USATEC trade ideas
USNAS100 signs of a potential bearish trend Nasdaq Composite ended Friday little changed, recovering from a brief dip triggered by financial reports suggesting that former President Donald Trump is pushing for new tariffs. This geopolitical uncertainty is adding pressure to tech-heavy indices, with broader market sentiment turning cautious.
The price action on USNAS100 currently appears weak, showing early signs of a potential bearish trend in the upcoming week. However, before further downside, we may see the price retest key resistance levels.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis.
NAS100/US100 Short Swing Trade for week Risking 1% to make 2%PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 / CAPITALCOM:US100 Short trade for week - its swing trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
This is good trade, don't overload your risk like greedy, be disciplined trader, this is good trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
#NDQ - Weekly Targets 23197.39 or 21886.08 ?Date: 03-07-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: 22641.89
Pivot Point: 22541.74 Support: 22335.83 Resistance: 22748.58
#NDQ Upside Targets:
Target 1: 22832.49
Target 2: 22916.40
Target 3: 23056.89
Target 4: 23197.39
#NDQ Downside Targets:
Target 1: 22251.45
Target 2: 22167.08
Target 3: 22026.58
Target 4: 21886.08
NAS100 - Bullish Trend Continuation Setup• Pair: NAS100 (Nasdaq)
• Bias: Bullish
• HTF Overview (4H):
• Strong bullish structure and momentum from last week.
• Price consistently printing higher highs with no signs of reversal.
• MTF Refinement (30M):
• Waiting for a clean sweep of SSL (sell-side liquidity).
• Looking for price to dip into 30M OB for continuation opportunity.
• Entry Zone:
• Watch 30M OB — once price sweeps liquidity and confirms, execute long.
• Targets:
• Structure highs / previous weekly highs.
• Mindset Note:
• Simple execution plan — ride the trend, trust the structure.
• Wait for confirmation before switching from analyst to trader mode.
Bless Trading!
CALL THE MARKETS - XAUUSD ANALYSISWE HAVE
ona
kyle
Hasan
Ashlee
Mav
We are looking for the new red candle to drop down to 23100 area. from the 23100 to see continuation or a reversal towards ATH for a rejection to continue down to our lower Blue square area.
obviously we will wait for more news but thats what we are looking a for now.
US100 (NASDAQ 100) 24-Hour Technical Analysis ForecastCurrent Price: 23,076.60 (Close: Friday, July 18th, 2025)
Analysis Period: Next 24 Hours (July 19-20, 2025)
Market Status: Weekend - Preparing for Monday Open
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - 24H OUTLOOK
Primary Bias: Neutral to Bullish (Short-term consolidation expected)
Key Resistance: 23,150 - 23,250
Critical Support: 22,850 - 22,950
Expected Range: 22,900 - 23,200
Volatility Level: Moderate (Tech earnings season approach)
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1. CANDLESTICK PATTERN ANALYSIS
Friday's Close Formation
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Pattern: Small-bodied candle with upper shadow at 23,076
Significance: Indecision after testing resistance near 23,150
Volume: Above-average volume suggesting institutional activity
Context: Failed to break cleanly above psychological 23,100 level
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Expected 24H Patterns
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Monday Gap: Potential small gap up to 23,100-23,120 area
Continuation Pattern: Bullish flag/pennant formation developing
Key Reversal: Watch for hammer formation at 22,950 support if decline occurs
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Pattern Probability Assessment
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Doji/Spinning Top: 40% probability (continued indecision)
Bullish Engulfing: 35% probability (if gap up occurs)
Bearish Reversal: 25% probability (if resistance holds)
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2. HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS
Current Harmonic Setup
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Primary Pattern: Bullish Cypher Pattern in Development
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X: 22,400 (previous major low)
A: 23,250 (recent swing high)
B: 22,800 (61.8% retracement)
C: 23,150 (127.2% extension - current test area)
D (Completion): 22,650-22,750 (78.6% retracement zone)
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Alternative Pattern: Bull Flag
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Pole: 22,400 → 23,250 (850-point move)
Flag: Current consolidation 22,950-23,150
Target: 23,250 + 850 = 24,100 (extended projection)
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Fibonacci Levels (24H Focus)
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Golden Ratio Support: 22,950 (61.8% of recent swing)
38.2% Retracement: 23,025
23.6% Retracement: 23,050
Extension Target: 23,375 (161.8% projection)
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3. ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY - 24H COUNT
Primary Wave Count (Bullish Scenario)
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Macro Structure: Wave 5 of larger degree impulse in progress
Current Position: Wave 4 correction completing
Mini-wave Count: Flat correction pattern (A-B-C structure)
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24-Hour Wave Projection
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Wave A: 23,250 → 22,800 (Completed)
