gives a sort of mirror image balance, and that appeals to me, and the utility of the indicator is the same. The plot lines are all colored, and I've filled certain zones between them. There is a center zone filled between both .382 levels, an upper and lower zon filled between the .786 and either the high or the low, and a zone between the .705 and .785 If you like the colored zones, but don't like the plots because they cause screen compression, turn off the plots under the "style" tab, or much more simply right click on the price scale and click 'scale price chart only.' Voila! No more screen compression due to a moving average or some other annoyance. Besides that basis being a nice baseline indicator the various fib bands (or just the high and low bands) make for excellent mean reversion extremes in ranging environments. There are alerts for candle closes across every line. Below is an image of the indicator at default settings. Below is an image of the indicator with the center .382 channel turned off. Below is an image of the indicator with just the .786/.705 channel showing .

VIX Volatility Trend Analysis With Signals - Stocks Only VIX VOLATILITY TREND ANALYSIS CLOUD WITH BULLISH & BEARISH SIGNALS - STOCKS ONLY This indicator is a visual aid that shows you the bullish or bearish trend of VIX market volatility so you can see the VIX trend without switching charts. When volatility goes up, most stocks go down and vice versa. When the cloud turns green, it is a bullish sign. When the cloud turns red, it is a bearish sign. This indicator is meant for stocks with a lot of price action and volatility, so for best results, use it on charts that move similar to the S&P 500 or other similar charts. This indicator uses real time data from the stock market overall, so it should only be used on stocks and will only give a few signals during after hours. It does work ok for crypto, but will not give signals when the US stock market is closed. **HOW TO USE** When the VIX Volatility Index trend changes direction, it will give a green or red line on the chart depending on which way the VIX is now trending. The cloud will also change color depending on which way the VIX is trending. Use this to determine overall market volatility and place trades in the direction that the indicator is showing. Do not use this by itself as sometimes markets won’t react perfectly to the overall market volatility. It should only be used as a secondary confirmation in your trading/trend analysis. For more signals with earlier entries, go into settings and reduce the number. 10-100 is best for scalping. For less signals with later entries, change the number to a higher value. Use 100-500 for swing trades. Can go higher for long swing trades. Our favorite settings are 20, 60, 100, 500 and 1000. ***MARKETS*** This indicator should only be used on the US stock markets as signals are given based on the VIX volatility index which measures volatility of the US Stock Markets. ***TIMEFRAMES*** This indicator works on all time frames, but after hours will not change much at all due to the markets being closed. **INVERSE CHARTS** If you are using this on an inverse ETF and the signals are showing backwards, please comment with what chart it is and I will configure the indicator to give the correct signals. I have included over 50 inverse ETFs into the code to show the correct signals on inverse charts, but I'm sure there are some that I have missed so feel free to let me know and I will update the script with the requested tickers. ***TIPS*** Try using numerous indicators of ours on your chart so you can instantly see the bullish or bearish trend of multiple indicators in real time without having to analyze the data. Some of our favorites are our Auto Fibonacci, Directional Movement Index, Volume Profile with buy & sell pressure, Auto Support And Resistance, Vix Scalper and Money Flow Index in combination with this Vix Trend Analysis. They all have real time Bullish and Bearish labels as well so you can immediately understand each indicator's trend.