Wave B: 22,800 → 23,150 (Completed - 70% retrace)
Wave C: 23,150 → 22,950 (In Progress - Equal to A)
Wave 5 Target: 24,000-24,200 (1.618 extension)
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Alternative Count (Corrective Scenario)
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Structure: Double zigzag correction
Current Phase: Second zigzag development
Target: 22,750-22,850 (Wave Y completion)
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Critical Elliott Levels
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Wave 4 Low: 22,750 (must hold for bullish count)
Invalidation: Below 22,400 (Wave 1 high)
Confirmation: Break above 23,250 (Wave 3 high)
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4. WYCKOFF THEORY - 24H PHASE
Current Market Phase Assessment
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Primary Phase: Reaccumulation (Phase B-C transition)
Composite Operator Action: Testing supply at 23,150 area
Volume Analysis: Absorption of selling pressure evident
Smart Money Activity: Institutional buying on dips below 23,000
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Expected 24H Wyckoff Dynamics
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Phase Progression: Moving toward Phase D (Sign of Strength)
Testing Action: Final test of support at 22,950-23,000
Volume Expectation: Declining volume on any weakness
Breakout Setup: Spring action possible below 22,950
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Key Wyckoff Signals (24H Watch List)
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Sign of Strength (SOS): Break above 23,150 with volume
Last Point of Support (LPS): 22,950 area test
No Supply: Expected on rallies to 23,100-23,150
Backup to Edge of Creek: Potential dip to 22,850
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5. W.D. GANN THEORY - 24H ANALYSIS
Square of Nine Analysis
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Current Position: 23,076° on Gann wheel
Next Cardinal Point: 23,100° (significant psychological resistance)
Natural Support: 23,000° (perfect square - strong magnetic level)
Critical Angle: 22,900° (45-degree angle support from recent low)
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Time Theory - 24H Cycle
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Natural Time Cycle: 24-hour cycle from Friday's close
Critical Time Windows:
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6 hours: 02:00 UTC Monday (potential turn time)
18 hours: 14:00 UTC Monday (major turn potential)
24 hours: 20:00 UTC Monday (cycle completion)
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Angle Theory Application
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Rising 45° Line: Currently at 22,950 (critical support)
Rising 63.75° Line: 23,100 (steep resistance angle)
Declining 26.25° Line: 23,150 (gentle resistance)
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Gann Price Forecasting
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Square Root Method:
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Current: √23,076 ≈ 151.9
Next resistance: 152² = 23,104
Major resistance: 153² = 23,409
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Primary Target: 23,104 (natural Gann resistance)
Extended Target: 23,409 (next perfect square)
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Time-Price Harmony
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Harmonic Time: 144 hours from last major low
Price Harmony: 23,076 in harmony with 22,500 base
Next Harmony Level: 23,400 (Fibonacci price relationship)
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6. MULTI-TIMEFRAME INTRADAY ANALYSIS
5-Minute Chart Analysis
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Micro Trend: Consolidating triangle pattern
Support: 23,050-23,060 (recent lows)
Resistance: 23,090-23,100 (intraday highs)
Volume Profile: Balanced - no clear direction
RSI (5M): 48-52 range (neutral)
Pattern: Symmetrical triangle (breakout pending)
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15-Minute Chart Analysis
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Structure: Bull flag formation
Flag Boundaries: 23,040-23,120
Breakout Level: Above 23,120 (bullish)
Breakdown Level: Below 23,040 (bearish)
Moving Averages: EMA20 at 23,065 (support)
MACD: Consolidating above zero line
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30-Minute Chart Analysis
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Primary Pattern: Ascending triangle
Horizontal Resistance: 23,150 (multiple tests)
Rising Support Line: From 22,950 to current levels
Breakout Target: 23,350 (triangle height projection)
Volume: Decreasing (typical triangle behavior)
Bollinger Bands: Contracting (low volatility)
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1-Hour Chart Analysis
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Major Structure: Bullish continuation pattern
Cup and Handle: Handle formation in progress
Handle Depth: 7% correction (healthy)
Breakout Level: 23,175 (handle resistance)
Target: 24,000 (cup depth projection)
RSI (1H): 55 (bullish but not overbought)
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4-Hour Chart Analysis
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Macro Trend: Strong uptrend intact
Correction Type: Shallow pullback (wave 4 character)
Support Cluster: 22,900-23,000 (multiple confluences)
Resistance Zone: 23,150-23,250
Ichimoku Cloud: Price above cloud (bullish)
Volume Trend: Higher lows pattern (accumulation)
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7. TECHNICAL INDICATORS MATRIX
Momentum Indicators
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RSI (4H): 58 (Bullish momentum, room for upside)
RSI (1H): 55 (Neutral-bullish)
Stochastic %K: 62 (Above %D line - bullish)
Williams %R: -35 (Not oversold, upside potential)
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Trend Indicators
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MACD (4H): Above signal line, histogram positive
ADX: 35 (Strong trend strength)
Parabolic SAR: 22,950 (supportive)
Supertrend: 22,850 (strong support)
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Volume Indicators
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OBV: Rising trend (accumulation pattern)
Volume Rate of Change: Positive
Chaikin Money Flow: +0.15 (buying pressure)
Accumulation/Distribution: Uptrend
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8. KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS (24H)
Critical Resistance Levels
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R1: 23,100 (Psychological + Gann)
R2: 23,150 (Technical resistance + harmonic)
R3: 23,200 (Minor resistance)
R4: 23,250 (Major swing high)
R5: 23,350 (Extended target)
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Vital Support Levels
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S1: 23,040 (Immediate support)
S2: 23,000 (Psychological + Gann)
S3: 22,950 (Critical support cluster)
S4: 22,900 (Strong technical support)
S5: 22,850 (Major support zone)
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9. 24-HOUR TRADING SCENARIOS
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (50% Probability)
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Trigger: Break above 23,120 with volume expansion
Initial Target: 23,180-23,200
Extended Target: 23,300-23,350
Stop Loss (Longs): Below 22,990
Expected Timeline: 12-18 hours from breakout
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Scenario 2: Continued Consolidation (35% Probability)
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Range: 23,000-23,150
Trading Strategy: Range-bound scalping
Buy Zone: 23,020-23,040
Sell Zone: 23,120-23,140
Duration: Full 24-hour period
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Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown (15% Probability)
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Trigger: Break below 22,990 on volume
Target 1: 22,900-22,950
Target 2: 22,850-22,900
Bounce Level: 22,800-22,850
Recovery Above: 23,050 negates bearish scenario
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10. RISK FACTORS & CATALYSTS (24H)
Bullish Catalysts
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Tech earnings optimism building
AI sector momentum continuation
Institutional portfolio rebalancing (month-end flows)
Strong economic data expectations
Risk-on sentiment from Asia markets
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Bearish Risk Factors
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Profit-taking ahead of earnings
Rising bond yields concern
Geopolitical tensions impact
Overbought technical condition worries
Sector rotation out of tech
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High-Impact Events (Next 24H)
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Asian market opening (risk sentiment gauge)
Weekend news flow analysis
Pre-earnings positioning
Options expiry effects
Futures gap analysis
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11. TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS (24H)
For Scalpers (5M-15M Timeframes)
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Primary Setup: Triangle breakout trade
Entry Long: Above 23,120
Target: 23,160-23,180
Stop Loss: 23,080
Risk/Reward: 1:2 ratio
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For Intraday Traders (30M-1H)
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Strategy: Bull flag continuation
Entry Zone: 23,050-23,070 (on dips)
Target 1: 23,150
Target 2: 23,200
Stop Loss: 23,000
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For Swing Setup (4H basis)
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Approach: Pullback buying opportunity
Optimal Entry: 22,950-23,000
Primary Target: 23,350-23,400
Extended Target: 23,600
Stop Loss: 22,850
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12. CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS
Bullish Confluence at 22,950-23,000
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Gann Theory: 23,000° perfect square support
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 completion zone
Wyckoff: Last Point of Support (LPS)
Fibonacci: 61.8% retracement level
Moving Averages: EMA 50 confluence
Volume Profile: High volume node support
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Resistance Confluence at 23,150-23,200
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Harmonic: Cypher pattern C-point resistance
Previous Structure: Multiple test area
Psychological: Round number resistance
Gann Angles: 63.75° resistance line
Elliott Wave: Wave B completion area
Technical: Flag pattern upper boundary
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FINAL 24H FORECAST SUMMARY
Most Likely Scenario: Continued consolidation with upward bias, testing 23,150 resistance with potential breakout to 23,200+ levels.