Volatility Risk Premium GOLD & SILVER 1.0 ENGLISH This indicator (V-R-P) calculates the (one month) Volatility Risk Premium for GOLD and SILVER. V-R-P is the premium hedgers pay for over Realized Volatility for GOLD and SILVER options. The premium stems from hedgers paying to insure their portfolios, and manifests itself in the differential between the price at which options are sold (Implied Volatility) and the volatility GOLD and SILVER ultimately realize (Realized Volatility). I am using 30-day Implied Volatility (IV) and 21-day Realized Volatility (HV) as the basis for my calculation, as one month of IV is based on 30 calendaristic days and one month of HV is based on 21 trading days. At first, the indicator appears blank and a label instructs you to choose which index you want the V-R-P to plot on the chart. Use the indicator settings (the sprocket) to choose one of the precious metals (or both). Together with the V-R-P line, the indicator will show its one year moving average within a range of +/- 15% (which you can change) for benchmarking purposes. We should consider this range the “normalized” V-R-P for the actual period. The Zero Line is also marked on the indicator. Interpretation When V-R-P is within the “normalized” range, … well... volatility and uncertainty, as it’s seen by the option market, is “normal”. We have a “premium” of volatility which should be considered normal. When V-R-P is above the “normalized” range, the volatility premium is high. This means that investors are willing to pay more for options because they see an increasing uncertainty in markets. When V-R-P is below the “normalized” range but positive (above the Zero line), the premium investors are willing to pay for risk is low, meaning they see decreasing uncertainty and risks in the market, but not by much. When V-R-P is negative (below the Zero line), we have COMPLACENCY. This means investors see upcoming risk as being lower than what happened in the market in the recent past (within the last 30 days). CONCEPTS : Volatility Risk Premium The volatility risk premium (V-R-P) is the notion that implied volatility (IV) tends to be higher than realized volatility (HV) as market participants tend to overestimate the likelihood of a significant market crash. This overestimation may account for an increase in demand for options as protection against an equity portfolio. Basically, this heightened perception of risk may lead to a higher willingness to pay for these options to hedge a portfolio. In other words, investors are willing to pay a premium for options to have protection against significant market crashes even if statistically the probability of these crashes is lesser or even negligible. Therefore, the tendency of implied volatility is to be higher than realized volatility, thus V-R-P being positive. Realized/Historical Volatility Historical Volatility (HV) is the statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for an index over a given period of time. Historical volatility is a well-known concept in finance, but there is confusion in how exactly it is calculated. Different sources may use slightly different historical volatility formulas. For calculating Historical Volatility I am using the most common approach: annualized standard deviation of logarithmic returns, based on daily closing prices. Implied Volatility Implied Volatility (IV) is the market's forecast of a likely movement in the price of the index and it is expressed annualized, using percentages and standard deviations over a specified time horizon (usually 30 days). IV is used to price options contracts where high implied volatility results in options with higher premiums and vice versa. Also, options supply and demand and time value are major determining factors for calculating Implied Volatility. Implied Volatility usually increases in bearish markets and decreases when the market is bullish. For determining GOLD and SILVER implied volatility I used their volatility indices: GVZ and VXSLV (30-day IV) provided by CBOE. Warning Please be aware that because CBOE doesn’t provide real-time data in Tradingview, my V-R-P calculation is also delayed, so you shouldn’t use it in the first 15 minutes after the opening. This indicator is calibrated for a daily time frame. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ESPAŇOL Este indicador (V-R-P) calcula la Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad (de un mes) para GOLD y SILVER. V-R-P es la prima que pagan los hedgers sobre la Volatilidad Realizada para las opciones de GOLD y SILVER. La prima proviene de los hedgers que pagan para asegurar sus carteras y se manifiesta en el diferencial entre el precio al que se venden las opciones (Volatilidad Implícita) y la volatilidad que finalmente se realiza en el ORO y la PLATA (Volatilidad Realizada). Estoy utilizando la Volatilidad Implícita (IV) de 30 días y la Volatilidad Realizada (HV) de 21 días como base para mi cálculo, ya que un mes de IV se basa en 30 días calendario y un mes de HV se basa en 21 días de negociación. Al principio, el indicador aparece en blanco y una etiqueta le indica que elija qué índice desea que el V-R-P represente en el gráfico. Use la configuración del indicador (la rueda dentada) para elegir uno de los metales preciosos (o ambos). Junto con la línea V-R-P, el indicador mostrará su promedio móvil de un año dentro de un rango de +/- 15% (que puede cambiar) con fines de evaluación comparativa. Deberíamos considerar este rango como el V-R-P "normalizado" para el período real. La línea Cero también está marcada en el indicador. Interpretación Cuando el V-R-P está dentro del rango "normalizado",... bueno... la volatilidad y la incertidumbre, como las ve el mercado de opciones, es "normal". Tenemos