Trading Range Expectation: 22,980 - 23,180 (primary range)
Breakout Levels:
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Bullish: Above 23,120 → targets 23,200-23,350
Bearish: Below 22,980 → targets 22,900-22,950
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Key Time Windows:
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Asian Open: 00:00-02:00 UTC (gap direction)
US Pre-market: 08:00-13:30 UTC (institutional flows)
US Cash Open: 13:30 UTC (volume confirmation)
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Risk Management Notes:
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Position sizing should account for tech sector volatility
Weekend gap risk considerations
Earnings season positioning effects
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Probability Assessment:
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50% - Bullish breakout scenario
35% - Range-bound consolidation
15% - Bearish breakdown
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always use appropriate risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NASDAQ 100: AI Momentum and Resilient Earnings Drive New HighsThe NASDAQ 100 continues its strong uptrend 📈, recently breaking to new highs after a period of consolidation. The rally is broad-based but remains led by heavyweight tech names and AI-related stocks 🤖.
Key Fundamental Drivers:
AI & Tech Growth 🤖💡: The biggest catalyst is the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence and digital transformation. Companies in the index, especially the “Magnificent Seven” (like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple), are seeing robust earnings growth and strong investor demand for AI exposure. Global IT spending is projected to grow by over 9% in 2025, with AI spending up nearly 30% year-on-year.
Earnings Resilience 💪💰: Despite high interest rates and inflation, tech companies have adapted well, maintaining strong margins and growth. The sector is expected to remain a top performer through 2025.
Fed Policy & Rate Expectations 🏦🔮: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pause or even cuts in US interest rates later in 2025, which is bullish for growth stocks and tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ 100.
Geopolitical & Macro Factors:
Reduced Uncertainty 🌏🕊️: The market has absorbed major geopolitical shocks (such as the Israel-Iran conflict and US-China trade tensions), and the resolution or de-escalation of these risks has reduced uncertainty, supporting risk assets.
US Election & Policy 🇺🇸🗳️: The outcome of the US election and expectations for stable or pro-business policies have also contributed to positive sentiment.
Global Supply Chains & Resilience 🌐🔗: While some risks remain (e.g., cyber threats, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions), the tech sector’s global reach and adaptability have helped it weather these challenges.
Why is it rallying now?
AI optimism and strong tech earnings are the main drivers 🤖💹.
Expectations of easier Fed policy and a resilient US economy are fueling risk appetite 🏦📈.
Geopolitical risks have eased or are being priced in, allowing investors to focus on growth 🌍🕊️.
Summary:
The NASDAQ 100’s rally is powered by AI-driven tech growth 🤖, resilient earnings 💪, and easing macro/geopolitical risks 🌏. The index remains a global leader as investors bet on the next wave of technology and digital innovation 🚀.
NASDAQ - Bullish BiasHTF Overview: 4H shows strong bullish intent with momentum driving price higher. Clear upside direction supported by sustained breaks in structure.
Liquidity Note: Noticed a key liquidity zone beneath current price (marked in blue). Although deeper mitigation was possible, price remained bullish.
MTF Refinement (30M): Dropped to the 30M for structural clarity and saw an earlier reaction. A bullish OB was formed and respected — now monitoring it for a potential mitigation.
LTF Execution Plan: If the 30M OB is revisited, I’ll be looking to the 1M/5M for confirmation (CHoCH or BOS) before executing long positions.
Mindset: Momentum is with the bulls — just waiting for smart money to confirm their next move.
Bless Trading!
Bearish Momentum Builds Below pivot zone USNAS100 Analysis
Price has reversed from its ATH and now shows bearish momentum.
Below 22705, downside targets are 22615 and 22420.
Bullish scenario only valid if price breaks and holds above 22815.
Pivot: 22710
Support: 22615, 22420
Resistance: 22815, 22910
US 100 (NDQ) : Stay Heavy on Positions1) April Fear & Buy Signals
In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market.
At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions.
2) Current Market State: No More Fear, but Watching
Since then, the market has stabilized.
The fear has disappeared, but we are still in a wait-and-see mode as traders assess the next move.
Momentum is holding, but participation remains cautious.
3) Stay Heavy on Positions
Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100.
As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
NAS100 (CASH100) SHORT - Double Top H8Risk/reward = 4.6
Entry price = 23 063
Stop loss price = 23 190
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 22 635
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 22 303
Still waiting for confirmation on some variables.
For example, need H8 candle to close in range and volume to validate, amongst other variables.
Trade, Fed, and Policy Developments Impacting NASDAQ 100Tariff Expansion Threat:
Donald Trump signaled upcoming tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, two sectors heavily represented in the NASDAQ 100. These measures could:
Raise consumer costs.
Disrupt tech and healthcare supply chains.
Add margin pressure on multinational firms.
Corporate Impact:
Rio Tinto revealed $300M in losses from US aluminum tariffs on Canadian output.
Canada-US trade talks will intensify, but tariffs appear likely to remain, adding to cost overhang for manufacturers and downstream users.
Fed Leadership Uncertainty:
Kevin Hassett is emerging as the frontrunner to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell in 2026.
Trump is critical of Powell, even citing Fed building renovation costs as a potential fireable offense.
This adds uncertainty to monetary policy continuity, especially as inflation rises and rate path expectations diverge.
401(k) and Private Equity Access:
The administration is finalizing an executive order allowing 401(k) plans to invest in private equity, a move that could:
Increase alternative asset exposure.
Boost private market valuations.
Signal a policy tilt toward financial market liberalization, which may help sustain risk sentiment in the medium term.
Conclusion for NASDAQ 100 (NSDQ100) Trading
The near-term risk for NASDAQ 100 is tilted negative due to the tariff threats on semiconductors and pharma, both major index components.
Fed leadership uncertainty could inject volatility into rate expectations, pressuring tech valuations sensitive to discount rate changes.
However, the longer-term policy shift toward broader 401(k) access to private markets could support overall market sentiment and capital flows.
Bias: Cautiously Bearish in the short term due to trade and Fed risks; neutral to slightly bullish medium term if private capital access reforms proceed and trade escalation is contained.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23080
Resistance Level 2: 23170
Resistance Level 3: 23250
Support Level 1: 22750
Support Level 2: 22670
Support Level 3: 22590
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily
• Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill)
o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus.
o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages).
o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns.
• Seasonality
o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks.
• Monthly structure
o Strong bullish monthly candles.
o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852.
• Weekly / Daily structure
o HH-HL sequence continues.
o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300.
o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet.
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Key Levels
• Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH)
• Recent swing high: 22,900
• Daily pivot: 22,470
• Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP)
• Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish)
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My View – Most Likely Path
1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone.
o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs.
o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus.
2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300:
o Expect strong rejection from that zone.
o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs.
o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation.
3. Alternate scenario (less likely)
o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH.
o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend.
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Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing
Intraday Long (Most Likely)
• Bias: Bullish continuation
• Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP)
• Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up
• Stop: Below 22,300.
• Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300.
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Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal)
• Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab
• Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300
• Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle
• Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation).
• Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates.
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Swing Long (Continuation)
• Bias: Bullish trend intact
• Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up.
• Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates).
• Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above.
________________________________________
Swing Short (Only if structure breaks)
• Trigger: Daily close below 22,200
• Bias: Bearish trend shift
• Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA.
________________________________________
Summary – My Final Opinion
Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
Nas100 Long We Currently Have an Ascending triangle (bullish continuation pattern) Forming After Asian Session & Price is consolidating just below the resistance level, forming higher lows.
We Have a Clearly defined demand zone below current price (gray box), Which also marks out our Bullish Order Block Formed Yesterday Which Price Should Come Retest Before Continuing Upwards.
Pro Tip for CPI Events
Expect increased volatility and fakeouts within the first few minutes.
Wait for a 5–15 min candle close for confirmation before entry.
Use lower timeframes (1m–5m) for entries, but keep higher timeframe structure in mind.
Remember To Like & Subscribe For More A+ Setups✅
US consumer sentiment improved in Jun could boost US indices The US July Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 61.8 from 60.7, while the 12-month inflation expectation decreased to 3.6% from 4% in the previous month. This suggests an easing of inflation concerns and improved consumption optimism.
This data, coupled with recent stronger Retail Sales figures, continues to support expectations for robust US economic growth amidst trade tariff uncertainties. Inflation is anticipated to have a limited short-term impact. Concurrently, the approval for AMD and Nvidia (NVDA) to export AI chips to China further bolsters the US tech sector.
The USTEC is currently in an upward trend, having reached a new high before a slight retreat. It is trading above both the EMA21 and EMA78, indicating higher highs and higher lows, suggesting the rally could persist.
Should the USTEC continue its surge, the index may test the resistance level at 23,200. Conversely, a failure to maintain above the trendline could trigger a decline towards the next support at 22,600.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist from Exness
NASDAQ 100 MAJOR REVERSAL SETUP/VOLUME WANINGElliott Wave Theory is a wonderful forecasting tool that provides confluence in conjunction with many technical such as the MFI, Awesome Oscillator, and Bull Bear Power.
Indicators such as Moving averages and ALL Chart Patterns just to name a few, beautifully align painting an amazing roadmap of reversals.
Motive wave in Green, Corrective wave in Pink
Orange Waves are sub waves.
Solid lines are completed, whereas the dotted lines are in progress. The likelihood of a wave count becoming invalidated has a lower probability on higher timeframes for example Day/Week/Month, whereas on lower timeframes such as 1 minute to 5 minute. I've observed wave count invalidation/recalculation of the wave counts more frequently.
With all the news of Tariffs and such the Elliott Wave follows the data, buy/sell side, liquidity, and volume.
Speaking of volume:
April Vol was 15.39M
May Vol was 10.74M
June Vol was 9.04M
As of July 11th it is at 3.37M with 17 trading days to go.
Don't get BULL trapped!!
HAPPY TRADING
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), here’s our master plan to heist the NDX - NASDAQ 100 INDEX. Follow the strategy on the chart—long entry is the play! Aim to escape near the high-risk RED Zone (overbought, consolidation, potential reversal). The bears are lurking, so take profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🚀Entry (The Vault is Open!)
"Swipe the bullish loot at any price!"
For precision, place buy limit orders within 15-30min timeframe (recent swing lows/highs).
Set alerts! Don’t miss the heist.
🛑 Stop Loss (Safety Net)
Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,770.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
🏴☠️ Target 🎯: 22,800.00
Bullish momentum is fueling this heist—ride the wave but exit before the trap!
📰 Fundamental Backing (Why This Heist Works)
Macroeconomic trends, COT data, geopolitics, and sentiment align for bullish moves.
Full analysis? Check 👉🔗🌎
⚠️ Trading Alerts (News & Risk Mgmt)
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (volatility = danger).
Use trailing stops to lock profits and dodge sudden reversals.
💥 Boost This Heist!
Hit 👍 (Boost Button) to strengthen our robbery squad!
More heists = More profits—stay tuned for the next steal! 🚀🤑
See you soon, fellow thieves! 🤝🎉