una “prima” de volatilidad que debería considerarse normal. Cuando V-R-P está por encima del rango "normalizado", la prima de volatilidad es alta. Esto significa que los inversores están dispuestos a pagar más por las opciones porque ven una creciente incertidumbre en los mercados. Cuando el V-R-P está por debajo del rango "normalizado" pero es positivo (por encima de la línea Cero), la prima que los inversores están dispuestos a pagar por el riesgo es baja, lo que significa que ven una disminución, pero no pronunciada, de la incertidumbre y los riesgos en el mercado. Cuando V-R-P es negativo (por debajo de la línea Cero), tenemos COMPLACENCIA. Esto significa que los inversores ven el riesgo próximo como menor que lo que sucedió en el mercado en el pasado reciente (en los últimos 30 días). CONCEPTOS : Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad La Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad (V-R-P) es la noción de que la Volatilidad Implícita (IV) tiende a ser más alta que la Volatilidad Realizada (HV) ya que los participantes del mercado tienden a sobrestimar la probabilidad de una caída significativa del mercado. Esta sobreestimación puede explicar un aumento en la demanda de opciones como protección contra una cartera de acciones. Básicamente, esta mayor percepción de riesgo puede conducir a una mayor disposición a pagar por estas opciones para cubrir una cartera. En otras palabras, los inversores están dispuestos a pagar una prima por las opciones para tener protección contra caídas significativas del mercado, incluso si estadísticamente la probabilidad de estas caídas es menor o insignificante. Por lo tanto, la tendencia de la Volatilidad Implícita es de ser mayor que la Volatilidad Realizada, por lo cual el V-R-P es positivo. Volatilidad Realizada/Histórica La Volatilidad Histórica (HV) es la medida estadística de la dispersión de los rendimientos de un índice durante un período de tiempo determinado. La Volatilidad Histórica es un concepto bien conocido en finanzas, pero existe confusión sobre cómo se calcula exactamente. Varias fuentes pueden usar fórmulas de Volatilidad Histórica ligeramente diferentes. Para calcular la Volatilidad Histórica, utilicé el enfoque más común: desviación estándar anualizada de rendimientos logarítmicos, basada en los precios de cierre diarios. Volatilidad Implícita La Volatilidad Implícita (IV) es la previsión del mercado de un posible movimiento en el precio del índice y se expresa anualizada, utilizando porcentajes y desviaciones estándar en un horizonte de tiempo específico (generalmente 30 días). IV se utiliza para cotizar contratos de opciones donde la alta Volatilidad Implícita da como resultado opciones con primas más altas y viceversa. Además, la oferta y la demanda de opciones y el valor temporal son factores determinantes importantes para calcular la Volatilidad Implícita. La Volatilidad Implícita generalmente aumenta en los mercados bajistas y disminuye cuando el mercado es alcista. Para determinar la Volatilidad Implícita de GOLD y SILVER utilicé sus índices de volatilidad: GVZ y VXSLV (30 días IV) proporcionados por CBOE. Precaución Tenga en cuenta que debido a que CBOE no proporciona datos en tiempo real en Tradingview, mi cálculo de V-R-P también se retrasa, y por este motivo no se recomienda usar en los primeros 15 minutos desde la apertura. Este indicador está calibrado para un marco de tiempo diario.

Mid to High daily % - MA & Threshold Purpose of this script is to provide a metric for comparing crypto volatility in terms of the % gain that can be garnished if you buy the midpoint price of the day and sell the high***. I'm specifically using bots that buy non-stop. This metric makes it easy to compare crypto coins while also providing insight on what a take profit % should be if I want to be sure it closes often instead of getting stuck in a position. Added a few moving averages of (Mid-range to High Daily %). When these lines starts to trend down, it's time to lower the take profit % or move on to the next coin. Decided to add a threshold so I could easily mark where I think the (Mid-range to High Daily %) is for most days. Ex. I can mark 10% threshold and can eyeball roughly ~75% of the days in the past month or so were at or above that level. Then I know I have plenty volatility for a bot taking 5% profit. Also if you have plenty of periodic poke-through that month (let's say once a week) you might argue that you can set it to 7% if you're willing to wait about that long. Either way this metric is conservative because it is only the middle of the range to the high, a less conservative version might provide the % gain if you bought the day low and sold the day high. ***Since this calculation only takes the middle of the range and the high of the day into account, red days are volatile against a buyer but to your advantage if you are a seller. BUT if you have plenty of safety buy orders this volatility in price only means your total purchase volume increases and when/if you reach a take profit level you sell more there. Would like to upgrade and add a separate MA line for green days and a separate MA line for red days to discern if that particular coin has a bias. Also would like to include some statistics on how many candles are above or below threshold for a certain period instead of eyeballing.

Sigma Spikes [CC]Sigma Spikes were created by Adam Grimes and this is one of the best volatility indicators out there. This indicator not only gives you positive or negative volatility but with my version I can identify any sudden changes from the underlying trend. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red. Let me know if there were any other indicators you wanted to see me publish!